CRA Annual Meeting 2022

Guselkumab (Tremfya) received Food and Drug Administration approval for the treatment of psoriatic arthritis (PsA) almost 2 years ago on the basis of a phase 3 trial, but a new substudy from that trial has now demonstrated long-term benefit in the subgroup of patients who entered the trial with axial involvement, according to data presented at the annual meeting of the Canadian Rheumatology Association.

“The symptom relief was clinically meaningful and durable through week 100,” reported Dafna D. Gladman, MD, professor of medicine and director of the psoriatic arthritis program at the University of Toronto.

In the previously published double-blind, placebo-controlled DISCOVER-2 trial, two dosing regimens of the interleukin-23 (IL-23) inhibitor guselkumab were compared with placebo in biologic-naive patients. The active regimens were similarly effective relative to placebo for the primary endpoint of 20% improvement in American College of Rheumatology response criteria (ACR20) at week 24.

In this new long-term subgroup analysis, outcomes at 2 years were evaluated in the 246 patients with axial involvement (33.3% of the total number of 739 evaluable patients). Baseline characteristics across treatment groups in this subset of the DISCOVER-2 trial were similar.
 

Guselkumab exhibits nearly twofold advantage

At 24 weeks relative to baseline, the improvement on multiple axial involvement outcome measures was approximately twofold greater with active therapy than with placebo. For example, the mean Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Index (BASDAI) score fell 2.6 points in both active treatment arms versus 1.4 on placebo.

The same relative advantage was observed when the BASDAI spinal pain subscore was isolated. There were also comparable responses on a modified BASDAI that excluded the peripheral pain response, and the Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Score (ASDAS).

When evaluated at week 52 and again at week 100, all outcomes employed to evaluate change in axial involvement were sustained. Many were further improved. In patients who initiated therapy on placebo, all of whom were switched to guselkumab at the end of the 24-week double-blind period, at least the same degree of axial symptom control relative to baseline was achieved at both time periods.

Incremental improvement observed over time

“For most measures there was further improvement at 2 years, and there was generally consistent response across patient groups stratified by HLA [human leucocyte antigen] status,” Dr. Gladman reported.

Relative to the 2.6-point reduction in the BASDAI score in the two guselkumab arms at week 24, the reductions reached 3.0, 3.1, and 3.3 at 100 weeks in the every-4-week guselkumab group, every-8-week guselkumab group, and the crossed-over placebo group, respectively. For ASDAS, the reductions at week 24 were 1.4, 1.5, and 0.7 points and reached 1.6, 1.7, and 1.6 points at 100 weeks in the every-4-week, every-8-week, and placebo crossover groups, respectively.

The sustained improvement is consistent with a previous post hoc analysis in which data from the phase 3 DISCOVER-1 trial were pooled with those from DISCOVER-2. This analysis focused on the 312 patients in these studies with axial disease documented by imaging. Again, the study showed improvement at week 24 was sustained at week 52 independent of HLA-B27 status.
 

Need for MRI confirmation seen

The potential problem with this new analysis as well as the previous analysis is the absence of MRI to provide objective evidence of axial involvement, according to Walter P. Maksymowych, MD, professor in the division of rheumatology at the University of Alberta, Edmonton.

Noting that previous studies have indicated that axial involvement assessed by investigators is not reliable even when performed with x-rays, Dr. Maksymowych said these data would be much more reassuring with MRI controls.

“We have seen little correlation between clinical symptoms and MRI manifestations of disease,” he said.

Dr. Gladman conceded this point. Baseline MRI was performed in some of the patients in this subgroup analysis, but it was not mandated. As a result, the data support benefit from guselkumab for symptomatic axial involvement, but she indicated that better evidence of a disease-modifying effect is expected from a more rigorous placebo-controlled trial of guselkumab called STAR.

This trial is requiring MRI at baseline and at week 24 and is using the Spondyloarthritis Research Consortium of Canada (SPARCC) score to assess change. Dr. Gladman said the trial is enrolling “as we speak.”

Overall, Dr. Gladman agreed with Dr. Maksymowych that objective biomarkers are important for demonstrating that treatments are improving long-term outcomes, not just relieving symptoms.

Guselkumab manufacturer Janssen supported the post hoc analysis. Dr. Gladman reported financial relationships with AbbVie, Amgen, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Eli Lilly, Galapagos, Gilead Janssen, Novartis, Pfizer, and UCB. Dr. Maksymowych reported financial relationships with AbbVie, Boehringer Ingelheim, Celgene, Eli Lilly, Galapagos, Gilead, Janssen, Novartis, Pfizer, and UCB.

Guselkumab (Tremfya) received Food and Drug Administration approval for the treatment of psoriatic arthritis (PsA) almost 2 years ago on the basis of a phase 3 trial, but a new substudy from that trial has now demonstrated long-term benefit in the subgroup of patients who entered the trial with axial involvement, according to data presented at the annual meeting of the Canadian Rheumatology Association.

“The symptom relief was clinically meaningful and durable through week 100,” reported Dafna D. Gladman, MD, professor of medicine and director of the psoriatic arthritis program at the University of Toronto.

In the previously published double-blind, placebo-controlled DISCOVER-2 trial, two dosing regimens of the interleukin-23 (IL-23) inhibitor guselkumab were compared with placebo in biologic-naive patients. The active regimens were similarly effective relative to placebo for the primary endpoint of 20% improvement in American College of Rheumatology response criteria (ACR20) at week 24.

In this new long-term subgroup analysis, outcomes at 2 years were evaluated in the 246 patients with axial involvement (33.3% of the total number of 739 evaluable patients). Baseline characteristics across treatment groups in this subset of the DISCOVER-2 trial were similar.
 

Guselkumab exhibits nearly twofold advantage

At 24 weeks relative to baseline, the improvement on multiple axial involvement outcome measures was approximately twofold greater with active therapy than with placebo. For example, the mean Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Index (BASDAI) score fell 2.6 points in both active treatment arms versus 1.4 on placebo.

The same relative advantage was observed when the BASDAI spinal pain subscore was isolated. There were also comparable responses on a modified BASDAI that excluded the peripheral pain response, and the Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Score (ASDAS).

When evaluated at week 52 and again at week 100, all outcomes employed to evaluate change in axial involvement were sustained. Many were further improved. In patients who initiated therapy on placebo, all of whom were switched to guselkumab at the end of the 24-week double-blind period, at least the same degree of axial symptom control relative to baseline was achieved at both time periods.

Incremental improvement observed over time

“For most measures there was further improvement at 2 years, and there was generally consistent response across patient groups stratified by HLA [human leucocyte antigen] status,” Dr. Gladman reported.

Relative to the 2.6-point reduction in the BASDAI score in the two guselkumab arms at week 24, the reductions reached 3.0, 3.1, and 3.3 at 100 weeks in the every-4-week guselkumab group, every-8-week guselkumab group, and the crossed-over placebo group, respectively. For ASDAS, the reductions at week 24 were 1.4, 1.5, and 0.7 points and reached 1.6, 1.7, and 1.6 points at 100 weeks in the every-4-week, every-8-week, and placebo crossover groups, respectively.

The sustained improvement is consistent with a previous post hoc analysis in which data from the phase 3 DISCOVER-1 trial were pooled with those from DISCOVER-2. This analysis focused on the 312 patients in these studies with axial disease documented by imaging. Again, the study showed improvement at week 24 was sustained at week 52 independent of HLA-B27 status.
 

Need for MRI confirmation seen

The potential problem with this new analysis as well as the previous analysis is the absence of MRI to provide objective evidence of axial involvement, according to Walter P. Maksymowych, MD, professor in the division of rheumatology at the University of Alberta, Edmonton.

Noting that previous studies have indicated that axial involvement assessed by investigators is not reliable even when performed with x-rays, Dr. Maksymowych said these data would be much more reassuring with MRI controls.

“We have seen little correlation between clinical symptoms and MRI manifestations of disease,” he said.

Dr. Gladman conceded this point. Baseline MRI was performed in some of the patients in this subgroup analysis, but it was not mandated. As a result, the data support benefit from guselkumab for symptomatic axial involvement, but she indicated that better evidence of a disease-modifying effect is expected from a more rigorous placebo-controlled trial of guselkumab called STAR.

This trial is requiring MRI at baseline and at week 24 and is using the Spondyloarthritis Research Consortium of Canada (SPARCC) score to assess change. Dr. Gladman said the trial is enrolling “as we speak.”

Overall, Dr. Gladman agreed with Dr. Maksymowych that objective biomarkers are important for demonstrating that treatments are improving long-term outcomes, not just relieving symptoms.

Guselkumab manufacturer Janssen supported the post hoc analysis. Dr. Gladman reported financial relationships with AbbVie, Amgen, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Eli Lilly, Galapagos, Gilead Janssen, Novartis, Pfizer, and UCB. Dr. Maksymowych reported financial relationships with AbbVie, Boehringer Ingelheim, Celgene, Eli Lilly, Galapagos, Gilead, Janssen, Novartis, Pfizer, and UCB.

Guselkumab (Tremfya) received Food and Drug Administration approval for the treatment of psoriatic arthritis (PsA) almost 2 years ago on the basis of a phase 3 trial, but a new substudy from that trial has now demonstrated long-term benefit in the subgroup of patients who entered the trial with axial involvement, according to data presented at the annual meeting of the Canadian Rheumatology Association.

“The symptom relief was clinically meaningful and durable through week 100,” reported Dafna D. Gladman, MD, professor of medicine and director of the psoriatic arthritis program at the University of Toronto.

In the previously published double-blind, placebo-controlled DISCOVER-2 trial, two dosing regimens of the interleukin-23 (IL-23) inhibitor guselkumab were compared with placebo in biologic-naive patients. The active regimens were similarly effective relative to placebo for the primary endpoint of 20% improvement in American College of Rheumatology response criteria (ACR20) at week 24.

In this new long-term subgroup analysis, outcomes at 2 years were evaluated in the 246 patients with axial involvement (33.3% of the total number of 739 evaluable patients). Baseline characteristics across treatment groups in this subset of the DISCOVER-2 trial were similar.
 

Guselkumab exhibits nearly twofold advantage

At 24 weeks relative to baseline, the improvement on multiple axial involvement outcome measures was approximately twofold greater with active therapy than with placebo. For example, the mean Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Index (BASDAI) score fell 2.6 points in both active treatment arms versus 1.4 on placebo.

The same relative advantage was observed when the BASDAI spinal pain subscore was isolated. There were also comparable responses on a modified BASDAI that excluded the peripheral pain response, and the Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Score (ASDAS).

When evaluated at week 52 and again at week 100, all outcomes employed to evaluate change in axial involvement were sustained. Many were further improved. In patients who initiated therapy on placebo, all of whom were switched to guselkumab at the end of the 24-week double-blind period, at least the same degree of axial symptom control relative to baseline was achieved at both time periods.

Incremental improvement observed over time

“For most measures there was further improvement at 2 years, and there was generally consistent response across patient groups stratified by HLA [human leucocyte antigen] status,” Dr. Gladman reported.

Relative to the 2.6-point reduction in the BASDAI score in the two guselkumab arms at week 24, the reductions reached 3.0, 3.1, and 3.3 at 100 weeks in the every-4-week guselkumab group, every-8-week guselkumab group, and the crossed-over placebo group, respectively. For ASDAS, the reductions at week 24 were 1.4, 1.5, and 0.7 points and reached 1.6, 1.7, and 1.6 points at 100 weeks in the every-4-week, every-8-week, and placebo crossover groups, respectively.

The sustained improvement is consistent with a previous post hoc analysis in which data from the phase 3 DISCOVER-1 trial were pooled with those from DISCOVER-2. This analysis focused on the 312 patients in these studies with axial disease documented by imaging. Again, the study showed improvement at week 24 was sustained at week 52 independent of HLA-B27 status.
 

Need for MRI confirmation seen

The potential problem with this new analysis as well as the previous analysis is the absence of MRI to provide objective evidence of axial involvement, according to Walter P. Maksymowych, MD, professor in the division of rheumatology at the University of Alberta, Edmonton.

Noting that previous studies have indicated that axial involvement assessed by investigators is not reliable even when performed with x-rays, Dr. Maksymowych said these data would be much more reassuring with MRI controls.

“We have seen little correlation between clinical symptoms and MRI manifestations of disease,” he said.

Dr. Gladman conceded this point. Baseline MRI was performed in some of the patients in this subgroup analysis, but it was not mandated. As a result, the data support benefit from guselkumab for symptomatic axial involvement, but she indicated that better evidence of a disease-modifying effect is expected from a more rigorous placebo-controlled trial of guselkumab called STAR.

This trial is requiring MRI at baseline and at week 24 and is using the Spondyloarthritis Research Consortium of Canada (SPARCC) score to assess change. Dr. Gladman said the trial is enrolling “as we speak.”

Overall, Dr. Gladman agreed with Dr. Maksymowych that objective biomarkers are important for demonstrating that treatments are improving long-term outcomes, not just relieving symptoms.

Guselkumab manufacturer Janssen supported the post hoc analysis. Dr. Gladman reported financial relationships with AbbVie, Amgen, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Eli Lilly, Galapagos, Gilead Janssen, Novartis, Pfizer, and UCB. Dr. Maksymowych reported financial relationships with AbbVie, Boehringer Ingelheim, Celgene, Eli Lilly, Galapagos, Gilead, Janssen, Novartis, Pfizer, and UCB.

Several relatively large real-world analyses of Janus kinase inhibitors (JAKi) in patients with rheumatoid arthritis appear to show that the oral small-molecule drugs are discontinued and retained at rates similar to or better than biologic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (bDMARDs), including tumor necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFi), according to studies presented at the annual meeting of the Canadian Rheumatology Association.

The findings of these studies, although conducted prior to the Food and Drug Administration’s September 2021 announcement of a boxed warning for JAKi, do not lend support to the warning’s message of higher risks of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), blood clots, cancer, and death associated with JAKi.

In one study, discontinuation of JAKi-class drugs was less common than discontinuation of bDMARD-class drugs, including tumor necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFi), according to a multicenter team of investigators led by Janet Pope, MD, a professor in the division of rheumatology at the University of Western Ontario, London.

The greater durability of the JAKi relative to TNFi “seem to be driven by a greater loss of efficacy in bDMARDs over time,” reported Samir Magdy Iskander, a medical student at the university, who presented the data.
 

JAKi rival bDMARDs for long-term retention

In a separate but larger analysis, the retention rates with the JAKi tofacitinib (Xeljanz) and TNFi in two RA registries in Canada were about the same after a mean follow-up of 23.2 months (36.9% vs. 37.5%), but the tofacitinib group was at a relative disadvantage. Relative to the bDMARD group, patients taking JAKi were more likely to have had prior treatment with a bDMARD (66.9% vs. 33.9%), to have a higher median baseline Clinical Disease Activity Index (CDAI) score (22.1 vs. 20.0; P < .05), and to be older (59.5 vs. 57.6 years).

In this study, 1,318 patients with RA enrolled in the Ontario Best Practices Research Initiative (OBRI) or a Quebec cohort called RHUMADATA were evaluated, reported Mohammad Movahedi, MD, PhD, of the Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation at the University of Toronto.

“We have not yet analyzed the reasons for discontinuation, but the data show that retention is about the same, meaning that selection of one agent over the other should be tailored according to patient characteristics,” Dr. Movahedi said.

Reasons for discontinuation were presented in the other observational study, which included 333 adult patients with RA from two centers in Ontario. The discontinuation rate for adverse events was approximately 20% in both groups (HR, 1.0005; P = .98). However, the discontinuation rate for lack of efficacy favored the JAKi, reaching statistical significance.
 

TNFi failure for lack of efficacy is higher

“For lack of efficacy, the discontinuation rate was about 35% lower on the JAKi [HR, 0.6543; P = .029],” Mr. Iskander reported. Relative to those taking a TNFi, those on a JAKi demonstrated “greater durability regardless of gender, age, disease duration, and prior lines of therapy.”

In a population of patients who have not achieved an adequate response to conventional synthetic DMARDs (csDMARDs), which describes the study population from the two Ontario centers, JAKi “may be considered as a preferable method of treatment,” Mr. Iskander said.

Pointing out that many clinicians have interpreted the boxed warning as a relative contraindication for use of JAKi as first-line therapy in patients with an inadequate response to csDMARDs, Marinka Twilt, MD, PhD, the moderator of the scientific session where these data were presented, questioned the conclusion. In the boxed warning, clinicians and patients are advised to consider an increased risk of serious infections, malignancy, and cardiovascular-related mortality in individuals older than 50 years.

In response, Mr. Iskander said that the data were collected and analyzed prior to the change in labeling. He acknowledged that this study was not designed to capture long-term risks, such as cardiovascular disease or malignancy. In this analysis, the safety and tolerability of JAKi and bDMARDs appeared comparable.
 

NEJM published study leading to boxed warning

Just a week prior to the CRA annual meeting, the New England Journal of Medicine published an FDA-mandated postmarketing trial of tofacitinib that was used by the agency to justify the boxed warning for JAKi with indications for artitis and other inflammatory diseases. In that open-label trial, more than 4,000 patients aged 50 years or older with at least one additional cardiovascular risk factor were randomized to 5 mg tofacitinib twice daily, 10 mg tofacitinib twice daily, or a TNFi (adalimumab or etanercept).

The efficacy of the therapies was similar, but tofacitinib failed to meet predefined noninferiority criteria for the co–primary endpoints of MACE or cancer (excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer). For tofacitinib relative to TNFi, the hazard ratio was 1.33 for MACE and 1.48 for cancers. The JAKi was also associated with higher incidences of opportunistic infections.

Mr. Iskander noted that Canadian clinical practice guidelines currently identify JAKi as a reasonable first-line alternative to bDMARDs after inadequate response to csDMARDs. While his data support that position, Dr. Twilt indicated that the benefit-to-risk ratio of JAKi might need recalculation based on the data that led the FDA to issue its boxed warning. She questioned whether the language regarding the relative role of JAKi and bDMARDs will change in coming RA guideline revisions.

Dr. Iskander reported no potential conflicts of interest. Dr. Movahedi did not list any personal conflicts of interest but acknowledged that OBRI received unrestricted grants from a variety of pharmaceutical companies, including those that manufacture bDMARDs and JAKi. Dr. Twilt reported no potential conflicts of interest.

Several relatively large real-world analyses of Janus kinase inhibitors (JAKi) in patients with rheumatoid arthritis appear to show that the oral small-molecule drugs are discontinued and retained at rates similar to or better than biologic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (bDMARDs), including tumor necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFi), according to studies presented at the annual meeting of the Canadian Rheumatology Association.

The findings of these studies, although conducted prior to the Food and Drug Administration’s September 2021 announcement of a boxed warning for JAKi, do not lend support to the warning’s message of higher risks of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), blood clots, cancer, and death associated with JAKi.

In one study, discontinuation of JAKi-class drugs was less common than discontinuation of bDMARD-class drugs, including tumor necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFi), according to a multicenter team of investigators led by Janet Pope, MD, a professor in the division of rheumatology at the University of Western Ontario, London.

The greater durability of the JAKi relative to TNFi “seem to be driven by a greater loss of efficacy in bDMARDs over time,” reported Samir Magdy Iskander, a medical student at the university, who presented the data.
 

JAKi rival bDMARDs for long-term retention

In a separate but larger analysis, the retention rates with the JAKi tofacitinib (Xeljanz) and TNFi in two RA registries in Canada were about the same after a mean follow-up of 23.2 months (36.9% vs. 37.5%), but the tofacitinib group was at a relative disadvantage. Relative to the bDMARD group, patients taking JAKi were more likely to have had prior treatment with a bDMARD (66.9% vs. 33.9%), to have a higher median baseline Clinical Disease Activity Index (CDAI) score (22.1 vs. 20.0; P < .05), and to be older (59.5 vs. 57.6 years).

In this study, 1,318 patients with RA enrolled in the Ontario Best Practices Research Initiative (OBRI) or a Quebec cohort called RHUMADATA were evaluated, reported Mohammad Movahedi, MD, PhD, of the Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation at the University of Toronto.

“We have not yet analyzed the reasons for discontinuation, but the data show that retention is about the same, meaning that selection of one agent over the other should be tailored according to patient characteristics,” Dr. Movahedi said.

Reasons for discontinuation were presented in the other observational study, which included 333 adult patients with RA from two centers in Ontario. The discontinuation rate for adverse events was approximately 20% in both groups (HR, 1.0005; P = .98). However, the discontinuation rate for lack of efficacy favored the JAKi, reaching statistical significance.
 

TNFi failure for lack of efficacy is higher

“For lack of efficacy, the discontinuation rate was about 35% lower on the JAKi [HR, 0.6543; P = .029],” Mr. Iskander reported. Relative to those taking a TNFi, those on a JAKi demonstrated “greater durability regardless of gender, age, disease duration, and prior lines of therapy.”

In a population of patients who have not achieved an adequate response to conventional synthetic DMARDs (csDMARDs), which describes the study population from the two Ontario centers, JAKi “may be considered as a preferable method of treatment,” Mr. Iskander said.

Pointing out that many clinicians have interpreted the boxed warning as a relative contraindication for use of JAKi as first-line therapy in patients with an inadequate response to csDMARDs, Marinka Twilt, MD, PhD, the moderator of the scientific session where these data were presented, questioned the conclusion. In the boxed warning, clinicians and patients are advised to consider an increased risk of serious infections, malignancy, and cardiovascular-related mortality in individuals older than 50 years.

In response, Mr. Iskander said that the data were collected and analyzed prior to the change in labeling. He acknowledged that this study was not designed to capture long-term risks, such as cardiovascular disease or malignancy. In this analysis, the safety and tolerability of JAKi and bDMARDs appeared comparable.
 

NEJM published study leading to boxed warning

Just a week prior to the CRA annual meeting, the New England Journal of Medicine published an FDA-mandated postmarketing trial of tofacitinib that was used by the agency to justify the boxed warning for JAKi with indications for artitis and other inflammatory diseases. In that open-label trial, more than 4,000 patients aged 50 years or older with at least one additional cardiovascular risk factor were randomized to 5 mg tofacitinib twice daily, 10 mg tofacitinib twice daily, or a TNFi (adalimumab or etanercept).

The efficacy of the therapies was similar, but tofacitinib failed to meet predefined noninferiority criteria for the co–primary endpoints of MACE or cancer (excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer). For tofacitinib relative to TNFi, the hazard ratio was 1.33 for MACE and 1.48 for cancers. The JAKi was also associated with higher incidences of opportunistic infections.

Mr. Iskander noted that Canadian clinical practice guidelines currently identify JAKi as a reasonable first-line alternative to bDMARDs after inadequate response to csDMARDs. While his data support that position, Dr. Twilt indicated that the benefit-to-risk ratio of JAKi might need recalculation based on the data that led the FDA to issue its boxed warning. She questioned whether the language regarding the relative role of JAKi and bDMARDs will change in coming RA guideline revisions.

Dr. Iskander reported no potential conflicts of interest. Dr. Movahedi did not list any personal conflicts of interest but acknowledged that OBRI received unrestricted grants from a variety of pharmaceutical companies, including those that manufacture bDMARDs and JAKi. Dr. Twilt reported no potential conflicts of interest.

Several relatively large real-world analyses of Janus kinase inhibitors (JAKi) in patients with rheumatoid arthritis appear to show that the oral small-molecule drugs are discontinued and retained at rates similar to or better than biologic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (bDMARDs), including tumor necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFi), according to studies presented at the annual meeting of the Canadian Rheumatology Association.

The findings of these studies, although conducted prior to the Food and Drug Administration’s September 2021 announcement of a boxed warning for JAKi, do not lend support to the warning’s message of higher risks of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), blood clots, cancer, and death associated with JAKi.

In one study, discontinuation of JAKi-class drugs was less common than discontinuation of bDMARD-class drugs, including tumor necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFi), according to a multicenter team of investigators led by Janet Pope, MD, a professor in the division of rheumatology at the University of Western Ontario, London.

The greater durability of the JAKi relative to TNFi “seem to be driven by a greater loss of efficacy in bDMARDs over time,” reported Samir Magdy Iskander, a medical student at the university, who presented the data.
 

JAKi rival bDMARDs for long-term retention

In a separate but larger analysis, the retention rates with the JAKi tofacitinib (Xeljanz) and TNFi in two RA registries in Canada were about the same after a mean follow-up of 23.2 months (36.9% vs. 37.5%), but the tofacitinib group was at a relative disadvantage. Relative to the bDMARD group, patients taking JAKi were more likely to have had prior treatment with a bDMARD (66.9% vs. 33.9%), to have a higher median baseline Clinical Disease Activity Index (CDAI) score (22.1 vs. 20.0; P < .05), and to be older (59.5 vs. 57.6 years).

In this study, 1,318 patients with RA enrolled in the Ontario Best Practices Research Initiative (OBRI) or a Quebec cohort called RHUMADATA were evaluated, reported Mohammad Movahedi, MD, PhD, of the Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation at the University of Toronto.

“We have not yet analyzed the reasons for discontinuation, but the data show that retention is about the same, meaning that selection of one agent over the other should be tailored according to patient characteristics,” Dr. Movahedi said.

Reasons for discontinuation were presented in the other observational study, which included 333 adult patients with RA from two centers in Ontario. The discontinuation rate for adverse events was approximately 20% in both groups (HR, 1.0005; P = .98). However, the discontinuation rate for lack of efficacy favored the JAKi, reaching statistical significance.
 

TNFi failure for lack of efficacy is higher

“For lack of efficacy, the discontinuation rate was about 35% lower on the JAKi [HR, 0.6543; P = .029],” Mr. Iskander reported. Relative to those taking a TNFi, those on a JAKi demonstrated “greater durability regardless of gender, age, disease duration, and prior lines of therapy.”

In a population of patients who have not achieved an adequate response to conventional synthetic DMARDs (csDMARDs), which describes the study population from the two Ontario centers, JAKi “may be considered as a preferable method of treatment,” Mr. Iskander said.

Pointing out that many clinicians have interpreted the boxed warning as a relative contraindication for use of JAKi as first-line therapy in patients with an inadequate response to csDMARDs, Marinka Twilt, MD, PhD, the moderator of the scientific session where these data were presented, questioned the conclusion. In the boxed warning, clinicians and patients are advised to consider an increased risk of serious infections, malignancy, and cardiovascular-related mortality in individuals older than 50 years.

In response, Mr. Iskander said that the data were collected and analyzed prior to the change in labeling. He acknowledged that this study was not designed to capture long-term risks, such as cardiovascular disease or malignancy. In this analysis, the safety and tolerability of JAKi and bDMARDs appeared comparable.
 

NEJM published study leading to boxed warning

Just a week prior to the CRA annual meeting, the New England Journal of Medicine published an FDA-mandated postmarketing trial of tofacitinib that was used by the agency to justify the boxed warning for JAKi with indications for artitis and other inflammatory diseases. In that open-label trial, more than 4,000 patients aged 50 years or older with at least one additional cardiovascular risk factor were randomized to 5 mg tofacitinib twice daily, 10 mg tofacitinib twice daily, or a TNFi (adalimumab or etanercept).

The efficacy of the therapies was similar, but tofacitinib failed to meet predefined noninferiority criteria for the co–primary endpoints of MACE or cancer (excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer). For tofacitinib relative to TNFi, the hazard ratio was 1.33 for MACE and 1.48 for cancers. The JAKi was also associated with higher incidences of opportunistic infections.

Mr. Iskander noted that Canadian clinical practice guidelines currently identify JAKi as a reasonable first-line alternative to bDMARDs after inadequate response to csDMARDs. While his data support that position, Dr. Twilt indicated that the benefit-to-risk ratio of JAKi might need recalculation based on the data that led the FDA to issue its boxed warning. She questioned whether the language regarding the relative role of JAKi and bDMARDs will change in coming RA guideline revisions.

Dr. Iskander reported no potential conflicts of interest. Dr. Movahedi did not list any personal conflicts of interest but acknowledged that OBRI received unrestricted grants from a variety of pharmaceutical companies, including those that manufacture bDMARDs and JAKi. Dr. Twilt reported no potential conflicts of interest.

Current selection criteria for autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplant (AHSCT) in patients with rapidly progressing systemic sclerosis were validated in a study presented at the annual meeting of the Canadian Rheumatology Association.

The study, which associated AHSCT with improvement in overall survival and an acceptable risk of adverse events, “provides valuable real-world, long-term data pertaining to key clinical outcomes to support the use of AHSCT in patients with rapidly progressing systemic sclerosis,” reported Nancy Maltez, MD, a rheumatologist and clinical investigator who is on the faculty of the University of Ottawa.

Fnaq / Wikimedia Commons / CC BY-SA 4.0

The prospective study enrolled 85 patients in Canada and 41 patients in France with rapidly progressing systemic sclerosis. The patients in both countries were enrolled with the same eligibility criteria for AHSCT, but patients in France underwent AHSCT while the patients in Canada were treated with conventional therapies, such as cyclophosphamide.

On the primary outcome of overall survival, the Kaplan-Meier curve split almost immediately in favor of AHSCT. At 4 years, more than 25% of patients in the conventional therapy group had died versus less than 5% of those who underwent AHSCT. Although the mortality curve did slope downwards in the AHSCT group over the subsequent 6 years of follow-up, it largely paralleled and remained superior to convention therapy.
 

About 50% survival advantage seen for AHSCT

In this nonrandomized study, the statistical survival advantage of AHSCT was not provided, but the survival graph showed about 75% survival at 8 years of follow-up in the AHSCT group, compared with about 50% survival in the conventional-therapy group.

Many of the secondary outcomes, including those evaluating skin involvement, preservation of lung function, and absence of renal complications also favored AHSCT, according to Dr. Maltez.

On the modified Rodnan skin score, a significant difference (P < .001) observed at 12 months was sustained at 36 months, when the score was 4.48 points lower among patients treated with AHSCT. The difference in forced vital capacity (FVC) was about 10% higher (P < .0001) in the AHSCT group.

Over long-term follow-up, the incidence of scleroderma renal crisis per 100 person-years was 6.02 cases in the conventional therapy group versus 0.58 cases (P < .001) in the AHSCT group. There was no significant difference in the proportion of patients in the two groups receiving a pacemaker over the course of follow-up, but the rate of new malignancies per 100 person-years was 3.71 in the conventional care group versus 0.58 (P < .001) in the AHSCT group.

Significant complications attributed to AHSCT were uncommon. This is important, because AHSCT was not uniformly well tolerated in the initial trials. The first of three randomized trials with AHSCT in progressive systemic sclerosis was published more than 10 years ago after a series of promising early phase trials. Each associated AHSCT with benefit, but patient selection appeared to be important.

In the ASSIST trial of 2011, AHSCT was associated with significant reductions in skin involvement and improvements in pulmonary function relative to cyclophosphamide, but enrollment was stopped after only 19 patients, and follow-up extended to only 2 years.

Substantial AHSCT-related mortality in ASTIS

In the second trial, called ASTIS, AHSCT was associated with a higher rate of mortality than cyclophosphamide after 1 year of follow-up, although there was a significantly greater long-term event-free survival for AHSCT when patients were followed out to 4 years. This study reinforced the need for cardiac screening because of because of concern that severe cardiac compromise contributed to the increased risk of AHSCT-related mortality.

The SCOT trial employed a high-intensity myeloablative conditioning regimen and total body irradiation prior to AHSCT. It is not clear that these contributed to improved survival, particularly because of the risk for irradiation to exacerbate complications in the lung and kidney, but AHSCT-related mortality was only 3% at 54 months. Patient enrollment criteria in this trial were also suspected of having played a role in the favorable results.

In the Canadian-French collaborative study, patients were considered eligible for AHSCT if they met the enrollment criteria used in the ASTIS trial, according to Dr. Maltez. She attributed the low rates of early mortality and relative absence of transplant-related death to the lessons learned in the published trials.

Overall, the data support the routine but selective use of AHSCT in rapidly progressing systemic sclerosis, Dr. Maltez concluded.

Maria Carolina Oliveira, MD, of the department of internal medicine at the University of São Paulo, generally agreed. A coauthor of a recent review of AHSCT for systemic sclerosis, Dr. Oliveira emphasized that patient selection is critical.

“AHSCT for systemic sclerosis has very specific inclusion criteria. Indeed, it is indicated for patients with severe and progressive disease but under two specific conditions: severe and progressive diffuse skin involvement and/or progressive interstitial lung disease,” she said in an interview.

Because of the thin line between benefit and risk according to disease subtypes and comorbidities, she said that it is important to be aware of relative contraindications and to recognize the risks of AHSCT.

At this time, and in the absence of better biomarkers to identify those most likely to benefit, “patients with other forms of severe scleroderma, such as those with pulmonary hypertension, scleroderma renal crisis, or severe cardiac involvement, for example, are not eligible,” she said.

Dr. Maltez and Dr. Oliveira reported having no potential conflicts of interest.

Current selection criteria for autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplant (AHSCT) in patients with rapidly progressing systemic sclerosis were validated in a study presented at the annual meeting of the Canadian Rheumatology Association.

The study, which associated AHSCT with improvement in overall survival and an acceptable risk of adverse events, “provides valuable real-world, long-term data pertaining to key clinical outcomes to support the use of AHSCT in patients with rapidly progressing systemic sclerosis,” reported Nancy Maltez, MD, a rheumatologist and clinical investigator who is on the faculty of the University of Ottawa.

Fnaq / Wikimedia Commons / CC BY-SA 4.0

The prospective study enrolled 85 patients in Canada and 41 patients in France with rapidly progressing systemic sclerosis. The patients in both countries were enrolled with the same eligibility criteria for AHSCT, but patients in France underwent AHSCT while the patients in Canada were treated with conventional therapies, such as cyclophosphamide.

On the primary outcome of overall survival, the Kaplan-Meier curve split almost immediately in favor of AHSCT. At 4 years, more than 25% of patients in the conventional therapy group had died versus less than 5% of those who underwent AHSCT. Although the mortality curve did slope downwards in the AHSCT group over the subsequent 6 years of follow-up, it largely paralleled and remained superior to convention therapy.
 

About 50% survival advantage seen for AHSCT

In this nonrandomized study, the statistical survival advantage of AHSCT was not provided, but the survival graph showed about 75% survival at 8 years of follow-up in the AHSCT group, compared with about 50% survival in the conventional-therapy group.

Many of the secondary outcomes, including those evaluating skin involvement, preservation of lung function, and absence of renal complications also favored AHSCT, according to Dr. Maltez.

On the modified Rodnan skin score, a significant difference (P < .001) observed at 12 months was sustained at 36 months, when the score was 4.48 points lower among patients treated with AHSCT. The difference in forced vital capacity (FVC) was about 10% higher (P < .0001) in the AHSCT group.

Over long-term follow-up, the incidence of scleroderma renal crisis per 100 person-years was 6.02 cases in the conventional therapy group versus 0.58 cases (P < .001) in the AHSCT group. There was no significant difference in the proportion of patients in the two groups receiving a pacemaker over the course of follow-up, but the rate of new malignancies per 100 person-years was 3.71 in the conventional care group versus 0.58 (P < .001) in the AHSCT group.

Significant complications attributed to AHSCT were uncommon. This is important, because AHSCT was not uniformly well tolerated in the initial trials. The first of three randomized trials with AHSCT in progressive systemic sclerosis was published more than 10 years ago after a series of promising early phase trials. Each associated AHSCT with benefit, but patient selection appeared to be important.

In the ASSIST trial of 2011, AHSCT was associated with significant reductions in skin involvement and improvements in pulmonary function relative to cyclophosphamide, but enrollment was stopped after only 19 patients, and follow-up extended to only 2 years.

Substantial AHSCT-related mortality in ASTIS

In the second trial, called ASTIS, AHSCT was associated with a higher rate of mortality than cyclophosphamide after 1 year of follow-up, although there was a significantly greater long-term event-free survival for AHSCT when patients were followed out to 4 years. This study reinforced the need for cardiac screening because of because of concern that severe cardiac compromise contributed to the increased risk of AHSCT-related mortality.

The SCOT trial employed a high-intensity myeloablative conditioning regimen and total body irradiation prior to AHSCT. It is not clear that these contributed to improved survival, particularly because of the risk for irradiation to exacerbate complications in the lung and kidney, but AHSCT-related mortality was only 3% at 54 months. Patient enrollment criteria in this trial were also suspected of having played a role in the favorable results.

In the Canadian-French collaborative study, patients were considered eligible for AHSCT if they met the enrollment criteria used in the ASTIS trial, according to Dr. Maltez. She attributed the low rates of early mortality and relative absence of transplant-related death to the lessons learned in the published trials.

Overall, the data support the routine but selective use of AHSCT in rapidly progressing systemic sclerosis, Dr. Maltez concluded.

Maria Carolina Oliveira, MD, of the department of internal medicine at the University of São Paulo, generally agreed. A coauthor of a recent review of AHSCT for systemic sclerosis, Dr. Oliveira emphasized that patient selection is critical.

“AHSCT for systemic sclerosis has very specific inclusion criteria. Indeed, it is indicated for patients with severe and progressive disease but under two specific conditions: severe and progressive diffuse skin involvement and/or progressive interstitial lung disease,” she said in an interview.

Because of the thin line between benefit and risk according to disease subtypes and comorbidities, she said that it is important to be aware of relative contraindications and to recognize the risks of AHSCT.

At this time, and in the absence of better biomarkers to identify those most likely to benefit, “patients with other forms of severe scleroderma, such as those with pulmonary hypertension, scleroderma renal crisis, or severe cardiac involvement, for example, are not eligible,” she said.

Dr. Maltez and Dr. Oliveira reported having no potential conflicts of interest.

Current selection criteria for autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplant (AHSCT) in patients with rapidly progressing systemic sclerosis were validated in a study presented at the annual meeting of the Canadian Rheumatology Association.

The study, which associated AHSCT with improvement in overall survival and an acceptable risk of adverse events, “provides valuable real-world, long-term data pertaining to key clinical outcomes to support the use of AHSCT in patients with rapidly progressing systemic sclerosis,” reported Nancy Maltez, MD, a rheumatologist and clinical investigator who is on the faculty of the University of Ottawa.

Fnaq / Wikimedia Commons / CC BY-SA 4.0

The prospective study enrolled 85 patients in Canada and 41 patients in France with rapidly progressing systemic sclerosis. The patients in both countries were enrolled with the same eligibility criteria for AHSCT, but patients in France underwent AHSCT while the patients in Canada were treated with conventional therapies, such as cyclophosphamide.

On the primary outcome of overall survival, the Kaplan-Meier curve split almost immediately in favor of AHSCT. At 4 years, more than 25% of patients in the conventional therapy group had died versus less than 5% of those who underwent AHSCT. Although the mortality curve did slope downwards in the AHSCT group over the subsequent 6 years of follow-up, it largely paralleled and remained superior to convention therapy.
 

About 50% survival advantage seen for AHSCT

In this nonrandomized study, the statistical survival advantage of AHSCT was not provided, but the survival graph showed about 75% survival at 8 years of follow-up in the AHSCT group, compared with about 50% survival in the conventional-therapy group.

Many of the secondary outcomes, including those evaluating skin involvement, preservation of lung function, and absence of renal complications also favored AHSCT, according to Dr. Maltez.

On the modified Rodnan skin score, a significant difference (P < .001) observed at 12 months was sustained at 36 months, when the score was 4.48 points lower among patients treated with AHSCT. The difference in forced vital capacity (FVC) was about 10% higher (P < .0001) in the AHSCT group.

Over long-term follow-up, the incidence of scleroderma renal crisis per 100 person-years was 6.02 cases in the conventional therapy group versus 0.58 cases (P < .001) in the AHSCT group. There was no significant difference in the proportion of patients in the two groups receiving a pacemaker over the course of follow-up, but the rate of new malignancies per 100 person-years was 3.71 in the conventional care group versus 0.58 (P < .001) in the AHSCT group.

Significant complications attributed to AHSCT were uncommon. This is important, because AHSCT was not uniformly well tolerated in the initial trials. The first of three randomized trials with AHSCT in progressive systemic sclerosis was published more than 10 years ago after a series of promising early phase trials. Each associated AHSCT with benefit, but patient selection appeared to be important.

In the ASSIST trial of 2011, AHSCT was associated with significant reductions in skin involvement and improvements in pulmonary function relative to cyclophosphamide, but enrollment was stopped after only 19 patients, and follow-up extended to only 2 years.

Substantial AHSCT-related mortality in ASTIS

In the second trial, called ASTIS, AHSCT was associated with a higher rate of mortality than cyclophosphamide after 1 year of follow-up, although there was a significantly greater long-term event-free survival for AHSCT when patients were followed out to 4 years. This study reinforced the need for cardiac screening because of because of concern that severe cardiac compromise contributed to the increased risk of AHSCT-related mortality.

The SCOT trial employed a high-intensity myeloablative conditioning regimen and total body irradiation prior to AHSCT. It is not clear that these contributed to improved survival, particularly because of the risk for irradiation to exacerbate complications in the lung and kidney, but AHSCT-related mortality was only 3% at 54 months. Patient enrollment criteria in this trial were also suspected of having played a role in the favorable results.

In the Canadian-French collaborative study, patients were considered eligible for AHSCT if they met the enrollment criteria used in the ASTIS trial, according to Dr. Maltez. She attributed the low rates of early mortality and relative absence of transplant-related death to the lessons learned in the published trials.

Overall, the data support the routine but selective use of AHSCT in rapidly progressing systemic sclerosis, Dr. Maltez concluded.

Maria Carolina Oliveira, MD, of the department of internal medicine at the University of São Paulo, generally agreed. A coauthor of a recent review of AHSCT for systemic sclerosis, Dr. Oliveira emphasized that patient selection is critical.

“AHSCT for systemic sclerosis has very specific inclusion criteria. Indeed, it is indicated for patients with severe and progressive disease but under two specific conditions: severe and progressive diffuse skin involvement and/or progressive interstitial lung disease,” she said in an interview.

Because of the thin line between benefit and risk according to disease subtypes and comorbidities, she said that it is important to be aware of relative contraindications and to recognize the risks of AHSCT.

At this time, and in the absence of better biomarkers to identify those most likely to benefit, “patients with other forms of severe scleroderma, such as those with pulmonary hypertension, scleroderma renal crisis, or severe cardiac involvement, for example, are not eligible,” she said.

Dr. Maltez and Dr. Oliveira reported having no potential conflicts of interest.

Vasculitis of the coronary arteries is a well-recognized acute complication of Kawasaki disease, but the long-term risk of cardiovascular (CV) sequelae does not appear to be clinically meaningful for most patients, according to results from an analysis of data presented at the annual meeting of the Canadian Rheumatology Association.

For patients and parents, these data provide “a message of reassurance,” according to Jennifer J.Y. Lee, MD, a pediatric rheumatologist affiliated with the Hospital for Sick Children, Toronto.

The long-term outcomes were characterized as reassuring even though rates of hypertension, major adverse cardiac events (MACE), and death from CV events were higher in patients with Kawasaki disease relative to controls in a retrospective data-linkage study. In fact, these differences were highly statistically significant, but the absolute differences were extremely small.

For this analysis, the 1,174 patients diagnosed with Kawasaki disease at Dr. Lee’s institution between 1991 and 2008 were compared in a 10:1 ratio to 11,740 controls matched for factors such as age, sex, ethnicity, and geographic region. The median follow-up period was 20 years, and the maximum was 28 years.
 

Adjusted CV risks are significant

In an adjusted Cox proportional hazard ratio model, patients in the Kawasaki group had a more than twofold increase in risk for hypertension (aHR, 2.3; P < .0001) and all-cause mortality (aHR, 2.5; P = .009). They also had more than a 10-fold increase in risk for MACE (aHR, 10.3; P < .0001).

These statistics belie the clinical relevance, according to Dr. Lee. Because of the very low rates of all the measured events in both groups, there was just one more case of hypertension per 1,250 patient-years of follow-up, one more case of MACE per 833 patient-years of follow-up, and one more death for 3,846 patient years of follow-up.

Moreover, when these outcomes were graphed over time, most events occurred during the acute period or in the initial years of follow-up.

“There was not a constant increase in risk of these outcomes over time for patients with Kawasaki disease relative to the controls,” Dr. Lee reported. “The long-term prognosis for Kawasaki patients remains favorable.”

European group reports similar results

Similar results from a single-center experience were published 3 years ago. In that study, 207 Kawasaki patients treated at the University of Lausanne (Switzerland) were followed for 30 years. Complications after the acute phase were characterized as “rare.”

For example, only three patients (1.4%) had a subsequent episode of myocardial ischemia. All three had developed a coronary aneurysm during the acute phase of Kawasaki disease. The authors of that study reported that children who had not received immunoglobulins during the acute phase or who developed Kawasaki disease outside of the usual age range were more likely to have subsequent events, such as disease recurrence.

Other studies of long-term CV outcomes in patients with Kawasaki disease generally show similar data, according to James T. Gaensbauer, MD, a pediatric infectious disease specialist at the Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minn.

“I generally agree with the premise that major complications are rare when you compare a cohort of patients with Kawasaki disease with the general population,” Dr. Gaensbauer said. However, he added, “I do not think you can say no one needs to worry.”
 

Severity of acute disease might matter

During the acute phase of Kawasaki disease, the arterial damage varies. As suggested in the University of Lausanne follow-up, patients with significant coronary aneurysms do appear to be at greater risk of long-term complications. Dr. Gaensbauer cited a statement from the American Heart Association that noted a higher risk of CV sequelae from Kawasaki disease with a greater or more severe coronary aneurysm or in the face of other evidence of damage to the arterial tree.

“The clinical course within the first 2 years of Kawasaki disease appears to be important for risk of CV complications after this time,” Dr. Gaensbauer said.

The absolute risk of CV events in patients with a more complicated acute course of Kawasaki disease remains incompletely understood, but Dr. Gaensbauer said that there are several sets of data, including these new data from the Hospital for Sick Children, that suggest that the overall prognosis is good. However, he cautioned that this reassurance does not necessarily apply to children with a difficult acute course.

According to the 2017 AHA statement on Kawasaki disease, risk stratification based on echocardiography and other measures after the acute phase of Kawasaki disease are reasonable to determine if long-term follow-up is needed. In those without abnormalities, it is reasonable to forgo further cardiology assessment.

Dr. Lee and Dr. Gaensbauer reported having no potential conflicts of interest.

Vasculitis of the coronary arteries is a well-recognized acute complication of Kawasaki disease, but the long-term risk of cardiovascular (CV) sequelae does not appear to be clinically meaningful for most patients, according to results from an analysis of data presented at the annual meeting of the Canadian Rheumatology Association.

For patients and parents, these data provide “a message of reassurance,” according to Jennifer J.Y. Lee, MD, a pediatric rheumatologist affiliated with the Hospital for Sick Children, Toronto.

The long-term outcomes were characterized as reassuring even though rates of hypertension, major adverse cardiac events (MACE), and death from CV events were higher in patients with Kawasaki disease relative to controls in a retrospective data-linkage study. In fact, these differences were highly statistically significant, but the absolute differences were extremely small.

For this analysis, the 1,174 patients diagnosed with Kawasaki disease at Dr. Lee’s institution between 1991 and 2008 were compared in a 10:1 ratio to 11,740 controls matched for factors such as age, sex, ethnicity, and geographic region. The median follow-up period was 20 years, and the maximum was 28 years.
 

Adjusted CV risks are significant

In an adjusted Cox proportional hazard ratio model, patients in the Kawasaki group had a more than twofold increase in risk for hypertension (aHR, 2.3; P < .0001) and all-cause mortality (aHR, 2.5; P = .009). They also had more than a 10-fold increase in risk for MACE (aHR, 10.3; P < .0001).

These statistics belie the clinical relevance, according to Dr. Lee. Because of the very low rates of all the measured events in both groups, there was just one more case of hypertension per 1,250 patient-years of follow-up, one more case of MACE per 833 patient-years of follow-up, and one more death for 3,846 patient years of follow-up.

Moreover, when these outcomes were graphed over time, most events occurred during the acute period or in the initial years of follow-up.

“There was not a constant increase in risk of these outcomes over time for patients with Kawasaki disease relative to the controls,” Dr. Lee reported. “The long-term prognosis for Kawasaki patients remains favorable.”

European group reports similar results

Similar results from a single-center experience were published 3 years ago. In that study, 207 Kawasaki patients treated at the University of Lausanne (Switzerland) were followed for 30 years. Complications after the acute phase were characterized as “rare.”

For example, only three patients (1.4%) had a subsequent episode of myocardial ischemia. All three had developed a coronary aneurysm during the acute phase of Kawasaki disease. The authors of that study reported that children who had not received immunoglobulins during the acute phase or who developed Kawasaki disease outside of the usual age range were more likely to have subsequent events, such as disease recurrence.

Other studies of long-term CV outcomes in patients with Kawasaki disease generally show similar data, according to James T. Gaensbauer, MD, a pediatric infectious disease specialist at the Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minn.

“I generally agree with the premise that major complications are rare when you compare a cohort of patients with Kawasaki disease with the general population,” Dr. Gaensbauer said. However, he added, “I do not think you can say no one needs to worry.”
 

Severity of acute disease might matter

During the acute phase of Kawasaki disease, the arterial damage varies. As suggested in the University of Lausanne follow-up, patients with significant coronary aneurysms do appear to be at greater risk of long-term complications. Dr. Gaensbauer cited a statement from the American Heart Association that noted a higher risk of CV sequelae from Kawasaki disease with a greater or more severe coronary aneurysm or in the face of other evidence of damage to the arterial tree.

“The clinical course within the first 2 years of Kawasaki disease appears to be important for risk of CV complications after this time,” Dr. Gaensbauer said.

The absolute risk of CV events in patients with a more complicated acute course of Kawasaki disease remains incompletely understood, but Dr. Gaensbauer said that there are several sets of data, including these new data from the Hospital for Sick Children, that suggest that the overall prognosis is good. However, he cautioned that this reassurance does not necessarily apply to children with a difficult acute course.

According to the 2017 AHA statement on Kawasaki disease, risk stratification based on echocardiography and other measures after the acute phase of Kawasaki disease are reasonable to determine if long-term follow-up is needed. In those without abnormalities, it is reasonable to forgo further cardiology assessment.

Dr. Lee and Dr. Gaensbauer reported having no potential conflicts of interest.

Vasculitis of the coronary arteries is a well-recognized acute complication of Kawasaki disease, but the long-term risk of cardiovascular (CV) sequelae does not appear to be clinically meaningful for most patients, according to results from an analysis of data presented at the annual meeting of the Canadian Rheumatology Association.

For patients and parents, these data provide “a message of reassurance,” according to Jennifer J.Y. Lee, MD, a pediatric rheumatologist affiliated with the Hospital for Sick Children, Toronto.

The long-term outcomes were characterized as reassuring even though rates of hypertension, major adverse cardiac events (MACE), and death from CV events were higher in patients with Kawasaki disease relative to controls in a retrospective data-linkage study. In fact, these differences were highly statistically significant, but the absolute differences were extremely small.

For this analysis, the 1,174 patients diagnosed with Kawasaki disease at Dr. Lee’s institution between 1991 and 2008 were compared in a 10:1 ratio to 11,740 controls matched for factors such as age, sex, ethnicity, and geographic region. The median follow-up period was 20 years, and the maximum was 28 years.
 

Adjusted CV risks are significant

In an adjusted Cox proportional hazard ratio model, patients in the Kawasaki group had a more than twofold increase in risk for hypertension (aHR, 2.3; P < .0001) and all-cause mortality (aHR, 2.5; P = .009). They also had more than a 10-fold increase in risk for MACE (aHR, 10.3; P < .0001).

These statistics belie the clinical relevance, according to Dr. Lee. Because of the very low rates of all the measured events in both groups, there was just one more case of hypertension per 1,250 patient-years of follow-up, one more case of MACE per 833 patient-years of follow-up, and one more death for 3,846 patient years of follow-up.

Moreover, when these outcomes were graphed over time, most events occurred during the acute period or in the initial years of follow-up.

“There was not a constant increase in risk of these outcomes over time for patients with Kawasaki disease relative to the controls,” Dr. Lee reported. “The long-term prognosis for Kawasaki patients remains favorable.”

European group reports similar results

Similar results from a single-center experience were published 3 years ago. In that study, 207 Kawasaki patients treated at the University of Lausanne (Switzerland) were followed for 30 years. Complications after the acute phase were characterized as “rare.”

For example, only three patients (1.4%) had a subsequent episode of myocardial ischemia. All three had developed a coronary aneurysm during the acute phase of Kawasaki disease. The authors of that study reported that children who had not received immunoglobulins during the acute phase or who developed Kawasaki disease outside of the usual age range were more likely to have subsequent events, such as disease recurrence.

Other studies of long-term CV outcomes in patients with Kawasaki disease generally show similar data, according to James T. Gaensbauer, MD, a pediatric infectious disease specialist at the Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minn.

“I generally agree with the premise that major complications are rare when you compare a cohort of patients with Kawasaki disease with the general population,” Dr. Gaensbauer said. However, he added, “I do not think you can say no one needs to worry.”
 

Severity of acute disease might matter

During the acute phase of Kawasaki disease, the arterial damage varies. As suggested in the University of Lausanne follow-up, patients with significant coronary aneurysms do appear to be at greater risk of long-term complications. Dr. Gaensbauer cited a statement from the American Heart Association that noted a higher risk of CV sequelae from Kawasaki disease with a greater or more severe coronary aneurysm or in the face of other evidence of damage to the arterial tree.

“The clinical course within the first 2 years of Kawasaki disease appears to be important for risk of CV complications after this time,” Dr. Gaensbauer said.

The absolute risk of CV events in patients with a more complicated acute course of Kawasaki disease remains incompletely understood, but Dr. Gaensbauer said that there are several sets of data, including these new data from the Hospital for Sick Children, that suggest that the overall prognosis is good. However, he cautioned that this reassurance does not necessarily apply to children with a difficult acute course.

According to the 2017 AHA statement on Kawasaki disease, risk stratification based on echocardiography and other measures after the acute phase of Kawasaki disease are reasonable to determine if long-term follow-up is needed. In those without abnormalities, it is reasonable to forgo further cardiology assessment.

Dr. Lee and Dr. Gaensbauer reported having no potential conflicts of interest.