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The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has recommended that everyone get a COVID-19 vaccine, even if they’ve had the virus before. Yet many skeptics have held off getting the shots, believing that immunity generated by their previous infection will protect them if they should encounter the virus again. 

A new study published in the CDC’s Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report pokes holes in this notion. It shows people who have recovered from COVID-19 but haven’t been vaccinated have more than double the risk of testing positive for the virus again, compared with someone who was vaccinated after an initial infection.

The study looked at 738 Kentucky residents who had an initial bout of COVID-19 in 2020. About 250 of them tested positive for COVID-19 a second time between May and July of 2021, when the Delta variant became dominant in the United States. 

The study matched each person who’d been reinfected with two people of the same sex and roughly the same age who had caught their initial COVID infection within the same week. The researchers then cross-matched those cases with data from Kentucky’s Immunization Registry.

They found that those who were unvaccinated had more than double the risk of being reinfected during the Delta wave. Partial vaccination appeared to have no significant impact on the risk of reinfection.

Among those who were reinfected, 20% were fully vaccinated, while 34% of those who did not get reinfected were fully vaccinated.

The study is observational, meaning it can’t show cause and effect; and the researchers had no information on the severity of the infections. Alyson Cavanaugh, PhD, a member of the CDC’s Epidemic Intelligence Service who led the study, said it is possible that some of the people who tested positive a second time had asymptomatic infections that were picked up through routine screening.

Still, the study backs up previous research and suggests that vaccination offers important additional protection.

“Our laboratory studies have shown that there’s an added benefit of vaccine for people who’ve had previous COVID-19. This is a real-world, epidemiologic study that found that among people who’d previously already had COVID-19, those who were vaccinated had lower odds of being reinfected,” Dr. Cavanaugh said.

“If you have had COVID-19 before, please still get vaccinated,” said CDC Director Rochelle Walensky, MD, in a written media statement. “This study shows you are twice as likely to get infected again if you are unvaccinated. Getting the vaccine is the best way to protect yourself and others around you, especially as the more contagious Delta variant spreads around the country.”

In a White House COVID-19 Response Team briefing in May, Anthony S. Fauci, MD, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease, explained why vaccines create stronger immunity than infection. He highlighted new research showing that two doses of an mRNA vaccine produce levels of neutralizing antibodies that are up to 10 times higher than the levels found in the blood of people who’ve recovered from COVID-19. Vaccines also enhance B cells and T cells in people who’ve recovered from COVID-19, which broadens the spectrum of protection and helps to fend off variants.

The study has some important limitations, which the authors acknowledged. The first is that second infections weren’t confirmed with genetic sequencing, so the researchers couldn’t definitively tell if a person tested positive a second time because they caught a new virus, or if they were somehow still shedding virus from their first infection. Given that the tests were at least 5 months apart, though, the researchers think reinfection is the most likely explanation.

Another bias in the study could have something to do with vaccination. Vaccinated people may have been less likely to be tested for COVID-19 after their vaccines, so the association or reinfection with a lack of vaccination may be overestimated. 

Also, people who were vaccinated at federal sites or in another state were not logged in the state’s immunization registry, which may have skewed the data.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has recommended that everyone get a COVID-19 vaccine, even if they’ve had the virus before. Yet many skeptics have held off getting the shots, believing that immunity generated by their previous infection will protect them if they should encounter the virus again. 

A new study published in the CDC’s Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report pokes holes in this notion. It shows people who have recovered from COVID-19 but haven’t been vaccinated have more than double the risk of testing positive for the virus again, compared with someone who was vaccinated after an initial infection.

The study looked at 738 Kentucky residents who had an initial bout of COVID-19 in 2020. About 250 of them tested positive for COVID-19 a second time between May and July of 2021, when the Delta variant became dominant in the United States. 

The study matched each person who’d been reinfected with two people of the same sex and roughly the same age who had caught their initial COVID infection within the same week. The researchers then cross-matched those cases with data from Kentucky’s Immunization Registry.

They found that those who were unvaccinated had more than double the risk of being reinfected during the Delta wave. Partial vaccination appeared to have no significant impact on the risk of reinfection.

Among those who were reinfected, 20% were fully vaccinated, while 34% of those who did not get reinfected were fully vaccinated.

The study is observational, meaning it can’t show cause and effect; and the researchers had no information on the severity of the infections. Alyson Cavanaugh, PhD, a member of the CDC’s Epidemic Intelligence Service who led the study, said it is possible that some of the people who tested positive a second time had asymptomatic infections that were picked up through routine screening.

Still, the study backs up previous research and suggests that vaccination offers important additional protection.

“Our laboratory studies have shown that there’s an added benefit of vaccine for people who’ve had previous COVID-19. This is a real-world, epidemiologic study that found that among people who’d previously already had COVID-19, those who were vaccinated had lower odds of being reinfected,” Dr. Cavanaugh said.

“If you have had COVID-19 before, please still get vaccinated,” said CDC Director Rochelle Walensky, MD, in a written media statement. “This study shows you are twice as likely to get infected again if you are unvaccinated. Getting the vaccine is the best way to protect yourself and others around you, especially as the more contagious Delta variant spreads around the country.”

In a White House COVID-19 Response Team briefing in May, Anthony S. Fauci, MD, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease, explained why vaccines create stronger immunity than infection. He highlighted new research showing that two doses of an mRNA vaccine produce levels of neutralizing antibodies that are up to 10 times higher than the levels found in the blood of people who’ve recovered from COVID-19. Vaccines also enhance B cells and T cells in people who’ve recovered from COVID-19, which broadens the spectrum of protection and helps to fend off variants.

The study has some important limitations, which the authors acknowledged. The first is that second infections weren’t confirmed with genetic sequencing, so the researchers couldn’t definitively tell if a person tested positive a second time because they caught a new virus, or if they were somehow still shedding virus from their first infection. Given that the tests were at least 5 months apart, though, the researchers think reinfection is the most likely explanation.

Another bias in the study could have something to do with vaccination. Vaccinated people may have been less likely to be tested for COVID-19 after their vaccines, so the association or reinfection with a lack of vaccination may be overestimated. 

Also, people who were vaccinated at federal sites or in another state were not logged in the state’s immunization registry, which may have skewed the data.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has recommended that everyone get a COVID-19 vaccine, even if they’ve had the virus before. Yet many skeptics have held off getting the shots, believing that immunity generated by their previous infection will protect them if they should encounter the virus again. 

A new study published in the CDC’s Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report pokes holes in this notion. It shows people who have recovered from COVID-19 but haven’t been vaccinated have more than double the risk of testing positive for the virus again, compared with someone who was vaccinated after an initial infection.

The study looked at 738 Kentucky residents who had an initial bout of COVID-19 in 2020. About 250 of them tested positive for COVID-19 a second time between May and July of 2021, when the Delta variant became dominant in the United States. 

The study matched each person who’d been reinfected with two people of the same sex and roughly the same age who had caught their initial COVID infection within the same week. The researchers then cross-matched those cases with data from Kentucky’s Immunization Registry.

They found that those who were unvaccinated had more than double the risk of being reinfected during the Delta wave. Partial vaccination appeared to have no significant impact on the risk of reinfection.

Among those who were reinfected, 20% were fully vaccinated, while 34% of those who did not get reinfected were fully vaccinated.

The study is observational, meaning it can’t show cause and effect; and the researchers had no information on the severity of the infections. Alyson Cavanaugh, PhD, a member of the CDC’s Epidemic Intelligence Service who led the study, said it is possible that some of the people who tested positive a second time had asymptomatic infections that were picked up through routine screening.

Still, the study backs up previous research and suggests that vaccination offers important additional protection.

“Our laboratory studies have shown that there’s an added benefit of vaccine for people who’ve had previous COVID-19. This is a real-world, epidemiologic study that found that among people who’d previously already had COVID-19, those who were vaccinated had lower odds of being reinfected,” Dr. Cavanaugh said.

“If you have had COVID-19 before, please still get vaccinated,” said CDC Director Rochelle Walensky, MD, in a written media statement. “This study shows you are twice as likely to get infected again if you are unvaccinated. Getting the vaccine is the best way to protect yourself and others around you, especially as the more contagious Delta variant spreads around the country.”

In a White House COVID-19 Response Team briefing in May, Anthony S. Fauci, MD, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease, explained why vaccines create stronger immunity than infection. He highlighted new research showing that two doses of an mRNA vaccine produce levels of neutralizing antibodies that are up to 10 times higher than the levels found in the blood of people who’ve recovered from COVID-19. Vaccines also enhance B cells and T cells in people who’ve recovered from COVID-19, which broadens the spectrum of protection and helps to fend off variants.

The study has some important limitations, which the authors acknowledged. The first is that second infections weren’t confirmed with genetic sequencing, so the researchers couldn’t definitively tell if a person tested positive a second time because they caught a new virus, or if they were somehow still shedding virus from their first infection. Given that the tests were at least 5 months apart, though, the researchers think reinfection is the most likely explanation.

Another bias in the study could have something to do with vaccination. Vaccinated people may have been less likely to be tested for COVID-19 after their vaccines, so the association or reinfection with a lack of vaccination may be overestimated. 

Also, people who were vaccinated at federal sites or in another state were not logged in the state’s immunization registry, which may have skewed the data.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Moderna says neutralizing antibodies generated by its COVID-19 vaccine against three variants of the virus that causes the disease waned substantially 6 months after the second dose.

Because of this, the company expects an increase in breakthrough infections with a need for boosters before winter.

In an experiment, a 50-mg dose of the vaccine, given as a third shot, boosted levels of antibodies in 20 previously vaccinated people by 32 times against the Beta variant, by 44 times against the Gamma variant, and by 42 times against Delta.

The new data was presented in an earnings call to investors and is based on a small study that hasn’t yet been published in medical literature.

The company also said its vaccine remained highly effective at preventing severe COVID outcomes through 6 months.

Last week, Pfizer released early data suggesting a similar drop in protection from its vaccine. The company also showed a third dose substantially boosted protection, including against the Delta variant.

The new results come just 1 day after the World Health Organization implored wealthy nations to hold off on third doses until more of the world’s population could get a first dose.

More than 80% of the 4 billion vaccine doses given around the world have been distributed to high-income countries.

A version of this article first appeared on WebMD.com.

Moderna says neutralizing antibodies generated by its COVID-19 vaccine against three variants of the virus that causes the disease waned substantially 6 months after the second dose.

Because of this, the company expects an increase in breakthrough infections with a need for boosters before winter.

In an experiment, a 50-mg dose of the vaccine, given as a third shot, boosted levels of antibodies in 20 previously vaccinated people by 32 times against the Beta variant, by 44 times against the Gamma variant, and by 42 times against Delta.

The new data was presented in an earnings call to investors and is based on a small study that hasn’t yet been published in medical literature.

The company also said its vaccine remained highly effective at preventing severe COVID outcomes through 6 months.

Last week, Pfizer released early data suggesting a similar drop in protection from its vaccine. The company also showed a third dose substantially boosted protection, including against the Delta variant.

The new results come just 1 day after the World Health Organization implored wealthy nations to hold off on third doses until more of the world’s population could get a first dose.

More than 80% of the 4 billion vaccine doses given around the world have been distributed to high-income countries.

A version of this article first appeared on WebMD.com.

Moderna says neutralizing antibodies generated by its COVID-19 vaccine against three variants of the virus that causes the disease waned substantially 6 months after the second dose.

Because of this, the company expects an increase in breakthrough infections with a need for boosters before winter.

In an experiment, a 50-mg dose of the vaccine, given as a third shot, boosted levels of antibodies in 20 previously vaccinated people by 32 times against the Beta variant, by 44 times against the Gamma variant, and by 42 times against Delta.

The new data was presented in an earnings call to investors and is based on a small study that hasn’t yet been published in medical literature.

The company also said its vaccine remained highly effective at preventing severe COVID outcomes through 6 months.

Last week, Pfizer released early data suggesting a similar drop in protection from its vaccine. The company also showed a third dose substantially boosted protection, including against the Delta variant.

The new results come just 1 day after the World Health Organization implored wealthy nations to hold off on third doses until more of the world’s population could get a first dose.

More than 80% of the 4 billion vaccine doses given around the world have been distributed to high-income countries.

A version of this article first appeared on WebMD.com.

A retracted study on the safety of blood pressure medications in patients with COVID-19 continues to be cited nearly a year later, new research shows.

Floaria Bicher/iStock/Getty Images Plus

The study in question, published on May 1, 2020, in the New England Journal of Medicine, showed no increased risk for in-hospital death with the use of ACE inhibitors or angiotensin-receptor blockers (ARBs) in hospitalized patients with COVID-19.

Concerns about the veracity of the Surgisphere database used for the study, however, led to a June 4 retraction and to the June 13 retraction of a second study, published in the Lancet, that focused on hydroxychloroquine as a COVID-19 treatment.

Although the Surgisphere scandal caused a global reckoning of COVID-19 scientific studies, the new analysis identified 652 citations of the NEJM article as of May 31.

More than a third of the citations occurred in the first 2 months after the retraction, 54% were at least 3 months later, and 2.8% at least 6 months later. In May, 11 months after the article was retracted, it was cited 21 times, senior author Emily G. McDonald, MD, MSc, McGill University, Montreal, and colleagues reported in a research letter in JAMA Internal Medicine.

“In early May and June there were already more than 200 citations in one of the world’s leading scientific journals, so I do believe it was a highly influential article early on and had an impact on different types of studies or research taking place,” she said in an interview.

Dr. McDonald said she’s also “certain that it impacted patient care,” observing that when there are no guidelines available on how to manage patients, physicians will turn to the most recent evidence in the most reputable journals.

“In the case of ACE [inhibitors] and ARBs, although the study was based on fraudulent data, we were lucky that the overall message was in the end probably correct, but that might not have been the case for another study or dataset,” she said.

Early in the pandemic, concerns existed that ACE inhibitors and ARBs could be harmful, increasing the expression of ACE2 receptors, which the SARS-CoV-2 virus uses to gain entry into cells. The first randomized trial to examine the issue, BRACE CORONA, showed no clinical benefit to interrupting use of the agents in hospitalized patients. An observational study suggested ACE inhibitors may even be protective.

Of two high-profile retractions, McDonald said they chose to bypass the hydroxychloroquine study, which had an eye-popping Altmetric attention score of 23,084, compared with 3,727 for the NEJM paper, because it may have been cited for “other” reasons. “We wanted to focus less on the politics and more on the problem of retracted work.”

The team found that researchers across the globe were citing the retracted ACE/ARB paper (18.7% in the United States, 8.1% in Italy, and 44% other countries). Most citations were used to support a statement in the main text of a study, but in nearly 3% of cases, the data were incorporated into new analyses.

Just 17.6% of the studies cited or noted the retraction. “For sure, that was surprising to us. We suspected it, but our study confirmed it,” Dr. McDonald said.

Although retracted articles can be identified by a watermark or line of text, in some cases that can be easily missed, she noted. What’s more, not all citation software points out when a study has been retracted, a fate shared by the copyediting process.

“There are a lot of mechanisms in place and, in general, what’s happening is rare but there isn’t a perfect automated system solution to absolutely prevent this from happening,” she said. “It’s still subject to human error.”

The findings also have to be taken in the context of a rapidly emerging pandemic and the unprecedented torrent of scientific papers released over the past year.

“That might have contributed to why this happened, but the takeaway message is that this can happen despite our best efforts, and we need to challenge ourselves to come up with a system solution to prevent this from happening in the future,” Dr. McDonald said. “Current mechanisms are probably capturing 95% of it, but we need to do better.”

Limitations of the present analysis are that it was limited to the single retracted study; used only a single search engine, Google Scholar, to identify the citing works; and that additional citations may have been missed, the authors noted.

McDonald and coauthor Todd C. Lee, MD, report being signatories on a public letter calling for the retraction of the Surgisphere papers. Dr. Lee also reported receiving research support from Fonds De Recherche du Quebec-Sante during the conduct of the study.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

A retracted study on the safety of blood pressure medications in patients with COVID-19 continues to be cited nearly a year later, new research shows.

Floaria Bicher/iStock/Getty Images Plus

The study in question, published on May 1, 2020, in the New England Journal of Medicine, showed no increased risk for in-hospital death with the use of ACE inhibitors or angiotensin-receptor blockers (ARBs) in hospitalized patients with COVID-19.

Concerns about the veracity of the Surgisphere database used for the study, however, led to a June 4 retraction and to the June 13 retraction of a second study, published in the Lancet, that focused on hydroxychloroquine as a COVID-19 treatment.

Although the Surgisphere scandal caused a global reckoning of COVID-19 scientific studies, the new analysis identified 652 citations of the NEJM article as of May 31.

More than a third of the citations occurred in the first 2 months after the retraction, 54% were at least 3 months later, and 2.8% at least 6 months later. In May, 11 months after the article was retracted, it was cited 21 times, senior author Emily G. McDonald, MD, MSc, McGill University, Montreal, and colleagues reported in a research letter in JAMA Internal Medicine.

“In early May and June there were already more than 200 citations in one of the world’s leading scientific journals, so I do believe it was a highly influential article early on and had an impact on different types of studies or research taking place,” she said in an interview.

Dr. McDonald said she’s also “certain that it impacted patient care,” observing that when there are no guidelines available on how to manage patients, physicians will turn to the most recent evidence in the most reputable journals.

“In the case of ACE [inhibitors] and ARBs, although the study was based on fraudulent data, we were lucky that the overall message was in the end probably correct, but that might not have been the case for another study or dataset,” she said.

Early in the pandemic, concerns existed that ACE inhibitors and ARBs could be harmful, increasing the expression of ACE2 receptors, which the SARS-CoV-2 virus uses to gain entry into cells. The first randomized trial to examine the issue, BRACE CORONA, showed no clinical benefit to interrupting use of the agents in hospitalized patients. An observational study suggested ACE inhibitors may even be protective.

Of two high-profile retractions, McDonald said they chose to bypass the hydroxychloroquine study, which had an eye-popping Altmetric attention score of 23,084, compared with 3,727 for the NEJM paper, because it may have been cited for “other” reasons. “We wanted to focus less on the politics and more on the problem of retracted work.”

The team found that researchers across the globe were citing the retracted ACE/ARB paper (18.7% in the United States, 8.1% in Italy, and 44% other countries). Most citations were used to support a statement in the main text of a study, but in nearly 3% of cases, the data were incorporated into new analyses.

Just 17.6% of the studies cited or noted the retraction. “For sure, that was surprising to us. We suspected it, but our study confirmed it,” Dr. McDonald said.

Although retracted articles can be identified by a watermark or line of text, in some cases that can be easily missed, she noted. What’s more, not all citation software points out when a study has been retracted, a fate shared by the copyediting process.

“There are a lot of mechanisms in place and, in general, what’s happening is rare but there isn’t a perfect automated system solution to absolutely prevent this from happening,” she said. “It’s still subject to human error.”

The findings also have to be taken in the context of a rapidly emerging pandemic and the unprecedented torrent of scientific papers released over the past year.

“That might have contributed to why this happened, but the takeaway message is that this can happen despite our best efforts, and we need to challenge ourselves to come up with a system solution to prevent this from happening in the future,” Dr. McDonald said. “Current mechanisms are probably capturing 95% of it, but we need to do better.”

Limitations of the present analysis are that it was limited to the single retracted study; used only a single search engine, Google Scholar, to identify the citing works; and that additional citations may have been missed, the authors noted.

McDonald and coauthor Todd C. Lee, MD, report being signatories on a public letter calling for the retraction of the Surgisphere papers. Dr. Lee also reported receiving research support from Fonds De Recherche du Quebec-Sante during the conduct of the study.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

A retracted study on the safety of blood pressure medications in patients with COVID-19 continues to be cited nearly a year later, new research shows.

Floaria Bicher/iStock/Getty Images Plus

The study in question, published on May 1, 2020, in the New England Journal of Medicine, showed no increased risk for in-hospital death with the use of ACE inhibitors or angiotensin-receptor blockers (ARBs) in hospitalized patients with COVID-19.

Concerns about the veracity of the Surgisphere database used for the study, however, led to a June 4 retraction and to the June 13 retraction of a second study, published in the Lancet, that focused on hydroxychloroquine as a COVID-19 treatment.

Although the Surgisphere scandal caused a global reckoning of COVID-19 scientific studies, the new analysis identified 652 citations of the NEJM article as of May 31.

More than a third of the citations occurred in the first 2 months after the retraction, 54% were at least 3 months later, and 2.8% at least 6 months later. In May, 11 months after the article was retracted, it was cited 21 times, senior author Emily G. McDonald, MD, MSc, McGill University, Montreal, and colleagues reported in a research letter in JAMA Internal Medicine.

“In early May and June there were already more than 200 citations in one of the world’s leading scientific journals, so I do believe it was a highly influential article early on and had an impact on different types of studies or research taking place,” she said in an interview.

Dr. McDonald said she’s also “certain that it impacted patient care,” observing that when there are no guidelines available on how to manage patients, physicians will turn to the most recent evidence in the most reputable journals.

“In the case of ACE [inhibitors] and ARBs, although the study was based on fraudulent data, we were lucky that the overall message was in the end probably correct, but that might not have been the case for another study or dataset,” she said.

Early in the pandemic, concerns existed that ACE inhibitors and ARBs could be harmful, increasing the expression of ACE2 receptors, which the SARS-CoV-2 virus uses to gain entry into cells. The first randomized trial to examine the issue, BRACE CORONA, showed no clinical benefit to interrupting use of the agents in hospitalized patients. An observational study suggested ACE inhibitors may even be protective.

Of two high-profile retractions, McDonald said they chose to bypass the hydroxychloroquine study, which had an eye-popping Altmetric attention score of 23,084, compared with 3,727 for the NEJM paper, because it may have been cited for “other” reasons. “We wanted to focus less on the politics and more on the problem of retracted work.”

The team found that researchers across the globe were citing the retracted ACE/ARB paper (18.7% in the United States, 8.1% in Italy, and 44% other countries). Most citations were used to support a statement in the main text of a study, but in nearly 3% of cases, the data were incorporated into new analyses.

Just 17.6% of the studies cited or noted the retraction. “For sure, that was surprising to us. We suspected it, but our study confirmed it,” Dr. McDonald said.

Although retracted articles can be identified by a watermark or line of text, in some cases that can be easily missed, she noted. What’s more, not all citation software points out when a study has been retracted, a fate shared by the copyediting process.

“There are a lot of mechanisms in place and, in general, what’s happening is rare but there isn’t a perfect automated system solution to absolutely prevent this from happening,” she said. “It’s still subject to human error.”

The findings also have to be taken in the context of a rapidly emerging pandemic and the unprecedented torrent of scientific papers released over the past year.

“That might have contributed to why this happened, but the takeaway message is that this can happen despite our best efforts, and we need to challenge ourselves to come up with a system solution to prevent this from happening in the future,” Dr. McDonald said. “Current mechanisms are probably capturing 95% of it, but we need to do better.”

Limitations of the present analysis are that it was limited to the single retracted study; used only a single search engine, Google Scholar, to identify the citing works; and that additional citations may have been missed, the authors noted.

McDonald and coauthor Todd C. Lee, MD, report being signatories on a public letter calling for the retraction of the Surgisphere papers. Dr. Lee also reported receiving research support from Fonds De Recherche du Quebec-Sante during the conduct of the study.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

A new study documents a handful of cases of women with Munchausen syndrome by Internet who targeted doulas in the United Kingdom during the COVID-19 lockdown. The women pretended to have a variety of dramatic perinatal crises that garnered them significant attention from birth support professionals.

The five cases were investigated by Kathryn Newns, MSc, DClinPsy, a clinical psychologist in Cambridge, England, who said the cases were brought to her attention by a doula she herself had used for the birth of her own child a decade earlier.

Dr. Newns said she believes these are not isolated cases – either geographically or in terms of the specialty involved.

“I don’t think it is likely that this is only happening in the United Kingdom. And I’m sure it’s not just happening in the doula world,” Dr. Newns told this news organization.

Coinvestigator Marc Feldman, MD, a clinical professor of psychiatry at the University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, coined the term “Munchausen by Internet” in a 2000 article. The expression refers to use of electronic media to perpetrate hoaxes that reward posers with sympathy, control, or emotional gratification. The hoaxers do not seek financial gain.

“The ease of carrying out Munchausen behaviors makes me think that it must be much more common than it ever was,” Dr. Feldman said in an interview.

He noted that the new DSM-5 will eliminate the terms “Munchausen” and “Munchausen by Internet” and will clarify that “factitious disorder” can be partly or wholly carried out online.

The study was published in the May issue of the Annals of Clinical Psychiatry.
 

A warning for others

In the past, those with factitious disorder had to go to medical libraries to study up on the ailment they wanted to feign. They would then present to an emergency department or a doctor’s office and act convincingly, Dr. Feldman said.

“Now all you have to do is go to Wikipedia and you can become an expert on a medical ailment within a few minutes,” he added.

In the five cases described in the study, the hoaxers created rich stories, especially in cases 1 and 2. In those cases, the perpetrator turned out to be the same person. Subterfuge “obviously made it much harder to know she wasn’t who she purported to be,” said Dr. Newns.

Dr. Feldman noted that in Munchausen by Internet, there may be some element of truth within the stories.

For health care professionals, “it takes a considerable leap to assume that somebody who’s talking about some dreaded ailment is in fact exaggerating or outright lying,” he said.

In the five cases described in the study, persons contacted doulas, then related traumatic stories and described dramatic, immediate needs. All of the doulas were working remotely because of the COVID-19 pandemic. This likely made it easier for the perpetrators to pull off the hoaxes. The health care professionals agreed to share their experiences in the hopes of warning others.
 

Elaborate scenarios

The first two cases were ultimately determined to involve one person who had created elaborate scenarios.

In case 1, the hoaxer, who called herself “Jessica,” texted the doula “Charlotte” when she was allegedly 39 weeks’ pregnant. She said she was unable to go to the hospital because of the COVID-19 risks to her husband, who had cystic fibrosis and had recently undergone a heart and lung transplant.

The husband “Jordan” took over communications, using the same WhatsApp number as Jessica, as Jessica went into labor.

Ostensibly, a midwife team had come to Jessica’s and Jordan’s house. When the doula was on the phone with Jordan, she heard Jessica crying, grunting, and screaming, and then, at 2:00 a.m., she heard the sound of a baby crying. A photo of the baby was texted to Charlotte.

Soon, there were many problems. Jessica allegedly had a postpartum hemorrhage, and mother and baby were taken to separate hospitals. The baby was then diagnosed with congenital heart disease.

Over the next week, “midwives” started texting back and forth with Charlotte. The doula began to have doubts and asked a midwife to share a visual communication.

After receiving no response, Charlotte used a video call, got Jessica on screen, and told her she thought there was no baby. Jessica said the baby was real and showed a “growth chart” as proof of the 5-day-old baby’s existence. The birth and baby noises were later determined to be recordings.
 

Child deaths

After sharing information among themselves on a private Facebook group, the doulas determined that the person in case 2, “Dakota,” was the same woman who was involved in case 1.

In case 2, a doula had spent 2 years supporting Dakota through the deaths of a parent and her baby, who had a congenital defect. A baby-loss charity had also worked with Dakota but could not confirm the baby’s existence.

Dakota had gone so far as to make a video for the doula that showed a hospital room. In a voice-over, Dakota thanks everyone for the support she received as the baby died.

In case 3, “Hannah” texted a doula seeking emotional but not birth support. The doula, Nikki Barrow, has recounted the case on her own blog.

Hannah became desperate when she went into labor. Ms. Barrow remained close via texts, phone, and video calls, even as the baby supposedly died after 3 days. The doula lit a candle for the baby and cried with Hannah.

Ms. Barrow was eventually able to break away from Hannah, saying she was not a bereavement specialist. However, days later, Hannah tracked her down and claimed she had an infection in her heart and did not have much time to live. At that point, Ms. Barrow stopped all contact.

She determined from other doulas that Hannah had been hoaxing doulas for 4 or 5 years. Some had offered to get her help, but she refused and ended all contact.
 

Multiple COVID crises?

In case 4, a woman sought support on a doula-centered Facebook page and said her partner “Jack” would be in touch. Jack sent the doula hundreds of emails, texts, and WhatsApp messages and then said he was hospitalized with COVID. The woman, “Hayley,” was also soon diagnosed with COVID.

Hayley refused video contact and did not share photos. Drama continued to unfold. She reported that her baby was breach, that she had a second uterus with a second pregnancy simultaneously, and that the baby had COVID.

Hayley also claimed that her partner had come to the hospital, had raped her, and had brandished a gun. When the doula called the police, they did not find Hayley at the hospital or elsewhere.

In case 5, a “grandmother” contacted “Lisa” to find a doula for her daughter-in-law, “Anna.” Hours later, Anna was giving birth, and the baby had to be taken to the hospital because of cardiac and breathing problems. The doula heard nothing more after a few weeks.

However, at least three other doulas said they had supported the same “family.”
 

Online training program

In all cases, the doulas were not paid for their time. Reports to the police prompted no action because no money had changed hands. Some doulas said they felt bereaved, angry, or “silly” that they had been hoodwinked. All noted how difficult it was to disengage from clients who seemed to be in peril.

Ms. Barrow decided to create an online training program in which doulas are advised on how to stay safe while working online.

DoulaMatch, which matches birth support specialists with women in the United States and Canada, offers tips to help protect doulas from hoaxes.

Kim James, BDT(DONA), ICCE, LCCE, CLE, the owner and operator of DoulaMatch, said the organization is aware of “scammers who waste everyone’s time and have found doulas to be the latest easy targets.”

However, she noted, “I’ve only very occasionally and anecdotally heard about people fabricating a pregnancy for emotional gratification.”

In his 2000 article, Dr. Feldman offers clues to help detect hoaxers. He advises clinicians to be wary of the following:

• Cases in which the length, frequency, and duration of posts are incongruous with the severity of the illness the person is claiming to have; for example, someone who claims to be in  submitting detailed posts.
• Near-fatal exacerbations of illness alternating with miraculous recoveries.
• Personal claims that are fantastic, are contradicted by later posts, or are disproved.
• Continual dramatic events occurring in the person’s life, especially when others in a group become the focus of attention.
• Others ostensibly posting on behalf of the individual who have identical patterns of writing, such as making grammatical errors, misspellings, and using stylistic idiosyncrasies.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

A new study documents a handful of cases of women with Munchausen syndrome by Internet who targeted doulas in the United Kingdom during the COVID-19 lockdown. The women pretended to have a variety of dramatic perinatal crises that garnered them significant attention from birth support professionals.

The five cases were investigated by Kathryn Newns, MSc, DClinPsy, a clinical psychologist in Cambridge, England, who said the cases were brought to her attention by a doula she herself had used for the birth of her own child a decade earlier.

Dr. Newns said she believes these are not isolated cases – either geographically or in terms of the specialty involved.

“I don’t think it is likely that this is only happening in the United Kingdom. And I’m sure it’s not just happening in the doula world,” Dr. Newns told this news organization.

Coinvestigator Marc Feldman, MD, a clinical professor of psychiatry at the University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, coined the term “Munchausen by Internet” in a 2000 article. The expression refers to use of electronic media to perpetrate hoaxes that reward posers with sympathy, control, or emotional gratification. The hoaxers do not seek financial gain.

“The ease of carrying out Munchausen behaviors makes me think that it must be much more common than it ever was,” Dr. Feldman said in an interview.

He noted that the new DSM-5 will eliminate the terms “Munchausen” and “Munchausen by Internet” and will clarify that “factitious disorder” can be partly or wholly carried out online.

The study was published in the May issue of the Annals of Clinical Psychiatry.
 

A warning for others

In the past, those with factitious disorder had to go to medical libraries to study up on the ailment they wanted to feign. They would then present to an emergency department or a doctor’s office and act convincingly, Dr. Feldman said.

“Now all you have to do is go to Wikipedia and you can become an expert on a medical ailment within a few minutes,” he added.

In the five cases described in the study, the hoaxers created rich stories, especially in cases 1 and 2. In those cases, the perpetrator turned out to be the same person. Subterfuge “obviously made it much harder to know she wasn’t who she purported to be,” said Dr. Newns.

Dr. Feldman noted that in Munchausen by Internet, there may be some element of truth within the stories.

For health care professionals, “it takes a considerable leap to assume that somebody who’s talking about some dreaded ailment is in fact exaggerating or outright lying,” he said.

In the five cases described in the study, persons contacted doulas, then related traumatic stories and described dramatic, immediate needs. All of the doulas were working remotely because of the COVID-19 pandemic. This likely made it easier for the perpetrators to pull off the hoaxes. The health care professionals agreed to share their experiences in the hopes of warning others.
 

Elaborate scenarios

The first two cases were ultimately determined to involve one person who had created elaborate scenarios.

In case 1, the hoaxer, who called herself “Jessica,” texted the doula “Charlotte” when she was allegedly 39 weeks’ pregnant. She said she was unable to go to the hospital because of the COVID-19 risks to her husband, who had cystic fibrosis and had recently undergone a heart and lung transplant.

The husband “Jordan” took over communications, using the same WhatsApp number as Jessica, as Jessica went into labor.

Ostensibly, a midwife team had come to Jessica’s and Jordan’s house. When the doula was on the phone with Jordan, she heard Jessica crying, grunting, and screaming, and then, at 2:00 a.m., she heard the sound of a baby crying. A photo of the baby was texted to Charlotte.

Soon, there were many problems. Jessica allegedly had a postpartum hemorrhage, and mother and baby were taken to separate hospitals. The baby was then diagnosed with congenital heart disease.

Over the next week, “midwives” started texting back and forth with Charlotte. The doula began to have doubts and asked a midwife to share a visual communication.

After receiving no response, Charlotte used a video call, got Jessica on screen, and told her she thought there was no baby. Jessica said the baby was real and showed a “growth chart” as proof of the 5-day-old baby’s existence. The birth and baby noises were later determined to be recordings.
 

Child deaths

After sharing information among themselves on a private Facebook group, the doulas determined that the person in case 2, “Dakota,” was the same woman who was involved in case 1.

In case 2, a doula had spent 2 years supporting Dakota through the deaths of a parent and her baby, who had a congenital defect. A baby-loss charity had also worked with Dakota but could not confirm the baby’s existence.

Dakota had gone so far as to make a video for the doula that showed a hospital room. In a voice-over, Dakota thanks everyone for the support she received as the baby died.

In case 3, “Hannah” texted a doula seeking emotional but not birth support. The doula, Nikki Barrow, has recounted the case on her own blog.

Hannah became desperate when she went into labor. Ms. Barrow remained close via texts, phone, and video calls, even as the baby supposedly died after 3 days. The doula lit a candle for the baby and cried with Hannah.

Ms. Barrow was eventually able to break away from Hannah, saying she was not a bereavement specialist. However, days later, Hannah tracked her down and claimed she had an infection in her heart and did not have much time to live. At that point, Ms. Barrow stopped all contact.

She determined from other doulas that Hannah had been hoaxing doulas for 4 or 5 years. Some had offered to get her help, but she refused and ended all contact.
 

Multiple COVID crises?

In case 4, a woman sought support on a doula-centered Facebook page and said her partner “Jack” would be in touch. Jack sent the doula hundreds of emails, texts, and WhatsApp messages and then said he was hospitalized with COVID. The woman, “Hayley,” was also soon diagnosed with COVID.

Hayley refused video contact and did not share photos. Drama continued to unfold. She reported that her baby was breach, that she had a second uterus with a second pregnancy simultaneously, and that the baby had COVID.

Hayley also claimed that her partner had come to the hospital, had raped her, and had brandished a gun. When the doula called the police, they did not find Hayley at the hospital or elsewhere.

In case 5, a “grandmother” contacted “Lisa” to find a doula for her daughter-in-law, “Anna.” Hours later, Anna was giving birth, and the baby had to be taken to the hospital because of cardiac and breathing problems. The doula heard nothing more after a few weeks.

However, at least three other doulas said they had supported the same “family.”
 

Online training program

In all cases, the doulas were not paid for their time. Reports to the police prompted no action because no money had changed hands. Some doulas said they felt bereaved, angry, or “silly” that they had been hoodwinked. All noted how difficult it was to disengage from clients who seemed to be in peril.

Ms. Barrow decided to create an online training program in which doulas are advised on how to stay safe while working online.

DoulaMatch, which matches birth support specialists with women in the United States and Canada, offers tips to help protect doulas from hoaxes.

Kim James, BDT(DONA), ICCE, LCCE, CLE, the owner and operator of DoulaMatch, said the organization is aware of “scammers who waste everyone’s time and have found doulas to be the latest easy targets.”

However, she noted, “I’ve only very occasionally and anecdotally heard about people fabricating a pregnancy for emotional gratification.”

In his 2000 article, Dr. Feldman offers clues to help detect hoaxers. He advises clinicians to be wary of the following:

• Cases in which the length, frequency, and duration of posts are incongruous with the severity of the illness the person is claiming to have; for example, someone who claims to be in  submitting detailed posts.
• Near-fatal exacerbations of illness alternating with miraculous recoveries.
• Personal claims that are fantastic, are contradicted by later posts, or are disproved.
• Continual dramatic events occurring in the person’s life, especially when others in a group become the focus of attention.
• Others ostensibly posting on behalf of the individual who have identical patterns of writing, such as making grammatical errors, misspellings, and using stylistic idiosyncrasies.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

A new study documents a handful of cases of women with Munchausen syndrome by Internet who targeted doulas in the United Kingdom during the COVID-19 lockdown. The women pretended to have a variety of dramatic perinatal crises that garnered them significant attention from birth support professionals.

The five cases were investigated by Kathryn Newns, MSc, DClinPsy, a clinical psychologist in Cambridge, England, who said the cases were brought to her attention by a doula she herself had used for the birth of her own child a decade earlier.

Dr. Newns said she believes these are not isolated cases – either geographically or in terms of the specialty involved.

“I don’t think it is likely that this is only happening in the United Kingdom. And I’m sure it’s not just happening in the doula world,” Dr. Newns told this news organization.

Coinvestigator Marc Feldman, MD, a clinical professor of psychiatry at the University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, coined the term “Munchausen by Internet” in a 2000 article. The expression refers to use of electronic media to perpetrate hoaxes that reward posers with sympathy, control, or emotional gratification. The hoaxers do not seek financial gain.

“The ease of carrying out Munchausen behaviors makes me think that it must be much more common than it ever was,” Dr. Feldman said in an interview.

He noted that the new DSM-5 will eliminate the terms “Munchausen” and “Munchausen by Internet” and will clarify that “factitious disorder” can be partly or wholly carried out online.

The study was published in the May issue of the Annals of Clinical Psychiatry.
 

A warning for others

In the past, those with factitious disorder had to go to medical libraries to study up on the ailment they wanted to feign. They would then present to an emergency department or a doctor’s office and act convincingly, Dr. Feldman said.

“Now all you have to do is go to Wikipedia and you can become an expert on a medical ailment within a few minutes,” he added.

In the five cases described in the study, the hoaxers created rich stories, especially in cases 1 and 2. In those cases, the perpetrator turned out to be the same person. Subterfuge “obviously made it much harder to know she wasn’t who she purported to be,” said Dr. Newns.

Dr. Feldman noted that in Munchausen by Internet, there may be some element of truth within the stories.

For health care professionals, “it takes a considerable leap to assume that somebody who’s talking about some dreaded ailment is in fact exaggerating or outright lying,” he said.

In the five cases described in the study, persons contacted doulas, then related traumatic stories and described dramatic, immediate needs. All of the doulas were working remotely because of the COVID-19 pandemic. This likely made it easier for the perpetrators to pull off the hoaxes. The health care professionals agreed to share their experiences in the hopes of warning others.
 

Elaborate scenarios

The first two cases were ultimately determined to involve one person who had created elaborate scenarios.

In case 1, the hoaxer, who called herself “Jessica,” texted the doula “Charlotte” when she was allegedly 39 weeks’ pregnant. She said she was unable to go to the hospital because of the COVID-19 risks to her husband, who had cystic fibrosis and had recently undergone a heart and lung transplant.

The husband “Jordan” took over communications, using the same WhatsApp number as Jessica, as Jessica went into labor.

Ostensibly, a midwife team had come to Jessica’s and Jordan’s house. When the doula was on the phone with Jordan, she heard Jessica crying, grunting, and screaming, and then, at 2:00 a.m., she heard the sound of a baby crying. A photo of the baby was texted to Charlotte.

Soon, there were many problems. Jessica allegedly had a postpartum hemorrhage, and mother and baby were taken to separate hospitals. The baby was then diagnosed with congenital heart disease.

Over the next week, “midwives” started texting back and forth with Charlotte. The doula began to have doubts and asked a midwife to share a visual communication.

After receiving no response, Charlotte used a video call, got Jessica on screen, and told her she thought there was no baby. Jessica said the baby was real and showed a “growth chart” as proof of the 5-day-old baby’s existence. The birth and baby noises were later determined to be recordings.
 

Child deaths

After sharing information among themselves on a private Facebook group, the doulas determined that the person in case 2, “Dakota,” was the same woman who was involved in case 1.

In case 2, a doula had spent 2 years supporting Dakota through the deaths of a parent and her baby, who had a congenital defect. A baby-loss charity had also worked with Dakota but could not confirm the baby’s existence.

Dakota had gone so far as to make a video for the doula that showed a hospital room. In a voice-over, Dakota thanks everyone for the support she received as the baby died.

In case 3, “Hannah” texted a doula seeking emotional but not birth support. The doula, Nikki Barrow, has recounted the case on her own blog.

Hannah became desperate when she went into labor. Ms. Barrow remained close via texts, phone, and video calls, even as the baby supposedly died after 3 days. The doula lit a candle for the baby and cried with Hannah.

Ms. Barrow was eventually able to break away from Hannah, saying she was not a bereavement specialist. However, days later, Hannah tracked her down and claimed she had an infection in her heart and did not have much time to live. At that point, Ms. Barrow stopped all contact.

She determined from other doulas that Hannah had been hoaxing doulas for 4 or 5 years. Some had offered to get her help, but she refused and ended all contact.
 

Multiple COVID crises?

In case 4, a woman sought support on a doula-centered Facebook page and said her partner “Jack” would be in touch. Jack sent the doula hundreds of emails, texts, and WhatsApp messages and then said he was hospitalized with COVID. The woman, “Hayley,” was also soon diagnosed with COVID.

Hayley refused video contact and did not share photos. Drama continued to unfold. She reported that her baby was breach, that she had a second uterus with a second pregnancy simultaneously, and that the baby had COVID.

Hayley also claimed that her partner had come to the hospital, had raped her, and had brandished a gun. When the doula called the police, they did not find Hayley at the hospital or elsewhere.

In case 5, a “grandmother” contacted “Lisa” to find a doula for her daughter-in-law, “Anna.” Hours later, Anna was giving birth, and the baby had to be taken to the hospital because of cardiac and breathing problems. The doula heard nothing more after a few weeks.

However, at least three other doulas said they had supported the same “family.”
 

Online training program

In all cases, the doulas were not paid for their time. Reports to the police prompted no action because no money had changed hands. Some doulas said they felt bereaved, angry, or “silly” that they had been hoodwinked. All noted how difficult it was to disengage from clients who seemed to be in peril.

Ms. Barrow decided to create an online training program in which doulas are advised on how to stay safe while working online.

DoulaMatch, which matches birth support specialists with women in the United States and Canada, offers tips to help protect doulas from hoaxes.

Kim James, BDT(DONA), ICCE, LCCE, CLE, the owner and operator of DoulaMatch, said the organization is aware of “scammers who waste everyone’s time and have found doulas to be the latest easy targets.”

However, she noted, “I’ve only very occasionally and anecdotally heard about people fabricating a pregnancy for emotional gratification.”

In his 2000 article, Dr. Feldman offers clues to help detect hoaxers. He advises clinicians to be wary of the following:

• Cases in which the length, frequency, and duration of posts are incongruous with the severity of the illness the person is claiming to have; for example, someone who claims to be in  submitting detailed posts.
• Near-fatal exacerbations of illness alternating with miraculous recoveries.
• Personal claims that are fantastic, are contradicted by later posts, or are disproved.
• Continual dramatic events occurring in the person’s life, especially when others in a group become the focus of attention.
• Others ostensibly posting on behalf of the individual who have identical patterns of writing, such as making grammatical errors, misspellings, and using stylistic idiosyncrasies.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

In recent years, a new genre of medical intervention has started to emerge – digital therapeutics. In the wake of promising results in a number of conditions, one high-profile approval by the Food and Drug Administration, and several ongoing clinical studies, neurologists (and other doctors) may soon be prescribing video games alongside conventional therapies for several conditions.

“Digital therapeutics refers to a software-based intervention. It’s not just digital information or digital monitoring, it’s an alternative treatment option based on software,” said John Krakauer, MD, professor of neurology, neuroscience, and physical medicine and rehabilitation at The Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore.

Dr. Krakauer explained that the nervous system is especially amenable to gamified therapies because of its unique ability to learn. “It’s an experience-dependent plastic system. You really want to have a high-intensity, high-dose behavioral intervention to try and rewire and train the nervous system.

“In other words, digital therapeutics complements what happens in physical and occupational therapy sessions with scientifically-informed behavioral interventions based on technology and software,” he said.
 

The digital dolphin treating stroke

Dr. Krakauer, chief scientific adviser to the company MindMaze, studies immersive digital therapies to enhance neurorehabilitation following stroke. He works on MindPod Dolphin, a virtual reality game that trains motor control of the upper extremities by having the patient simulate swimming in the ocean like a dolphin.

“Your movement is tracked, there are artificial intelligence algorithms controlling the difficulty, and the whole purpose is to take your nervous system for a ride, outside the context of activities of daily living. Patients are so engaged and immersed that they don’t even realize they’re making high-quality, high-intensity, high-dose movements of their arm.”

In a pilot trial called SMARTS2, his group found that MindPod Dolphin was about twice as effective as regular rehabilitation for upper extremity motor recovery in patients who had had a stroke. A larger trial is currently underway in New Zealand.

Another preliminary study found that MindPod Dolphin had positive effects on the physical and cognitive health of elderly patients in an assisted-living facility. Now, MindPod Dolphin is being studied around the world in patients with multiple sclerosis, Parkinson’s disease, concussion, and traumatic brain injury (TBI). There is even a Department of Defense–funded trial underway for veterans with TBI.
 

Reaching young patients through virtual play

Isabela Granic, PhD, director of the Games for Emotional and Mental Health Lab, and professor and chair of the developmental psychopathology department in the Behavioural Science Institute at Radboud University in the Netherlands, studies gamified therapy for depression and anxiety.

“We take evidence-based techniques in the mental health clinical world or developmental research, such as cognitive-behavioral therapy (CBT) or exposure therapy, and then embed them in games to use a different engine for delivering something we otherwise know works,” she said.

Data for a game she developed called MindLight are promising so far. “We have randomized controlled trials showing that we can cut young people’s anxiety in half after they have as little as five 1-hour sessions per week. We’ve shown that we can get the same benefits as CBT for these young people, which is huge.” MindLight also has proved effective for treating anxiety in children with autism.
 

A first for therapeutic video games

In the summer of 2020, EndeavorRx, made by Akili Interactive, became the first prescription video game to be approved by the FDA. The game, which is designed to improve attention function, is currently authorized for children aged 8-12 with attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder.

Players complete “missions” by steering an aircraft through complex obstacle courses and collecting targets. The prescription directs the child to complete five missions each day for 5 days per week. It is recommended that patients use EndeavorRx for at least 4 weeks. Researchers are hopeful that, moving forward, the game will also prove effective for other cognitive disorders, including dementias and mild cognitive impairment.

EndeavorRx is even being studied for its efficacy in combating brain fog in COVID-19 long-haulers. A team of researchers led by Faith Gunning, PhD, psychologist and vice chair of research in the department of psychiatry at Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, is performing a trial of EndeavorRx for post–COVID-19 cognitive dysfunction.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

In recent years, a new genre of medical intervention has started to emerge – digital therapeutics. In the wake of promising results in a number of conditions, one high-profile approval by the Food and Drug Administration, and several ongoing clinical studies, neurologists (and other doctors) may soon be prescribing video games alongside conventional therapies for several conditions.

“Digital therapeutics refers to a software-based intervention. It’s not just digital information or digital monitoring, it’s an alternative treatment option based on software,” said John Krakauer, MD, professor of neurology, neuroscience, and physical medicine and rehabilitation at The Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore.

Dr. Krakauer explained that the nervous system is especially amenable to gamified therapies because of its unique ability to learn. “It’s an experience-dependent plastic system. You really want to have a high-intensity, high-dose behavioral intervention to try and rewire and train the nervous system.

“In other words, digital therapeutics complements what happens in physical and occupational therapy sessions with scientifically-informed behavioral interventions based on technology and software,” he said.
 

The digital dolphin treating stroke

Dr. Krakauer, chief scientific adviser to the company MindMaze, studies immersive digital therapies to enhance neurorehabilitation following stroke. He works on MindPod Dolphin, a virtual reality game that trains motor control of the upper extremities by having the patient simulate swimming in the ocean like a dolphin.

“Your movement is tracked, there are artificial intelligence algorithms controlling the difficulty, and the whole purpose is to take your nervous system for a ride, outside the context of activities of daily living. Patients are so engaged and immersed that they don’t even realize they’re making high-quality, high-intensity, high-dose movements of their arm.”

In a pilot trial called SMARTS2, his group found that MindPod Dolphin was about twice as effective as regular rehabilitation for upper extremity motor recovery in patients who had had a stroke. A larger trial is currently underway in New Zealand.

Another preliminary study found that MindPod Dolphin had positive effects on the physical and cognitive health of elderly patients in an assisted-living facility. Now, MindPod Dolphin is being studied around the world in patients with multiple sclerosis, Parkinson’s disease, concussion, and traumatic brain injury (TBI). There is even a Department of Defense–funded trial underway for veterans with TBI.
 

Reaching young patients through virtual play

Isabela Granic, PhD, director of the Games for Emotional and Mental Health Lab, and professor and chair of the developmental psychopathology department in the Behavioural Science Institute at Radboud University in the Netherlands, studies gamified therapy for depression and anxiety.

“We take evidence-based techniques in the mental health clinical world or developmental research, such as cognitive-behavioral therapy (CBT) or exposure therapy, and then embed them in games to use a different engine for delivering something we otherwise know works,” she said.

Data for a game she developed called MindLight are promising so far. “We have randomized controlled trials showing that we can cut young people’s anxiety in half after they have as little as five 1-hour sessions per week. We’ve shown that we can get the same benefits as CBT for these young people, which is huge.” MindLight also has proved effective for treating anxiety in children with autism.
 

A first for therapeutic video games

In the summer of 2020, EndeavorRx, made by Akili Interactive, became the first prescription video game to be approved by the FDA. The game, which is designed to improve attention function, is currently authorized for children aged 8-12 with attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder.

Players complete “missions” by steering an aircraft through complex obstacle courses and collecting targets. The prescription directs the child to complete five missions each day for 5 days per week. It is recommended that patients use EndeavorRx for at least 4 weeks. Researchers are hopeful that, moving forward, the game will also prove effective for other cognitive disorders, including dementias and mild cognitive impairment.

EndeavorRx is even being studied for its efficacy in combating brain fog in COVID-19 long-haulers. A team of researchers led by Faith Gunning, PhD, psychologist and vice chair of research in the department of psychiatry at Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, is performing a trial of EndeavorRx for post–COVID-19 cognitive dysfunction.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

In recent years, a new genre of medical intervention has started to emerge – digital therapeutics. In the wake of promising results in a number of conditions, one high-profile approval by the Food and Drug Administration, and several ongoing clinical studies, neurologists (and other doctors) may soon be prescribing video games alongside conventional therapies for several conditions.

“Digital therapeutics refers to a software-based intervention. It’s not just digital information or digital monitoring, it’s an alternative treatment option based on software,” said John Krakauer, MD, professor of neurology, neuroscience, and physical medicine and rehabilitation at The Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore.

Dr. Krakauer explained that the nervous system is especially amenable to gamified therapies because of its unique ability to learn. “It’s an experience-dependent plastic system. You really want to have a high-intensity, high-dose behavioral intervention to try and rewire and train the nervous system.

“In other words, digital therapeutics complements what happens in physical and occupational therapy sessions with scientifically-informed behavioral interventions based on technology and software,” he said.
 

The digital dolphin treating stroke

Dr. Krakauer, chief scientific adviser to the company MindMaze, studies immersive digital therapies to enhance neurorehabilitation following stroke. He works on MindPod Dolphin, a virtual reality game that trains motor control of the upper extremities by having the patient simulate swimming in the ocean like a dolphin.

“Your movement is tracked, there are artificial intelligence algorithms controlling the difficulty, and the whole purpose is to take your nervous system for a ride, outside the context of activities of daily living. Patients are so engaged and immersed that they don’t even realize they’re making high-quality, high-intensity, high-dose movements of their arm.”

In a pilot trial called SMARTS2, his group found that MindPod Dolphin was about twice as effective as regular rehabilitation for upper extremity motor recovery in patients who had had a stroke. A larger trial is currently underway in New Zealand.

Another preliminary study found that MindPod Dolphin had positive effects on the physical and cognitive health of elderly patients in an assisted-living facility. Now, MindPod Dolphin is being studied around the world in patients with multiple sclerosis, Parkinson’s disease, concussion, and traumatic brain injury (TBI). There is even a Department of Defense–funded trial underway for veterans with TBI.
 

Reaching young patients through virtual play

Isabela Granic, PhD, director of the Games for Emotional and Mental Health Lab, and professor and chair of the developmental psychopathology department in the Behavioural Science Institute at Radboud University in the Netherlands, studies gamified therapy for depression and anxiety.

“We take evidence-based techniques in the mental health clinical world or developmental research, such as cognitive-behavioral therapy (CBT) or exposure therapy, and then embed them in games to use a different engine for delivering something we otherwise know works,” she said.

Data for a game she developed called MindLight are promising so far. “We have randomized controlled trials showing that we can cut young people’s anxiety in half after they have as little as five 1-hour sessions per week. We’ve shown that we can get the same benefits as CBT for these young people, which is huge.” MindLight also has proved effective for treating anxiety in children with autism.
 

A first for therapeutic video games

In the summer of 2020, EndeavorRx, made by Akili Interactive, became the first prescription video game to be approved by the FDA. The game, which is designed to improve attention function, is currently authorized for children aged 8-12 with attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder.

Players complete “missions” by steering an aircraft through complex obstacle courses and collecting targets. The prescription directs the child to complete five missions each day for 5 days per week. It is recommended that patients use EndeavorRx for at least 4 weeks. Researchers are hopeful that, moving forward, the game will also prove effective for other cognitive disorders, including dementias and mild cognitive impairment.

EndeavorRx is even being studied for its efficacy in combating brain fog in COVID-19 long-haulers. A team of researchers led by Faith Gunning, PhD, psychologist and vice chair of research in the department of psychiatry at Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, is performing a trial of EndeavorRx for post–COVID-19 cognitive dysfunction.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

The World Health Organization is calling on wealthy nations to wait to give their citizens booster doses of COVID-19 vaccines until at least the end of September to give more people in other countries a chance to get a first dose of these lifesaving shots.

WHO Director-General Tedros Ghebreyesus, PhD, said that more than 80% of the 4 billion vaccine doses given around the world had been distributed to high-income countries, though they represent less than half the world’s population.

“I understand the concern of all governments to protect their people from the Delta variant,” Dr. Ghebreyesus said. “But we cannot accept countries that have already used most of the global supply of vaccines using even more of it, while the world’s most vulnerable people remain unprotected.”

So far, high-income countries have given about 100 vaccine doses for every 100 people, while low-income countries have given just 1.5 doses for every 100 people.

“Which means, in some of the most vulnerable countries in the world with the weakest health systems, health care workers are working without protection. … the older populations remain at high risk,” said Bruce Aylward, MD, the WHO’s senior adviser on organizational change.

But not everyone agrees.

Leana Wen, MD, a visiting professor at the Milken Institute School of Public Health at George Washington University, Washington, said there are doses already in the United States that won’t last long enough to be sent elsewhere.

“Yes, we need to get vaccines to the world (which also includes helping with distribution, not just supply), but there are doses expiring here in the U.S.,” she said on Twitter. “Why not allow those immunosuppressed to receive them?”

Israel became the first country to start giving some residents booster shots on Sunday, offering extra doses to seniors who are more than 5 months past their last vaccinations. On Monday, Germany announced it would also give booster doses to vulnerable patients, such as nursing home residents, beginning in September.

Dr. Aylward said the moratorium was all about “trying to put a hold on those policies until and unless we get the rest of the world caught up.”

He said it’s clear from the emergence of variant after variant that if we don’t stop the transmission of the virus around the world, the pandemic will continue to put pressure on the vaccines, making them less and less effective.

“We cannot get out of it unless the whole world gets out of it together,” Dr. Aylward said.

“We need an urgent reversal, from the majority of vaccines going to high-income countries, to the majority going to low-income countries,” Dr. Ghebreyesus said, asking leaders of high-income countries to wait on distributing booster doses until at least 10% of the world’s population is vaccinated.

“To make that happen, we need everyone’s cooperation, especially the handful of countries and companies that control the global supply of vaccines,” he said.

A version of this article first appeared on WebMD.com.

The World Health Organization is calling on wealthy nations to wait to give their citizens booster doses of COVID-19 vaccines until at least the end of September to give more people in other countries a chance to get a first dose of these lifesaving shots.

WHO Director-General Tedros Ghebreyesus, PhD, said that more than 80% of the 4 billion vaccine doses given around the world had been distributed to high-income countries, though they represent less than half the world’s population.

“I understand the concern of all governments to protect their people from the Delta variant,” Dr. Ghebreyesus said. “But we cannot accept countries that have already used most of the global supply of vaccines using even more of it, while the world’s most vulnerable people remain unprotected.”

So far, high-income countries have given about 100 vaccine doses for every 100 people, while low-income countries have given just 1.5 doses for every 100 people.

“Which means, in some of the most vulnerable countries in the world with the weakest health systems, health care workers are working without protection. … the older populations remain at high risk,” said Bruce Aylward, MD, the WHO’s senior adviser on organizational change.

But not everyone agrees.

Leana Wen, MD, a visiting professor at the Milken Institute School of Public Health at George Washington University, Washington, said there are doses already in the United States that won’t last long enough to be sent elsewhere.

“Yes, we need to get vaccines to the world (which also includes helping with distribution, not just supply), but there are doses expiring here in the U.S.,” she said on Twitter. “Why not allow those immunosuppressed to receive them?”

Israel became the first country to start giving some residents booster shots on Sunday, offering extra doses to seniors who are more than 5 months past their last vaccinations. On Monday, Germany announced it would also give booster doses to vulnerable patients, such as nursing home residents, beginning in September.

Dr. Aylward said the moratorium was all about “trying to put a hold on those policies until and unless we get the rest of the world caught up.”

He said it’s clear from the emergence of variant after variant that if we don’t stop the transmission of the virus around the world, the pandemic will continue to put pressure on the vaccines, making them less and less effective.

“We cannot get out of it unless the whole world gets out of it together,” Dr. Aylward said.

“We need an urgent reversal, from the majority of vaccines going to high-income countries, to the majority going to low-income countries,” Dr. Ghebreyesus said, asking leaders of high-income countries to wait on distributing booster doses until at least 10% of the world’s population is vaccinated.

“To make that happen, we need everyone’s cooperation, especially the handful of countries and companies that control the global supply of vaccines,” he said.

A version of this article first appeared on WebMD.com.

The World Health Organization is calling on wealthy nations to wait to give their citizens booster doses of COVID-19 vaccines until at least the end of September to give more people in other countries a chance to get a first dose of these lifesaving shots.

WHO Director-General Tedros Ghebreyesus, PhD, said that more than 80% of the 4 billion vaccine doses given around the world had been distributed to high-income countries, though they represent less than half the world’s population.

“I understand the concern of all governments to protect their people from the Delta variant,” Dr. Ghebreyesus said. “But we cannot accept countries that have already used most of the global supply of vaccines using even more of it, while the world’s most vulnerable people remain unprotected.”

So far, high-income countries have given about 100 vaccine doses for every 100 people, while low-income countries have given just 1.5 doses for every 100 people.

“Which means, in some of the most vulnerable countries in the world with the weakest health systems, health care workers are working without protection. … the older populations remain at high risk,” said Bruce Aylward, MD, the WHO’s senior adviser on organizational change.

But not everyone agrees.

Leana Wen, MD, a visiting professor at the Milken Institute School of Public Health at George Washington University, Washington, said there are doses already in the United States that won’t last long enough to be sent elsewhere.

“Yes, we need to get vaccines to the world (which also includes helping with distribution, not just supply), but there are doses expiring here in the U.S.,” she said on Twitter. “Why not allow those immunosuppressed to receive them?”

Israel became the first country to start giving some residents booster shots on Sunday, offering extra doses to seniors who are more than 5 months past their last vaccinations. On Monday, Germany announced it would also give booster doses to vulnerable patients, such as nursing home residents, beginning in September.

Dr. Aylward said the moratorium was all about “trying to put a hold on those policies until and unless we get the rest of the world caught up.”

He said it’s clear from the emergence of variant after variant that if we don’t stop the transmission of the virus around the world, the pandemic will continue to put pressure on the vaccines, making them less and less effective.

“We cannot get out of it unless the whole world gets out of it together,” Dr. Aylward said.

“We need an urgent reversal, from the majority of vaccines going to high-income countries, to the majority going to low-income countries,” Dr. Ghebreyesus said, asking leaders of high-income countries to wait on distributing booster doses until at least 10% of the world’s population is vaccinated.

“To make that happen, we need everyone’s cooperation, especially the handful of countries and companies that control the global supply of vaccines,” he said.

A version of this article first appeared on WebMD.com.

When the Delta variant of the coronavirus was first identified in India in December 2020, the threat may have seemed too remote to trigger worry in the United States, although the horror of it ripping through the country was soon hard to ignore.

Within months, the Delta variant had spread to more than 98 countries, including Scotland, the United Kingdom, Israel, and now, of course, the United States. The CDC said this week the Delta variant now accounts for 93% of all COVID cases.

Fueled by Delta, COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths are increasing in nearly all states, according to the latest CDC data. After the 7-day average number of cases dipped by June 22 to about 11,000, it rose by Aug. 3 to more than 85,000.

Some experts are heartened by the recent decrease in COVID-19 cases in the United Kingdom and India, both hard-hit with the Delta variant. COVID-19 cases in India peaked at more than 400,000 a day in May; by Aug. 2, that had dropped to about 30,500 daily.

Andy Slavitt, former Biden White House senior adviser for COVID-19 response, tweeted July 26 that, if the Delta variant acted the same in the United Kingdom as in India, it would have a quick rise and a quick drop.

The prediction seems to have come true. As of Aug. 3, U.K. cases have dropped to 7,467, compared with more than 46,800 July 19.

So the question of the summer has become: “When will Delta burn out here?”

Like other pandemic predictions, these are all over the board. Here are five predictions about when COVID cases will peak, then fall. They range from less than 2 weeks to more than 2 months:

• Mid-August: Among the most optimistic predictions of when the Delta-driven COVID-19 cases will decline is from Scott Gottlieb, MD, former FDA director. He told CNBC on July 28 that he would expect cases to decline in 2-3 weeks – so by August 11.
• Mid-August to mid-September: Ali Mokdad, PhD, chief strategy officer for population health at the University of Washington, Seattle, said that, “right now for the U.S. as a country, cases will peak mid-August” and then decline. He is citing projections by the university’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. In its “most likely” scenario, it predicts COVID deaths will peak at about 1,000 daily by mid-September, then decline. (As of Aug. 3, daily deaths averaged 371.)
• September: “I am hoping we get over this Delta hump [by then],” says Eric Topol, MD, founder and director of the Scripps Research Translational Institute in La Jolla, Calif., and editor-in-chief of Medscape. “But sometimes, I am too much of an optimist.”
• Mid-October: Experts at the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub, a consortium of researchers from leading institutions who consult with the CDC, said the Delta-fueled pandemic will steadily increase through summer and fall, with a mid-October peak.
• Unclear: Because cases are underestimated, “I think it is unclear when we will see a peak of Delta,” says Amesh Adalja, MD, a senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, Baltimore. He predicts a decline in cases as “more people get infected and develop natural immunity.”

The predictions are based on different scenarios, such as most likely or worst case. Factors such as personal behaviors, public mandates, and vaccination rates could all alter the projections.
 

What a difference vaccination may make

An uptick in vaccinations could change all the models and predictions, experts agree. As of Aug. 3, almost half (49.7%) of the total U.S. population was fully vaccinated, the CDC said. (And 80.1% of those 65 and over were.)

But that’s a long way from the 70% or 80% figure often cited to reach herd immunity. Recently, Ricardo Franco, MD, of the University of Alabama at Birmingham, said at a briefing by the Infectious Diseases Society of America that the infectiousness of the Delta variant may mean the herd immunity threshold is actually closer to 90%.

Dr. Mokdad estimates that by Nov. 1, based on the current rate of infections, 64% of people in the United States will be immune to a variant like Delta, taking into account those already infected and those vaccinated against COVID-19.

Justin Lessler, PhD, a University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill epidemiologist involved in the modeling hub, says if enough people get vaccinated, it could stop the Delta variant in its tracks. But that percentage is high.

“I am relatively confident that if we could get 90% or more of the eligible population vaccinated that we would see the epidemic begin to recede,” he says.

It’s a huge leap from 50%, or even 64%, to 90%. Could the Delta surge really motivate that many people to head to a vaccination site?

That’s hard to predict, Dr. Topol said. Some unvaccinated people may feel like soldiers in a foxhole, especially if they are in hard-hit states like Louisiana, and rush to get the vaccine as soon as possible. Others, hearing about the “breakthrough” cases in the vaccinated, may dig in their heels and ask: “Why bother?” as they mistakenly conclude that the vaccine has not done its job.
 

Roles of public policy, individual behavior

Besides an increase in vaccinations, individual behaviors and mandates can change the scenario. Doctors can remind even vaccinated patients that behaviors such as social distancing and masks still matter, experts said.

“Don’t ‘stress test’ your vaccine, “ Dr. Topol said.

The vaccines against COVID are good but not perfect and, he notes, they offer less protection if many months have passed since the vaccines were given.

The best advice now, Dr. Topol said, is: “Don’t be inside without a mask.”

Even if outdoors, depending on how close others are and the level of the conversation, a mask might be wise, he says.

Dr. Mokdad finds that “when cases go up, people put on their best behavior,” such as going back to masks and social distancing.

“Unfortunately, we have two countries,” he said, referring to the way public health measures and mandates vary from state to state.
 

Once the Delta variant subsides, what’s next?

It’s not a matter of if there is another variant on the heels of Delta, but when, Dr. Topol and other experts said. A new variant, Lambda, was first identified in Peru in August 2020 but now makes up about 90% of the country’s infections.

There’s also Delta-plus, just found in two people in South Korea.

Future variants could be even more transmissible than Delta, “which would be a horror show,” Dr. Topol said. “This [Delta] is by far the worst version. The virus is going to keep evolving. It is not done with us.”
 

On the horizon: Variant-proof vaccines

What’s needed to tackle the next variant is another approach to vaccine development, according to Dr. Topol and his colleague, Dennis R. Burton, a professor of immunology and microbiology at Scripps Research Institute.

Writing a commentary in Nature published in 2021, the two propose using a special class of protective antibodies, known as broadly neutralizing antibodies, to develop these vaccines. The success of the current COVID-19 vaccines is likely because of the vaccine’s ability to prompt the body to make protective neutralizing antibodies. These proteins bind to the viruses and prevent them from infecting the body’s cells.

The broadly neutralizing antibodies, however, can act against many different strains of related viruses, Dr. Topol and Mr. Burton wrote. Using this approach, which is already under study, scientists could make vaccines that would be effective against a family of viruses. The goal: to stop future outbreaks from becoming epidemics and then pandemics.

A version of this article first appeared on WebMD.com.

When the Delta variant of the coronavirus was first identified in India in December 2020, the threat may have seemed too remote to trigger worry in the United States, although the horror of it ripping through the country was soon hard to ignore.

Within months, the Delta variant had spread to more than 98 countries, including Scotland, the United Kingdom, Israel, and now, of course, the United States. The CDC said this week the Delta variant now accounts for 93% of all COVID cases.

Fueled by Delta, COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths are increasing in nearly all states, according to the latest CDC data. After the 7-day average number of cases dipped by June 22 to about 11,000, it rose by Aug. 3 to more than 85,000.

Some experts are heartened by the recent decrease in COVID-19 cases in the United Kingdom and India, both hard-hit with the Delta variant. COVID-19 cases in India peaked at more than 400,000 a day in May; by Aug. 2, that had dropped to about 30,500 daily.

Andy Slavitt, former Biden White House senior adviser for COVID-19 response, tweeted July 26 that, if the Delta variant acted the same in the United Kingdom as in India, it would have a quick rise and a quick drop.

The prediction seems to have come true. As of Aug. 3, U.K. cases have dropped to 7,467, compared with more than 46,800 July 19.

So the question of the summer has become: “When will Delta burn out here?”

Like other pandemic predictions, these are all over the board. Here are five predictions about when COVID cases will peak, then fall. They range from less than 2 weeks to more than 2 months:

• Mid-August: Among the most optimistic predictions of when the Delta-driven COVID-19 cases will decline is from Scott Gottlieb, MD, former FDA director. He told CNBC on July 28 that he would expect cases to decline in 2-3 weeks – so by August 11.
• Mid-August to mid-September: Ali Mokdad, PhD, chief strategy officer for population health at the University of Washington, Seattle, said that, “right now for the U.S. as a country, cases will peak mid-August” and then decline. He is citing projections by the university’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. In its “most likely” scenario, it predicts COVID deaths will peak at about 1,000 daily by mid-September, then decline. (As of Aug. 3, daily deaths averaged 371.)
• September: “I am hoping we get over this Delta hump [by then],” says Eric Topol, MD, founder and director of the Scripps Research Translational Institute in La Jolla, Calif., and editor-in-chief of Medscape. “But sometimes, I am too much of an optimist.”
• Mid-October: Experts at the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub, a consortium of researchers from leading institutions who consult with the CDC, said the Delta-fueled pandemic will steadily increase through summer and fall, with a mid-October peak.
• Unclear: Because cases are underestimated, “I think it is unclear when we will see a peak of Delta,” says Amesh Adalja, MD, a senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, Baltimore. He predicts a decline in cases as “more people get infected and develop natural immunity.”

The predictions are based on different scenarios, such as most likely or worst case. Factors such as personal behaviors, public mandates, and vaccination rates could all alter the projections.
 

What a difference vaccination may make

An uptick in vaccinations could change all the models and predictions, experts agree. As of Aug. 3, almost half (49.7%) of the total U.S. population was fully vaccinated, the CDC said. (And 80.1% of those 65 and over were.)

But that’s a long way from the 70% or 80% figure often cited to reach herd immunity. Recently, Ricardo Franco, MD, of the University of Alabama at Birmingham, said at a briefing by the Infectious Diseases Society of America that the infectiousness of the Delta variant may mean the herd immunity threshold is actually closer to 90%.

Dr. Mokdad estimates that by Nov. 1, based on the current rate of infections, 64% of people in the United States will be immune to a variant like Delta, taking into account those already infected and those vaccinated against COVID-19.

Justin Lessler, PhD, a University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill epidemiologist involved in the modeling hub, says if enough people get vaccinated, it could stop the Delta variant in its tracks. But that percentage is high.

“I am relatively confident that if we could get 90% or more of the eligible population vaccinated that we would see the epidemic begin to recede,” he says.

It’s a huge leap from 50%, or even 64%, to 90%. Could the Delta surge really motivate that many people to head to a vaccination site?

That’s hard to predict, Dr. Topol said. Some unvaccinated people may feel like soldiers in a foxhole, especially if they are in hard-hit states like Louisiana, and rush to get the vaccine as soon as possible. Others, hearing about the “breakthrough” cases in the vaccinated, may dig in their heels and ask: “Why bother?” as they mistakenly conclude that the vaccine has not done its job.
 

Roles of public policy, individual behavior

Besides an increase in vaccinations, individual behaviors and mandates can change the scenario. Doctors can remind even vaccinated patients that behaviors such as social distancing and masks still matter, experts said.

“Don’t ‘stress test’ your vaccine, “ Dr. Topol said.

The vaccines against COVID are good but not perfect and, he notes, they offer less protection if many months have passed since the vaccines were given.

The best advice now, Dr. Topol said, is: “Don’t be inside without a mask.”

Even if outdoors, depending on how close others are and the level of the conversation, a mask might be wise, he says.

Dr. Mokdad finds that “when cases go up, people put on their best behavior,” such as going back to masks and social distancing.

“Unfortunately, we have two countries,” he said, referring to the way public health measures and mandates vary from state to state.
 

Once the Delta variant subsides, what’s next?

It’s not a matter of if there is another variant on the heels of Delta, but when, Dr. Topol and other experts said. A new variant, Lambda, was first identified in Peru in August 2020 but now makes up about 90% of the country’s infections.

There’s also Delta-plus, just found in two people in South Korea.

Future variants could be even more transmissible than Delta, “which would be a horror show,” Dr. Topol said. “This [Delta] is by far the worst version. The virus is going to keep evolving. It is not done with us.”
 

On the horizon: Variant-proof vaccines

What’s needed to tackle the next variant is another approach to vaccine development, according to Dr. Topol and his colleague, Dennis R. Burton, a professor of immunology and microbiology at Scripps Research Institute.

Writing a commentary in Nature published in 2021, the two propose using a special class of protective antibodies, known as broadly neutralizing antibodies, to develop these vaccines. The success of the current COVID-19 vaccines is likely because of the vaccine’s ability to prompt the body to make protective neutralizing antibodies. These proteins bind to the viruses and prevent them from infecting the body’s cells.

The broadly neutralizing antibodies, however, can act against many different strains of related viruses, Dr. Topol and Mr. Burton wrote. Using this approach, which is already under study, scientists could make vaccines that would be effective against a family of viruses. The goal: to stop future outbreaks from becoming epidemics and then pandemics.

A version of this article first appeared on WebMD.com.

When the Delta variant of the coronavirus was first identified in India in December 2020, the threat may have seemed too remote to trigger worry in the United States, although the horror of it ripping through the country was soon hard to ignore.

Within months, the Delta variant had spread to more than 98 countries, including Scotland, the United Kingdom, Israel, and now, of course, the United States. The CDC said this week the Delta variant now accounts for 93% of all COVID cases.

Fueled by Delta, COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths are increasing in nearly all states, according to the latest CDC data. After the 7-day average number of cases dipped by June 22 to about 11,000, it rose by Aug. 3 to more than 85,000.

Some experts are heartened by the recent decrease in COVID-19 cases in the United Kingdom and India, both hard-hit with the Delta variant. COVID-19 cases in India peaked at more than 400,000 a day in May; by Aug. 2, that had dropped to about 30,500 daily.

Andy Slavitt, former Biden White House senior adviser for COVID-19 response, tweeted July 26 that, if the Delta variant acted the same in the United Kingdom as in India, it would have a quick rise and a quick drop.

The prediction seems to have come true. As of Aug. 3, U.K. cases have dropped to 7,467, compared with more than 46,800 July 19.

So the question of the summer has become: “When will Delta burn out here?”

Like other pandemic predictions, these are all over the board. Here are five predictions about when COVID cases will peak, then fall. They range from less than 2 weeks to more than 2 months:

• Mid-August: Among the most optimistic predictions of when the Delta-driven COVID-19 cases will decline is from Scott Gottlieb, MD, former FDA director. He told CNBC on July 28 that he would expect cases to decline in 2-3 weeks – so by August 11.
• Mid-August to mid-September: Ali Mokdad, PhD, chief strategy officer for population health at the University of Washington, Seattle, said that, “right now for the U.S. as a country, cases will peak mid-August” and then decline. He is citing projections by the university’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. In its “most likely” scenario, it predicts COVID deaths will peak at about 1,000 daily by mid-September, then decline. (As of Aug. 3, daily deaths averaged 371.)
• September: “I am hoping we get over this Delta hump [by then],” says Eric Topol, MD, founder and director of the Scripps Research Translational Institute in La Jolla, Calif., and editor-in-chief of Medscape. “But sometimes, I am too much of an optimist.”
• Mid-October: Experts at the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub, a consortium of researchers from leading institutions who consult with the CDC, said the Delta-fueled pandemic will steadily increase through summer and fall, with a mid-October peak.
• Unclear: Because cases are underestimated, “I think it is unclear when we will see a peak of Delta,” says Amesh Adalja, MD, a senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, Baltimore. He predicts a decline in cases as “more people get infected and develop natural immunity.”

The predictions are based on different scenarios, such as most likely or worst case. Factors such as personal behaviors, public mandates, and vaccination rates could all alter the projections.
 

What a difference vaccination may make

An uptick in vaccinations could change all the models and predictions, experts agree. As of Aug. 3, almost half (49.7%) of the total U.S. population was fully vaccinated, the CDC said. (And 80.1% of those 65 and over were.)

But that’s a long way from the 70% or 80% figure often cited to reach herd immunity. Recently, Ricardo Franco, MD, of the University of Alabama at Birmingham, said at a briefing by the Infectious Diseases Society of America that the infectiousness of the Delta variant may mean the herd immunity threshold is actually closer to 90%.

Dr. Mokdad estimates that by Nov. 1, based on the current rate of infections, 64% of people in the United States will be immune to a variant like Delta, taking into account those already infected and those vaccinated against COVID-19.

Justin Lessler, PhD, a University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill epidemiologist involved in the modeling hub, says if enough people get vaccinated, it could stop the Delta variant in its tracks. But that percentage is high.

“I am relatively confident that if we could get 90% or more of the eligible population vaccinated that we would see the epidemic begin to recede,” he says.

It’s a huge leap from 50%, or even 64%, to 90%. Could the Delta surge really motivate that many people to head to a vaccination site?

That’s hard to predict, Dr. Topol said. Some unvaccinated people may feel like soldiers in a foxhole, especially if they are in hard-hit states like Louisiana, and rush to get the vaccine as soon as possible. Others, hearing about the “breakthrough” cases in the vaccinated, may dig in their heels and ask: “Why bother?” as they mistakenly conclude that the vaccine has not done its job.
 

Roles of public policy, individual behavior

Besides an increase in vaccinations, individual behaviors and mandates can change the scenario. Doctors can remind even vaccinated patients that behaviors such as social distancing and masks still matter, experts said.

“Don’t ‘stress test’ your vaccine, “ Dr. Topol said.

The vaccines against COVID are good but not perfect and, he notes, they offer less protection if many months have passed since the vaccines were given.

The best advice now, Dr. Topol said, is: “Don’t be inside without a mask.”

Even if outdoors, depending on how close others are and the level of the conversation, a mask might be wise, he says.

Dr. Mokdad finds that “when cases go up, people put on their best behavior,” such as going back to masks and social distancing.

“Unfortunately, we have two countries,” he said, referring to the way public health measures and mandates vary from state to state.
 

Once the Delta variant subsides, what’s next?

It’s not a matter of if there is another variant on the heels of Delta, but when, Dr. Topol and other experts said. A new variant, Lambda, was first identified in Peru in August 2020 but now makes up about 90% of the country’s infections.

There’s also Delta-plus, just found in two people in South Korea.

Future variants could be even more transmissible than Delta, “which would be a horror show,” Dr. Topol said. “This [Delta] is by far the worst version. The virus is going to keep evolving. It is not done with us.”
 

On the horizon: Variant-proof vaccines

What’s needed to tackle the next variant is another approach to vaccine development, according to Dr. Topol and his colleague, Dennis R. Burton, a professor of immunology and microbiology at Scripps Research Institute.

Writing a commentary in Nature published in 2021, the two propose using a special class of protective antibodies, known as broadly neutralizing antibodies, to develop these vaccines. The success of the current COVID-19 vaccines is likely because of the vaccine’s ability to prompt the body to make protective neutralizing antibodies. These proteins bind to the viruses and prevent them from infecting the body’s cells.

The broadly neutralizing antibodies, however, can act against many different strains of related viruses, Dr. Topol and Mr. Burton wrote. Using this approach, which is already under study, scientists could make vaccines that would be effective against a family of viruses. The goal: to stop future outbreaks from becoming epidemics and then pandemics.

A version of this article first appeared on WebMD.com.

America’s COVID-19 vaccination rate is around 60% for ages 12 and up. That’s not enough to reach so-called herd immunity, and in states like Missouri – where a number of counties have vaccination rates under 25% – hospitals are overwhelmed by serious outbreaks of the more contagious delta variant.

The vaccine resisters offer all kinds of reasons for refusing the free shots and for ignoring efforts to nudge them to get inoculated. Campaigns urging Americans to get vaccinated for their health, for their grandparents, for their neighbors, or to get free doughnuts or a free joint haven’t done the trick. States have even held lotteries with a chance to win millions or a college scholarship.

And yet there are still huge numbers of unvaccinated people. Federal, state, and municipal governments as well as private businesses continue to largely avoid mandates for their employees out of fears they will provoke a backlash.

So, how about an economic argument? Get a COVID shot to protect your wallet.

Getting hospitalized with COVID in the United States typically generates huge bills. Those submitted by COVID patients to the NPR-Kaiser Health News “Bill of the Month” project include a $17,000 bill for a brief hospital stay in Marietta, Ga., (reduced to about $4,000 for an uninsured patient under a “charity care” policy); a $104,000 bill for a 14-day hospitalization in Miami for an uninsured man; and a bill for possibly hundreds of thousands for a 2-week hospital stay – some of it on a ventilator – for a foreign tourist in Hawaii whose travel health insurance contained a “pandemic exclusion.”

Even though insurance companies negotiate lower prices and cover much of the cost of care, an over-$1,000 out-of-pocket bill for a deductible – plus more for copays and possibly some out-of-network care – should be a pretty scary incentive.

In 2020, before COVID vaccines, most major private insurers waived patient payments – from coinsurance to deductibles – for COVID treatment. But many, if not most, have allowed that policy to lapse. Aetna, for example, ended that policy Feb. 28; UnitedHealthcare began rolling back its waivers late last year and ended them by the end of March.

More than 97% of hospitalized patients last month were unvaccinated. Though the vaccines will not necessarily prevent you from catching the coronavirus, they are highly effective at assuring you will have a milder case and are kept out of the hospital.

For this reason, there’s logic behind insurers’ waiver rollback: Why should patients be kept financially unharmed from what is now a preventable hospitalization, thanks to a vaccine that the government paid for and made available free of charge? It is now in many drugstores, it’s popping up at highway rest stops and bus stops, and it can be delivered and administered at home in parts of the country.

A harsher society might impose tough penalties on people who refuse vaccinations and contract the virus. Recently, the National Football League decreed that teams will forfeit a game canceled because of a COVID outbreak among unvaccinated players – and neither team’s players will be paid.

But insurers could try to do more, like penalizing the unvaccinated. And there is precedent. Already, some policies won’t cover treatment necessitated by what insurance companies deem risky behavior, such as scuba diving and rock climbing.

The Affordable Care Act allows insurers to charge smokers up to 50% more than what nonsmokers pay for some health plans. Four-fifths of states follow that protocol, though most employer-based plans do not do so. In 49 states, people caught driving without auto insurance face fines, confiscation of their car, loss of their license, and even jail. And reckless drivers pay more for insurance.

The logic behind the policies is that the offenders’ behavior can hurt others and costs society a lot of money. If a person decides not to get vaccinated and contracts a bad case of COVID, they are not only exposing others in their workplace or neighborhoods; the tens or hundreds of thousands spent on their care could mean higher premiums for others as well in their insurance plans next year. What’s more, outbreaks in low-vaccination regions could help breed more vaccine-resistant variants that affect everyone.

Yes, we often cover people whose habits may have contributed to their illness – insurance regularly pays for drug and alcohol rehab and cancer treatment for smokers.

That’s one reason, perhaps, that insurers too have so far favored carrots, not sticks, to get people vaccinated. Some private insurers are offering people who get vaccinated a credit toward their medical premiums, or gift cards and sweepstakes prizes, according to America’s Health Insurance Plans, an industry organization.

Tough love might be easier if the Food and Drug Administration gives vaccines full approval, rather than the current emergency use authorization. Even so, taxpayer-financed plans like Medicaid and Medicare must treat everyone the same and would encounter a lengthy process to secure federal waivers to experiment with incentives, according to Larry Levitt, executive vice president of Kaiser Family Foundation. These programs cannot charge different rates to different patients in a state.

KFF polling shows such incentives are of limited value, anyway. Many holdouts say they will be vaccinated only if required to do so by their employers.

But what if the financial cost of not getting vaccinated were just too high? If patients thought about the price they might need to pay for their own care, maybe they would reconsider remaining unprotected.
 

KHN (Kaiser Health News) is a national newsroom that produces in-depth journalism about health issues. Together with Policy Analysis and Polling, KHN is one of the three major operating programs at KFF (Kaiser Family Foundation). KFF is an endowed nonprofit organization providing information on health issues to the nation.

America’s COVID-19 vaccination rate is around 60% for ages 12 and up. That’s not enough to reach so-called herd immunity, and in states like Missouri – where a number of counties have vaccination rates under 25% – hospitals are overwhelmed by serious outbreaks of the more contagious delta variant.

The vaccine resisters offer all kinds of reasons for refusing the free shots and for ignoring efforts to nudge them to get inoculated. Campaigns urging Americans to get vaccinated for their health, for their grandparents, for their neighbors, or to get free doughnuts or a free joint haven’t done the trick. States have even held lotteries with a chance to win millions or a college scholarship.

And yet there are still huge numbers of unvaccinated people. Federal, state, and municipal governments as well as private businesses continue to largely avoid mandates for their employees out of fears they will provoke a backlash.

So, how about an economic argument? Get a COVID shot to protect your wallet.

Getting hospitalized with COVID in the United States typically generates huge bills. Those submitted by COVID patients to the NPR-Kaiser Health News “Bill of the Month” project include a $17,000 bill for a brief hospital stay in Marietta, Ga., (reduced to about $4,000 for an uninsured patient under a “charity care” policy); a $104,000 bill for a 14-day hospitalization in Miami for an uninsured man; and a bill for possibly hundreds of thousands for a 2-week hospital stay – some of it on a ventilator – for a foreign tourist in Hawaii whose travel health insurance contained a “pandemic exclusion.”

Even though insurance companies negotiate lower prices and cover much of the cost of care, an over-$1,000 out-of-pocket bill for a deductible – plus more for copays and possibly some out-of-network care – should be a pretty scary incentive.

In 2020, before COVID vaccines, most major private insurers waived patient payments – from coinsurance to deductibles – for COVID treatment. But many, if not most, have allowed that policy to lapse. Aetna, for example, ended that policy Feb. 28; UnitedHealthcare began rolling back its waivers late last year and ended them by the end of March.

More than 97% of hospitalized patients last month were unvaccinated. Though the vaccines will not necessarily prevent you from catching the coronavirus, they are highly effective at assuring you will have a milder case and are kept out of the hospital.

For this reason, there’s logic behind insurers’ waiver rollback: Why should patients be kept financially unharmed from what is now a preventable hospitalization, thanks to a vaccine that the government paid for and made available free of charge? It is now in many drugstores, it’s popping up at highway rest stops and bus stops, and it can be delivered and administered at home in parts of the country.

A harsher society might impose tough penalties on people who refuse vaccinations and contract the virus. Recently, the National Football League decreed that teams will forfeit a game canceled because of a COVID outbreak among unvaccinated players – and neither team’s players will be paid.

But insurers could try to do more, like penalizing the unvaccinated. And there is precedent. Already, some policies won’t cover treatment necessitated by what insurance companies deem risky behavior, such as scuba diving and rock climbing.

The Affordable Care Act allows insurers to charge smokers up to 50% more than what nonsmokers pay for some health plans. Four-fifths of states follow that protocol, though most employer-based plans do not do so. In 49 states, people caught driving without auto insurance face fines, confiscation of their car, loss of their license, and even jail. And reckless drivers pay more for insurance.

The logic behind the policies is that the offenders’ behavior can hurt others and costs society a lot of money. If a person decides not to get vaccinated and contracts a bad case of COVID, they are not only exposing others in their workplace or neighborhoods; the tens or hundreds of thousands spent on their care could mean higher premiums for others as well in their insurance plans next year. What’s more, outbreaks in low-vaccination regions could help breed more vaccine-resistant variants that affect everyone.

Yes, we often cover people whose habits may have contributed to their illness – insurance regularly pays for drug and alcohol rehab and cancer treatment for smokers.

That’s one reason, perhaps, that insurers too have so far favored carrots, not sticks, to get people vaccinated. Some private insurers are offering people who get vaccinated a credit toward their medical premiums, or gift cards and sweepstakes prizes, according to America’s Health Insurance Plans, an industry organization.

Tough love might be easier if the Food and Drug Administration gives vaccines full approval, rather than the current emergency use authorization. Even so, taxpayer-financed plans like Medicaid and Medicare must treat everyone the same and would encounter a lengthy process to secure federal waivers to experiment with incentives, according to Larry Levitt, executive vice president of Kaiser Family Foundation. These programs cannot charge different rates to different patients in a state.

KFF polling shows such incentives are of limited value, anyway. Many holdouts say they will be vaccinated only if required to do so by their employers.

But what if the financial cost of not getting vaccinated were just too high? If patients thought about the price they might need to pay for their own care, maybe they would reconsider remaining unprotected.
 

KHN (Kaiser Health News) is a national newsroom that produces in-depth journalism about health issues. Together with Policy Analysis and Polling, KHN is one of the three major operating programs at KFF (Kaiser Family Foundation). KFF is an endowed nonprofit organization providing information on health issues to the nation.

America’s COVID-19 vaccination rate is around 60% for ages 12 and up. That’s not enough to reach so-called herd immunity, and in states like Missouri – where a number of counties have vaccination rates under 25% – hospitals are overwhelmed by serious outbreaks of the more contagious delta variant.

The vaccine resisters offer all kinds of reasons for refusing the free shots and for ignoring efforts to nudge them to get inoculated. Campaigns urging Americans to get vaccinated for their health, for their grandparents, for their neighbors, or to get free doughnuts or a free joint haven’t done the trick. States have even held lotteries with a chance to win millions or a college scholarship.

And yet there are still huge numbers of unvaccinated people. Federal, state, and municipal governments as well as private businesses continue to largely avoid mandates for their employees out of fears they will provoke a backlash.

So, how about an economic argument? Get a COVID shot to protect your wallet.

Getting hospitalized with COVID in the United States typically generates huge bills. Those submitted by COVID patients to the NPR-Kaiser Health News “Bill of the Month” project include a $17,000 bill for a brief hospital stay in Marietta, Ga., (reduced to about $4,000 for an uninsured patient under a “charity care” policy); a $104,000 bill for a 14-day hospitalization in Miami for an uninsured man; and a bill for possibly hundreds of thousands for a 2-week hospital stay – some of it on a ventilator – for a foreign tourist in Hawaii whose travel health insurance contained a “pandemic exclusion.”

Even though insurance companies negotiate lower prices and cover much of the cost of care, an over-$1,000 out-of-pocket bill for a deductible – plus more for copays and possibly some out-of-network care – should be a pretty scary incentive.

In 2020, before COVID vaccines, most major private insurers waived patient payments – from coinsurance to deductibles – for COVID treatment. But many, if not most, have allowed that policy to lapse. Aetna, for example, ended that policy Feb. 28; UnitedHealthcare began rolling back its waivers late last year and ended them by the end of March.

More than 97% of hospitalized patients last month were unvaccinated. Though the vaccines will not necessarily prevent you from catching the coronavirus, they are highly effective at assuring you will have a milder case and are kept out of the hospital.

For this reason, there’s logic behind insurers’ waiver rollback: Why should patients be kept financially unharmed from what is now a preventable hospitalization, thanks to a vaccine that the government paid for and made available free of charge? It is now in many drugstores, it’s popping up at highway rest stops and bus stops, and it can be delivered and administered at home in parts of the country.

A harsher society might impose tough penalties on people who refuse vaccinations and contract the virus. Recently, the National Football League decreed that teams will forfeit a game canceled because of a COVID outbreak among unvaccinated players – and neither team’s players will be paid.

But insurers could try to do more, like penalizing the unvaccinated. And there is precedent. Already, some policies won’t cover treatment necessitated by what insurance companies deem risky behavior, such as scuba diving and rock climbing.

The Affordable Care Act allows insurers to charge smokers up to 50% more than what nonsmokers pay for some health plans. Four-fifths of states follow that protocol, though most employer-based plans do not do so. In 49 states, people caught driving without auto insurance face fines, confiscation of their car, loss of their license, and even jail. And reckless drivers pay more for insurance.

The logic behind the policies is that the offenders’ behavior can hurt others and costs society a lot of money. If a person decides not to get vaccinated and contracts a bad case of COVID, they are not only exposing others in their workplace or neighborhoods; the tens or hundreds of thousands spent on their care could mean higher premiums for others as well in their insurance plans next year. What’s more, outbreaks in low-vaccination regions could help breed more vaccine-resistant variants that affect everyone.

Yes, we often cover people whose habits may have contributed to their illness – insurance regularly pays for drug and alcohol rehab and cancer treatment for smokers.

That’s one reason, perhaps, that insurers too have so far favored carrots, not sticks, to get people vaccinated. Some private insurers are offering people who get vaccinated a credit toward their medical premiums, or gift cards and sweepstakes prizes, according to America’s Health Insurance Plans, an industry organization.

Tough love might be easier if the Food and Drug Administration gives vaccines full approval, rather than the current emergency use authorization. Even so, taxpayer-financed plans like Medicaid and Medicare must treat everyone the same and would encounter a lengthy process to secure federal waivers to experiment with incentives, according to Larry Levitt, executive vice president of Kaiser Family Foundation. These programs cannot charge different rates to different patients in a state.

KFF polling shows such incentives are of limited value, anyway. Many holdouts say they will be vaccinated only if required to do so by their employers.

But what if the financial cost of not getting vaccinated were just too high? If patients thought about the price they might need to pay for their own care, maybe they would reconsider remaining unprotected.
 

KHN (Kaiser Health News) is a national newsroom that produces in-depth journalism about health issues. Together with Policy Analysis and Polling, KHN is one of the three major operating programs at KFF (Kaiser Family Foundation). KFF is an endowed nonprofit organization providing information on health issues to the nation.

The correlation between stress and graying of hair has long been hypothesized, but has been difficult to prove. In addition, reversal of hair graying has been thought of as a temporary phenomenon as hair pigment goes through its natural progression of senescence.

Noel Hendrickson/Getty Images

However, the recent publication that is a collaboration between the department of psychiatry at Columbia University, New York; and the departments of dermatology at the University College Dublin, University of Miami, and the University of Manchester (England); and the Monasterium Laboratory in Münster, Germany, demonstrates a quantitative mapping of human hair graying – and its reversal – in relation to stress.

In the study, hair color of single strands of hair from seven healthy females and seven healthy males, whose mean age was 35 years (range, 9-65 years), were analyzed. In addition to hair pigment analysis, study subjects documented the stress they were experiencing each week in diaries. Using either high resolution image scanners, electron microscopy, and/or hair shaft proteomics, the investigators were able to evaluate loss of pigment within fragments small enough to have grown over one hour.

When changes in hair color were noted, variations in up to 300 proteins were documented, including an up-regulation of the fatty acid synthesis and metabolism machinery in graying. Recent studies also corroborate that fatty acid synthesis by fatty acid synthase and “transport by CPT1A ... are sufficient drivers of cell senescence, and that fatty acid metabolism regulates melanocyte aging biology” the authors wrote.

Molecularly, the investigators found that gray hairs up-regulate proteins associated with energy metabolism, mitochondria, and antioxidant defenses. The graying correlated with stress was also reversible, “at least temporarily,” based on their retrospective analysis and analysis over the 2.5-year recruitment period, the investigators wrote. Specifically, they found that graying hair “may be acutely triggered by stressful life experiences, the removal of which can trigger reversal.” From the data, they also developed a mathematical model to predict what might happen to human hair over time.

Through this study, proof-of-concept evidence is provided indicating that biobehavioral factors are linked to human hair graying dynamics. Future analysis with larger sample sizes and incorporating neuroendocrine markers may further support these correlations. This is an interesting study that elucidates the mechanisms responsible for how stress and other life exposures manifest in human biology, and, if we as human beings effectively manage that stress, how it may both reverse the negative impact and outcomes affecting our body and health.

The study was supported by the Wharton Fund and grants from the National Institutes of Health.

Dr. Wesley and Dr. Lily Talakoub are cocontributors to this column. Dr. Wesley practices dermatology in Beverly Hills, Calif. Dr. Talakoub is in private practice in McLean, Va. This month’s column is by Dr. Wesley. Write to them at dermnews@mdedge.com. They have no relevant disclosures.

The correlation between stress and graying of hair has long been hypothesized, but has been difficult to prove. In addition, reversal of hair graying has been thought of as a temporary phenomenon as hair pigment goes through its natural progression of senescence.

Noel Hendrickson/Getty Images

However, the recent publication that is a collaboration between the department of psychiatry at Columbia University, New York; and the departments of dermatology at the University College Dublin, University of Miami, and the University of Manchester (England); and the Monasterium Laboratory in Münster, Germany, demonstrates a quantitative mapping of human hair graying – and its reversal – in relation to stress.

In the study, hair color of single strands of hair from seven healthy females and seven healthy males, whose mean age was 35 years (range, 9-65 years), were analyzed. In addition to hair pigment analysis, study subjects documented the stress they were experiencing each week in diaries. Using either high resolution image scanners, electron microscopy, and/or hair shaft proteomics, the investigators were able to evaluate loss of pigment within fragments small enough to have grown over one hour.

When changes in hair color were noted, variations in up to 300 proteins were documented, including an up-regulation of the fatty acid synthesis and metabolism machinery in graying. Recent studies also corroborate that fatty acid synthesis by fatty acid synthase and “transport by CPT1A ... are sufficient drivers of cell senescence, and that fatty acid metabolism regulates melanocyte aging biology” the authors wrote.

Molecularly, the investigators found that gray hairs up-regulate proteins associated with energy metabolism, mitochondria, and antioxidant defenses. The graying correlated with stress was also reversible, “at least temporarily,” based on their retrospective analysis and analysis over the 2.5-year recruitment period, the investigators wrote. Specifically, they found that graying hair “may be acutely triggered by stressful life experiences, the removal of which can trigger reversal.” From the data, they also developed a mathematical model to predict what might happen to human hair over time.

Through this study, proof-of-concept evidence is provided indicating that biobehavioral factors are linked to human hair graying dynamics. Future analysis with larger sample sizes and incorporating neuroendocrine markers may further support these correlations. This is an interesting study that elucidates the mechanisms responsible for how stress and other life exposures manifest in human biology, and, if we as human beings effectively manage that stress, how it may both reverse the negative impact and outcomes affecting our body and health.

The study was supported by the Wharton Fund and grants from the National Institutes of Health.

Dr. Wesley and Dr. Lily Talakoub are cocontributors to this column. Dr. Wesley practices dermatology in Beverly Hills, Calif. Dr. Talakoub is in private practice in McLean, Va. This month’s column is by Dr. Wesley. Write to them at dermnews@mdedge.com. They have no relevant disclosures.

The correlation between stress and graying of hair has long been hypothesized, but has been difficult to prove. In addition, reversal of hair graying has been thought of as a temporary phenomenon as hair pigment goes through its natural progression of senescence.

Noel Hendrickson/Getty Images

However, the recent publication that is a collaboration between the department of psychiatry at Columbia University, New York; and the departments of dermatology at the University College Dublin, University of Miami, and the University of Manchester (England); and the Monasterium Laboratory in Münster, Germany, demonstrates a quantitative mapping of human hair graying – and its reversal – in relation to stress.

In the study, hair color of single strands of hair from seven healthy females and seven healthy males, whose mean age was 35 years (range, 9-65 years), were analyzed. In addition to hair pigment analysis, study subjects documented the stress they were experiencing each week in diaries. Using either high resolution image scanners, electron microscopy, and/or hair shaft proteomics, the investigators were able to evaluate loss of pigment within fragments small enough to have grown over one hour.

When changes in hair color were noted, variations in up to 300 proteins were documented, including an up-regulation of the fatty acid synthesis and metabolism machinery in graying. Recent studies also corroborate that fatty acid synthesis by fatty acid synthase and “transport by CPT1A ... are sufficient drivers of cell senescence, and that fatty acid metabolism regulates melanocyte aging biology” the authors wrote.

Molecularly, the investigators found that gray hairs up-regulate proteins associated with energy metabolism, mitochondria, and antioxidant defenses. The graying correlated with stress was also reversible, “at least temporarily,” based on their retrospective analysis and analysis over the 2.5-year recruitment period, the investigators wrote. Specifically, they found that graying hair “may be acutely triggered by stressful life experiences, the removal of which can trigger reversal.” From the data, they also developed a mathematical model to predict what might happen to human hair over time.

Through this study, proof-of-concept evidence is provided indicating that biobehavioral factors are linked to human hair graying dynamics. Future analysis with larger sample sizes and incorporating neuroendocrine markers may further support these correlations. This is an interesting study that elucidates the mechanisms responsible for how stress and other life exposures manifest in human biology, and, if we as human beings effectively manage that stress, how it may both reverse the negative impact and outcomes affecting our body and health.

The study was supported by the Wharton Fund and grants from the National Institutes of Health.

Dr. Wesley and Dr. Lily Talakoub are cocontributors to this column. Dr. Wesley practices dermatology in Beverly Hills, Calif. Dr. Talakoub is in private practice in McLean, Va. This month’s column is by Dr. Wesley. Write to them at dermnews@mdedge.com. They have no relevant disclosures.

Millions of Americans have been languishing for weeks in the oppressive heat and humidity of a merciless summer. Deadly heat has already taken the lives of hundreds in the Pacific Northwest alone, with numbers likely to grow as the full impact of heat-related deaths eventually comes to light.

In the final week of July, the National Weather Service issued excessive heat warnings for 17 states, stretching from the West Coast, across the Midwest, down south into Louisiana and Georgia. Temperatures 10° to 15° F above average threaten the lives and livelihoods of people all across the country.

After a scorching heat wave in late June, residents of the Pacific Northwest are once again likely to see triple-digit temperatures in the coming days. With the heat, hospitals may face another surge of people with heat-related illnesses.

Erika Moseson, MD, a lung and intensive care specialist, witnessed firsthand the life-threatening impacts of soaring temperatures. She happened to be running her 10-bed intensive care unit in a suburban hospital in Gresham, Ore., about 15 miles east of Portland, the weekend of June 26. Within 12 hours, almost half her ICU beds were filled with people found unconscious on the street, in the bushes, or in their own beds, all because their body’s defenses had become overwhelmed by heat.

“It was unidentified person after unidentified person, coming in, same story, temperatures through the roof, comatose,” Dr. Moseson recalled. Young people in their 20s with muscle breakdown markers through the roof, a sign of rhabdomyolysis; people with no other medical problems that would have put them in a high-risk category.

As a lifelong Oregonian, she’d never seen anything like this before. “We’re all trained for it. I know what happens to you if you have heatstroke, I know how to treat it,” she trailed off, still finding it hard to believe. Still reeling from the number of cases in just a few hours. Still shocked that this happened on what’s supposed to be the cooler, rainforest side of Oregon.

Among those she treated and resuscitated, the memory of a patient that she lost continues to gnaw at her.

“I’ve gone back to it day after day since it happened,” she reflected.

Adults, in their 50s, living at home with their children. Just 1 hour prior, they’d all said goodnight. Then 1 hour later, when a child came to check in, both parents were unconscious.

Dr. Moseson shared how her team tried everything in their power for 18 hours to save the parent that was brought to her ICU. But like hundreds of others who went through the heat wave that weekend, her patient didn’t survive.

It was too late. From Dr. Moseson’s experience, it’s what happens “if you’re cooking a human.”
 

How heat kills

Regardless of where we live on the planet, humans maintain a consistent internal temperature around 98° F for our systems to function properly. 

Our bodies have an entire temperature-regulating system to balance heat gain with heat loss so we don’t stray too far from our ideal range. The hypothalamus functions as the thermostat, communicating with heat sensors in our skin, muscles, and spinal cord. Based on signals about our core body temperature, our nervous system makes many decisions for us – opening up blood vessels in the peripheral parts of our body, pushing more blood toward the skin, and activating sweat glands to produce more sweat.  

Sweat is one of the most powerful tools we have to maintain a safe internal temperature. Of course, there are some things under our control, such as removing clothing, drinking more water, and finding shade (or preferably air conditioning). But beyond that, it’s our ability to sweat that keeps us cool. When sweat evaporates into the air, heat from our skin goes with it, cooling us off.

Over time, our sweat response can work better as we get used to warmer environments, a process that’s known as acclimatization. Over the period of a few days to weeks, the sweat glands of acclimated people can start making sweat at lower temperatures, produce more sweat, and absorb more salt back into our system, all to make us more efficient “sweaters.”

While someone who’s not used to the heat may only produce 1 liter of sweat per hour, people who have become acclimated can produce 2-3 liters every hour, allowing evaporation to eliminate more than two times the amount of heat.   

Because the process of acclimatization can take some time, typically it’s the first throes of summer, or heat waves in places where people don’t typically see high temperatures, that are the most deadly. And of course, the right infrastructure, like access to air conditioning, also plays a large role in limiting heat-related death and hospitalization.

A 2019 study showed that heat-related hospitalizations peak at different temperatures in different places. For example, hospitalizations typically peak in Texas when the temperature hits 105° F. But they might be highest in the Pacific Northwest at just 81° F.

Even with acclimatization, there are limits to how much our bodies can adapt to heat. When the humidity goes up past 75%, there’s already so much moisture in the air that heat loss through evaporation no longer occurs.

It’s this connection between heat and humidity that can be deadly. This is why the heat index (a measure that takes into account temperature and relative humidity) and wet bulb globe temperature (a measure commonly used by the military and competitive athletes that takes into account temperature, humidity, wind speed, sun angle, and cloud cover) are both better at showing how dangerous the heat may be for our health, compared to temperature alone.

Kristie L. Ebi, PhD, a professor in the Center for Health and the Global Environment at the University of Washington, Seattle, has been studying the effects of heat and other climate-sensitive conditions on health for over 20 years. She stresses that it’s not just the recorded temperatures, but the prolonged exposure that kills.

If you never get a chance to bring down that core body temperature, if your internal temperatures stay above the range where your cells and your organs can work well for a long time, that’s when you can have the most dangerous effects of heat.

“It depends then on your age, your fitness, your individual physiology, underlying medical conditions, to how quickly that could affect the functioning of those organs. There’s lots of variability in there,” Dr. Ebi said.

Our hearts take on the brunt of the early response, working harder to pump blood toward the skin. Water and salt loss through our skin can start to cause electrolyte changes that can cause heat cramps and heat exhaustion. We feel tired, nauseated, dizzy. With enough water loss, we may become dehydrated, limiting the blood flow to our brains, causing us to pass out.

These early signs are like a car’s check engine light – systems are already being damaged, but resting, refueling, and, most importantly, turning off the heat are critical steps to prevent fatal injury.

If hazardous heat exposure continues and our internal temperatures continue to rise, nerves stop talking to each other, the proteins in our body unfold and lose their shape, and the cells of our organs disintegrate. This in turn sets off a fire alarm in our blood vessels, where a variety of chemical messengers, including “heat-shock proteins,” are released. The release of these inflammatory proteins, coupled with the loss of blood flow, eventually leads to the death of cells throughout the body, from the brain, to the heart, the muscles, and the kidneys.

This process is referred to as heatstroke. In essence, we melt from the inside.

At a certain point, this cascade can’t be reversed. Just like when you cool a melting block of ice, the parts that have melted will not go back to their original shape. It’s a similar process in our bodies, so delays in cooling and treatment can lead to death rates as high as 80%.

On the outside, we see people who look confused and disoriented, with hot skin and rapid breathing, and they may eventually become unconscious. Core body temperatures over 105° F clinch the diagnosis, but at the first sign of feeling unwell, cooling should be started.

There is no fancier or more effective treatment than that: Cool right away. In emergency rooms in Washington State, doctors used body bags filled with ice and water to cool victims of the heat wave in late June.

“It was all from heat ... that’s the thing, you feel so idiotic ... you’re like, ‘I’ve given you ice’ ... you bring their temperature down. But it’s already set off this cascade that you can’t stop,” Dr. Moseson said.

By the time Dr. Moseson’s patient made it to her, cooling with ice was just the beginning of the attempts to resuscitate and revive. The patient was already showing evidence of a process causing widespread bleeding and clotting, known as disseminated intravascular coagulation, along with damage to the heart and failing kidneys. Over 18 hours, her team cooled the patient, flooded the blood vessels with fluids and blood products, attempted to start dialysis, and inserted a breathing tube – all of the technology that is used to save people from serious cardiovascular collapse from other conditions. But nothing could reverse the melting that had already occurred.

Deaths from heat are 100% preventable. Until they’re not.
 

No respite

As Dr. Ebi says, the key to preventing heat-related death is to cool down enough to stabilize our internal cells and proteins before the irreversible cascade begins.

But for close to 80% of Americans who live in urban areas, temperatures can be even higher and more intolerable compared to surrounding areas because of the way we’ve designed our cities. In effect, we have unintentionally created hot zones called “urban heat islands.”

Jeremy Hoffman, PhD, chief scientist for the Science Museum of Virginia, explains that things like bricks, asphalt, and parking lots absorb more of the sun’s energy throughout the day and then emit that back into the air as heat throughout the afternoon and into the evening. This raises the air and surface temperatures in cities, relative to rural areas. When temperatures don’t cool enough at night, there’s no way to recover from the day’s heat. You start the next day still depleted, with less reserve to face the heat of a new day.

When you dig even deeper, it turns out that even within the same city, there are huge “thermal inequities,” as Dr. Hoffman calls them. In a 2019 study, he found that wealthier parts of cities had more natural spaces such as parks and tree-lined streets, compared to areas that had been intentionally “redlined,” or systematically deprived of investment. This pattern repeats itself in over 100 urban areas across the country and translates to huge temperature differences on the order of 10-20 degrees Fahrenheit within the same city, at the exact same time during a heat wave.

“In some ways, the way that we’ve decided to plan and build our cities physically turns up the thermostat by several tens of degrees during heat waves in particular neighborhoods,” Dr. Hoffman said.

Dr. Hoffman’s work showed that the city of Portland (where the death toll from the heat wave in late June was the highest) had some of the most intense differences between formerly redlined vs. tree-lined areas out of the more than 100 cities that he studied.  

“Watching it play out, I was really concerned, not only as a climate scientist, but as a human. Understanding the urban heat island effect and the extreme nature of the inequity in our cities, thermally and otherwise, once you start to really recognize it, you can’t forget it.”
 

The most vulnerable

When it comes to identifying and protecting the people most vulnerable to heat stress and heat-related death, there is an ever-growing list of those most at risk. Unfortunately, very few recognize when they themselves are at risk, often until it’s too late.

According to Linda McCauley, PhD, dean of the Emory University School of Nursing in Atlanta, “the scope of who is vulnerable is quickly increasing.”

For example, we’re used to recognizing that pregnant women and young children are at risk. Public health campaigns have long advised us not to leave young children and pets in hot cars. We know that adolescents who play sports during hot summer months are at high risk for heat-related events and even death.

In Georgia, a 15-year-old boy collapsed and died after his first day back at football practice when the heat index was 105° F on July 26, even as it appears that all protocols for heat safety were being followed.

We recognize that outdoor workers face devastating consequences from prolonged exertion in the heat and must have safer working conditions.

The elderly and those with long-term medical and mental health conditions are also more vulnerable to heat. The elderly may not have the same warning signs and may not recognize that they are dehydrated until it is too late. In addition, their sweating mechanism weakens, and they may be taking medicines that interfere with their ability to regulate their temperature.

Poverty and inadequate housing are risk factors, especially for those in urban heat islands. For many people, their housing does not have enough cooling to protect them, and they can’t safely get themselves to cooling shelters.

These patterns for the most vulnerable fit for the majority of deaths in Oregon during the late June heat wave. Most victims were older, lived alone, and didn’t have air conditioning. But with climate change, the predictions are that temperatures will go higher and heat waves will last longer.

“There’s probably very few people today that are ‘immune’ to the effects of heat-related stress with climate change. All of us can be put in situations where we are susceptible,” Dr. McCauley said.

Dr. Moseson agreed. Many of her patients fit none of these risk categories – she treated people with no health problems in their 20s in her ICU, and the patient she lost would not traditionally have been thought of as high risk. That 50-something patient had no long-standing medical problems, and lived with family in a newly renovated suburban home that had air conditioning. The only problem was that the air conditioner had broken and there had been no rush to fix it based on past experience with Oregon summers.
 

Preventing heat deaths

Protecting ourselves and our families means monitoring the “simple things.” The first three rules are to make sure we’re drinking plenty of water – this means drinking whether we feel thirsty or not. If we’re not in an air-conditioned place, we’ve got to look for shade. And we need to take regular rest breaks.

Inside a home without air conditioning, placing ice in front of a fan to cool the air can work, but realistically, if you are in a place without air conditioning and the temperatures are approaching 90° F, it’s safest to find another place to stay, if possible.

For those playing sports, there are usually 1-week to 2-week protocols that allow for acclimatization when the season begins – this means starting slowly, without gear, and ramping up activity. Still, parents and coaches should watch advanced weather reports to make sure it’s safe to practice outside.

How we dress can also help us, so light clothing is key. And if we’re able to schedule activities for times when it is cooler, that can also protect us from overheating.

If anyone shows early signs of heat stress, removing clothing, cooling their bodies with cold water, and getting them out of the heat is critical. Any evidence of heatstroke is an emergency, and 911 should be called without delay. The faster the core temperature can be dropped, the better the chances for recovery.

On the level of communities, access to natural air conditioning in the form of healthy tree canopies, and trees at bus stops to provide shade can help a lot. According to Dr. Hoffman, these investments help almost right away. Reimagining our cities to remove the “hot zones” that we have created is another key to protecting ourselves as our climate changes.
 

Reaching our limits in a changing climate

Already, we are seeing more intense, more frequent, and longer-lasting heat waves throughout the country and across the globe.

Dr. Ebi, a coauthor of a recently released scientific analysis that found that the late June Pacific Northwest heat wave would have been virtually impossible without climate change, herself lived through the scorching temperatures in Seattle. Her work shows that the changing climate is killing us right now.

We are approaching a time where extreme temperatures and humidity will make it almost impossible for people to be outside in many parts of the world. Researchers have found that periods of extreme humid heat have more than doubled since 1979, and some places have already had wet-bulb temperatures at the limits of what scientists think humans can tolerate under ideal conditions, meaning for people in perfect health, completely unclothed, in gale-force winds, performing no activity. Obviously that’s less than ideal for most of us and helps explain why thousands of people die at temperatures much lower than our upper limit.

Dr. Ebi pointed out that the good news is that many local communities with a long history of managing high temperatures have a lot of knowledge to share with regions that are newly dealing with these conditions. This includes how local areas develop early warning and response systems with specific action plans.

But, she cautions, it’s going to take a lot of coordination and a lot of behavior change to stabilize the earth’s climate, understand our weak points, and protect our health.

For Dr. Moseson, this reality has hit home.

“I already spent the year being terrified that I as an ICU doctor was going to be the one who gave my mom COVID. Finally I’m vaccinated, she’s vaccinated. Now I’ve watched someone die because they don’t have AC. And my parents, they’re old-school Oregonians, they don’t have AC.”

A version of this article originally appeared on WebMD.com.

Millions of Americans have been languishing for weeks in the oppressive heat and humidity of a merciless summer. Deadly heat has already taken the lives of hundreds in the Pacific Northwest alone, with numbers likely to grow as the full impact of heat-related deaths eventually comes to light.

In the final week of July, the National Weather Service issued excessive heat warnings for 17 states, stretching from the West Coast, across the Midwest, down south into Louisiana and Georgia. Temperatures 10° to 15° F above average threaten the lives and livelihoods of people all across the country.

After a scorching heat wave in late June, residents of the Pacific Northwest are once again likely to see triple-digit temperatures in the coming days. With the heat, hospitals may face another surge of people with heat-related illnesses.

Erika Moseson, MD, a lung and intensive care specialist, witnessed firsthand the life-threatening impacts of soaring temperatures. She happened to be running her 10-bed intensive care unit in a suburban hospital in Gresham, Ore., about 15 miles east of Portland, the weekend of June 26. Within 12 hours, almost half her ICU beds were filled with people found unconscious on the street, in the bushes, or in their own beds, all because their body’s defenses had become overwhelmed by heat.

“It was unidentified person after unidentified person, coming in, same story, temperatures through the roof, comatose,” Dr. Moseson recalled. Young people in their 20s with muscle breakdown markers through the roof, a sign of rhabdomyolysis; people with no other medical problems that would have put them in a high-risk category.

As a lifelong Oregonian, she’d never seen anything like this before. “We’re all trained for it. I know what happens to you if you have heatstroke, I know how to treat it,” she trailed off, still finding it hard to believe. Still reeling from the number of cases in just a few hours. Still shocked that this happened on what’s supposed to be the cooler, rainforest side of Oregon.

Among those she treated and resuscitated, the memory of a patient that she lost continues to gnaw at her.

“I’ve gone back to it day after day since it happened,” she reflected.

Adults, in their 50s, living at home with their children. Just 1 hour prior, they’d all said goodnight. Then 1 hour later, when a child came to check in, both parents were unconscious.

Dr. Moseson shared how her team tried everything in their power for 18 hours to save the parent that was brought to her ICU. But like hundreds of others who went through the heat wave that weekend, her patient didn’t survive.

It was too late. From Dr. Moseson’s experience, it’s what happens “if you’re cooking a human.”
 

How heat kills

Regardless of where we live on the planet, humans maintain a consistent internal temperature around 98° F for our systems to function properly. 

Our bodies have an entire temperature-regulating system to balance heat gain with heat loss so we don’t stray too far from our ideal range. The hypothalamus functions as the thermostat, communicating with heat sensors in our skin, muscles, and spinal cord. Based on signals about our core body temperature, our nervous system makes many decisions for us – opening up blood vessels in the peripheral parts of our body, pushing more blood toward the skin, and activating sweat glands to produce more sweat.  

Sweat is one of the most powerful tools we have to maintain a safe internal temperature. Of course, there are some things under our control, such as removing clothing, drinking more water, and finding shade (or preferably air conditioning). But beyond that, it’s our ability to sweat that keeps us cool. When sweat evaporates into the air, heat from our skin goes with it, cooling us off.

Over time, our sweat response can work better as we get used to warmer environments, a process that’s known as acclimatization. Over the period of a few days to weeks, the sweat glands of acclimated people can start making sweat at lower temperatures, produce more sweat, and absorb more salt back into our system, all to make us more efficient “sweaters.”

While someone who’s not used to the heat may only produce 1 liter of sweat per hour, people who have become acclimated can produce 2-3 liters every hour, allowing evaporation to eliminate more than two times the amount of heat.   

Because the process of acclimatization can take some time, typically it’s the first throes of summer, or heat waves in places where people don’t typically see high temperatures, that are the most deadly. And of course, the right infrastructure, like access to air conditioning, also plays a large role in limiting heat-related death and hospitalization.

A 2019 study showed that heat-related hospitalizations peak at different temperatures in different places. For example, hospitalizations typically peak in Texas when the temperature hits 105° F. But they might be highest in the Pacific Northwest at just 81° F.

Even with acclimatization, there are limits to how much our bodies can adapt to heat. When the humidity goes up past 75%, there’s already so much moisture in the air that heat loss through evaporation no longer occurs.

It’s this connection between heat and humidity that can be deadly. This is why the heat index (a measure that takes into account temperature and relative humidity) and wet bulb globe temperature (a measure commonly used by the military and competitive athletes that takes into account temperature, humidity, wind speed, sun angle, and cloud cover) are both better at showing how dangerous the heat may be for our health, compared to temperature alone.

Kristie L. Ebi, PhD, a professor in the Center for Health and the Global Environment at the University of Washington, Seattle, has been studying the effects of heat and other climate-sensitive conditions on health for over 20 years. She stresses that it’s not just the recorded temperatures, but the prolonged exposure that kills.

If you never get a chance to bring down that core body temperature, if your internal temperatures stay above the range where your cells and your organs can work well for a long time, that’s when you can have the most dangerous effects of heat.

“It depends then on your age, your fitness, your individual physiology, underlying medical conditions, to how quickly that could affect the functioning of those organs. There’s lots of variability in there,” Dr. Ebi said.

Our hearts take on the brunt of the early response, working harder to pump blood toward the skin. Water and salt loss through our skin can start to cause electrolyte changes that can cause heat cramps and heat exhaustion. We feel tired, nauseated, dizzy. With enough water loss, we may become dehydrated, limiting the blood flow to our brains, causing us to pass out.

These early signs are like a car’s check engine light – systems are already being damaged, but resting, refueling, and, most importantly, turning off the heat are critical steps to prevent fatal injury.

If hazardous heat exposure continues and our internal temperatures continue to rise, nerves stop talking to each other, the proteins in our body unfold and lose their shape, and the cells of our organs disintegrate. This in turn sets off a fire alarm in our blood vessels, where a variety of chemical messengers, including “heat-shock proteins,” are released. The release of these inflammatory proteins, coupled with the loss of blood flow, eventually leads to the death of cells throughout the body, from the brain, to the heart, the muscles, and the kidneys.

This process is referred to as heatstroke. In essence, we melt from the inside.

At a certain point, this cascade can’t be reversed. Just like when you cool a melting block of ice, the parts that have melted will not go back to their original shape. It’s a similar process in our bodies, so delays in cooling and treatment can lead to death rates as high as 80%.

On the outside, we see people who look confused and disoriented, with hot skin and rapid breathing, and they may eventually become unconscious. Core body temperatures over 105° F clinch the diagnosis, but at the first sign of feeling unwell, cooling should be started.

There is no fancier or more effective treatment than that: Cool right away. In emergency rooms in Washington State, doctors used body bags filled with ice and water to cool victims of the heat wave in late June.

“It was all from heat ... that’s the thing, you feel so idiotic ... you’re like, ‘I’ve given you ice’ ... you bring their temperature down. But it’s already set off this cascade that you can’t stop,” Dr. Moseson said.

By the time Dr. Moseson’s patient made it to her, cooling with ice was just the beginning of the attempts to resuscitate and revive. The patient was already showing evidence of a process causing widespread bleeding and clotting, known as disseminated intravascular coagulation, along with damage to the heart and failing kidneys. Over 18 hours, her team cooled the patient, flooded the blood vessels with fluids and blood products, attempted to start dialysis, and inserted a breathing tube – all of the technology that is used to save people from serious cardiovascular collapse from other conditions. But nothing could reverse the melting that had already occurred.

Deaths from heat are 100% preventable. Until they’re not.
 

No respite

As Dr. Ebi says, the key to preventing heat-related death is to cool down enough to stabilize our internal cells and proteins before the irreversible cascade begins.

But for close to 80% of Americans who live in urban areas, temperatures can be even higher and more intolerable compared to surrounding areas because of the way we’ve designed our cities. In effect, we have unintentionally created hot zones called “urban heat islands.”

Jeremy Hoffman, PhD, chief scientist for the Science Museum of Virginia, explains that things like bricks, asphalt, and parking lots absorb more of the sun’s energy throughout the day and then emit that back into the air as heat throughout the afternoon and into the evening. This raises the air and surface temperatures in cities, relative to rural areas. When temperatures don’t cool enough at night, there’s no way to recover from the day’s heat. You start the next day still depleted, with less reserve to face the heat of a new day.

When you dig even deeper, it turns out that even within the same city, there are huge “thermal inequities,” as Dr. Hoffman calls them. In a 2019 study, he found that wealthier parts of cities had more natural spaces such as parks and tree-lined streets, compared to areas that had been intentionally “redlined,” or systematically deprived of investment. This pattern repeats itself in over 100 urban areas across the country and translates to huge temperature differences on the order of 10-20 degrees Fahrenheit within the same city, at the exact same time during a heat wave.

“In some ways, the way that we’ve decided to plan and build our cities physically turns up the thermostat by several tens of degrees during heat waves in particular neighborhoods,” Dr. Hoffman said.

Dr. Hoffman’s work showed that the city of Portland (where the death toll from the heat wave in late June was the highest) had some of the most intense differences between formerly redlined vs. tree-lined areas out of the more than 100 cities that he studied.  

“Watching it play out, I was really concerned, not only as a climate scientist, but as a human. Understanding the urban heat island effect and the extreme nature of the inequity in our cities, thermally and otherwise, once you start to really recognize it, you can’t forget it.”
 

The most vulnerable

When it comes to identifying and protecting the people most vulnerable to heat stress and heat-related death, there is an ever-growing list of those most at risk. Unfortunately, very few recognize when they themselves are at risk, often until it’s too late.

According to Linda McCauley, PhD, dean of the Emory University School of Nursing in Atlanta, “the scope of who is vulnerable is quickly increasing.”

For example, we’re used to recognizing that pregnant women and young children are at risk. Public health campaigns have long advised us not to leave young children and pets in hot cars. We know that adolescents who play sports during hot summer months are at high risk for heat-related events and even death.

In Georgia, a 15-year-old boy collapsed and died after his first day back at football practice when the heat index was 105° F on July 26, even as it appears that all protocols for heat safety were being followed.

We recognize that outdoor workers face devastating consequences from prolonged exertion in the heat and must have safer working conditions.

The elderly and those with long-term medical and mental health conditions are also more vulnerable to heat. The elderly may not have the same warning signs and may not recognize that they are dehydrated until it is too late. In addition, their sweating mechanism weakens, and they may be taking medicines that interfere with their ability to regulate their temperature.

Poverty and inadequate housing are risk factors, especially for those in urban heat islands. For many people, their housing does not have enough cooling to protect them, and they can’t safely get themselves to cooling shelters.

These patterns for the most vulnerable fit for the majority of deaths in Oregon during the late June heat wave. Most victims were older, lived alone, and didn’t have air conditioning. But with climate change, the predictions are that temperatures will go higher and heat waves will last longer.

“There’s probably very few people today that are ‘immune’ to the effects of heat-related stress with climate change. All of us can be put in situations where we are susceptible,” Dr. McCauley said.

Dr. Moseson agreed. Many of her patients fit none of these risk categories – she treated people with no health problems in their 20s in her ICU, and the patient she lost would not traditionally have been thought of as high risk. That 50-something patient had no long-standing medical problems, and lived with family in a newly renovated suburban home that had air conditioning. The only problem was that the air conditioner had broken and there had been no rush to fix it based on past experience with Oregon summers.
 

Preventing heat deaths

Protecting ourselves and our families means monitoring the “simple things.” The first three rules are to make sure we’re drinking plenty of water – this means drinking whether we feel thirsty or not. If we’re not in an air-conditioned place, we’ve got to look for shade. And we need to take regular rest breaks.

Inside a home without air conditioning, placing ice in front of a fan to cool the air can work, but realistically, if you are in a place without air conditioning and the temperatures are approaching 90° F, it’s safest to find another place to stay, if possible.

For those playing sports, there are usually 1-week to 2-week protocols that allow for acclimatization when the season begins – this means starting slowly, without gear, and ramping up activity. Still, parents and coaches should watch advanced weather reports to make sure it’s safe to practice outside.

How we dress can also help us, so light clothing is key. And if we’re able to schedule activities for times when it is cooler, that can also protect us from overheating.

If anyone shows early signs of heat stress, removing clothing, cooling their bodies with cold water, and getting them out of the heat is critical. Any evidence of heatstroke is an emergency, and 911 should be called without delay. The faster the core temperature can be dropped, the better the chances for recovery.

On the level of communities, access to natural air conditioning in the form of healthy tree canopies, and trees at bus stops to provide shade can help a lot. According to Dr. Hoffman, these investments help almost right away. Reimagining our cities to remove the “hot zones” that we have created is another key to protecting ourselves as our climate changes.
 

Reaching our limits in a changing climate

Already, we are seeing more intense, more frequent, and longer-lasting heat waves throughout the country and across the globe.

Dr. Ebi, a coauthor of a recently released scientific analysis that found that the late June Pacific Northwest heat wave would have been virtually impossible without climate change, herself lived through the scorching temperatures in Seattle. Her work shows that the changing climate is killing us right now.

We are approaching a time where extreme temperatures and humidity will make it almost impossible for people to be outside in many parts of the world. Researchers have found that periods of extreme humid heat have more than doubled since 1979, and some places have already had wet-bulb temperatures at the limits of what scientists think humans can tolerate under ideal conditions, meaning for people in perfect health, completely unclothed, in gale-force winds, performing no activity. Obviously that’s less than ideal for most of us and helps explain why thousands of people die at temperatures much lower than our upper limit.

Dr. Ebi pointed out that the good news is that many local communities with a long history of managing high temperatures have a lot of knowledge to share with regions that are newly dealing with these conditions. This includes how local areas develop early warning and response systems with specific action plans.

But, she cautions, it’s going to take a lot of coordination and a lot of behavior change to stabilize the earth’s climate, understand our weak points, and protect our health.

For Dr. Moseson, this reality has hit home.

“I already spent the year being terrified that I as an ICU doctor was going to be the one who gave my mom COVID. Finally I’m vaccinated, she’s vaccinated. Now I’ve watched someone die because they don’t have AC. And my parents, they’re old-school Oregonians, they don’t have AC.”

A version of this article originally appeared on WebMD.com.

Millions of Americans have been languishing for weeks in the oppressive heat and humidity of a merciless summer. Deadly heat has already taken the lives of hundreds in the Pacific Northwest alone, with numbers likely to grow as the full impact of heat-related deaths eventually comes to light.

In the final week of July, the National Weather Service issued excessive heat warnings for 17 states, stretching from the West Coast, across the Midwest, down south into Louisiana and Georgia. Temperatures 10° to 15° F above average threaten the lives and livelihoods of people all across the country.

After a scorching heat wave in late June, residents of the Pacific Northwest are once again likely to see triple-digit temperatures in the coming days. With the heat, hospitals may face another surge of people with heat-related illnesses.

Erika Moseson, MD, a lung and intensive care specialist, witnessed firsthand the life-threatening impacts of soaring temperatures. She happened to be running her 10-bed intensive care unit in a suburban hospital in Gresham, Ore., about 15 miles east of Portland, the weekend of June 26. Within 12 hours, almost half her ICU beds were filled with people found unconscious on the street, in the bushes, or in their own beds, all because their body’s defenses had become overwhelmed by heat.

“It was unidentified person after unidentified person, coming in, same story, temperatures through the roof, comatose,” Dr. Moseson recalled. Young people in their 20s with muscle breakdown markers through the roof, a sign of rhabdomyolysis; people with no other medical problems that would have put them in a high-risk category.

As a lifelong Oregonian, she’d never seen anything like this before. “We’re all trained for it. I know what happens to you if you have heatstroke, I know how to treat it,” she trailed off, still finding it hard to believe. Still reeling from the number of cases in just a few hours. Still shocked that this happened on what’s supposed to be the cooler, rainforest side of Oregon.

Among those she treated and resuscitated, the memory of a patient that she lost continues to gnaw at her.

“I’ve gone back to it day after day since it happened,” she reflected.

Adults, in their 50s, living at home with their children. Just 1 hour prior, they’d all said goodnight. Then 1 hour later, when a child came to check in, both parents were unconscious.

Dr. Moseson shared how her team tried everything in their power for 18 hours to save the parent that was brought to her ICU. But like hundreds of others who went through the heat wave that weekend, her patient didn’t survive.

It was too late. From Dr. Moseson’s experience, it’s what happens “if you’re cooking a human.”
 

How heat kills

Regardless of where we live on the planet, humans maintain a consistent internal temperature around 98° F for our systems to function properly. 

Our bodies have an entire temperature-regulating system to balance heat gain with heat loss so we don’t stray too far from our ideal range. The hypothalamus functions as the thermostat, communicating with heat sensors in our skin, muscles, and spinal cord. Based on signals about our core body temperature, our nervous system makes many decisions for us – opening up blood vessels in the peripheral parts of our body, pushing more blood toward the skin, and activating sweat glands to produce more sweat.  

Sweat is one of the most powerful tools we have to maintain a safe internal temperature. Of course, there are some things under our control, such as removing clothing, drinking more water, and finding shade (or preferably air conditioning). But beyond that, it’s our ability to sweat that keeps us cool. When sweat evaporates into the air, heat from our skin goes with it, cooling us off.

Over time, our sweat response can work better as we get used to warmer environments, a process that’s known as acclimatization. Over the period of a few days to weeks, the sweat glands of acclimated people can start making sweat at lower temperatures, produce more sweat, and absorb more salt back into our system, all to make us more efficient “sweaters.”

While someone who’s not used to the heat may only produce 1 liter of sweat per hour, people who have become acclimated can produce 2-3 liters every hour, allowing evaporation to eliminate more than two times the amount of heat.   

Because the process of acclimatization can take some time, typically it’s the first throes of summer, or heat waves in places where people don’t typically see high temperatures, that are the most deadly. And of course, the right infrastructure, like access to air conditioning, also plays a large role in limiting heat-related death and hospitalization.

A 2019 study showed that heat-related hospitalizations peak at different temperatures in different places. For example, hospitalizations typically peak in Texas when the temperature hits 105° F. But they might be highest in the Pacific Northwest at just 81° F.

Even with acclimatization, there are limits to how much our bodies can adapt to heat. When the humidity goes up past 75%, there’s already so much moisture in the air that heat loss through evaporation no longer occurs.

It’s this connection between heat and humidity that can be deadly. This is why the heat index (a measure that takes into account temperature and relative humidity) and wet bulb globe temperature (a measure commonly used by the military and competitive athletes that takes into account temperature, humidity, wind speed, sun angle, and cloud cover) are both better at showing how dangerous the heat may be for our health, compared to temperature alone.

Kristie L. Ebi, PhD, a professor in the Center for Health and the Global Environment at the University of Washington, Seattle, has been studying the effects of heat and other climate-sensitive conditions on health for over 20 years. She stresses that it’s not just the recorded temperatures, but the prolonged exposure that kills.

If you never get a chance to bring down that core body temperature, if your internal temperatures stay above the range where your cells and your organs can work well for a long time, that’s when you can have the most dangerous effects of heat.

“It depends then on your age, your fitness, your individual physiology, underlying medical conditions, to how quickly that could affect the functioning of those organs. There’s lots of variability in there,” Dr. Ebi said.

Our hearts take on the brunt of the early response, working harder to pump blood toward the skin. Water and salt loss through our skin can start to cause electrolyte changes that can cause heat cramps and heat exhaustion. We feel tired, nauseated, dizzy. With enough water loss, we may become dehydrated, limiting the blood flow to our brains, causing us to pass out.

These early signs are like a car’s check engine light – systems are already being damaged, but resting, refueling, and, most importantly, turning off the heat are critical steps to prevent fatal injury.

If hazardous heat exposure continues and our internal temperatures continue to rise, nerves stop talking to each other, the proteins in our body unfold and lose their shape, and the cells of our organs disintegrate. This in turn sets off a fire alarm in our blood vessels, where a variety of chemical messengers, including “heat-shock proteins,” are released. The release of these inflammatory proteins, coupled with the loss of blood flow, eventually leads to the death of cells throughout the body, from the brain, to the heart, the muscles, and the kidneys.

This process is referred to as heatstroke. In essence, we melt from the inside.

At a certain point, this cascade can’t be reversed. Just like when you cool a melting block of ice, the parts that have melted will not go back to their original shape. It’s a similar process in our bodies, so delays in cooling and treatment can lead to death rates as high as 80%.

On the outside, we see people who look confused and disoriented, with hot skin and rapid breathing, and they may eventually become unconscious. Core body temperatures over 105° F clinch the diagnosis, but at the first sign of feeling unwell, cooling should be started.

There is no fancier or more effective treatment than that: Cool right away. In emergency rooms in Washington State, doctors used body bags filled with ice and water to cool victims of the heat wave in late June.

“It was all from heat ... that’s the thing, you feel so idiotic ... you’re like, ‘I’ve given you ice’ ... you bring their temperature down. But it’s already set off this cascade that you can’t stop,” Dr. Moseson said.

By the time Dr. Moseson’s patient made it to her, cooling with ice was just the beginning of the attempts to resuscitate and revive. The patient was already showing evidence of a process causing widespread bleeding and clotting, known as disseminated intravascular coagulation, along with damage to the heart and failing kidneys. Over 18 hours, her team cooled the patient, flooded the blood vessels with fluids and blood products, attempted to start dialysis, and inserted a breathing tube – all of the technology that is used to save people from serious cardiovascular collapse from other conditions. But nothing could reverse the melting that had already occurred.

Deaths from heat are 100% preventable. Until they’re not.
 

No respite

As Dr. Ebi says, the key to preventing heat-related death is to cool down enough to stabilize our internal cells and proteins before the irreversible cascade begins.

But for close to 80% of Americans who live in urban areas, temperatures can be even higher and more intolerable compared to surrounding areas because of the way we’ve designed our cities. In effect, we have unintentionally created hot zones called “urban heat islands.”

Jeremy Hoffman, PhD, chief scientist for the Science Museum of Virginia, explains that things like bricks, asphalt, and parking lots absorb more of the sun’s energy throughout the day and then emit that back into the air as heat throughout the afternoon and into the evening. This raises the air and surface temperatures in cities, relative to rural areas. When temperatures don’t cool enough at night, there’s no way to recover from the day’s heat. You start the next day still depleted, with less reserve to face the heat of a new day.

When you dig even deeper, it turns out that even within the same city, there are huge “thermal inequities,” as Dr. Hoffman calls them. In a 2019 study, he found that wealthier parts of cities had more natural spaces such as parks and tree-lined streets, compared to areas that had been intentionally “redlined,” or systematically deprived of investment. This pattern repeats itself in over 100 urban areas across the country and translates to huge temperature differences on the order of 10-20 degrees Fahrenheit within the same city, at the exact same time during a heat wave.

“In some ways, the way that we’ve decided to plan and build our cities physically turns up the thermostat by several tens of degrees during heat waves in particular neighborhoods,” Dr. Hoffman said.

Dr. Hoffman’s work showed that the city of Portland (where the death toll from the heat wave in late June was the highest) had some of the most intense differences between formerly redlined vs. tree-lined areas out of the more than 100 cities that he studied.  

“Watching it play out, I was really concerned, not only as a climate scientist, but as a human. Understanding the urban heat island effect and the extreme nature of the inequity in our cities, thermally and otherwise, once you start to really recognize it, you can’t forget it.”
 

The most vulnerable

When it comes to identifying and protecting the people most vulnerable to heat stress and heat-related death, there is an ever-growing list of those most at risk. Unfortunately, very few recognize when they themselves are at risk, often until it’s too late.

According to Linda McCauley, PhD, dean of the Emory University School of Nursing in Atlanta, “the scope of who is vulnerable is quickly increasing.”

For example, we’re used to recognizing that pregnant women and young children are at risk. Public health campaigns have long advised us not to leave young children and pets in hot cars. We know that adolescents who play sports during hot summer months are at high risk for heat-related events and even death.

In Georgia, a 15-year-old boy collapsed and died after his first day back at football practice when the heat index was 105° F on July 26, even as it appears that all protocols for heat safety were being followed.

We recognize that outdoor workers face devastating consequences from prolonged exertion in the heat and must have safer working conditions.

The elderly and those with long-term medical and mental health conditions are also more vulnerable to heat. The elderly may not have the same warning signs and may not recognize that they are dehydrated until it is too late. In addition, their sweating mechanism weakens, and they may be taking medicines that interfere with their ability to regulate their temperature.

Poverty and inadequate housing are risk factors, especially for those in urban heat islands. For many people, their housing does not have enough cooling to protect them, and they can’t safely get themselves to cooling shelters.

These patterns for the most vulnerable fit for the majority of deaths in Oregon during the late June heat wave. Most victims were older, lived alone, and didn’t have air conditioning. But with climate change, the predictions are that temperatures will go higher and heat waves will last longer.

“There’s probably very few people today that are ‘immune’ to the effects of heat-related stress with climate change. All of us can be put in situations where we are susceptible,” Dr. McCauley said.

Dr. Moseson agreed. Many of her patients fit none of these risk categories – she treated people with no health problems in their 20s in her ICU, and the patient she lost would not traditionally have been thought of as high risk. That 50-something patient had no long-standing medical problems, and lived with family in a newly renovated suburban home that had air conditioning. The only problem was that the air conditioner had broken and there had been no rush to fix it based on past experience with Oregon summers.
 

Preventing heat deaths

Protecting ourselves and our families means monitoring the “simple things.” The first three rules are to make sure we’re drinking plenty of water – this means drinking whether we feel thirsty or not. If we’re not in an air-conditioned place, we’ve got to look for shade. And we need to take regular rest breaks.

Inside a home without air conditioning, placing ice in front of a fan to cool the air can work, but realistically, if you are in a place without air conditioning and the temperatures are approaching 90° F, it’s safest to find another place to stay, if possible.

For those playing sports, there are usually 1-week to 2-week protocols that allow for acclimatization when the season begins – this means starting slowly, without gear, and ramping up activity. Still, parents and coaches should watch advanced weather reports to make sure it’s safe to practice outside.

How we dress can also help us, so light clothing is key. And if we’re able to schedule activities for times when it is cooler, that can also protect us from overheating.

If anyone shows early signs of heat stress, removing clothing, cooling their bodies with cold water, and getting them out of the heat is critical. Any evidence of heatstroke is an emergency, and 911 should be called without delay. The faster the core temperature can be dropped, the better the chances for recovery.

On the level of communities, access to natural air conditioning in the form of healthy tree canopies, and trees at bus stops to provide shade can help a lot. According to Dr. Hoffman, these investments help almost right away. Reimagining our cities to remove the “hot zones” that we have created is another key to protecting ourselves as our climate changes.
 

Reaching our limits in a changing climate

Already, we are seeing more intense, more frequent, and longer-lasting heat waves throughout the country and across the globe.

Dr. Ebi, a coauthor of a recently released scientific analysis that found that the late June Pacific Northwest heat wave would have been virtually impossible without climate change, herself lived through the scorching temperatures in Seattle. Her work shows that the changing climate is killing us right now.

We are approaching a time where extreme temperatures and humidity will make it almost impossible for people to be outside in many parts of the world. Researchers have found that periods of extreme humid heat have more than doubled since 1979, and some places have already had wet-bulb temperatures at the limits of what scientists think humans can tolerate under ideal conditions, meaning for people in perfect health, completely unclothed, in gale-force winds, performing no activity. Obviously that’s less than ideal for most of us and helps explain why thousands of people die at temperatures much lower than our upper limit.

Dr. Ebi pointed out that the good news is that many local communities with a long history of managing high temperatures have a lot of knowledge to share with regions that are newly dealing with these conditions. This includes how local areas develop early warning and response systems with specific action plans.

But, she cautions, it’s going to take a lot of coordination and a lot of behavior change to stabilize the earth’s climate, understand our weak points, and protect our health.

For Dr. Moseson, this reality has hit home.

“I already spent the year being terrified that I as an ICU doctor was going to be the one who gave my mom COVID. Finally I’m vaccinated, she’s vaccinated. Now I’ve watched someone die because they don’t have AC. And my parents, they’re old-school Oregonians, they don’t have AC.”

A version of this article originally appeared on WebMD.com.