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Neurology Reviews covers innovative and emerging news in neurology and neuroscience every month, with a focus on practical approaches to treating Parkinson's disease, epilepsy, headache, stroke, multiple sclerosis, Alzheimer's disease, and other neurologic disorders.
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Mobile stroke teams treat patients faster and reduce disability
Having a mobile interventional stroke team (MIST) travel to treat stroke patients soon after stroke onset may improve patient outcomes, according to a new study. A retrospective analysis of a pilot program in New York found that
“The use of a Mobile Interventional Stroke Team (MIST) traveling to Thrombectomy Capable Stroke Centers to perform endovascular thrombectomy has been shown to be significantly faster with improved discharge outcomes,” wrote lead author Jacob Morey, a doctoral Candidate at Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai in New York and coauthors in the paper. Prior to this study, “the effect of the MIST model stratified by time of presentation” had yet to be studied.
The findings were published online on Aug. 5 in Stroke.
MIST model versus drip-and-ship
The researchers analyzed 226 patients who underwent endovascular thrombectomy between January 2017 and February 2020 at four hospitals in the Mount Sinai health system using the NYC MIST Trial and a stroke database. At baseline, all patients were functionally independent as assessed by the modified Rankin Scale (mRS, score of 0-2). 106 patients were treated by a MIST team – staffed by a neurointerventionalist, a fellow or physician assistant, and radiologic technologist – that traveled to the patient’s location. A total of 120 patients were transferred to a comprehensive stroke center (CSC) or a hospital with endovascular thrombectomy expertise. The analysis was stratified based on whether the patient presented in the early time window (≤ 6 hours) or late time window (> 6 hours).
Patients treated in the early time window were significantly more likely to be mobile and able to perform daily tasks (mRS ≤ 2) 90 days after the procedure in the MIST group (54%), compared with the transferred group (28%, P < 0.01). Outcomes did not differ significantly between groups in the late time window (35% vs. 41%, P = 0.77).
Similarly, early-time-window patients in the MIST group were more likely to have higher functionality at discharge, compared with transferred patients, based on the on the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (median score of 5.0 vs. 12.0, P < 0.01). There was no significant difference between groups treated in the late time window (median score of 5.0 vs. 11.0, P = 0.11).
“Ischemic strokes often progress rapidly and can cause severe damage because brain tissue dies quickly without oxygen, resulting in serious long-term disabilities or death,“ said Johanna Fifi, MD, of Icahn School of Medicine, said in a statement to the American Heart Association. “Assessing and treating stroke patients in the early window means that a greater number of fast-progressing strokes are identified and treated.”
Time is brain
Endovascular thrombectomy is a time-sensitive surgical procedure to remove large blood clots in acute ischemic stroke that has “historically been limited to comprehensive stroke centers,” the authors wrote in their paper. It is considered the standard of care in ischemic strokes, which make up 90% of all strokes. “Less than 50% of Americans have direct access to endovascular thrombectomy, the others must be transferred to a thrombectomy-capable hospital for treatment, often losing over 2 hours of time to treatment,” said Dr. Fifi. “Every minute is precious in treating stroke, and getting to a center that offers thrombectomy is very important. The MIST model would address this by providing faster access to this potentially life-saving, disability-reducing procedure.”
Access to timely endovascular thrombectomy is gradually improving as “more institutions and cities have implemented the [MIST] model.” Dr. Fifi said.
“This study stresses the importance of ‘time is brain,’ especially for patients in the early time window. Although the study is limited by the observational, retrospective design and was performed at a single integrated center, the findings are provocative,” said Louise McCullough, MD, of the University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston said in a statement to the American Heart Association. “The use of a MIST model highlights the potential benefit of early and urgent treatment for patients with large-vessel stroke. Stroke systems of care need to take advantage of any opportunity to treat patients early, wherever they are.”
The study was partly funded by a Stryker Foundation grant.
Having a mobile interventional stroke team (MIST) travel to treat stroke patients soon after stroke onset may improve patient outcomes, according to a new study. A retrospective analysis of a pilot program in New York found that
“The use of a Mobile Interventional Stroke Team (MIST) traveling to Thrombectomy Capable Stroke Centers to perform endovascular thrombectomy has been shown to be significantly faster with improved discharge outcomes,” wrote lead author Jacob Morey, a doctoral Candidate at Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai in New York and coauthors in the paper. Prior to this study, “the effect of the MIST model stratified by time of presentation” had yet to be studied.
The findings were published online on Aug. 5 in Stroke.
MIST model versus drip-and-ship
The researchers analyzed 226 patients who underwent endovascular thrombectomy between January 2017 and February 2020 at four hospitals in the Mount Sinai health system using the NYC MIST Trial and a stroke database. At baseline, all patients were functionally independent as assessed by the modified Rankin Scale (mRS, score of 0-2). 106 patients were treated by a MIST team – staffed by a neurointerventionalist, a fellow or physician assistant, and radiologic technologist – that traveled to the patient’s location. A total of 120 patients were transferred to a comprehensive stroke center (CSC) or a hospital with endovascular thrombectomy expertise. The analysis was stratified based on whether the patient presented in the early time window (≤ 6 hours) or late time window (> 6 hours).
Patients treated in the early time window were significantly more likely to be mobile and able to perform daily tasks (mRS ≤ 2) 90 days after the procedure in the MIST group (54%), compared with the transferred group (28%, P < 0.01). Outcomes did not differ significantly between groups in the late time window (35% vs. 41%, P = 0.77).
Similarly, early-time-window patients in the MIST group were more likely to have higher functionality at discharge, compared with transferred patients, based on the on the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (median score of 5.0 vs. 12.0, P < 0.01). There was no significant difference between groups treated in the late time window (median score of 5.0 vs. 11.0, P = 0.11).
“Ischemic strokes often progress rapidly and can cause severe damage because brain tissue dies quickly without oxygen, resulting in serious long-term disabilities or death,“ said Johanna Fifi, MD, of Icahn School of Medicine, said in a statement to the American Heart Association. “Assessing and treating stroke patients in the early window means that a greater number of fast-progressing strokes are identified and treated.”
Time is brain
Endovascular thrombectomy is a time-sensitive surgical procedure to remove large blood clots in acute ischemic stroke that has “historically been limited to comprehensive stroke centers,” the authors wrote in their paper. It is considered the standard of care in ischemic strokes, which make up 90% of all strokes. “Less than 50% of Americans have direct access to endovascular thrombectomy, the others must be transferred to a thrombectomy-capable hospital for treatment, often losing over 2 hours of time to treatment,” said Dr. Fifi. “Every minute is precious in treating stroke, and getting to a center that offers thrombectomy is very important. The MIST model would address this by providing faster access to this potentially life-saving, disability-reducing procedure.”
Access to timely endovascular thrombectomy is gradually improving as “more institutions and cities have implemented the [MIST] model.” Dr. Fifi said.
“This study stresses the importance of ‘time is brain,’ especially for patients in the early time window. Although the study is limited by the observational, retrospective design and was performed at a single integrated center, the findings are provocative,” said Louise McCullough, MD, of the University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston said in a statement to the American Heart Association. “The use of a MIST model highlights the potential benefit of early and urgent treatment for patients with large-vessel stroke. Stroke systems of care need to take advantage of any opportunity to treat patients early, wherever they are.”
The study was partly funded by a Stryker Foundation grant.
Having a mobile interventional stroke team (MIST) travel to treat stroke patients soon after stroke onset may improve patient outcomes, according to a new study. A retrospective analysis of a pilot program in New York found that
“The use of a Mobile Interventional Stroke Team (MIST) traveling to Thrombectomy Capable Stroke Centers to perform endovascular thrombectomy has been shown to be significantly faster with improved discharge outcomes,” wrote lead author Jacob Morey, a doctoral Candidate at Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai in New York and coauthors in the paper. Prior to this study, “the effect of the MIST model stratified by time of presentation” had yet to be studied.
The findings were published online on Aug. 5 in Stroke.
MIST model versus drip-and-ship
The researchers analyzed 226 patients who underwent endovascular thrombectomy between January 2017 and February 2020 at four hospitals in the Mount Sinai health system using the NYC MIST Trial and a stroke database. At baseline, all patients were functionally independent as assessed by the modified Rankin Scale (mRS, score of 0-2). 106 patients were treated by a MIST team – staffed by a neurointerventionalist, a fellow or physician assistant, and radiologic technologist – that traveled to the patient’s location. A total of 120 patients were transferred to a comprehensive stroke center (CSC) or a hospital with endovascular thrombectomy expertise. The analysis was stratified based on whether the patient presented in the early time window (≤ 6 hours) or late time window (> 6 hours).
Patients treated in the early time window were significantly more likely to be mobile and able to perform daily tasks (mRS ≤ 2) 90 days after the procedure in the MIST group (54%), compared with the transferred group (28%, P < 0.01). Outcomes did not differ significantly between groups in the late time window (35% vs. 41%, P = 0.77).
Similarly, early-time-window patients in the MIST group were more likely to have higher functionality at discharge, compared with transferred patients, based on the on the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (median score of 5.0 vs. 12.0, P < 0.01). There was no significant difference between groups treated in the late time window (median score of 5.0 vs. 11.0, P = 0.11).
“Ischemic strokes often progress rapidly and can cause severe damage because brain tissue dies quickly without oxygen, resulting in serious long-term disabilities or death,“ said Johanna Fifi, MD, of Icahn School of Medicine, said in a statement to the American Heart Association. “Assessing and treating stroke patients in the early window means that a greater number of fast-progressing strokes are identified and treated.”
Time is brain
Endovascular thrombectomy is a time-sensitive surgical procedure to remove large blood clots in acute ischemic stroke that has “historically been limited to comprehensive stroke centers,” the authors wrote in their paper. It is considered the standard of care in ischemic strokes, which make up 90% of all strokes. “Less than 50% of Americans have direct access to endovascular thrombectomy, the others must be transferred to a thrombectomy-capable hospital for treatment, often losing over 2 hours of time to treatment,” said Dr. Fifi. “Every minute is precious in treating stroke, and getting to a center that offers thrombectomy is very important. The MIST model would address this by providing faster access to this potentially life-saving, disability-reducing procedure.”
Access to timely endovascular thrombectomy is gradually improving as “more institutions and cities have implemented the [MIST] model.” Dr. Fifi said.
“This study stresses the importance of ‘time is brain,’ especially for patients in the early time window. Although the study is limited by the observational, retrospective design and was performed at a single integrated center, the findings are provocative,” said Louise McCullough, MD, of the University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston said in a statement to the American Heart Association. “The use of a MIST model highlights the potential benefit of early and urgent treatment for patients with large-vessel stroke. Stroke systems of care need to take advantage of any opportunity to treat patients early, wherever they are.”
The study was partly funded by a Stryker Foundation grant.
FROM STROKE
Despite retraction, study using fraudulent Surgisphere data still cited
A retracted study on the safety of blood pressure medications in patients with COVID-19 continues to be cited nearly a year later, new research shows.
The study in question, published on May 1, 2020, in the New England Journal of Medicine, showed no increased risk for in-hospital death with the use of ACE inhibitors or angiotensin-receptor blockers (ARBs) in hospitalized patients with COVID-19.
Concerns about the veracity of the Surgisphere database used for the study, however, led to a June 4 retraction and to the June 13 retraction of a second study, published in the Lancet, that focused on hydroxychloroquine as a COVID-19 treatment.
Although the Surgisphere scandal caused a global reckoning of COVID-19 scientific studies, the new analysis identified 652 citations of the NEJM article as of May 31.
More than a third of the citations occurred in the first 2 months after the retraction, 54% were at least 3 months later, and 2.8% at least 6 months later. In May, 11 months after the article was retracted, it was cited 21 times, senior author Emily G. McDonald, MD, MSc, McGill University, Montreal, and colleagues reported in a research letter in JAMA Internal Medicine.
“In early May and June there were already more than 200 citations in one of the world’s leading scientific journals, so I do believe it was a highly influential article early on and had an impact on different types of studies or research taking place,” she said in an interview.
Dr. McDonald said she’s also “certain that it impacted patient care,” observing that when there are no guidelines available on how to manage patients, physicians will turn to the most recent evidence in the most reputable journals.
“In the case of ACE [inhibitors] and ARBs, although the study was based on fraudulent data, we were lucky that the overall message was in the end probably correct, but that might not have been the case for another study or dataset,” she said.
Early in the pandemic, concerns existed that ACE inhibitors and ARBs could be harmful, increasing the expression of ACE2 receptors, which the SARS-CoV-2 virus uses to gain entry into cells. The first randomized trial to examine the issue, BRACE CORONA, showed no clinical benefit to interrupting use of the agents in hospitalized patients. An observational study suggested ACE inhibitors may even be protective.
Of two high-profile retractions, McDonald said they chose to bypass the hydroxychloroquine study, which had an eye-popping Altmetric attention score of 23,084, compared with 3,727 for the NEJM paper, because it may have been cited for “other” reasons. “We wanted to focus less on the politics and more on the problem of retracted work.”
The team found that researchers across the globe were citing the retracted ACE/ARB paper (18.7% in the United States, 8.1% in Italy, and 44% other countries). Most citations were used to support a statement in the main text of a study, but in nearly 3% of cases, the data were incorporated into new analyses.
Just 17.6% of the studies cited or noted the retraction. “For sure, that was surprising to us. We suspected it, but our study confirmed it,” Dr. McDonald said.
Although retracted articles can be identified by a watermark or line of text, in some cases that can be easily missed, she noted. What’s more, not all citation software points out when a study has been retracted, a fate shared by the copyediting process.
“There are a lot of mechanisms in place and, in general, what’s happening is rare but there isn’t a perfect automated system solution to absolutely prevent this from happening,” she said. “It’s still subject to human error.”
The findings also have to be taken in the context of a rapidly emerging pandemic and the unprecedented torrent of scientific papers released over the past year.
“That might have contributed to why this happened, but the takeaway message is that this can happen despite our best efforts, and we need to challenge ourselves to come up with a system solution to prevent this from happening in the future,” Dr. McDonald said. “Current mechanisms are probably capturing 95% of it, but we need to do better.”
Limitations of the present analysis are that it was limited to the single retracted study; used only a single search engine, Google Scholar, to identify the citing works; and that additional citations may have been missed, the authors noted.
McDonald and coauthor Todd C. Lee, MD, report being signatories on a public letter calling for the retraction of the Surgisphere papers. Dr. Lee also reported receiving research support from Fonds De Recherche du Quebec-Sante during the conduct of the study.
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
A retracted study on the safety of blood pressure medications in patients with COVID-19 continues to be cited nearly a year later, new research shows.
The study in question, published on May 1, 2020, in the New England Journal of Medicine, showed no increased risk for in-hospital death with the use of ACE inhibitors or angiotensin-receptor blockers (ARBs) in hospitalized patients with COVID-19.
Concerns about the veracity of the Surgisphere database used for the study, however, led to a June 4 retraction and to the June 13 retraction of a second study, published in the Lancet, that focused on hydroxychloroquine as a COVID-19 treatment.
Although the Surgisphere scandal caused a global reckoning of COVID-19 scientific studies, the new analysis identified 652 citations of the NEJM article as of May 31.
More than a third of the citations occurred in the first 2 months after the retraction, 54% were at least 3 months later, and 2.8% at least 6 months later. In May, 11 months after the article was retracted, it was cited 21 times, senior author Emily G. McDonald, MD, MSc, McGill University, Montreal, and colleagues reported in a research letter in JAMA Internal Medicine.
“In early May and June there were already more than 200 citations in one of the world’s leading scientific journals, so I do believe it was a highly influential article early on and had an impact on different types of studies or research taking place,” she said in an interview.
Dr. McDonald said she’s also “certain that it impacted patient care,” observing that when there are no guidelines available on how to manage patients, physicians will turn to the most recent evidence in the most reputable journals.
“In the case of ACE [inhibitors] and ARBs, although the study was based on fraudulent data, we were lucky that the overall message was in the end probably correct, but that might not have been the case for another study or dataset,” she said.
Early in the pandemic, concerns existed that ACE inhibitors and ARBs could be harmful, increasing the expression of ACE2 receptors, which the SARS-CoV-2 virus uses to gain entry into cells. The first randomized trial to examine the issue, BRACE CORONA, showed no clinical benefit to interrupting use of the agents in hospitalized patients. An observational study suggested ACE inhibitors may even be protective.
Of two high-profile retractions, McDonald said they chose to bypass the hydroxychloroquine study, which had an eye-popping Altmetric attention score of 23,084, compared with 3,727 for the NEJM paper, because it may have been cited for “other” reasons. “We wanted to focus less on the politics and more on the problem of retracted work.”
The team found that researchers across the globe were citing the retracted ACE/ARB paper (18.7% in the United States, 8.1% in Italy, and 44% other countries). Most citations were used to support a statement in the main text of a study, but in nearly 3% of cases, the data were incorporated into new analyses.
Just 17.6% of the studies cited or noted the retraction. “For sure, that was surprising to us. We suspected it, but our study confirmed it,” Dr. McDonald said.
Although retracted articles can be identified by a watermark or line of text, in some cases that can be easily missed, she noted. What’s more, not all citation software points out when a study has been retracted, a fate shared by the copyediting process.
“There are a lot of mechanisms in place and, in general, what’s happening is rare but there isn’t a perfect automated system solution to absolutely prevent this from happening,” she said. “It’s still subject to human error.”
The findings also have to be taken in the context of a rapidly emerging pandemic and the unprecedented torrent of scientific papers released over the past year.
“That might have contributed to why this happened, but the takeaway message is that this can happen despite our best efforts, and we need to challenge ourselves to come up with a system solution to prevent this from happening in the future,” Dr. McDonald said. “Current mechanisms are probably capturing 95% of it, but we need to do better.”
Limitations of the present analysis are that it was limited to the single retracted study; used only a single search engine, Google Scholar, to identify the citing works; and that additional citations may have been missed, the authors noted.
McDonald and coauthor Todd C. Lee, MD, report being signatories on a public letter calling for the retraction of the Surgisphere papers. Dr. Lee also reported receiving research support from Fonds De Recherche du Quebec-Sante during the conduct of the study.
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
A retracted study on the safety of blood pressure medications in patients with COVID-19 continues to be cited nearly a year later, new research shows.
The study in question, published on May 1, 2020, in the New England Journal of Medicine, showed no increased risk for in-hospital death with the use of ACE inhibitors or angiotensin-receptor blockers (ARBs) in hospitalized patients with COVID-19.
Concerns about the veracity of the Surgisphere database used for the study, however, led to a June 4 retraction and to the June 13 retraction of a second study, published in the Lancet, that focused on hydroxychloroquine as a COVID-19 treatment.
Although the Surgisphere scandal caused a global reckoning of COVID-19 scientific studies, the new analysis identified 652 citations of the NEJM article as of May 31.
More than a third of the citations occurred in the first 2 months after the retraction, 54% were at least 3 months later, and 2.8% at least 6 months later. In May, 11 months after the article was retracted, it was cited 21 times, senior author Emily G. McDonald, MD, MSc, McGill University, Montreal, and colleagues reported in a research letter in JAMA Internal Medicine.
“In early May and June there were already more than 200 citations in one of the world’s leading scientific journals, so I do believe it was a highly influential article early on and had an impact on different types of studies or research taking place,” she said in an interview.
Dr. McDonald said she’s also “certain that it impacted patient care,” observing that when there are no guidelines available on how to manage patients, physicians will turn to the most recent evidence in the most reputable journals.
“In the case of ACE [inhibitors] and ARBs, although the study was based on fraudulent data, we were lucky that the overall message was in the end probably correct, but that might not have been the case for another study or dataset,” she said.
Early in the pandemic, concerns existed that ACE inhibitors and ARBs could be harmful, increasing the expression of ACE2 receptors, which the SARS-CoV-2 virus uses to gain entry into cells. The first randomized trial to examine the issue, BRACE CORONA, showed no clinical benefit to interrupting use of the agents in hospitalized patients. An observational study suggested ACE inhibitors may even be protective.
Of two high-profile retractions, McDonald said they chose to bypass the hydroxychloroquine study, which had an eye-popping Altmetric attention score of 23,084, compared with 3,727 for the NEJM paper, because it may have been cited for “other” reasons. “We wanted to focus less on the politics and more on the problem of retracted work.”
The team found that researchers across the globe were citing the retracted ACE/ARB paper (18.7% in the United States, 8.1% in Italy, and 44% other countries). Most citations were used to support a statement in the main text of a study, but in nearly 3% of cases, the data were incorporated into new analyses.
Just 17.6% of the studies cited or noted the retraction. “For sure, that was surprising to us. We suspected it, but our study confirmed it,” Dr. McDonald said.
Although retracted articles can be identified by a watermark or line of text, in some cases that can be easily missed, she noted. What’s more, not all citation software points out when a study has been retracted, a fate shared by the copyediting process.
“There are a lot of mechanisms in place and, in general, what’s happening is rare but there isn’t a perfect automated system solution to absolutely prevent this from happening,” she said. “It’s still subject to human error.”
The findings also have to be taken in the context of a rapidly emerging pandemic and the unprecedented torrent of scientific papers released over the past year.
“That might have contributed to why this happened, but the takeaway message is that this can happen despite our best efforts, and we need to challenge ourselves to come up with a system solution to prevent this from happening in the future,” Dr. McDonald said. “Current mechanisms are probably capturing 95% of it, but we need to do better.”
Limitations of the present analysis are that it was limited to the single retracted study; used only a single search engine, Google Scholar, to identify the citing works; and that additional citations may have been missed, the authors noted.
McDonald and coauthor Todd C. Lee, MD, report being signatories on a public letter calling for the retraction of the Surgisphere papers. Dr. Lee also reported receiving research support from Fonds De Recherche du Quebec-Sante during the conduct of the study.
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
COVID-19 tied to acceleration of Alzheimer’s disease pathology
, a new study shows.
These results suggest that COVID-19 may accelerate Alzheimer’s disease symptoms and pathology, said study investigator Thomas Wisniewski, MD, professor of neurology, pathology, and psychiatry at New York University.
The findings were presented here at the Alzheimer’s Association International Conference (AAIC) 2021.
Strong correlation
There’s a clear association between SARS-CoV-2 infection and Alzheimer’s disease-related dementia. Patients with Alzheimer’s disease are at threefold higher risk for the infection and have a twofold higher risk for death, Dr. Wisniewski told meeting delegates.
He and his colleagues conducted a prospective study of patients who had tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 and who experienced neurologic sequelae and SARS-CoV-2 patients who were without neurologic sequelae. All patients were hospitalized from March 10 to May 20, 2020. This was during a period when New York City was overwhelmed by COVID: About 35% of hospitalized patients had COVID.
Of those who experienced neurologic events, the most common “by far and away” (51%) was toxic metabolic encephalopathy (TME), said Dr. Wisniewski. Other associations included seizures, hypoxic/anoxic injury, and ischemic stroke.
The most common TMEs were septic and hypoxic ischemia. In most patients (78%), TME had more than one cause.
Researchers followed 196 patients with COVID and neurologic complications (case patients) and 186 matched control patients who had no neurologic complications over a period of 6 months.
“Unfortunately, both groups had poor outcomes,” said Dr. Wisniewski. About 50% had impaired cognition, and 56% experienced limitations in activities of daily living.
However, those patients with COVID-19 who had neurologic sequelae “fared even worse,” said Dr. Wisniewski. Compared with control patients, they had twofold worse Modified Rankin Scale scores and worse scores on activity of daily living, and they were much less likely to return to work.
Mechanisms by which COVID-19 affects longer-term cognitive dysfunction are unclear, but inflammation likely plays a role.
The research team compared a number of Alzheimer’s disease plasma biomarkers in 158 patients with COVID-19 who had neurologic symptoms and 152 COVID patients with COVID but no neurologic symptoms. They found marked elevations of neurofilament light, a marker of neuronal injury, in those with symptoms (P = .0003) as well as increased glial fibrillary acid protein, a marker of neuroinflammation (P = .0098).
Ubiquitin carboxyl-terminal hydrolase L1, another marker of neuronal injury, was also elevated in those with neurologic symptoms. Regarding Alzheimer’s disease pathology, total tau (t-tau) and phosphorylated tau “also tracked with neurological sequelae,” said Dr. Wisniewski.
There was no difference in levels of amyloid beta 40 (A beta 40) between groups. However, A beta 42 plasma levels were significantly lower in those with neurologic effects, suggesting higher levels in the brain. In addition, the ratio of t-tau to A beta 42 “clearly differentiated the two groups,” he said.
“Serum biomarkers of neuroinflammation and neuronal injury and Alzheimer’s disease correlate strongly, perhaps suggesting that folks with COVID infection and neurological sequelae may have an acceleration of Alzheimer’s disease symptoms and pathology,” he said. “That’s something that needs longer follow-up.”
Important differentiation
Commenting on the research, Rebecca Edelmayer, PhD, senior director of scientific engagement, Alzheimer’s Association, said the study provides important information. The inclusion of plasma biomarkers in this research is “really critical to tease out what’s the impact of COVID itself on the brain,” said Dr. Edelmayer.
“We’re in an era of biomarkers when it comes to Alzheimer’s disease and other dementias, and being able to define those changes that are happening in the brain over time is going to be really critical and aid in early detection and accurate diagnoses,” she said.
What is still to be learned is what these biomarkers reveal long term, said Dr. Edelmayer. “Do those biological markers change? Do they go back to normal? A lot of that is still unknown,” she said.
She noted that many diseases that are linked to inflammation produce similar biomarkers in the brain – for example, neurofilament light.
With other viral infections, such as severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS), similar associations between the infection and cognition have been reported, said Dr. Edelmayer.
“But there are still a lot of questions around cause and effect. Is it really a direct effect of the virus on the brain itself? Is it an effect of having an enormous amount of inflammation going on in the body? A lot of that still needs to be teased out,” she commented.
The study was supported by the National Institutes of Health, the Alzheimer’s Association, and the State of New York. Dr. Wisniewski has consulted for Grifols, Amylon Pharmaceuticals, and Alzamed Neuro; 30 NYU patents are related to AD therapeutics.
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
, a new study shows.
These results suggest that COVID-19 may accelerate Alzheimer’s disease symptoms and pathology, said study investigator Thomas Wisniewski, MD, professor of neurology, pathology, and psychiatry at New York University.
The findings were presented here at the Alzheimer’s Association International Conference (AAIC) 2021.
Strong correlation
There’s a clear association between SARS-CoV-2 infection and Alzheimer’s disease-related dementia. Patients with Alzheimer’s disease are at threefold higher risk for the infection and have a twofold higher risk for death, Dr. Wisniewski told meeting delegates.
He and his colleagues conducted a prospective study of patients who had tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 and who experienced neurologic sequelae and SARS-CoV-2 patients who were without neurologic sequelae. All patients were hospitalized from March 10 to May 20, 2020. This was during a period when New York City was overwhelmed by COVID: About 35% of hospitalized patients had COVID.
Of those who experienced neurologic events, the most common “by far and away” (51%) was toxic metabolic encephalopathy (TME), said Dr. Wisniewski. Other associations included seizures, hypoxic/anoxic injury, and ischemic stroke.
The most common TMEs were septic and hypoxic ischemia. In most patients (78%), TME had more than one cause.
Researchers followed 196 patients with COVID and neurologic complications (case patients) and 186 matched control patients who had no neurologic complications over a period of 6 months.
“Unfortunately, both groups had poor outcomes,” said Dr. Wisniewski. About 50% had impaired cognition, and 56% experienced limitations in activities of daily living.
However, those patients with COVID-19 who had neurologic sequelae “fared even worse,” said Dr. Wisniewski. Compared with control patients, they had twofold worse Modified Rankin Scale scores and worse scores on activity of daily living, and they were much less likely to return to work.
Mechanisms by which COVID-19 affects longer-term cognitive dysfunction are unclear, but inflammation likely plays a role.
The research team compared a number of Alzheimer’s disease plasma biomarkers in 158 patients with COVID-19 who had neurologic symptoms and 152 COVID patients with COVID but no neurologic symptoms. They found marked elevations of neurofilament light, a marker of neuronal injury, in those with symptoms (P = .0003) as well as increased glial fibrillary acid protein, a marker of neuroinflammation (P = .0098).
Ubiquitin carboxyl-terminal hydrolase L1, another marker of neuronal injury, was also elevated in those with neurologic symptoms. Regarding Alzheimer’s disease pathology, total tau (t-tau) and phosphorylated tau “also tracked with neurological sequelae,” said Dr. Wisniewski.
There was no difference in levels of amyloid beta 40 (A beta 40) between groups. However, A beta 42 plasma levels were significantly lower in those with neurologic effects, suggesting higher levels in the brain. In addition, the ratio of t-tau to A beta 42 “clearly differentiated the two groups,” he said.
“Serum biomarkers of neuroinflammation and neuronal injury and Alzheimer’s disease correlate strongly, perhaps suggesting that folks with COVID infection and neurological sequelae may have an acceleration of Alzheimer’s disease symptoms and pathology,” he said. “That’s something that needs longer follow-up.”
Important differentiation
Commenting on the research, Rebecca Edelmayer, PhD, senior director of scientific engagement, Alzheimer’s Association, said the study provides important information. The inclusion of plasma biomarkers in this research is “really critical to tease out what’s the impact of COVID itself on the brain,” said Dr. Edelmayer.
“We’re in an era of biomarkers when it comes to Alzheimer’s disease and other dementias, and being able to define those changes that are happening in the brain over time is going to be really critical and aid in early detection and accurate diagnoses,” she said.
What is still to be learned is what these biomarkers reveal long term, said Dr. Edelmayer. “Do those biological markers change? Do they go back to normal? A lot of that is still unknown,” she said.
She noted that many diseases that are linked to inflammation produce similar biomarkers in the brain – for example, neurofilament light.
With other viral infections, such as severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS), similar associations between the infection and cognition have been reported, said Dr. Edelmayer.
“But there are still a lot of questions around cause and effect. Is it really a direct effect of the virus on the brain itself? Is it an effect of having an enormous amount of inflammation going on in the body? A lot of that still needs to be teased out,” she commented.
The study was supported by the National Institutes of Health, the Alzheimer’s Association, and the State of New York. Dr. Wisniewski has consulted for Grifols, Amylon Pharmaceuticals, and Alzamed Neuro; 30 NYU patents are related to AD therapeutics.
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
, a new study shows.
These results suggest that COVID-19 may accelerate Alzheimer’s disease symptoms and pathology, said study investigator Thomas Wisniewski, MD, professor of neurology, pathology, and psychiatry at New York University.
The findings were presented here at the Alzheimer’s Association International Conference (AAIC) 2021.
Strong correlation
There’s a clear association between SARS-CoV-2 infection and Alzheimer’s disease-related dementia. Patients with Alzheimer’s disease are at threefold higher risk for the infection and have a twofold higher risk for death, Dr. Wisniewski told meeting delegates.
He and his colleagues conducted a prospective study of patients who had tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 and who experienced neurologic sequelae and SARS-CoV-2 patients who were without neurologic sequelae. All patients were hospitalized from March 10 to May 20, 2020. This was during a period when New York City was overwhelmed by COVID: About 35% of hospitalized patients had COVID.
Of those who experienced neurologic events, the most common “by far and away” (51%) was toxic metabolic encephalopathy (TME), said Dr. Wisniewski. Other associations included seizures, hypoxic/anoxic injury, and ischemic stroke.
The most common TMEs were septic and hypoxic ischemia. In most patients (78%), TME had more than one cause.
Researchers followed 196 patients with COVID and neurologic complications (case patients) and 186 matched control patients who had no neurologic complications over a period of 6 months.
“Unfortunately, both groups had poor outcomes,” said Dr. Wisniewski. About 50% had impaired cognition, and 56% experienced limitations in activities of daily living.
However, those patients with COVID-19 who had neurologic sequelae “fared even worse,” said Dr. Wisniewski. Compared with control patients, they had twofold worse Modified Rankin Scale scores and worse scores on activity of daily living, and they were much less likely to return to work.
Mechanisms by which COVID-19 affects longer-term cognitive dysfunction are unclear, but inflammation likely plays a role.
The research team compared a number of Alzheimer’s disease plasma biomarkers in 158 patients with COVID-19 who had neurologic symptoms and 152 COVID patients with COVID but no neurologic symptoms. They found marked elevations of neurofilament light, a marker of neuronal injury, in those with symptoms (P = .0003) as well as increased glial fibrillary acid protein, a marker of neuroinflammation (P = .0098).
Ubiquitin carboxyl-terminal hydrolase L1, another marker of neuronal injury, was also elevated in those with neurologic symptoms. Regarding Alzheimer’s disease pathology, total tau (t-tau) and phosphorylated tau “also tracked with neurological sequelae,” said Dr. Wisniewski.
There was no difference in levels of amyloid beta 40 (A beta 40) between groups. However, A beta 42 plasma levels were significantly lower in those with neurologic effects, suggesting higher levels in the brain. In addition, the ratio of t-tau to A beta 42 “clearly differentiated the two groups,” he said.
“Serum biomarkers of neuroinflammation and neuronal injury and Alzheimer’s disease correlate strongly, perhaps suggesting that folks with COVID infection and neurological sequelae may have an acceleration of Alzheimer’s disease symptoms and pathology,” he said. “That’s something that needs longer follow-up.”
Important differentiation
Commenting on the research, Rebecca Edelmayer, PhD, senior director of scientific engagement, Alzheimer’s Association, said the study provides important information. The inclusion of plasma biomarkers in this research is “really critical to tease out what’s the impact of COVID itself on the brain,” said Dr. Edelmayer.
“We’re in an era of biomarkers when it comes to Alzheimer’s disease and other dementias, and being able to define those changes that are happening in the brain over time is going to be really critical and aid in early detection and accurate diagnoses,” she said.
What is still to be learned is what these biomarkers reveal long term, said Dr. Edelmayer. “Do those biological markers change? Do they go back to normal? A lot of that is still unknown,” she said.
She noted that many diseases that are linked to inflammation produce similar biomarkers in the brain – for example, neurofilament light.
With other viral infections, such as severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS), similar associations between the infection and cognition have been reported, said Dr. Edelmayer.
“But there are still a lot of questions around cause and effect. Is it really a direct effect of the virus on the brain itself? Is it an effect of having an enormous amount of inflammation going on in the body? A lot of that still needs to be teased out,” she commented.
The study was supported by the National Institutes of Health, the Alzheimer’s Association, and the State of New York. Dr. Wisniewski has consulted for Grifols, Amylon Pharmaceuticals, and Alzamed Neuro; 30 NYU patents are related to AD therapeutics.
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
From AAIC 2021
‘Alarming’ data on early cognitive decline in transgender adults
, new research shows.
Investigators found transgender adults – individuals who identify with a gender different than the one assigned to them at birth – were nearly twice as likely to report subjective cognitive decline and more than twice as likely to report SCD-related functional limitations – such as reduced ability to work, volunteer, or be social – than cisgender adults.
“Trans populations are disproportionately impacted by health disparities and also risk factors for dementia. Putting these pieces together, I wasn’t surprised by their greater risk of cognitive decline,” said study investigator Ethan Cicero, PhD, RN, an assistant professor at Emory University, Atlanta.
The findings were presented at the 2021 Alzheimer’s Association International Conference.
‘Alarming’ finding
SCD is a self-reported experience of worsening memory or thinking and is one of the first clinical manifestations of Alzheimer’s disease and related dementia (ADRD). Yet there is limited research into cognitive impairment among transgender adults.
The researchers examined SCD and associated functional limitations among transgender and cisgender adults older than age 45 years who provided health and health behavior data as part of the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) surveys (2015-2019).
The sample included 386,529 adults of whom 1,302 identified as transgender and 385,227 as cisgender.
Roughly 17% of transgender adults reported SCD, which is significantly higher than the 10.6% rate for cisgender adults (P < .001).
Compared with cisgender adults reporting SCD, transgender adults reporting SCD were younger (mean age 61.9 vs. 65.2 years, P = .0005), more likely to be in a racial/ethnic minority group (37.3% vs. 19.5%, P < .0001), have a high school degree or less (59.6% vs. 43.4%, P = .0003), be uninsured (17% vs. 5.5%, P = .0007) and have a depressive disorder (58.8% vs. 45.7%, P = .0028).
The fact that transgender people who reported SCD were about 3 years younger than cisgender people who reported SCD is “somewhat alarming and a red flag to ask middle-aged trans adults about their brain health and not just older or elderly trans adults,” said Dr. Cicero.
The study also showed that transgender adults reporting SCD were 2.3 times more likely to report related social and self-care limitations when compared with cisgender adults reporting SCD.
The findings align with a study reported at AAIC 2019, which showed that sexual or gender minorities (SGM) are almost 30% more likely to report subjective cognitive decline compared with the non-SGM population.
Cause unclear
“We are not certain what may be causing the elevated subjective cognitive decline rates among transgender adults. We postulate that it may be in part due to anti-transgender stigma and prejudice that expose transgender people to high rates of mistreatment and discrimination where they live, work, learn, seek health care, and age,” Dr. Cicero said.
“More research is needed to identify and target preventive intervention strategies, develop culturally relevant screenings, and shape policies to improve the health and well-being of the transgender population,” he added.
Weighing in on the study, Rebecca Edelmayer, PhD, senior director of scientific engagement at the Alzheimer’s Association, said “researchers have only just started to explore the experiences of dementia within the lesbian, gay, and bisexual community, but this is the first time we are seeing some specific research that’s looking at cognition in transgender individuals and gender nonbinary individuals.”
“We don’t know exactly why transgender and gender nonbinary individuals experience greater rates of subjective cognitive decline, but we do know that they have greater rates of health disparities that are considered risk factors for dementia, including higher rates of cardiovascular disease, depression, diabetes, tobacco and alcohol use, and obesity,” Dr. Edelmayer said.
“Alzheimer’s and dementia do not discriminate. Neither can we,” Maria C. Carrillo, PhD, chief science officer for the Alzheimer’s Association, said in a statement.
“The Alzheimer’s Association advocates for more research to better understand the cognitive and emotional needs of transgender and nonbinary individuals so that our nation’s health care providers can offer them culturally sensitive care,” said Dr. Carrillo.
The study had no specific funding. Dr. Cicero, Dr. Carrillo, and Dr. Edelmayer have disclosed no relevant financial relationships.
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
, new research shows.
Investigators found transgender adults – individuals who identify with a gender different than the one assigned to them at birth – were nearly twice as likely to report subjective cognitive decline and more than twice as likely to report SCD-related functional limitations – such as reduced ability to work, volunteer, or be social – than cisgender adults.
“Trans populations are disproportionately impacted by health disparities and also risk factors for dementia. Putting these pieces together, I wasn’t surprised by their greater risk of cognitive decline,” said study investigator Ethan Cicero, PhD, RN, an assistant professor at Emory University, Atlanta.
The findings were presented at the 2021 Alzheimer’s Association International Conference.
‘Alarming’ finding
SCD is a self-reported experience of worsening memory or thinking and is one of the first clinical manifestations of Alzheimer’s disease and related dementia (ADRD). Yet there is limited research into cognitive impairment among transgender adults.
The researchers examined SCD and associated functional limitations among transgender and cisgender adults older than age 45 years who provided health and health behavior data as part of the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) surveys (2015-2019).
The sample included 386,529 adults of whom 1,302 identified as transgender and 385,227 as cisgender.
Roughly 17% of transgender adults reported SCD, which is significantly higher than the 10.6% rate for cisgender adults (P < .001).
Compared with cisgender adults reporting SCD, transgender adults reporting SCD were younger (mean age 61.9 vs. 65.2 years, P = .0005), more likely to be in a racial/ethnic minority group (37.3% vs. 19.5%, P < .0001), have a high school degree or less (59.6% vs. 43.4%, P = .0003), be uninsured (17% vs. 5.5%, P = .0007) and have a depressive disorder (58.8% vs. 45.7%, P = .0028).
The fact that transgender people who reported SCD were about 3 years younger than cisgender people who reported SCD is “somewhat alarming and a red flag to ask middle-aged trans adults about their brain health and not just older or elderly trans adults,” said Dr. Cicero.
The study also showed that transgender adults reporting SCD were 2.3 times more likely to report related social and self-care limitations when compared with cisgender adults reporting SCD.
The findings align with a study reported at AAIC 2019, which showed that sexual or gender minorities (SGM) are almost 30% more likely to report subjective cognitive decline compared with the non-SGM population.
Cause unclear
“We are not certain what may be causing the elevated subjective cognitive decline rates among transgender adults. We postulate that it may be in part due to anti-transgender stigma and prejudice that expose transgender people to high rates of mistreatment and discrimination where they live, work, learn, seek health care, and age,” Dr. Cicero said.
“More research is needed to identify and target preventive intervention strategies, develop culturally relevant screenings, and shape policies to improve the health and well-being of the transgender population,” he added.
Weighing in on the study, Rebecca Edelmayer, PhD, senior director of scientific engagement at the Alzheimer’s Association, said “researchers have only just started to explore the experiences of dementia within the lesbian, gay, and bisexual community, but this is the first time we are seeing some specific research that’s looking at cognition in transgender individuals and gender nonbinary individuals.”
“We don’t know exactly why transgender and gender nonbinary individuals experience greater rates of subjective cognitive decline, but we do know that they have greater rates of health disparities that are considered risk factors for dementia, including higher rates of cardiovascular disease, depression, diabetes, tobacco and alcohol use, and obesity,” Dr. Edelmayer said.
“Alzheimer’s and dementia do not discriminate. Neither can we,” Maria C. Carrillo, PhD, chief science officer for the Alzheimer’s Association, said in a statement.
“The Alzheimer’s Association advocates for more research to better understand the cognitive and emotional needs of transgender and nonbinary individuals so that our nation’s health care providers can offer them culturally sensitive care,” said Dr. Carrillo.
The study had no specific funding. Dr. Cicero, Dr. Carrillo, and Dr. Edelmayer have disclosed no relevant financial relationships.
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
, new research shows.
Investigators found transgender adults – individuals who identify with a gender different than the one assigned to them at birth – were nearly twice as likely to report subjective cognitive decline and more than twice as likely to report SCD-related functional limitations – such as reduced ability to work, volunteer, or be social – than cisgender adults.
“Trans populations are disproportionately impacted by health disparities and also risk factors for dementia. Putting these pieces together, I wasn’t surprised by their greater risk of cognitive decline,” said study investigator Ethan Cicero, PhD, RN, an assistant professor at Emory University, Atlanta.
The findings were presented at the 2021 Alzheimer’s Association International Conference.
‘Alarming’ finding
SCD is a self-reported experience of worsening memory or thinking and is one of the first clinical manifestations of Alzheimer’s disease and related dementia (ADRD). Yet there is limited research into cognitive impairment among transgender adults.
The researchers examined SCD and associated functional limitations among transgender and cisgender adults older than age 45 years who provided health and health behavior data as part of the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) surveys (2015-2019).
The sample included 386,529 adults of whom 1,302 identified as transgender and 385,227 as cisgender.
Roughly 17% of transgender adults reported SCD, which is significantly higher than the 10.6% rate for cisgender adults (P < .001).
Compared with cisgender adults reporting SCD, transgender adults reporting SCD were younger (mean age 61.9 vs. 65.2 years, P = .0005), more likely to be in a racial/ethnic minority group (37.3% vs. 19.5%, P < .0001), have a high school degree or less (59.6% vs. 43.4%, P = .0003), be uninsured (17% vs. 5.5%, P = .0007) and have a depressive disorder (58.8% vs. 45.7%, P = .0028).
The fact that transgender people who reported SCD were about 3 years younger than cisgender people who reported SCD is “somewhat alarming and a red flag to ask middle-aged trans adults about their brain health and not just older or elderly trans adults,” said Dr. Cicero.
The study also showed that transgender adults reporting SCD were 2.3 times more likely to report related social and self-care limitations when compared with cisgender adults reporting SCD.
The findings align with a study reported at AAIC 2019, which showed that sexual or gender minorities (SGM) are almost 30% more likely to report subjective cognitive decline compared with the non-SGM population.
Cause unclear
“We are not certain what may be causing the elevated subjective cognitive decline rates among transgender adults. We postulate that it may be in part due to anti-transgender stigma and prejudice that expose transgender people to high rates of mistreatment and discrimination where they live, work, learn, seek health care, and age,” Dr. Cicero said.
“More research is needed to identify and target preventive intervention strategies, develop culturally relevant screenings, and shape policies to improve the health and well-being of the transgender population,” he added.
Weighing in on the study, Rebecca Edelmayer, PhD, senior director of scientific engagement at the Alzheimer’s Association, said “researchers have only just started to explore the experiences of dementia within the lesbian, gay, and bisexual community, but this is the first time we are seeing some specific research that’s looking at cognition in transgender individuals and gender nonbinary individuals.”
“We don’t know exactly why transgender and gender nonbinary individuals experience greater rates of subjective cognitive decline, but we do know that they have greater rates of health disparities that are considered risk factors for dementia, including higher rates of cardiovascular disease, depression, diabetes, tobacco and alcohol use, and obesity,” Dr. Edelmayer said.
“Alzheimer’s and dementia do not discriminate. Neither can we,” Maria C. Carrillo, PhD, chief science officer for the Alzheimer’s Association, said in a statement.
“The Alzheimer’s Association advocates for more research to better understand the cognitive and emotional needs of transgender and nonbinary individuals so that our nation’s health care providers can offer them culturally sensitive care,” said Dr. Carrillo.
The study had no specific funding. Dr. Cicero, Dr. Carrillo, and Dr. Edelmayer have disclosed no relevant financial relationships.
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
From AAIC 2021
Digital therapeutics extends its reach in neurology
In recent years, a new genre of medical intervention has started to emerge – digital therapeutics. In the wake of promising results in a number of conditions, one high-profile approval by the Food and Drug Administration, and several ongoing clinical studies, neurologists (and other doctors) may soon be prescribing video games alongside conventional therapies for several conditions.
“Digital therapeutics refers to a software-based intervention. It’s not just digital information or digital monitoring, it’s an alternative treatment option based on software,” said John Krakauer, MD, professor of neurology, neuroscience, and physical medicine and rehabilitation at The Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore.
Dr. Krakauer explained that the nervous system is especially amenable to gamified therapies because of its unique ability to learn. “It’s an experience-dependent plastic system. You really want to have a high-intensity, high-dose behavioral intervention to try and rewire and train the nervous system.
“In other words, digital therapeutics complements what happens in physical and occupational therapy sessions with scientifically-informed behavioral interventions based on technology and software,” he said.
The digital dolphin treating stroke
Dr. Krakauer, chief scientific adviser to the company MindMaze, studies immersive digital therapies to enhance neurorehabilitation following stroke. He works on MindPod Dolphin, a virtual reality game that trains motor control of the upper extremities by having the patient simulate swimming in the ocean like a dolphin.
“Your movement is tracked, there are artificial intelligence algorithms controlling the difficulty, and the whole purpose is to take your nervous system for a ride, outside the context of activities of daily living. Patients are so engaged and immersed that they don’t even realize they’re making high-quality, high-intensity, high-dose movements of their arm.”
In a pilot trial called SMARTS2, his group found that MindPod Dolphin was about twice as effective as regular rehabilitation for upper extremity motor recovery in patients who had had a stroke. A larger trial is currently underway in New Zealand.
Another preliminary study found that MindPod Dolphin had positive effects on the physical and cognitive health of elderly patients in an assisted-living facility. Now, MindPod Dolphin is being studied around the world in patients with multiple sclerosis, Parkinson’s disease, concussion, and traumatic brain injury (TBI). There is even a Department of Defense–funded trial underway for veterans with TBI.
Reaching young patients through virtual play
Isabela Granic, PhD, director of the Games for Emotional and Mental Health Lab, and professor and chair of the developmental psychopathology department in the Behavioural Science Institute at Radboud University in the Netherlands, studies gamified therapy for depression and anxiety.
“We take evidence-based techniques in the mental health clinical world or developmental research, such as cognitive-behavioral therapy (CBT) or exposure therapy, and then embed them in games to use a different engine for delivering something we otherwise know works,” she said.
Data for a game she developed called MindLight are promising so far. “We have randomized controlled trials showing that we can cut young people’s anxiety in half after they have as little as five 1-hour sessions per week. We’ve shown that we can get the same benefits as CBT for these young people, which is huge.” MindLight also has proved effective for treating anxiety in children with autism.
A first for therapeutic video games
In the summer of 2020, EndeavorRx, made by Akili Interactive, became the first prescription video game to be approved by the FDA. The game, which is designed to improve attention function, is currently authorized for children aged 8-12 with attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder.
Players complete “missions” by steering an aircraft through complex obstacle courses and collecting targets. The prescription directs the child to complete five missions each day for 5 days per week. It is recommended that patients use EndeavorRx for at least 4 weeks. Researchers are hopeful that, moving forward, the game will also prove effective for other cognitive disorders, including dementias and mild cognitive impairment.
EndeavorRx is even being studied for its efficacy in combating brain fog in COVID-19 long-haulers. A team of researchers led by Faith Gunning, PhD, psychologist and vice chair of research in the department of psychiatry at Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, is performing a trial of EndeavorRx for post–COVID-19 cognitive dysfunction.
“This therapeutic game gives repeated stimulation of the cognitive processes and networks that support multitasking and attention. And in doing that, my hypothesis is that there will be a restoration of function to that cognitive control network,” said Dr. Gunning. Gamified interventions, she added, are more fun and engaging for patients compared with more conventional therapies.
The fully remote trial will randomize approximately 100 participants to digital cognitive intervention and control groups. Over 6 weeks, the experimental group will be asked to play EndeavorRx at least 5 days per week, for about 25 minutes per day. Pre- and postintervention cognitive assessments will be compared between the groups.
“As far as digital interventions for mental health and cognitive disorders, the pandemic has just really accelerated the work ... that means that in the future more people can actually access what we’re doing in our labs and clinical research,” said Dr. Gunning. “I hope this is going to lead to more scalable approaches that will have a farther reach in the community.”
Dr. Krakauer said he envisions a future where neurologists prescribe medications, devices, and “immersive, plasticity-enhancing digital interventions.”
Hopefully, the synergy of these treatments will be a game changer for our patients.
Dr. Croll is a fellow in the department of neurology at New York University Langone Health in New York City and has disclosed no relevant financial relationships.
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
In recent years, a new genre of medical intervention has started to emerge – digital therapeutics. In the wake of promising results in a number of conditions, one high-profile approval by the Food and Drug Administration, and several ongoing clinical studies, neurologists (and other doctors) may soon be prescribing video games alongside conventional therapies for several conditions.
“Digital therapeutics refers to a software-based intervention. It’s not just digital information or digital monitoring, it’s an alternative treatment option based on software,” said John Krakauer, MD, professor of neurology, neuroscience, and physical medicine and rehabilitation at The Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore.
Dr. Krakauer explained that the nervous system is especially amenable to gamified therapies because of its unique ability to learn. “It’s an experience-dependent plastic system. You really want to have a high-intensity, high-dose behavioral intervention to try and rewire and train the nervous system.
“In other words, digital therapeutics complements what happens in physical and occupational therapy sessions with scientifically-informed behavioral interventions based on technology and software,” he said.
The digital dolphin treating stroke
Dr. Krakauer, chief scientific adviser to the company MindMaze, studies immersive digital therapies to enhance neurorehabilitation following stroke. He works on MindPod Dolphin, a virtual reality game that trains motor control of the upper extremities by having the patient simulate swimming in the ocean like a dolphin.
“Your movement is tracked, there are artificial intelligence algorithms controlling the difficulty, and the whole purpose is to take your nervous system for a ride, outside the context of activities of daily living. Patients are so engaged and immersed that they don’t even realize they’re making high-quality, high-intensity, high-dose movements of their arm.”
In a pilot trial called SMARTS2, his group found that MindPod Dolphin was about twice as effective as regular rehabilitation for upper extremity motor recovery in patients who had had a stroke. A larger trial is currently underway in New Zealand.
Another preliminary study found that MindPod Dolphin had positive effects on the physical and cognitive health of elderly patients in an assisted-living facility. Now, MindPod Dolphin is being studied around the world in patients with multiple sclerosis, Parkinson’s disease, concussion, and traumatic brain injury (TBI). There is even a Department of Defense–funded trial underway for veterans with TBI.
Reaching young patients through virtual play
Isabela Granic, PhD, director of the Games for Emotional and Mental Health Lab, and professor and chair of the developmental psychopathology department in the Behavioural Science Institute at Radboud University in the Netherlands, studies gamified therapy for depression and anxiety.
“We take evidence-based techniques in the mental health clinical world or developmental research, such as cognitive-behavioral therapy (CBT) or exposure therapy, and then embed them in games to use a different engine for delivering something we otherwise know works,” she said.
Data for a game she developed called MindLight are promising so far. “We have randomized controlled trials showing that we can cut young people’s anxiety in half after they have as little as five 1-hour sessions per week. We’ve shown that we can get the same benefits as CBT for these young people, which is huge.” MindLight also has proved effective for treating anxiety in children with autism.
A first for therapeutic video games
In the summer of 2020, EndeavorRx, made by Akili Interactive, became the first prescription video game to be approved by the FDA. The game, which is designed to improve attention function, is currently authorized for children aged 8-12 with attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder.
Players complete “missions” by steering an aircraft through complex obstacle courses and collecting targets. The prescription directs the child to complete five missions each day for 5 days per week. It is recommended that patients use EndeavorRx for at least 4 weeks. Researchers are hopeful that, moving forward, the game will also prove effective for other cognitive disorders, including dementias and mild cognitive impairment.
EndeavorRx is even being studied for its efficacy in combating brain fog in COVID-19 long-haulers. A team of researchers led by Faith Gunning, PhD, psychologist and vice chair of research in the department of psychiatry at Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, is performing a trial of EndeavorRx for post–COVID-19 cognitive dysfunction.
“This therapeutic game gives repeated stimulation of the cognitive processes and networks that support multitasking and attention. And in doing that, my hypothesis is that there will be a restoration of function to that cognitive control network,” said Dr. Gunning. Gamified interventions, she added, are more fun and engaging for patients compared with more conventional therapies.
The fully remote trial will randomize approximately 100 participants to digital cognitive intervention and control groups. Over 6 weeks, the experimental group will be asked to play EndeavorRx at least 5 days per week, for about 25 minutes per day. Pre- and postintervention cognitive assessments will be compared between the groups.
“As far as digital interventions for mental health and cognitive disorders, the pandemic has just really accelerated the work ... that means that in the future more people can actually access what we’re doing in our labs and clinical research,” said Dr. Gunning. “I hope this is going to lead to more scalable approaches that will have a farther reach in the community.”
Dr. Krakauer said he envisions a future where neurologists prescribe medications, devices, and “immersive, plasticity-enhancing digital interventions.”
Hopefully, the synergy of these treatments will be a game changer for our patients.
Dr. Croll is a fellow in the department of neurology at New York University Langone Health in New York City and has disclosed no relevant financial relationships.
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
In recent years, a new genre of medical intervention has started to emerge – digital therapeutics. In the wake of promising results in a number of conditions, one high-profile approval by the Food and Drug Administration, and several ongoing clinical studies, neurologists (and other doctors) may soon be prescribing video games alongside conventional therapies for several conditions.
“Digital therapeutics refers to a software-based intervention. It’s not just digital information or digital monitoring, it’s an alternative treatment option based on software,” said John Krakauer, MD, professor of neurology, neuroscience, and physical medicine and rehabilitation at The Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore.
Dr. Krakauer explained that the nervous system is especially amenable to gamified therapies because of its unique ability to learn. “It’s an experience-dependent plastic system. You really want to have a high-intensity, high-dose behavioral intervention to try and rewire and train the nervous system.
“In other words, digital therapeutics complements what happens in physical and occupational therapy sessions with scientifically-informed behavioral interventions based on technology and software,” he said.
The digital dolphin treating stroke
Dr. Krakauer, chief scientific adviser to the company MindMaze, studies immersive digital therapies to enhance neurorehabilitation following stroke. He works on MindPod Dolphin, a virtual reality game that trains motor control of the upper extremities by having the patient simulate swimming in the ocean like a dolphin.
“Your movement is tracked, there are artificial intelligence algorithms controlling the difficulty, and the whole purpose is to take your nervous system for a ride, outside the context of activities of daily living. Patients are so engaged and immersed that they don’t even realize they’re making high-quality, high-intensity, high-dose movements of their arm.”
In a pilot trial called SMARTS2, his group found that MindPod Dolphin was about twice as effective as regular rehabilitation for upper extremity motor recovery in patients who had had a stroke. A larger trial is currently underway in New Zealand.
Another preliminary study found that MindPod Dolphin had positive effects on the physical and cognitive health of elderly patients in an assisted-living facility. Now, MindPod Dolphin is being studied around the world in patients with multiple sclerosis, Parkinson’s disease, concussion, and traumatic brain injury (TBI). There is even a Department of Defense–funded trial underway for veterans with TBI.
Reaching young patients through virtual play
Isabela Granic, PhD, director of the Games for Emotional and Mental Health Lab, and professor and chair of the developmental psychopathology department in the Behavioural Science Institute at Radboud University in the Netherlands, studies gamified therapy for depression and anxiety.
“We take evidence-based techniques in the mental health clinical world or developmental research, such as cognitive-behavioral therapy (CBT) or exposure therapy, and then embed them in games to use a different engine for delivering something we otherwise know works,” she said.
Data for a game she developed called MindLight are promising so far. “We have randomized controlled trials showing that we can cut young people’s anxiety in half after they have as little as five 1-hour sessions per week. We’ve shown that we can get the same benefits as CBT for these young people, which is huge.” MindLight also has proved effective for treating anxiety in children with autism.
A first for therapeutic video games
In the summer of 2020, EndeavorRx, made by Akili Interactive, became the first prescription video game to be approved by the FDA. The game, which is designed to improve attention function, is currently authorized for children aged 8-12 with attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder.
Players complete “missions” by steering an aircraft through complex obstacle courses and collecting targets. The prescription directs the child to complete five missions each day for 5 days per week. It is recommended that patients use EndeavorRx for at least 4 weeks. Researchers are hopeful that, moving forward, the game will also prove effective for other cognitive disorders, including dementias and mild cognitive impairment.
EndeavorRx is even being studied for its efficacy in combating brain fog in COVID-19 long-haulers. A team of researchers led by Faith Gunning, PhD, psychologist and vice chair of research in the department of psychiatry at Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, is performing a trial of EndeavorRx for post–COVID-19 cognitive dysfunction.
“This therapeutic game gives repeated stimulation of the cognitive processes and networks that support multitasking and attention. And in doing that, my hypothesis is that there will be a restoration of function to that cognitive control network,” said Dr. Gunning. Gamified interventions, she added, are more fun and engaging for patients compared with more conventional therapies.
The fully remote trial will randomize approximately 100 participants to digital cognitive intervention and control groups. Over 6 weeks, the experimental group will be asked to play EndeavorRx at least 5 days per week, for about 25 minutes per day. Pre- and postintervention cognitive assessments will be compared between the groups.
“As far as digital interventions for mental health and cognitive disorders, the pandemic has just really accelerated the work ... that means that in the future more people can actually access what we’re doing in our labs and clinical research,” said Dr. Gunning. “I hope this is going to lead to more scalable approaches that will have a farther reach in the community.”
Dr. Krakauer said he envisions a future where neurologists prescribe medications, devices, and “immersive, plasticity-enhancing digital interventions.”
Hopefully, the synergy of these treatments will be a game changer for our patients.
Dr. Croll is a fellow in the department of neurology at New York University Langone Health in New York City and has disclosed no relevant financial relationships.
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
Will the Delta variant peak and then burn out?
When the Delta variant of the coronavirus was first identified in India in December 2020, the threat may have seemed too remote to trigger worry in the United States, although the horror of it ripping through the country was soon hard to ignore.
Within months, the Delta variant had spread to more than 98 countries, including Scotland, the United Kingdom, Israel, and now, of course, the United States. The CDC said this week the Delta variant now accounts for 93% of all COVID cases.
Fueled by Delta, COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths are increasing in nearly all states, according to the latest CDC data. After the 7-day average number of cases dipped by June 22 to about 11,000, it rose by Aug. 3 to more than 85,000.
Some experts are heartened by the recent decrease in COVID-19 cases in the United Kingdom and India, both hard-hit with the Delta variant. COVID-19 cases in India peaked at more than 400,000 a day in May; by Aug. 2, that had dropped to about 30,500 daily.
Andy Slavitt, former Biden White House senior adviser for COVID-19 response, tweeted July 26 that, if the Delta variant acted the same in the United Kingdom as in India, it would have a quick rise and a quick drop.
The prediction seems to have come true. As of Aug. 3, U.K. cases have dropped to 7,467, compared with more than 46,800 July 19.
So the question of the summer has become: “When will Delta burn out here?”
Like other pandemic predictions, these are all over the board. Here are five predictions about when COVID cases will peak, then fall. They range from less than 2 weeks to more than 2 months:
- Mid-August: Among the most optimistic predictions of when the Delta-driven COVID-19 cases will decline is from Scott Gottlieb, MD, former FDA director. He told CNBC on July 28 that he would expect cases to decline in 2-3 weeks – so by August 11.
- Mid-August to mid-September: Ali Mokdad, PhD, chief strategy officer for population health at the University of Washington, Seattle, said that, “right now for the U.S. as a country, cases will peak mid-August” and then decline. He is citing projections by the university’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. In its “most likely” scenario, it predicts COVID deaths will peak at about 1,000 daily by mid-September, then decline. (As of Aug. 3, daily deaths averaged 371.)
- September: “I am hoping we get over this Delta hump [by then],” says Eric Topol, MD, founder and director of the Scripps Research Translational Institute in La Jolla, Calif., and editor-in-chief of Medscape. “But sometimes, I am too much of an optimist.”
- Mid-October: Experts at the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub, a consortium of researchers from leading institutions who consult with the CDC, said the Delta-fueled pandemic will steadily increase through summer and fall, with a mid-October peak.
- Unclear: Because cases are underestimated, “I think it is unclear when we will see a peak of Delta,” says Amesh Adalja, MD, a senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, Baltimore. He predicts a decline in cases as “more people get infected and develop natural immunity.”
The predictions are based on different scenarios, such as most likely or worst case. Factors such as personal behaviors, public mandates, and vaccination rates could all alter the projections.
What a difference vaccination may make
An uptick in vaccinations could change all the models and predictions, experts agree. As of Aug. 3, almost half (49.7%) of the total U.S. population was fully vaccinated, the CDC said. (And 80.1% of those 65 and over were.)
But that’s a long way from the 70% or 80% figure often cited to reach herd immunity. Recently, Ricardo Franco, MD, of the University of Alabama at Birmingham, said at a briefing by the Infectious Diseases Society of America that the infectiousness of the Delta variant may mean the herd immunity threshold is actually closer to 90%.
Dr. Mokdad estimates that by Nov. 1, based on the current rate of infections, 64% of people in the United States will be immune to a variant like Delta, taking into account those already infected and those vaccinated against COVID-19.
Justin Lessler, PhD, a University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill epidemiologist involved in the modeling hub, says if enough people get vaccinated, it could stop the Delta variant in its tracks. But that percentage is high.
“I am relatively confident that if we could get 90% or more of the eligible population vaccinated that we would see the epidemic begin to recede,” he says.
It’s a huge leap from 50%, or even 64%, to 90%. Could the Delta surge really motivate that many people to head to a vaccination site?
That’s hard to predict, Dr. Topol said. Some unvaccinated people may feel like soldiers in a foxhole, especially if they are in hard-hit states like Louisiana, and rush to get the vaccine as soon as possible. Others, hearing about the “breakthrough” cases in the vaccinated, may dig in their heels and ask: “Why bother?” as they mistakenly conclude that the vaccine has not done its job.
Roles of public policy, individual behavior
Besides an increase in vaccinations, individual behaviors and mandates can change the scenario. Doctors can remind even vaccinated patients that behaviors such as social distancing and masks still matter, experts said.
“Don’t ‘stress test’ your vaccine, “ Dr. Topol said.
The vaccines against COVID are good but not perfect and, he notes, they offer less protection if many months have passed since the vaccines were given.
The best advice now, Dr. Topol said, is: “Don’t be inside without a mask.”
Even if outdoors, depending on how close others are and the level of the conversation, a mask might be wise, he says.
Dr. Mokdad finds that “when cases go up, people put on their best behavior,” such as going back to masks and social distancing.
“Unfortunately, we have two countries,” he said, referring to the way public health measures and mandates vary from state to state.
Once the Delta variant subsides, what’s next?
It’s not a matter of if there is another variant on the heels of Delta, but when, Dr. Topol and other experts said. A new variant, Lambda, was first identified in Peru in August 2020 but now makes up about 90% of the country’s infections.
There’s also Delta-plus, just found in two people in South Korea.
Future variants could be even more transmissible than Delta, “which would be a horror show,” Dr. Topol said. “This [Delta] is by far the worst version. The virus is going to keep evolving. It is not done with us.”
On the horizon: Variant-proof vaccines
What’s needed to tackle the next variant is another approach to vaccine development, according to Dr. Topol and his colleague, Dennis R. Burton, a professor of immunology and microbiology at Scripps Research Institute.
Writing a commentary in Nature published in 2021, the two propose using a special class of protective antibodies, known as broadly neutralizing antibodies, to develop these vaccines. The success of the current COVID-19 vaccines is likely because of the vaccine’s ability to prompt the body to make protective neutralizing antibodies. These proteins bind to the viruses and prevent them from infecting the body’s cells.
The broadly neutralizing antibodies, however, can act against many different strains of related viruses, Dr. Topol and Mr. Burton wrote. Using this approach, which is already under study, scientists could make vaccines that would be effective against a family of viruses. The goal: to stop future outbreaks from becoming epidemics and then pandemics.
A version of this article first appeared on WebMD.com.
When the Delta variant of the coronavirus was first identified in India in December 2020, the threat may have seemed too remote to trigger worry in the United States, although the horror of it ripping through the country was soon hard to ignore.
Within months, the Delta variant had spread to more than 98 countries, including Scotland, the United Kingdom, Israel, and now, of course, the United States. The CDC said this week the Delta variant now accounts for 93% of all COVID cases.
Fueled by Delta, COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths are increasing in nearly all states, according to the latest CDC data. After the 7-day average number of cases dipped by June 22 to about 11,000, it rose by Aug. 3 to more than 85,000.
Some experts are heartened by the recent decrease in COVID-19 cases in the United Kingdom and India, both hard-hit with the Delta variant. COVID-19 cases in India peaked at more than 400,000 a day in May; by Aug. 2, that had dropped to about 30,500 daily.
Andy Slavitt, former Biden White House senior adviser for COVID-19 response, tweeted July 26 that, if the Delta variant acted the same in the United Kingdom as in India, it would have a quick rise and a quick drop.
The prediction seems to have come true. As of Aug. 3, U.K. cases have dropped to 7,467, compared with more than 46,800 July 19.
So the question of the summer has become: “When will Delta burn out here?”
Like other pandemic predictions, these are all over the board. Here are five predictions about when COVID cases will peak, then fall. They range from less than 2 weeks to more than 2 months:
- Mid-August: Among the most optimistic predictions of when the Delta-driven COVID-19 cases will decline is from Scott Gottlieb, MD, former FDA director. He told CNBC on July 28 that he would expect cases to decline in 2-3 weeks – so by August 11.
- Mid-August to mid-September: Ali Mokdad, PhD, chief strategy officer for population health at the University of Washington, Seattle, said that, “right now for the U.S. as a country, cases will peak mid-August” and then decline. He is citing projections by the university’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. In its “most likely” scenario, it predicts COVID deaths will peak at about 1,000 daily by mid-September, then decline. (As of Aug. 3, daily deaths averaged 371.)
- September: “I am hoping we get over this Delta hump [by then],” says Eric Topol, MD, founder and director of the Scripps Research Translational Institute in La Jolla, Calif., and editor-in-chief of Medscape. “But sometimes, I am too much of an optimist.”
- Mid-October: Experts at the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub, a consortium of researchers from leading institutions who consult with the CDC, said the Delta-fueled pandemic will steadily increase through summer and fall, with a mid-October peak.
- Unclear: Because cases are underestimated, “I think it is unclear when we will see a peak of Delta,” says Amesh Adalja, MD, a senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, Baltimore. He predicts a decline in cases as “more people get infected and develop natural immunity.”
The predictions are based on different scenarios, such as most likely or worst case. Factors such as personal behaviors, public mandates, and vaccination rates could all alter the projections.
What a difference vaccination may make
An uptick in vaccinations could change all the models and predictions, experts agree. As of Aug. 3, almost half (49.7%) of the total U.S. population was fully vaccinated, the CDC said. (And 80.1% of those 65 and over were.)
But that’s a long way from the 70% or 80% figure often cited to reach herd immunity. Recently, Ricardo Franco, MD, of the University of Alabama at Birmingham, said at a briefing by the Infectious Diseases Society of America that the infectiousness of the Delta variant may mean the herd immunity threshold is actually closer to 90%.
Dr. Mokdad estimates that by Nov. 1, based on the current rate of infections, 64% of people in the United States will be immune to a variant like Delta, taking into account those already infected and those vaccinated against COVID-19.
Justin Lessler, PhD, a University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill epidemiologist involved in the modeling hub, says if enough people get vaccinated, it could stop the Delta variant in its tracks. But that percentage is high.
“I am relatively confident that if we could get 90% or more of the eligible population vaccinated that we would see the epidemic begin to recede,” he says.
It’s a huge leap from 50%, or even 64%, to 90%. Could the Delta surge really motivate that many people to head to a vaccination site?
That’s hard to predict, Dr. Topol said. Some unvaccinated people may feel like soldiers in a foxhole, especially if they are in hard-hit states like Louisiana, and rush to get the vaccine as soon as possible. Others, hearing about the “breakthrough” cases in the vaccinated, may dig in their heels and ask: “Why bother?” as they mistakenly conclude that the vaccine has not done its job.
Roles of public policy, individual behavior
Besides an increase in vaccinations, individual behaviors and mandates can change the scenario. Doctors can remind even vaccinated patients that behaviors such as social distancing and masks still matter, experts said.
“Don’t ‘stress test’ your vaccine, “ Dr. Topol said.
The vaccines against COVID are good but not perfect and, he notes, they offer less protection if many months have passed since the vaccines were given.
The best advice now, Dr. Topol said, is: “Don’t be inside without a mask.”
Even if outdoors, depending on how close others are and the level of the conversation, a mask might be wise, he says.
Dr. Mokdad finds that “when cases go up, people put on their best behavior,” such as going back to masks and social distancing.
“Unfortunately, we have two countries,” he said, referring to the way public health measures and mandates vary from state to state.
Once the Delta variant subsides, what’s next?
It’s not a matter of if there is another variant on the heels of Delta, but when, Dr. Topol and other experts said. A new variant, Lambda, was first identified in Peru in August 2020 but now makes up about 90% of the country’s infections.
There’s also Delta-plus, just found in two people in South Korea.
Future variants could be even more transmissible than Delta, “which would be a horror show,” Dr. Topol said. “This [Delta] is by far the worst version. The virus is going to keep evolving. It is not done with us.”
On the horizon: Variant-proof vaccines
What’s needed to tackle the next variant is another approach to vaccine development, according to Dr. Topol and his colleague, Dennis R. Burton, a professor of immunology and microbiology at Scripps Research Institute.
Writing a commentary in Nature published in 2021, the two propose using a special class of protective antibodies, known as broadly neutralizing antibodies, to develop these vaccines. The success of the current COVID-19 vaccines is likely because of the vaccine’s ability to prompt the body to make protective neutralizing antibodies. These proteins bind to the viruses and prevent them from infecting the body’s cells.
The broadly neutralizing antibodies, however, can act against many different strains of related viruses, Dr. Topol and Mr. Burton wrote. Using this approach, which is already under study, scientists could make vaccines that would be effective against a family of viruses. The goal: to stop future outbreaks from becoming epidemics and then pandemics.
A version of this article first appeared on WebMD.com.
When the Delta variant of the coronavirus was first identified in India in December 2020, the threat may have seemed too remote to trigger worry in the United States, although the horror of it ripping through the country was soon hard to ignore.
Within months, the Delta variant had spread to more than 98 countries, including Scotland, the United Kingdom, Israel, and now, of course, the United States. The CDC said this week the Delta variant now accounts for 93% of all COVID cases.
Fueled by Delta, COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths are increasing in nearly all states, according to the latest CDC data. After the 7-day average number of cases dipped by June 22 to about 11,000, it rose by Aug. 3 to more than 85,000.
Some experts are heartened by the recent decrease in COVID-19 cases in the United Kingdom and India, both hard-hit with the Delta variant. COVID-19 cases in India peaked at more than 400,000 a day in May; by Aug. 2, that had dropped to about 30,500 daily.
Andy Slavitt, former Biden White House senior adviser for COVID-19 response, tweeted July 26 that, if the Delta variant acted the same in the United Kingdom as in India, it would have a quick rise and a quick drop.
The prediction seems to have come true. As of Aug. 3, U.K. cases have dropped to 7,467, compared with more than 46,800 July 19.
So the question of the summer has become: “When will Delta burn out here?”
Like other pandemic predictions, these are all over the board. Here are five predictions about when COVID cases will peak, then fall. They range from less than 2 weeks to more than 2 months:
- Mid-August: Among the most optimistic predictions of when the Delta-driven COVID-19 cases will decline is from Scott Gottlieb, MD, former FDA director. He told CNBC on July 28 that he would expect cases to decline in 2-3 weeks – so by August 11.
- Mid-August to mid-September: Ali Mokdad, PhD, chief strategy officer for population health at the University of Washington, Seattle, said that, “right now for the U.S. as a country, cases will peak mid-August” and then decline. He is citing projections by the university’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. In its “most likely” scenario, it predicts COVID deaths will peak at about 1,000 daily by mid-September, then decline. (As of Aug. 3, daily deaths averaged 371.)
- September: “I am hoping we get over this Delta hump [by then],” says Eric Topol, MD, founder and director of the Scripps Research Translational Institute in La Jolla, Calif., and editor-in-chief of Medscape. “But sometimes, I am too much of an optimist.”
- Mid-October: Experts at the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub, a consortium of researchers from leading institutions who consult with the CDC, said the Delta-fueled pandemic will steadily increase through summer and fall, with a mid-October peak.
- Unclear: Because cases are underestimated, “I think it is unclear when we will see a peak of Delta,” says Amesh Adalja, MD, a senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, Baltimore. He predicts a decline in cases as “more people get infected and develop natural immunity.”
The predictions are based on different scenarios, such as most likely or worst case. Factors such as personal behaviors, public mandates, and vaccination rates could all alter the projections.
What a difference vaccination may make
An uptick in vaccinations could change all the models and predictions, experts agree. As of Aug. 3, almost half (49.7%) of the total U.S. population was fully vaccinated, the CDC said. (And 80.1% of those 65 and over were.)
But that’s a long way from the 70% or 80% figure often cited to reach herd immunity. Recently, Ricardo Franco, MD, of the University of Alabama at Birmingham, said at a briefing by the Infectious Diseases Society of America that the infectiousness of the Delta variant may mean the herd immunity threshold is actually closer to 90%.
Dr. Mokdad estimates that by Nov. 1, based on the current rate of infections, 64% of people in the United States will be immune to a variant like Delta, taking into account those already infected and those vaccinated against COVID-19.
Justin Lessler, PhD, a University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill epidemiologist involved in the modeling hub, says if enough people get vaccinated, it could stop the Delta variant in its tracks. But that percentage is high.
“I am relatively confident that if we could get 90% or more of the eligible population vaccinated that we would see the epidemic begin to recede,” he says.
It’s a huge leap from 50%, or even 64%, to 90%. Could the Delta surge really motivate that many people to head to a vaccination site?
That’s hard to predict, Dr. Topol said. Some unvaccinated people may feel like soldiers in a foxhole, especially if they are in hard-hit states like Louisiana, and rush to get the vaccine as soon as possible. Others, hearing about the “breakthrough” cases in the vaccinated, may dig in their heels and ask: “Why bother?” as they mistakenly conclude that the vaccine has not done its job.
Roles of public policy, individual behavior
Besides an increase in vaccinations, individual behaviors and mandates can change the scenario. Doctors can remind even vaccinated patients that behaviors such as social distancing and masks still matter, experts said.
“Don’t ‘stress test’ your vaccine, “ Dr. Topol said.
The vaccines against COVID are good but not perfect and, he notes, they offer less protection if many months have passed since the vaccines were given.
The best advice now, Dr. Topol said, is: “Don’t be inside without a mask.”
Even if outdoors, depending on how close others are and the level of the conversation, a mask might be wise, he says.
Dr. Mokdad finds that “when cases go up, people put on their best behavior,” such as going back to masks and social distancing.
“Unfortunately, we have two countries,” he said, referring to the way public health measures and mandates vary from state to state.
Once the Delta variant subsides, what’s next?
It’s not a matter of if there is another variant on the heels of Delta, but when, Dr. Topol and other experts said. A new variant, Lambda, was first identified in Peru in August 2020 but now makes up about 90% of the country’s infections.
There’s also Delta-plus, just found in two people in South Korea.
Future variants could be even more transmissible than Delta, “which would be a horror show,” Dr. Topol said. “This [Delta] is by far the worst version. The virus is going to keep evolving. It is not done with us.”
On the horizon: Variant-proof vaccines
What’s needed to tackle the next variant is another approach to vaccine development, according to Dr. Topol and his colleague, Dennis R. Burton, a professor of immunology and microbiology at Scripps Research Institute.
Writing a commentary in Nature published in 2021, the two propose using a special class of protective antibodies, known as broadly neutralizing antibodies, to develop these vaccines. The success of the current COVID-19 vaccines is likely because of the vaccine’s ability to prompt the body to make protective neutralizing antibodies. These proteins bind to the viruses and prevent them from infecting the body’s cells.
The broadly neutralizing antibodies, however, can act against many different strains of related viruses, Dr. Topol and Mr. Burton wrote. Using this approach, which is already under study, scientists could make vaccines that would be effective against a family of viruses. The goal: to stop future outbreaks from becoming epidemics and then pandemics.
A version of this article first appeared on WebMD.com.
Please interrupt me, but don't heat your fish
Bother me, I’m working
Although some of us have been comfortably functioning in a virtual work environment, others are now trickling back into the office. And you know what that means? People come to your desk to show you pictures of their cat or tell you about their kid’s birthday party. You may sneer at the interruption, but a study shows you actually like it.
A team of researchers at the University of Cincinnati surveyed 111 full-time employees twice a day for 3 weeks about their work experience. They asked about mental exhaustion, workplace interruptions, sense of belonging, and overall job satisfaction. They found that employees had a higher sense of belonging and job satisfaction when interrupted with a social versus work interruption.
“Interruptions can actually benefit individuals from an interpersonal perspective – people feel like they belong when others come and talk to them or ask them questions, even while being distracted from their tasks,” said Heather C. Vough, senior investigator and a former university faculty member.
Chitchatting at work is often seen as a distraction, but this study suggests that it’s not like heating up fish in the breakroom microwave.
So the next time someone hits you with the “Hey, do you have a sec?,” do yourself a favor and enjoy the interruption.
A smorgasbord of science
It’s probably difficult to recruit patients for some medical trials. Try this new drug and potentially get all sorts of interesting and unpleasant side effects. Pass. We suggest the approach a group of researchers from the University of Kansas took for a recent study into weight gain: Invite a bunch of 20-something adults to an all-you-can-eat buffet. They’ll be beating down your door in no time.
Their study, published in Appetite, focused on hyperpalatable food – the sort of food you can keep eating – and compared it with high-energy-dense food and ultra processed food. The test patients had their body composition measured, were let loose on the buffet, and were measured again a year later.
The patients who favored salty/carbohydrate-filled hyperpalatable food (such as pretzels or popcorn) were much more likely to gain weight, compared with those who focused on salty/fat-filled food of any variety. As a matter of fact, those who stuck to fatty food during the buffet had no change in weight over the 1-year study period. The researchers noted that those who ate the carb-filled food tended more toward hedonic eating, or the act of eating simply for pleasure.
The study is no doubt helpful in the long battle against obesity and overeating, but it’s also a very helpful guide to getting the most bang for your buck at the buffet. Stay away from the cheap salty snack food. Go for the steak and seafood. Get your money’s worth. In the long run you won’t even gain any weight. No promises about tomorrow though.
There’s a cheat code for that
For a large percentage of kids and young adults, and maybe even older adults (we don’t judge), a storm warning means a cozy night in playing video games. Staying inside is probably the safest bet when there’s a storm, and the weatherman never says to avoid playing video games when there’s lightning.
Maybe he should, though, since a man from Tennessee reportedly got struck by lightning through his game controller. Emergency crews determined that lightning either hit the man’s house or struck near it and went through the controller. The type of console was not revealed, even though some people may want to know the specifics before playing during the next storm.
Luckily, the man was not seriously hurt and did not need to go to the hospital. This is apparently not unheard of, as a professional gamer was shocked through a wired controller last year, causing burns on her hands and a broken controller.
This might be our cue to do less electrical types of activities during thunderstorms, like knitting or reading by candlelight.
Freeze, squeeze, and enjoy … cramping
As you were ingesting last week’s installment of the never-ending buffet that is LOTME, you probably wondered: What’s going on? Where’s the latest bodily insult being perpetuated by the gang over at TikTok?
Have no fear, good readers. We would never make you go 2 straight weeks without serving up some hyperpalatable TikTok tidbits.
Our bodily insult du jour is frozen honey, and it’s exploding all over TikTok … and a few other places. “The hashtag ‘#FrozenHoney’ has been viewed nearly 600 million times, and the hashtag ‘#FrozenHoneyChallenge’ has been viewed more than 80 million times,” NBC News recently reported.
After a few hours in the freezer, honey can be squeezed out of a plastic bottle as a semisolid, toothpastelike goo – it’s stiff enough to rise out of a container that’s pointed straight up – and bitten off in large chunks. And therein lies the problem.
Some people are overdoing it. “Honey is great, but having it in small amounts to sweeten is really a healthy relationship with food, and using it to get a lot of followers and a lot of attention and having it in excess amounts is crazy,” Kristin Kirkpatrick, a registered dietitian at the Cleveland Clinic, told NBC.
Besides the possible weight gain from eating massive amounts of sugar, experts warned that “gobbling up bottles of frozen honey” could lead to stomach cramping, bloating, and diarrhea. Some TikTokers, NBC noted, said that they “were running for the bathroom.”
As we said, it’s a trend that is exploding.
Be sure to tune in next week, when we learn how TikTokers use ground meat as a skin moisturizer.
Bother me, I’m working
Although some of us have been comfortably functioning in a virtual work environment, others are now trickling back into the office. And you know what that means? People come to your desk to show you pictures of their cat or tell you about their kid’s birthday party. You may sneer at the interruption, but a study shows you actually like it.
A team of researchers at the University of Cincinnati surveyed 111 full-time employees twice a day for 3 weeks about their work experience. They asked about mental exhaustion, workplace interruptions, sense of belonging, and overall job satisfaction. They found that employees had a higher sense of belonging and job satisfaction when interrupted with a social versus work interruption.
“Interruptions can actually benefit individuals from an interpersonal perspective – people feel like they belong when others come and talk to them or ask them questions, even while being distracted from their tasks,” said Heather C. Vough, senior investigator and a former university faculty member.
Chitchatting at work is often seen as a distraction, but this study suggests that it’s not like heating up fish in the breakroom microwave.
So the next time someone hits you with the “Hey, do you have a sec?,” do yourself a favor and enjoy the interruption.
A smorgasbord of science
It’s probably difficult to recruit patients for some medical trials. Try this new drug and potentially get all sorts of interesting and unpleasant side effects. Pass. We suggest the approach a group of researchers from the University of Kansas took for a recent study into weight gain: Invite a bunch of 20-something adults to an all-you-can-eat buffet. They’ll be beating down your door in no time.
Their study, published in Appetite, focused on hyperpalatable food – the sort of food you can keep eating – and compared it with high-energy-dense food and ultra processed food. The test patients had their body composition measured, were let loose on the buffet, and were measured again a year later.
The patients who favored salty/carbohydrate-filled hyperpalatable food (such as pretzels or popcorn) were much more likely to gain weight, compared with those who focused on salty/fat-filled food of any variety. As a matter of fact, those who stuck to fatty food during the buffet had no change in weight over the 1-year study period. The researchers noted that those who ate the carb-filled food tended more toward hedonic eating, or the act of eating simply for pleasure.
The study is no doubt helpful in the long battle against obesity and overeating, but it’s also a very helpful guide to getting the most bang for your buck at the buffet. Stay away from the cheap salty snack food. Go for the steak and seafood. Get your money’s worth. In the long run you won’t even gain any weight. No promises about tomorrow though.
There’s a cheat code for that
For a large percentage of kids and young adults, and maybe even older adults (we don’t judge), a storm warning means a cozy night in playing video games. Staying inside is probably the safest bet when there’s a storm, and the weatherman never says to avoid playing video games when there’s lightning.
Maybe he should, though, since a man from Tennessee reportedly got struck by lightning through his game controller. Emergency crews determined that lightning either hit the man’s house or struck near it and went through the controller. The type of console was not revealed, even though some people may want to know the specifics before playing during the next storm.
Luckily, the man was not seriously hurt and did not need to go to the hospital. This is apparently not unheard of, as a professional gamer was shocked through a wired controller last year, causing burns on her hands and a broken controller.
This might be our cue to do less electrical types of activities during thunderstorms, like knitting or reading by candlelight.
Freeze, squeeze, and enjoy … cramping
As you were ingesting last week’s installment of the never-ending buffet that is LOTME, you probably wondered: What’s going on? Where’s the latest bodily insult being perpetuated by the gang over at TikTok?
Have no fear, good readers. We would never make you go 2 straight weeks without serving up some hyperpalatable TikTok tidbits.
Our bodily insult du jour is frozen honey, and it’s exploding all over TikTok … and a few other places. “The hashtag ‘#FrozenHoney’ has been viewed nearly 600 million times, and the hashtag ‘#FrozenHoneyChallenge’ has been viewed more than 80 million times,” NBC News recently reported.
After a few hours in the freezer, honey can be squeezed out of a plastic bottle as a semisolid, toothpastelike goo – it’s stiff enough to rise out of a container that’s pointed straight up – and bitten off in large chunks. And therein lies the problem.
Some people are overdoing it. “Honey is great, but having it in small amounts to sweeten is really a healthy relationship with food, and using it to get a lot of followers and a lot of attention and having it in excess amounts is crazy,” Kristin Kirkpatrick, a registered dietitian at the Cleveland Clinic, told NBC.
Besides the possible weight gain from eating massive amounts of sugar, experts warned that “gobbling up bottles of frozen honey” could lead to stomach cramping, bloating, and diarrhea. Some TikTokers, NBC noted, said that they “were running for the bathroom.”
As we said, it’s a trend that is exploding.
Be sure to tune in next week, when we learn how TikTokers use ground meat as a skin moisturizer.
Bother me, I’m working
Although some of us have been comfortably functioning in a virtual work environment, others are now trickling back into the office. And you know what that means? People come to your desk to show you pictures of their cat or tell you about their kid’s birthday party. You may sneer at the interruption, but a study shows you actually like it.
A team of researchers at the University of Cincinnati surveyed 111 full-time employees twice a day for 3 weeks about their work experience. They asked about mental exhaustion, workplace interruptions, sense of belonging, and overall job satisfaction. They found that employees had a higher sense of belonging and job satisfaction when interrupted with a social versus work interruption.
“Interruptions can actually benefit individuals from an interpersonal perspective – people feel like they belong when others come and talk to them or ask them questions, even while being distracted from their tasks,” said Heather C. Vough, senior investigator and a former university faculty member.
Chitchatting at work is often seen as a distraction, but this study suggests that it’s not like heating up fish in the breakroom microwave.
So the next time someone hits you with the “Hey, do you have a sec?,” do yourself a favor and enjoy the interruption.
A smorgasbord of science
It’s probably difficult to recruit patients for some medical trials. Try this new drug and potentially get all sorts of interesting and unpleasant side effects. Pass. We suggest the approach a group of researchers from the University of Kansas took for a recent study into weight gain: Invite a bunch of 20-something adults to an all-you-can-eat buffet. They’ll be beating down your door in no time.
Their study, published in Appetite, focused on hyperpalatable food – the sort of food you can keep eating – and compared it with high-energy-dense food and ultra processed food. The test patients had their body composition measured, were let loose on the buffet, and were measured again a year later.
The patients who favored salty/carbohydrate-filled hyperpalatable food (such as pretzels or popcorn) were much more likely to gain weight, compared with those who focused on salty/fat-filled food of any variety. As a matter of fact, those who stuck to fatty food during the buffet had no change in weight over the 1-year study period. The researchers noted that those who ate the carb-filled food tended more toward hedonic eating, or the act of eating simply for pleasure.
The study is no doubt helpful in the long battle against obesity and overeating, but it’s also a very helpful guide to getting the most bang for your buck at the buffet. Stay away from the cheap salty snack food. Go for the steak and seafood. Get your money’s worth. In the long run you won’t even gain any weight. No promises about tomorrow though.
There’s a cheat code for that
For a large percentage of kids and young adults, and maybe even older adults (we don’t judge), a storm warning means a cozy night in playing video games. Staying inside is probably the safest bet when there’s a storm, and the weatherman never says to avoid playing video games when there’s lightning.
Maybe he should, though, since a man from Tennessee reportedly got struck by lightning through his game controller. Emergency crews determined that lightning either hit the man’s house or struck near it and went through the controller. The type of console was not revealed, even though some people may want to know the specifics before playing during the next storm.
Luckily, the man was not seriously hurt and did not need to go to the hospital. This is apparently not unheard of, as a professional gamer was shocked through a wired controller last year, causing burns on her hands and a broken controller.
This might be our cue to do less electrical types of activities during thunderstorms, like knitting or reading by candlelight.
Freeze, squeeze, and enjoy … cramping
As you were ingesting last week’s installment of the never-ending buffet that is LOTME, you probably wondered: What’s going on? Where’s the latest bodily insult being perpetuated by the gang over at TikTok?
Have no fear, good readers. We would never make you go 2 straight weeks without serving up some hyperpalatable TikTok tidbits.
Our bodily insult du jour is frozen honey, and it’s exploding all over TikTok … and a few other places. “The hashtag ‘#FrozenHoney’ has been viewed nearly 600 million times, and the hashtag ‘#FrozenHoneyChallenge’ has been viewed more than 80 million times,” NBC News recently reported.
After a few hours in the freezer, honey can be squeezed out of a plastic bottle as a semisolid, toothpastelike goo – it’s stiff enough to rise out of a container that’s pointed straight up – and bitten off in large chunks. And therein lies the problem.
Some people are overdoing it. “Honey is great, but having it in small amounts to sweeten is really a healthy relationship with food, and using it to get a lot of followers and a lot of attention and having it in excess amounts is crazy,” Kristin Kirkpatrick, a registered dietitian at the Cleveland Clinic, told NBC.
Besides the possible weight gain from eating massive amounts of sugar, experts warned that “gobbling up bottles of frozen honey” could lead to stomach cramping, bloating, and diarrhea. Some TikTokers, NBC noted, said that they “were running for the bathroom.”
As we said, it’s a trend that is exploding.
Be sure to tune in next week, when we learn how TikTokers use ground meat as a skin moisturizer.
Delta variant could drive herd immunity threshold over 80%
Because the Delta variant of SARS-CoV-2 spreads more easily than the original virus, the proportion of the population that needs to be vaccinated to reach herd immunity could be upward of 80% or more, experts say.
Also, it could be time to consider wearing an N95 mask in public indoor spaces regardless of vaccination status, according to a media briefing on Aug. 3 sponsored by the Infectious Diseases Society of America.
Furthermore, giving booster shots to the fully vaccinated is not the top public health priority now. Instead, third vaccinations should be reserved for more vulnerable populations – and efforts should focus on getting first vaccinations to unvaccinated people in the United States and around the world.
“The problem here is that the Delta variant is ... more transmissible than the original virus. That pushes the overall population herd immunity threshold much higher,” Ricardo Franco, MD, assistant professor of medicine at the University of Alabama at Birmingham, said during the briefing.
“For Delta, those threshold estimates go well over 80% and may be approaching 90%,” he said.
To put that figure in context, the original SARS-CoV-2 virus required an estimated 67% of the population to be vaccinated to achieve herd immunity. Also, measles has one of the highest herd immunity thresholds at 95%, Dr. Franco added.
Herd immunity is the point at which enough people are immunized that the entire population gains protection. And it’s already happening. “Unvaccinated people are actually benefiting from greater herd immunity protection in high-vaccination counties compared to low-vaccination ones,” he said.
Maximize mask protection
Unlike early in the COVID-19 pandemic with widespread shortages of personal protective equipment, face masks are now readily available. This includes N95 masks, which offer enhanced protection against SARS-CoV-2, Ezekiel J. Emanuel, MD, PhD, said during the briefing.
Following the July 27 CDC recommendation that most Americans wear masks indoors when in public places, “I do think we need to upgrade our masks,” said Dr. Emanuel, who is Diane v.S. Levy & Robert M. Levy professor at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia.
“It’s not just any mask,” he added. “Good masks make a big difference and are very important.”
Mask protection is about blocking 0.3-mcm particles, “and I think we need to make sure that people have masks that can filter that out,” he said. Although surgical masks are very good, he added, “they’re not quite as good as N95s.” As their name implies, N95s filter out 95% of these particles.
Dr. Emanuel acknowledged that people are tired of COVID-19 and complying with public health measures but urged perseverance. “We’ve sacrificed a lot. We should not throw it away in just a few months because we are tired. We’re all tired, but we do have to do the little bit extra getting vaccinated, wearing masks indoors, and protecting ourselves, our families, and our communities.”
Dealing with a disconnect
In response to a reporter’s question about the possibility that the large crowd at the Lollapalooza music festival in Chicago could become a superspreader event, Dr. Emanuel said, “it is worrisome.”
“I would say that, if you’re going to go to a gathering like that, wearing an N95 mask is wise, and not spending too long at any one place is also wise,” he said.
On the plus side, the event was held outdoors with lots of air circulation, Dr. Emanuel said.
However, “this is the kind of thing where we’ve got a sort of disconnect between people’s desire to get back to normal ... and the fact that we’re in the middle of this upsurge.”
Another potential problem is the event brought people together from many different locations, so when they travel home, they could be “potentially seeding lots of other communities.”
Boosters for some, for now
Even though not officially recommended, some fully vaccinated Americans are seeking a third or booster vaccination on their own.
Asked for his opinion, Dr. Emanuel said: “We’re probably going to have to be giving boosters to immunocompromised people and people who are susceptible. That’s where we are going to start.”
More research is needed regarding booster shots, he said. “There are very small studies – and the ‘very small’ should be emphasized – given that we’ve given shots to over 160 million people.”
“But it does appear that the boosters increase the antibodies and protection,” he said.
Instead of boosters, it is more important for people who haven’t been vaccinated to get fully vaccinated.
“We need to put our priorities in the right places,” he said.
Emanuel noted that, except for people in rural areas that might have to travel long distances, access to vaccines is no longer an issue. “It’s very hard not to find a vaccine if you want it.”
A remaining hurdle is “battling a major disinformation initiative. I don’t think this is misinformation. I think there’s very clear evidence that it is disinformation – false facts about the vaccines being spread,” Dr. Emanuel said.
The breakthrough infection dilemma
Breakthrough cases “remain the vast minority of infections at this time ... that is reassuring,” Dr. Franco said.
Also, tracking symptomatic breakthrough infections remains easier than studying fully vaccinated people who become infected with SARS-CoV-2 but remain symptom free.
“We really don’t have a good handle on the frequency of asymptomatic cases,” Dr. Emanuel said. “If you’re missing breakthrough infections, a lot of them, you may be missing some [virus] evolution that would be very important for us to follow.” This missing information could include the emergence of new variants.
The asymptomatic breakthrough cases are the most worrisome group,” Dr. Emanuel said. “You get infected, you’re feeling fine. Maybe you’ve got a little sneeze or cough, but nothing unusual. And then you’re still able to transmit the Delta variant.”
The big picture
The upsurge in cases, hospitalizations, and deaths is a major challenge, Dr. Emanuel said. “We need to address that by getting many more people vaccinated right now with what are very good vaccines.”
“But it also means that we have to stop being U.S. focused alone.” He pointed out that Delta and other variants originated overseas, “so getting the world vaccinated ... has to be a top priority.”
“We are obviously all facing a challenge as we move into the fall,” Dr. Emanuel said. “With schools opening and employers bringing their employees back together, even if these groups are vaccinated, there are going to be major challenges for all of us.”
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
Because the Delta variant of SARS-CoV-2 spreads more easily than the original virus, the proportion of the population that needs to be vaccinated to reach herd immunity could be upward of 80% or more, experts say.
Also, it could be time to consider wearing an N95 mask in public indoor spaces regardless of vaccination status, according to a media briefing on Aug. 3 sponsored by the Infectious Diseases Society of America.
Furthermore, giving booster shots to the fully vaccinated is not the top public health priority now. Instead, third vaccinations should be reserved for more vulnerable populations – and efforts should focus on getting first vaccinations to unvaccinated people in the United States and around the world.
“The problem here is that the Delta variant is ... more transmissible than the original virus. That pushes the overall population herd immunity threshold much higher,” Ricardo Franco, MD, assistant professor of medicine at the University of Alabama at Birmingham, said during the briefing.
“For Delta, those threshold estimates go well over 80% and may be approaching 90%,” he said.
To put that figure in context, the original SARS-CoV-2 virus required an estimated 67% of the population to be vaccinated to achieve herd immunity. Also, measles has one of the highest herd immunity thresholds at 95%, Dr. Franco added.
Herd immunity is the point at which enough people are immunized that the entire population gains protection. And it’s already happening. “Unvaccinated people are actually benefiting from greater herd immunity protection in high-vaccination counties compared to low-vaccination ones,” he said.
Maximize mask protection
Unlike early in the COVID-19 pandemic with widespread shortages of personal protective equipment, face masks are now readily available. This includes N95 masks, which offer enhanced protection against SARS-CoV-2, Ezekiel J. Emanuel, MD, PhD, said during the briefing.
Following the July 27 CDC recommendation that most Americans wear masks indoors when in public places, “I do think we need to upgrade our masks,” said Dr. Emanuel, who is Diane v.S. Levy & Robert M. Levy professor at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia.
“It’s not just any mask,” he added. “Good masks make a big difference and are very important.”
Mask protection is about blocking 0.3-mcm particles, “and I think we need to make sure that people have masks that can filter that out,” he said. Although surgical masks are very good, he added, “they’re not quite as good as N95s.” As their name implies, N95s filter out 95% of these particles.
Dr. Emanuel acknowledged that people are tired of COVID-19 and complying with public health measures but urged perseverance. “We’ve sacrificed a lot. We should not throw it away in just a few months because we are tired. We’re all tired, but we do have to do the little bit extra getting vaccinated, wearing masks indoors, and protecting ourselves, our families, and our communities.”
Dealing with a disconnect
In response to a reporter’s question about the possibility that the large crowd at the Lollapalooza music festival in Chicago could become a superspreader event, Dr. Emanuel said, “it is worrisome.”
“I would say that, if you’re going to go to a gathering like that, wearing an N95 mask is wise, and not spending too long at any one place is also wise,” he said.
On the plus side, the event was held outdoors with lots of air circulation, Dr. Emanuel said.
However, “this is the kind of thing where we’ve got a sort of disconnect between people’s desire to get back to normal ... and the fact that we’re in the middle of this upsurge.”
Another potential problem is the event brought people together from many different locations, so when they travel home, they could be “potentially seeding lots of other communities.”
Boosters for some, for now
Even though not officially recommended, some fully vaccinated Americans are seeking a third or booster vaccination on their own.
Asked for his opinion, Dr. Emanuel said: “We’re probably going to have to be giving boosters to immunocompromised people and people who are susceptible. That’s where we are going to start.”
More research is needed regarding booster shots, he said. “There are very small studies – and the ‘very small’ should be emphasized – given that we’ve given shots to over 160 million people.”
“But it does appear that the boosters increase the antibodies and protection,” he said.
Instead of boosters, it is more important for people who haven’t been vaccinated to get fully vaccinated.
“We need to put our priorities in the right places,” he said.
Emanuel noted that, except for people in rural areas that might have to travel long distances, access to vaccines is no longer an issue. “It’s very hard not to find a vaccine if you want it.”
A remaining hurdle is “battling a major disinformation initiative. I don’t think this is misinformation. I think there’s very clear evidence that it is disinformation – false facts about the vaccines being spread,” Dr. Emanuel said.
The breakthrough infection dilemma
Breakthrough cases “remain the vast minority of infections at this time ... that is reassuring,” Dr. Franco said.
Also, tracking symptomatic breakthrough infections remains easier than studying fully vaccinated people who become infected with SARS-CoV-2 but remain symptom free.
“We really don’t have a good handle on the frequency of asymptomatic cases,” Dr. Emanuel said. “If you’re missing breakthrough infections, a lot of them, you may be missing some [virus] evolution that would be very important for us to follow.” This missing information could include the emergence of new variants.
The asymptomatic breakthrough cases are the most worrisome group,” Dr. Emanuel said. “You get infected, you’re feeling fine. Maybe you’ve got a little sneeze or cough, but nothing unusual. And then you’re still able to transmit the Delta variant.”
The big picture
The upsurge in cases, hospitalizations, and deaths is a major challenge, Dr. Emanuel said. “We need to address that by getting many more people vaccinated right now with what are very good vaccines.”
“But it also means that we have to stop being U.S. focused alone.” He pointed out that Delta and other variants originated overseas, “so getting the world vaccinated ... has to be a top priority.”
“We are obviously all facing a challenge as we move into the fall,” Dr. Emanuel said. “With schools opening and employers bringing their employees back together, even if these groups are vaccinated, there are going to be major challenges for all of us.”
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
Because the Delta variant of SARS-CoV-2 spreads more easily than the original virus, the proportion of the population that needs to be vaccinated to reach herd immunity could be upward of 80% or more, experts say.
Also, it could be time to consider wearing an N95 mask in public indoor spaces regardless of vaccination status, according to a media briefing on Aug. 3 sponsored by the Infectious Diseases Society of America.
Furthermore, giving booster shots to the fully vaccinated is not the top public health priority now. Instead, third vaccinations should be reserved for more vulnerable populations – and efforts should focus on getting first vaccinations to unvaccinated people in the United States and around the world.
“The problem here is that the Delta variant is ... more transmissible than the original virus. That pushes the overall population herd immunity threshold much higher,” Ricardo Franco, MD, assistant professor of medicine at the University of Alabama at Birmingham, said during the briefing.
“For Delta, those threshold estimates go well over 80% and may be approaching 90%,” he said.
To put that figure in context, the original SARS-CoV-2 virus required an estimated 67% of the population to be vaccinated to achieve herd immunity. Also, measles has one of the highest herd immunity thresholds at 95%, Dr. Franco added.
Herd immunity is the point at which enough people are immunized that the entire population gains protection. And it’s already happening. “Unvaccinated people are actually benefiting from greater herd immunity protection in high-vaccination counties compared to low-vaccination ones,” he said.
Maximize mask protection
Unlike early in the COVID-19 pandemic with widespread shortages of personal protective equipment, face masks are now readily available. This includes N95 masks, which offer enhanced protection against SARS-CoV-2, Ezekiel J. Emanuel, MD, PhD, said during the briefing.
Following the July 27 CDC recommendation that most Americans wear masks indoors when in public places, “I do think we need to upgrade our masks,” said Dr. Emanuel, who is Diane v.S. Levy & Robert M. Levy professor at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia.
“It’s not just any mask,” he added. “Good masks make a big difference and are very important.”
Mask protection is about blocking 0.3-mcm particles, “and I think we need to make sure that people have masks that can filter that out,” he said. Although surgical masks are very good, he added, “they’re not quite as good as N95s.” As their name implies, N95s filter out 95% of these particles.
Dr. Emanuel acknowledged that people are tired of COVID-19 and complying with public health measures but urged perseverance. “We’ve sacrificed a lot. We should not throw it away in just a few months because we are tired. We’re all tired, but we do have to do the little bit extra getting vaccinated, wearing masks indoors, and protecting ourselves, our families, and our communities.”
Dealing with a disconnect
In response to a reporter’s question about the possibility that the large crowd at the Lollapalooza music festival in Chicago could become a superspreader event, Dr. Emanuel said, “it is worrisome.”
“I would say that, if you’re going to go to a gathering like that, wearing an N95 mask is wise, and not spending too long at any one place is also wise,” he said.
On the plus side, the event was held outdoors with lots of air circulation, Dr. Emanuel said.
However, “this is the kind of thing where we’ve got a sort of disconnect between people’s desire to get back to normal ... and the fact that we’re in the middle of this upsurge.”
Another potential problem is the event brought people together from many different locations, so when they travel home, they could be “potentially seeding lots of other communities.”
Boosters for some, for now
Even though not officially recommended, some fully vaccinated Americans are seeking a third or booster vaccination on their own.
Asked for his opinion, Dr. Emanuel said: “We’re probably going to have to be giving boosters to immunocompromised people and people who are susceptible. That’s where we are going to start.”
More research is needed regarding booster shots, he said. “There are very small studies – and the ‘very small’ should be emphasized – given that we’ve given shots to over 160 million people.”
“But it does appear that the boosters increase the antibodies and protection,” he said.
Instead of boosters, it is more important for people who haven’t been vaccinated to get fully vaccinated.
“We need to put our priorities in the right places,” he said.
Emanuel noted that, except for people in rural areas that might have to travel long distances, access to vaccines is no longer an issue. “It’s very hard not to find a vaccine if you want it.”
A remaining hurdle is “battling a major disinformation initiative. I don’t think this is misinformation. I think there’s very clear evidence that it is disinformation – false facts about the vaccines being spread,” Dr. Emanuel said.
The breakthrough infection dilemma
Breakthrough cases “remain the vast minority of infections at this time ... that is reassuring,” Dr. Franco said.
Also, tracking symptomatic breakthrough infections remains easier than studying fully vaccinated people who become infected with SARS-CoV-2 but remain symptom free.
“We really don’t have a good handle on the frequency of asymptomatic cases,” Dr. Emanuel said. “If you’re missing breakthrough infections, a lot of them, you may be missing some [virus] evolution that would be very important for us to follow.” This missing information could include the emergence of new variants.
The asymptomatic breakthrough cases are the most worrisome group,” Dr. Emanuel said. “You get infected, you’re feeling fine. Maybe you’ve got a little sneeze or cough, but nothing unusual. And then you’re still able to transmit the Delta variant.”
The big picture
The upsurge in cases, hospitalizations, and deaths is a major challenge, Dr. Emanuel said. “We need to address that by getting many more people vaccinated right now with what are very good vaccines.”
“But it also means that we have to stop being U.S. focused alone.” He pointed out that Delta and other variants originated overseas, “so getting the world vaccinated ... has to be a top priority.”
“We are obviously all facing a challenge as we move into the fall,” Dr. Emanuel said. “With schools opening and employers bringing their employees back together, even if these groups are vaccinated, there are going to be major challenges for all of us.”
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
Low-dose aspirin linked to lower dementia risk in some
, according to a retrospective analysis of two large cohorts. The association with all-cause dementia was weak, but much more pronounced in subjects with coronary heart disease.
The results underscore that individuals with cardiovascular disease risk factors should be prescribed LDASA, and they should be encouraged to be compliant. The study differed from previous observational and randomized, controlled trials, which yielded mixed results. Many looked at individuals older than age 65. The pathological changes associated with dementia may occur up to 2 decades before symptom onset, and it appears that LDASA cannot counter cognitive decline after a diagnosis is made. “The use of LDASA at this age may be already too late,” said Thi Ngoc Mai Nguyen, a PhD student at Network Aging Research, Heidelberg University, Germany. She presented the results at the 2021 Alzheimer’s Association International Conference.
Previous studies also included individuals using LDASA to prevent cardiovascular disease, and they didn’t always adjust for these risk factors. The current work used two large databases, UK Biobank and ESTHER, with a follow-up time of over 10 years for both. “We were able to balance out the distribution of measured baseline covariates (to be) similar between LDASA users and nonusers, and thus, we were able to adjust for confounders more comprehensively,” said Ms. Nguyen.
Not yet a definitive answer
Although the findings are promising, Ms. Nguyen noted that the study is not the final word. “Residual confounding is possible, and causation cannot be tested. The only way to answer this is to have clinical trials with at least 10 years of follow-up,” said Ms. Nguyen. She plans to conduct similar studies in non-White populations, and also to examine whether LDASA can help preserve cognitive function in middle-age adults.
The study is interesting, said Claire Sexton, DPhil, who was asked to comment, but she suggested that it is not practice changing. “There is not evidence from the dementia science perspective that should go against whatever the recommendations are for cardiovascular risk,” said Dr. Sexton, director of scientific programs and outreach at the Alzheimer’s Association. “I don’t think this study alone can provide a definitive answer on low-dose aspirin and its association with dementia and Alzheimer’s disease, but it’s an important addition to the literature,” she added.
Meta-analysis data
The researchers examined two prospective cohort studies, and combined them into a meta-analysis. It included the ESTHER cohort from Saarland, Germany, with 5,258 individuals and 14.3 years of follow-up, and the UK Biobank cohort, with 305,394 individuals and 11.6 years of follow-up. Subjects selected for analysis were 55 years old or older.
The meta-analysis showed no significant association between LDASA use and reduced risk of Alzheimer’s disease, but there was an association between LDASA use and all-cause dementia (hazard ratio [HR], 0.96; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.93-0.99).
There were no sex differences with respect to Alzheimer’s dementia, but in males, LDASA was associated with lower risk of vascular dementia (HR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.79-0.93) and all-cause dementia (HR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.83-0.92). However, in females, LDASA was tied to greater risk of both vascular dementia (HR, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.02-1.24) and all-cause dementia (HR, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.02-1.13).
The strongest association between LDASA and reduced dementia risk was found in subjects with coronary heart disease (HR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.59-0.80).
The researchers also used UK Biobank primary care data to analyze associations between longer use of LDASA and reduced dementia risk. Those who used LDASA for 0-5 years were at a higher than average risk of all-cause dementia (HR, 2.80; 95% CI, 2.48-3.16), Alzheimer’s disease (HR, 2.26; 95% CI, 1.84-2.77), and vascular dementia (HR, 3.79; 95% CI, 3.17-4.53). Long-term LDASA users, defined as 10 years or longer, had a lower risk of all-cause dementia (HR, 0.51; 95% CI, 0.47-0.56), Alzheimer’s disease (HR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.51-0.68), and vascular dementia (HR, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.42-0.56).
Dr. Nguyen and Dr. Sexton have no relevant financial disclosures.
, according to a retrospective analysis of two large cohorts. The association with all-cause dementia was weak, but much more pronounced in subjects with coronary heart disease.
The results underscore that individuals with cardiovascular disease risk factors should be prescribed LDASA, and they should be encouraged to be compliant. The study differed from previous observational and randomized, controlled trials, which yielded mixed results. Many looked at individuals older than age 65. The pathological changes associated with dementia may occur up to 2 decades before symptom onset, and it appears that LDASA cannot counter cognitive decline after a diagnosis is made. “The use of LDASA at this age may be already too late,” said Thi Ngoc Mai Nguyen, a PhD student at Network Aging Research, Heidelberg University, Germany. She presented the results at the 2021 Alzheimer’s Association International Conference.
Previous studies also included individuals using LDASA to prevent cardiovascular disease, and they didn’t always adjust for these risk factors. The current work used two large databases, UK Biobank and ESTHER, with a follow-up time of over 10 years for both. “We were able to balance out the distribution of measured baseline covariates (to be) similar between LDASA users and nonusers, and thus, we were able to adjust for confounders more comprehensively,” said Ms. Nguyen.
Not yet a definitive answer
Although the findings are promising, Ms. Nguyen noted that the study is not the final word. “Residual confounding is possible, and causation cannot be tested. The only way to answer this is to have clinical trials with at least 10 years of follow-up,” said Ms. Nguyen. She plans to conduct similar studies in non-White populations, and also to examine whether LDASA can help preserve cognitive function in middle-age adults.
The study is interesting, said Claire Sexton, DPhil, who was asked to comment, but she suggested that it is not practice changing. “There is not evidence from the dementia science perspective that should go against whatever the recommendations are for cardiovascular risk,” said Dr. Sexton, director of scientific programs and outreach at the Alzheimer’s Association. “I don’t think this study alone can provide a definitive answer on low-dose aspirin and its association with dementia and Alzheimer’s disease, but it’s an important addition to the literature,” she added.
Meta-analysis data
The researchers examined two prospective cohort studies, and combined them into a meta-analysis. It included the ESTHER cohort from Saarland, Germany, with 5,258 individuals and 14.3 years of follow-up, and the UK Biobank cohort, with 305,394 individuals and 11.6 years of follow-up. Subjects selected for analysis were 55 years old or older.
The meta-analysis showed no significant association between LDASA use and reduced risk of Alzheimer’s disease, but there was an association between LDASA use and all-cause dementia (hazard ratio [HR], 0.96; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.93-0.99).
There were no sex differences with respect to Alzheimer’s dementia, but in males, LDASA was associated with lower risk of vascular dementia (HR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.79-0.93) and all-cause dementia (HR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.83-0.92). However, in females, LDASA was tied to greater risk of both vascular dementia (HR, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.02-1.24) and all-cause dementia (HR, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.02-1.13).
The strongest association between LDASA and reduced dementia risk was found in subjects with coronary heart disease (HR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.59-0.80).
The researchers also used UK Biobank primary care data to analyze associations between longer use of LDASA and reduced dementia risk. Those who used LDASA for 0-5 years were at a higher than average risk of all-cause dementia (HR, 2.80; 95% CI, 2.48-3.16), Alzheimer’s disease (HR, 2.26; 95% CI, 1.84-2.77), and vascular dementia (HR, 3.79; 95% CI, 3.17-4.53). Long-term LDASA users, defined as 10 years or longer, had a lower risk of all-cause dementia (HR, 0.51; 95% CI, 0.47-0.56), Alzheimer’s disease (HR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.51-0.68), and vascular dementia (HR, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.42-0.56).
Dr. Nguyen and Dr. Sexton have no relevant financial disclosures.
, according to a retrospective analysis of two large cohorts. The association with all-cause dementia was weak, but much more pronounced in subjects with coronary heart disease.
The results underscore that individuals with cardiovascular disease risk factors should be prescribed LDASA, and they should be encouraged to be compliant. The study differed from previous observational and randomized, controlled trials, which yielded mixed results. Many looked at individuals older than age 65. The pathological changes associated with dementia may occur up to 2 decades before symptom onset, and it appears that LDASA cannot counter cognitive decline after a diagnosis is made. “The use of LDASA at this age may be already too late,” said Thi Ngoc Mai Nguyen, a PhD student at Network Aging Research, Heidelberg University, Germany. She presented the results at the 2021 Alzheimer’s Association International Conference.
Previous studies also included individuals using LDASA to prevent cardiovascular disease, and they didn’t always adjust for these risk factors. The current work used two large databases, UK Biobank and ESTHER, with a follow-up time of over 10 years for both. “We were able to balance out the distribution of measured baseline covariates (to be) similar between LDASA users and nonusers, and thus, we were able to adjust for confounders more comprehensively,” said Ms. Nguyen.
Not yet a definitive answer
Although the findings are promising, Ms. Nguyen noted that the study is not the final word. “Residual confounding is possible, and causation cannot be tested. The only way to answer this is to have clinical trials with at least 10 years of follow-up,” said Ms. Nguyen. She plans to conduct similar studies in non-White populations, and also to examine whether LDASA can help preserve cognitive function in middle-age adults.
The study is interesting, said Claire Sexton, DPhil, who was asked to comment, but she suggested that it is not practice changing. “There is not evidence from the dementia science perspective that should go against whatever the recommendations are for cardiovascular risk,” said Dr. Sexton, director of scientific programs and outreach at the Alzheimer’s Association. “I don’t think this study alone can provide a definitive answer on low-dose aspirin and its association with dementia and Alzheimer’s disease, but it’s an important addition to the literature,” she added.
Meta-analysis data
The researchers examined two prospective cohort studies, and combined them into a meta-analysis. It included the ESTHER cohort from Saarland, Germany, with 5,258 individuals and 14.3 years of follow-up, and the UK Biobank cohort, with 305,394 individuals and 11.6 years of follow-up. Subjects selected for analysis were 55 years old or older.
The meta-analysis showed no significant association between LDASA use and reduced risk of Alzheimer’s disease, but there was an association between LDASA use and all-cause dementia (hazard ratio [HR], 0.96; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.93-0.99).
There were no sex differences with respect to Alzheimer’s dementia, but in males, LDASA was associated with lower risk of vascular dementia (HR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.79-0.93) and all-cause dementia (HR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.83-0.92). However, in females, LDASA was tied to greater risk of both vascular dementia (HR, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.02-1.24) and all-cause dementia (HR, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.02-1.13).
The strongest association between LDASA and reduced dementia risk was found in subjects with coronary heart disease (HR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.59-0.80).
The researchers also used UK Biobank primary care data to analyze associations between longer use of LDASA and reduced dementia risk. Those who used LDASA for 0-5 years were at a higher than average risk of all-cause dementia (HR, 2.80; 95% CI, 2.48-3.16), Alzheimer’s disease (HR, 2.26; 95% CI, 1.84-2.77), and vascular dementia (HR, 3.79; 95% CI, 3.17-4.53). Long-term LDASA users, defined as 10 years or longer, had a lower risk of all-cause dementia (HR, 0.51; 95% CI, 0.47-0.56), Alzheimer’s disease (HR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.51-0.68), and vascular dementia (HR, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.42-0.56).
Dr. Nguyen and Dr. Sexton have no relevant financial disclosures.
FROM AAIC 2021
COVID-19: Delta variant is raising the stakes
Empathetic conversations with unvaccinated people desperately needed
Like many colleagues, I have been working to change the minds and behaviors of acquaintances and patients who are opting to forgo a COVID vaccine. The large numbers of these unvaccinated Americans, combined with the surging Delta coronavirus variant, are endangering the health of us all.
When I spoke with the 22-year-old daughter of a family friend about what was holding her back, she told me that she would “never” get vaccinated. I shared my vaccination experience and told her that, except for a sore arm both times for a day, I felt no side effects. Likewise, I said, all of my adult family members are vaccinated, and everyone is fine. She was neither moved nor convinced.
Finally, I asked her whether she attended school (knowing that she was a college graduate), and she said “yes.” So I told her that all 50 states require children attending public schools to be vaccinated for diseases such as diphtheria, tetanus, polio, and the chickenpox – with certain religious, philosophical, and medical exemptions. Her response was simple: “I didn’t know that. Anyway, my parents were in charge.” Suddenly, her thinking shifted. “You’re right,” she said. She got a COVID shot the next day. Success for me.
When I asked another acquaintance whether he’d been vaccinated, he said he’d heard people were getting very sick from the vaccine – and was going to wait. Another gentleman I spoke with said that, at age 45, he was healthy. Besides, he added, he “doesn’t get sick.” When I asked another acquaintance about her vaccination status, her retort was that this was none of my business. So far, I’m batting about .300.
But as a physician, I believe that we – and other health care providers – must continue to encourage the people in our lives to care for themselves and others by getting vaccinated. One concrete step advised by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is to help people make an appointment for a shot. Some sites no longer require appointments, and New York City, for example, offers in-home vaccinations to all NYC residents.
Also, NYC Mayor Bill de Blasio announced Aug. 3 the “Key to NYC Pass,” which he called a “first-in-the-nation approach” to vaccination. Under this new policy, vaccine-eligible people aged 12 and older in New York City will need to prove with a vaccination card, an app, or an Excelsior Pass that they have received at least one dose of vaccine before participating in indoor venues such as restaurants, bars, gyms, and movie theaters within the city. Mayor de Blasio said the new initiative, which is still being finalized, will be phased in starting the week of Aug. 16. I see this as a major public health measure that will keep people healthy – and get them vaccinated.
The medical community should support this move by the city of New York and encourage people to follow CDC guidance on wearing face coverings in public settings, especially schools. New research shows that physicians continue to be among the most trusted sources of vaccine-related information.
Another strategy we might use is to point to the longtime practices of surgeons. We could ask: Why do surgeons wear face masks in the operating room? For years, these coverings have been used to protect patients from the nasal and oral bacteria generated by operating room staff. Likewise, we can tell those who remain on the fence that, by wearing face masks, we are protecting others from all variants, but specifically from Delta – which the CDC now says can be transmitted by people who are fully vaccinated.
Why did the CDC lift face mask guidance for fully vaccinated people in indoor spaces in May? It was clear to me and other colleagues back then that this was not a good idea. Despite that guidance, I continued to wear a mask in public places and advised anyone who would listen to do the same.
The development of vaccines in the 20th and 21st centuries has saved millions of lives. The World Health Organization reports that 4 million to 5 million lives a year are saved by immunizations. In addition, research shows that, before the emergence of SARS-CoV-2, vaccinations led to the eradication of smallpox and polio, and a 74% drop in measles-related deaths between 2004 and 2014.
Protecting the most vulnerable
With COVID cases surging, particularly in parts of the South and Midwest, I am concerned about children under age 12 who do not yet qualify for a vaccine. Certainly, unvaccinated parents could spread the virus to their young children, and unvaccinated children could transmit the illness to immediate and extended family. Now that the CDC has said that there is a risk of SARS-CoV-2 breakthrough infection among fully vaccinated people in areas with high community transmission, should we worry about unvaccinated young children with vaccinated parents? I recently spoke with James C. Fagin, MD, a board-certified pediatrician and immunologist, to get his views on this issue.
Dr. Fagin, who is retired, said he is in complete agreement with the Food and Drug Administration when it comes to approving medications for children. However, given the seriousness of the pandemic and the need to get our children back to in-person learning, he would like to see the approval process safely expedited. Large numbers of unvaccinated people increase the pool for the Delta variant and could increase the likelihood of a new variant that is more resistant to the vaccines, said Dr. Fagin, former chief of academic pediatrics at North Shore University Hospital and a former faculty member in the allergy/immunology division of Cohen Children’s Medical Center, both in New York.
Meanwhile, I agree with the American Academy of Pediatrics’ recommendations that children, teachers, and school staff and other adults in school settings should wear masks regardless of vaccination status. Kids adjust well to masks – as my grandchildren and their friends have.
The bottom line is that we need to get as many people as possible vaccinated as soon as possible, and while doing so, we must continue to wear face coverings in public spaces. As clinicians, we have a special responsibility to do all that we can to change minds – and behaviors.
Dr. London is a practicing psychiatrist who has been a newspaper columnist for 35 years, specializing in and writing about short-term therapy, including cognitive-behavioral therapy and guided imagery. He is author of “Find Freedom Fast” (New York: Kettlehole Publishing, 2019). He has no conflicts of interest.
Empathetic conversations with unvaccinated people desperately needed
Empathetic conversations with unvaccinated people desperately needed
Like many colleagues, I have been working to change the minds and behaviors of acquaintances and patients who are opting to forgo a COVID vaccine. The large numbers of these unvaccinated Americans, combined with the surging Delta coronavirus variant, are endangering the health of us all.
When I spoke with the 22-year-old daughter of a family friend about what was holding her back, she told me that she would “never” get vaccinated. I shared my vaccination experience and told her that, except for a sore arm both times for a day, I felt no side effects. Likewise, I said, all of my adult family members are vaccinated, and everyone is fine. She was neither moved nor convinced.
Finally, I asked her whether she attended school (knowing that she was a college graduate), and she said “yes.” So I told her that all 50 states require children attending public schools to be vaccinated for diseases such as diphtheria, tetanus, polio, and the chickenpox – with certain religious, philosophical, and medical exemptions. Her response was simple: “I didn’t know that. Anyway, my parents were in charge.” Suddenly, her thinking shifted. “You’re right,” she said. She got a COVID shot the next day. Success for me.
When I asked another acquaintance whether he’d been vaccinated, he said he’d heard people were getting very sick from the vaccine – and was going to wait. Another gentleman I spoke with said that, at age 45, he was healthy. Besides, he added, he “doesn’t get sick.” When I asked another acquaintance about her vaccination status, her retort was that this was none of my business. So far, I’m batting about .300.
But as a physician, I believe that we – and other health care providers – must continue to encourage the people in our lives to care for themselves and others by getting vaccinated. One concrete step advised by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is to help people make an appointment for a shot. Some sites no longer require appointments, and New York City, for example, offers in-home vaccinations to all NYC residents.
Also, NYC Mayor Bill de Blasio announced Aug. 3 the “Key to NYC Pass,” which he called a “first-in-the-nation approach” to vaccination. Under this new policy, vaccine-eligible people aged 12 and older in New York City will need to prove with a vaccination card, an app, or an Excelsior Pass that they have received at least one dose of vaccine before participating in indoor venues such as restaurants, bars, gyms, and movie theaters within the city. Mayor de Blasio said the new initiative, which is still being finalized, will be phased in starting the week of Aug. 16. I see this as a major public health measure that will keep people healthy – and get them vaccinated.
The medical community should support this move by the city of New York and encourage people to follow CDC guidance on wearing face coverings in public settings, especially schools. New research shows that physicians continue to be among the most trusted sources of vaccine-related information.
Another strategy we might use is to point to the longtime practices of surgeons. We could ask: Why do surgeons wear face masks in the operating room? For years, these coverings have been used to protect patients from the nasal and oral bacteria generated by operating room staff. Likewise, we can tell those who remain on the fence that, by wearing face masks, we are protecting others from all variants, but specifically from Delta – which the CDC now says can be transmitted by people who are fully vaccinated.
Why did the CDC lift face mask guidance for fully vaccinated people in indoor spaces in May? It was clear to me and other colleagues back then that this was not a good idea. Despite that guidance, I continued to wear a mask in public places and advised anyone who would listen to do the same.
The development of vaccines in the 20th and 21st centuries has saved millions of lives. The World Health Organization reports that 4 million to 5 million lives a year are saved by immunizations. In addition, research shows that, before the emergence of SARS-CoV-2, vaccinations led to the eradication of smallpox and polio, and a 74% drop in measles-related deaths between 2004 and 2014.
Protecting the most vulnerable
With COVID cases surging, particularly in parts of the South and Midwest, I am concerned about children under age 12 who do not yet qualify for a vaccine. Certainly, unvaccinated parents could spread the virus to their young children, and unvaccinated children could transmit the illness to immediate and extended family. Now that the CDC has said that there is a risk of SARS-CoV-2 breakthrough infection among fully vaccinated people in areas with high community transmission, should we worry about unvaccinated young children with vaccinated parents? I recently spoke with James C. Fagin, MD, a board-certified pediatrician and immunologist, to get his views on this issue.
Dr. Fagin, who is retired, said he is in complete agreement with the Food and Drug Administration when it comes to approving medications for children. However, given the seriousness of the pandemic and the need to get our children back to in-person learning, he would like to see the approval process safely expedited. Large numbers of unvaccinated people increase the pool for the Delta variant and could increase the likelihood of a new variant that is more resistant to the vaccines, said Dr. Fagin, former chief of academic pediatrics at North Shore University Hospital and a former faculty member in the allergy/immunology division of Cohen Children’s Medical Center, both in New York.
Meanwhile, I agree with the American Academy of Pediatrics’ recommendations that children, teachers, and school staff and other adults in school settings should wear masks regardless of vaccination status. Kids adjust well to masks – as my grandchildren and their friends have.
The bottom line is that we need to get as many people as possible vaccinated as soon as possible, and while doing so, we must continue to wear face coverings in public spaces. As clinicians, we have a special responsibility to do all that we can to change minds – and behaviors.
Dr. London is a practicing psychiatrist who has been a newspaper columnist for 35 years, specializing in and writing about short-term therapy, including cognitive-behavioral therapy and guided imagery. He is author of “Find Freedom Fast” (New York: Kettlehole Publishing, 2019). He has no conflicts of interest.
Like many colleagues, I have been working to change the minds and behaviors of acquaintances and patients who are opting to forgo a COVID vaccine. The large numbers of these unvaccinated Americans, combined with the surging Delta coronavirus variant, are endangering the health of us all.
When I spoke with the 22-year-old daughter of a family friend about what was holding her back, she told me that she would “never” get vaccinated. I shared my vaccination experience and told her that, except for a sore arm both times for a day, I felt no side effects. Likewise, I said, all of my adult family members are vaccinated, and everyone is fine. She was neither moved nor convinced.
Finally, I asked her whether she attended school (knowing that she was a college graduate), and she said “yes.” So I told her that all 50 states require children attending public schools to be vaccinated for diseases such as diphtheria, tetanus, polio, and the chickenpox – with certain religious, philosophical, and medical exemptions. Her response was simple: “I didn’t know that. Anyway, my parents were in charge.” Suddenly, her thinking shifted. “You’re right,” she said. She got a COVID shot the next day. Success for me.
When I asked another acquaintance whether he’d been vaccinated, he said he’d heard people were getting very sick from the vaccine – and was going to wait. Another gentleman I spoke with said that, at age 45, he was healthy. Besides, he added, he “doesn’t get sick.” When I asked another acquaintance about her vaccination status, her retort was that this was none of my business. So far, I’m batting about .300.
But as a physician, I believe that we – and other health care providers – must continue to encourage the people in our lives to care for themselves and others by getting vaccinated. One concrete step advised by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is to help people make an appointment for a shot. Some sites no longer require appointments, and New York City, for example, offers in-home vaccinations to all NYC residents.
Also, NYC Mayor Bill de Blasio announced Aug. 3 the “Key to NYC Pass,” which he called a “first-in-the-nation approach” to vaccination. Under this new policy, vaccine-eligible people aged 12 and older in New York City will need to prove with a vaccination card, an app, or an Excelsior Pass that they have received at least one dose of vaccine before participating in indoor venues such as restaurants, bars, gyms, and movie theaters within the city. Mayor de Blasio said the new initiative, which is still being finalized, will be phased in starting the week of Aug. 16. I see this as a major public health measure that will keep people healthy – and get them vaccinated.
The medical community should support this move by the city of New York and encourage people to follow CDC guidance on wearing face coverings in public settings, especially schools. New research shows that physicians continue to be among the most trusted sources of vaccine-related information.
Another strategy we might use is to point to the longtime practices of surgeons. We could ask: Why do surgeons wear face masks in the operating room? For years, these coverings have been used to protect patients from the nasal and oral bacteria generated by operating room staff. Likewise, we can tell those who remain on the fence that, by wearing face masks, we are protecting others from all variants, but specifically from Delta – which the CDC now says can be transmitted by people who are fully vaccinated.
Why did the CDC lift face mask guidance for fully vaccinated people in indoor spaces in May? It was clear to me and other colleagues back then that this was not a good idea. Despite that guidance, I continued to wear a mask in public places and advised anyone who would listen to do the same.
The development of vaccines in the 20th and 21st centuries has saved millions of lives. The World Health Organization reports that 4 million to 5 million lives a year are saved by immunizations. In addition, research shows that, before the emergence of SARS-CoV-2, vaccinations led to the eradication of smallpox and polio, and a 74% drop in measles-related deaths between 2004 and 2014.
Protecting the most vulnerable
With COVID cases surging, particularly in parts of the South and Midwest, I am concerned about children under age 12 who do not yet qualify for a vaccine. Certainly, unvaccinated parents could spread the virus to their young children, and unvaccinated children could transmit the illness to immediate and extended family. Now that the CDC has said that there is a risk of SARS-CoV-2 breakthrough infection among fully vaccinated people in areas with high community transmission, should we worry about unvaccinated young children with vaccinated parents? I recently spoke with James C. Fagin, MD, a board-certified pediatrician and immunologist, to get his views on this issue.
Dr. Fagin, who is retired, said he is in complete agreement with the Food and Drug Administration when it comes to approving medications for children. However, given the seriousness of the pandemic and the need to get our children back to in-person learning, he would like to see the approval process safely expedited. Large numbers of unvaccinated people increase the pool for the Delta variant and could increase the likelihood of a new variant that is more resistant to the vaccines, said Dr. Fagin, former chief of academic pediatrics at North Shore University Hospital and a former faculty member in the allergy/immunology division of Cohen Children’s Medical Center, both in New York.
Meanwhile, I agree with the American Academy of Pediatrics’ recommendations that children, teachers, and school staff and other adults in school settings should wear masks regardless of vaccination status. Kids adjust well to masks – as my grandchildren and their friends have.
The bottom line is that we need to get as many people as possible vaccinated as soon as possible, and while doing so, we must continue to wear face coverings in public spaces. As clinicians, we have a special responsibility to do all that we can to change minds – and behaviors.
Dr. London is a practicing psychiatrist who has been a newspaper columnist for 35 years, specializing in and writing about short-term therapy, including cognitive-behavioral therapy and guided imagery. He is author of “Find Freedom Fast” (New York: Kettlehole Publishing, 2019). He has no conflicts of interest.