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Poor NAFLD outcomes with increased VCTE-measured liver stiffness

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Tue, 11/22/2022 - 11:27

An increase in liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) may be predictive of poor clinical outcomes in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), according to new findings presented at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.
 

Although previous retrospective studies have suggested that increased liver stiffness, as measured by VCTE (FibroScan), is associated with increases in liver-related events, there is a paucity of prospective data, reported Samer Gawrieh, MD, from Indiana University, Carmel and Indianapolis. VCTE is a noninvasive measure of cirrhosis progression.

In their prospective cohort study of patients representing the entire spectrum of NAFLD, the progression to LSM-defined cirrhosis was independently associated with the risk for a composite clinical outcome of death, decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma, or a Model for End Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score of greater than 15, he said.

Their findings show that “progression to LSM-defined cirrhosis by VCTE is strongly associated with poor clinical outcomes,” Dr. Gawrieh said.
 

Study findings

Investigators looked at prospective data on 894 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD in the Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis (NASH) Clinical Research Network database. The sample included patients with a minimum of two LSM readings taken from 2014 through 2022.

They defined LSM-defined cirrhosis as reaching LSM of greater than 14.9 kPa (90% specificity cutoff) among patients without cirrhosis on the baseline VCTE (a 90% sensitivity cutoff of LSM less than 12.1 kPa).

They also performed a histology-based subanalysis, including data only from those patients who had LSM within 6 months of a liver biopsy.

The median patient age was 60 years, 37% were male, and 80.9% were White and 11.5% were Hispanic/Latino. The median body mass index (BMI) was 32.

Out of all the patients, 119 (13.3%) had progression to LSM-defined cirrhosis.

At a median follow-up of 3.69 years for the 775 patients without LSM progression, 79 (10.2%) had one or more of the events in the composite clinical outcome.

In contrast, after a median 5.48 years of follow-up, 31 of the 119 patients with progression (26.1%) had one or more of the composite events (P < .0001).

The median rates of progression to LSM-defined cirrhosis in the overall cohort were 2% at 1 year, 11% at 3 years, and 16% at 5 years.

Researchers found a correlation between progression to LSM-defined cirrhosis and baseline histological fibrosis stage on biopsy, with a rate of 7% among those with no baseline fibrosis, 9% each for patients with stage I A-C or stage II fibrosis, 24% of those with baseline bridging fibrosis, and 25% of those with baseline cirrhosis.

A comparison of the time to a composite clinical outcome event between patients with progression to LSM-defined cirrhosis and those without progression showed that LSM-defined progression was associated with near doubling in risk, with a hazard ratio of 1.84 (P = .0039).

In a multivariate Cox regression analysis controlling for age, sex, race, BMI, diabetes status, and baseline LSM, only LSM-defined progression (HR, 1.93; P < .01) and age (HR, 1.03; P < .01) were significant predictors.

Dr. Gawrieh noted that while age was a statistically significant factor, it was only weakly associated.

“These data suggest that development of cirrhosis LSM criteria is a promising surrogate for clinical outcomes in patients with NAFLD,” Dr. Gawrieh concluded.
 

 

 

Progression definition questioned

Following the presentation, Nezam Afdhal, MD, chief of the division of gastroenterology, hepatology, and nutrition at Beth Israel Deaconess Hospital in Boston, questioned how 25% of patients who had biopsy-proven cirrhosis could progress to LSM-defined cirrhosis.

Dr. Gawrieh said that, according to inclusion criteria, the patients could not have LSM-defined cirrhosis with the sensitivity cutoff of 12.1 kPa, and that of the 10 patients with baseline cirrhosis in the cohort, all had LSM of less than 12.1 kPa. However, he admitted that because those 10 patients were technically not progressors to cirrhosis, they should have been removed from the analysis for clinical outcomes.

Mark Hartman, MD, a clinical researcher at Eli Lilly and Company in Indianapolis, said the study is valuable but noted that those patients who progressed tended to have higher LSM at baseline as well as a higher [fibrosis-4 score].

Dr. Gawrieh added that the investigators are exploring variables that might explain progression to cirrhosis among patients without high baseline liver stiffness, such as alcohol use or drug-induced liver injury.

The study was supported by the National Institutes of Health and the NASH Clinical Research Network institutions. Dr. Gawrieh disclosed research grants from NIH, Zydus, Viking, and Sonic Incytes, and consulting for TransMedics and Pfizer. Dr. Afdhal and Dr. Hartman reported no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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An increase in liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) may be predictive of poor clinical outcomes in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), according to new findings presented at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.
 

Although previous retrospective studies have suggested that increased liver stiffness, as measured by VCTE (FibroScan), is associated with increases in liver-related events, there is a paucity of prospective data, reported Samer Gawrieh, MD, from Indiana University, Carmel and Indianapolis. VCTE is a noninvasive measure of cirrhosis progression.

In their prospective cohort study of patients representing the entire spectrum of NAFLD, the progression to LSM-defined cirrhosis was independently associated with the risk for a composite clinical outcome of death, decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma, or a Model for End Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score of greater than 15, he said.

Their findings show that “progression to LSM-defined cirrhosis by VCTE is strongly associated with poor clinical outcomes,” Dr. Gawrieh said.
 

Study findings

Investigators looked at prospective data on 894 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD in the Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis (NASH) Clinical Research Network database. The sample included patients with a minimum of two LSM readings taken from 2014 through 2022.

They defined LSM-defined cirrhosis as reaching LSM of greater than 14.9 kPa (90% specificity cutoff) among patients without cirrhosis on the baseline VCTE (a 90% sensitivity cutoff of LSM less than 12.1 kPa).

They also performed a histology-based subanalysis, including data only from those patients who had LSM within 6 months of a liver biopsy.

The median patient age was 60 years, 37% were male, and 80.9% were White and 11.5% were Hispanic/Latino. The median body mass index (BMI) was 32.

Out of all the patients, 119 (13.3%) had progression to LSM-defined cirrhosis.

At a median follow-up of 3.69 years for the 775 patients without LSM progression, 79 (10.2%) had one or more of the events in the composite clinical outcome.

In contrast, after a median 5.48 years of follow-up, 31 of the 119 patients with progression (26.1%) had one or more of the composite events (P < .0001).

The median rates of progression to LSM-defined cirrhosis in the overall cohort were 2% at 1 year, 11% at 3 years, and 16% at 5 years.

Researchers found a correlation between progression to LSM-defined cirrhosis and baseline histological fibrosis stage on biopsy, with a rate of 7% among those with no baseline fibrosis, 9% each for patients with stage I A-C or stage II fibrosis, 24% of those with baseline bridging fibrosis, and 25% of those with baseline cirrhosis.

A comparison of the time to a composite clinical outcome event between patients with progression to LSM-defined cirrhosis and those without progression showed that LSM-defined progression was associated with near doubling in risk, with a hazard ratio of 1.84 (P = .0039).

In a multivariate Cox regression analysis controlling for age, sex, race, BMI, diabetes status, and baseline LSM, only LSM-defined progression (HR, 1.93; P < .01) and age (HR, 1.03; P < .01) were significant predictors.

Dr. Gawrieh noted that while age was a statistically significant factor, it was only weakly associated.

“These data suggest that development of cirrhosis LSM criteria is a promising surrogate for clinical outcomes in patients with NAFLD,” Dr. Gawrieh concluded.
 

 

 

Progression definition questioned

Following the presentation, Nezam Afdhal, MD, chief of the division of gastroenterology, hepatology, and nutrition at Beth Israel Deaconess Hospital in Boston, questioned how 25% of patients who had biopsy-proven cirrhosis could progress to LSM-defined cirrhosis.

Dr. Gawrieh said that, according to inclusion criteria, the patients could not have LSM-defined cirrhosis with the sensitivity cutoff of 12.1 kPa, and that of the 10 patients with baseline cirrhosis in the cohort, all had LSM of less than 12.1 kPa. However, he admitted that because those 10 patients were technically not progressors to cirrhosis, they should have been removed from the analysis for clinical outcomes.

Mark Hartman, MD, a clinical researcher at Eli Lilly and Company in Indianapolis, said the study is valuable but noted that those patients who progressed tended to have higher LSM at baseline as well as a higher [fibrosis-4 score].

Dr. Gawrieh added that the investigators are exploring variables that might explain progression to cirrhosis among patients without high baseline liver stiffness, such as alcohol use or drug-induced liver injury.

The study was supported by the National Institutes of Health and the NASH Clinical Research Network institutions. Dr. Gawrieh disclosed research grants from NIH, Zydus, Viking, and Sonic Incytes, and consulting for TransMedics and Pfizer. Dr. Afdhal and Dr. Hartman reported no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

An increase in liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) may be predictive of poor clinical outcomes in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), according to new findings presented at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.
 

Although previous retrospective studies have suggested that increased liver stiffness, as measured by VCTE (FibroScan), is associated with increases in liver-related events, there is a paucity of prospective data, reported Samer Gawrieh, MD, from Indiana University, Carmel and Indianapolis. VCTE is a noninvasive measure of cirrhosis progression.

In their prospective cohort study of patients representing the entire spectrum of NAFLD, the progression to LSM-defined cirrhosis was independently associated with the risk for a composite clinical outcome of death, decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma, or a Model for End Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score of greater than 15, he said.

Their findings show that “progression to LSM-defined cirrhosis by VCTE is strongly associated with poor clinical outcomes,” Dr. Gawrieh said.
 

Study findings

Investigators looked at prospective data on 894 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD in the Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis (NASH) Clinical Research Network database. The sample included patients with a minimum of two LSM readings taken from 2014 through 2022.

They defined LSM-defined cirrhosis as reaching LSM of greater than 14.9 kPa (90% specificity cutoff) among patients without cirrhosis on the baseline VCTE (a 90% sensitivity cutoff of LSM less than 12.1 kPa).

They also performed a histology-based subanalysis, including data only from those patients who had LSM within 6 months of a liver biopsy.

The median patient age was 60 years, 37% were male, and 80.9% were White and 11.5% were Hispanic/Latino. The median body mass index (BMI) was 32.

Out of all the patients, 119 (13.3%) had progression to LSM-defined cirrhosis.

At a median follow-up of 3.69 years for the 775 patients without LSM progression, 79 (10.2%) had one or more of the events in the composite clinical outcome.

In contrast, after a median 5.48 years of follow-up, 31 of the 119 patients with progression (26.1%) had one or more of the composite events (P < .0001).

The median rates of progression to LSM-defined cirrhosis in the overall cohort were 2% at 1 year, 11% at 3 years, and 16% at 5 years.

Researchers found a correlation between progression to LSM-defined cirrhosis and baseline histological fibrosis stage on biopsy, with a rate of 7% among those with no baseline fibrosis, 9% each for patients with stage I A-C or stage II fibrosis, 24% of those with baseline bridging fibrosis, and 25% of those with baseline cirrhosis.

A comparison of the time to a composite clinical outcome event between patients with progression to LSM-defined cirrhosis and those without progression showed that LSM-defined progression was associated with near doubling in risk, with a hazard ratio of 1.84 (P = .0039).

In a multivariate Cox regression analysis controlling for age, sex, race, BMI, diabetes status, and baseline LSM, only LSM-defined progression (HR, 1.93; P < .01) and age (HR, 1.03; P < .01) were significant predictors.

Dr. Gawrieh noted that while age was a statistically significant factor, it was only weakly associated.

“These data suggest that development of cirrhosis LSM criteria is a promising surrogate for clinical outcomes in patients with NAFLD,” Dr. Gawrieh concluded.
 

 

 

Progression definition questioned

Following the presentation, Nezam Afdhal, MD, chief of the division of gastroenterology, hepatology, and nutrition at Beth Israel Deaconess Hospital in Boston, questioned how 25% of patients who had biopsy-proven cirrhosis could progress to LSM-defined cirrhosis.

Dr. Gawrieh said that, according to inclusion criteria, the patients could not have LSM-defined cirrhosis with the sensitivity cutoff of 12.1 kPa, and that of the 10 patients with baseline cirrhosis in the cohort, all had LSM of less than 12.1 kPa. However, he admitted that because those 10 patients were technically not progressors to cirrhosis, they should have been removed from the analysis for clinical outcomes.

Mark Hartman, MD, a clinical researcher at Eli Lilly and Company in Indianapolis, said the study is valuable but noted that those patients who progressed tended to have higher LSM at baseline as well as a higher [fibrosis-4 score].

Dr. Gawrieh added that the investigators are exploring variables that might explain progression to cirrhosis among patients without high baseline liver stiffness, such as alcohol use or drug-induced liver injury.

The study was supported by the National Institutes of Health and the NASH Clinical Research Network institutions. Dr. Gawrieh disclosed research grants from NIH, Zydus, Viking, and Sonic Incytes, and consulting for TransMedics and Pfizer. Dr. Afdhal and Dr. Hartman reported no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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How accurate is transcutaneous bilirubin testing in newborns with darker skin tones?

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Tue, 11/22/2022 - 15:03
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How accurate is transcutaneous bilirubin testing in newborns with darker skin tones?

EVIDENCE SUMMARY

Some evidence suggests overestimation in all skin tones

In a prospective diagnostic cohort study of 1553 infants in Nigeria, the accuracy of TcB measurement with 2 transcutaneous bilirubinometers (Konica Minolta/Air Shields JM- 103 and Respironics BiliChek) was analyzed. 1 The study population was derived from neonates delivered in a single maternity hospital in Lagos who were ≥ 35 weeks gestational age or ≥ 2.2 kg.

Using a color scale generated for this population, researchers stratified neonates into 1 of 3 skin tone groups: light brown, medium brown, or dark brown. TcB and TSB paired samples were collected in the first 120 hours of life in all patients. JM-103 recordings comprised 71.9% of TcB readings.

Overall, TcB testing overestimated the TSB by ≥ 2 mg/dL in 64.5% of infants, ≥ 3 mg/dL in 42.7%, and > 4 mg/dL in 25.7%. TcB testing underestimated the TSB by ≥ 2 mg/dL in 1.1% of infants, ≥ 3 mg/dL in 0.5%, and > 4 mg/dL in 0.3%.1

Local variation in skin tone was not associated with changes in overestimation, although the researchers noted that a key limitation of the study was a lack of lighttoned infants for comparison.1

A prospective diagnostic cohort study of 1359 infants in Spain compared TcB measurements to TSB levels using the Dräger Jaundice Meter JM-105.2 Patients included all neonates (gestational age, 36.6 to 41.1 weeks) born at a single hospital in Barcelona.

Using a validated skin tone scale, researchers stratified neonates at 24 hours of life to 1 of 4 skin tones: light (n = 337), medium light (n = 750), medium dark (n = 249), and dark (n = 23). They then obtained TSB samples at 48 to 72 hours of life, along with other routine screening labs and midsternal TcB measurements.

TcB testing tended to overestimate TSB (when < 15 mg/dL) for all skin tones, although to a larger degree for neonates with dark skin tones (mean overestimation, 0.7 mg/dL for light; 1.08 mg/dL for medium light; 1.89 mg/dL for medium dark; and 1.86 mg/dL for dark; P < .001 for light vs medium dark or dark).2

Continue to: Stated limitations...

 

 

Stated limitations of the study included relatively low numbers of neonates with dark skin tone, no test of interobserver reliability in skin tone assignment, and enrollment of exclusively healthy neonates with low bilirubin levels.2

Other studies report overestimation in infants with darker skin tone

Two Canadian diagnostic cohort studies also found evidence that TcB testing overestimated TSB in infants with darker skin tones, although TcB test characteristics proved stable over a wide range of bilirubin levels.

The first study enrolled 451 neonates ≥ 35 weeks gestational age at a hospital in Ottawa and assessed TcB using the JM-103 meter.3 The neonates were stratified into light (n = 51), medium (n = 326), and dark (n = 74) skin tones using cosmetic reference color swatches. All had a TcB and TSB obtained within 30 minutes of each other.

The research reinforces the need for review and adjustment of transcutaneous bilirubin cut-off levels based on the local population.

TcB testing underestimated TSB in infants with light and medium skin tones and overestimated TSB in infants with darker skin tone (mean difference, –0.88 mg/dL for light; –1.1 mg/dL for medium; and 0.68 mg/dL for dark; P not given). The mean area under the curve (AUC) was ≥ 0.94 for all receiver–operator characteristic (ROC) curves across all skin tones and bilirubin thresholds (AUC range, 0-1, with > 0.8 indicating strong modeling).3

Limitations of the study included failure to check interrater reliability for skin tone assessment, low numbers of infants with elevated bilirubin (≥ 13.5 mg/dL), and very few infants in either the dark or light skin tone groups.3

Continue to: The second Canadian study...

 

 

The second Canadian study enrolled 774 infants born at ≥ 37 weeks gestational age in Calgary and assessed TcB with the JM-103.4 Infants were categorized as having light (n = 347), medium (n = 412), and dark (n = 15) skin tones by study nurses, based on reference cosmetic colors. All infants had paired TcB and TSB measurements within 60 minutes of each other and before 120 hours of life.

Multivariate linear regression analysis using medium skin tone as the reference group found a tendency toward low TcB levels in infants with light skin tone and a tendency toward high TcB levels in infants with dark skin tone (adjusted R2 = 0.86). The AUC was ≥ 0.95 for all ROC curves for lightand medium-toned infants at key TSB cutoff points; the study included too few infants with dark skin tone to generate ROC curves for that group.4

Recommendations from others

In 2009, the American Academy of Pediatrics (AAP) recommended universal predischarge screening for hyperbilirubinemia in newborns using either TcB testing or TSB. The AAP statement did not address the effect of skin tone on TcB levels, but did advise regular calibration of TcB and TSB results at the hospital level.5

In 2016, the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) updated their guideline on jaundice in newborns younger than 28 days old. NICE recommended visual inspection of all babies for jaundice by examining them in bright natural light and looking for jaundice on blanched skin; it specifically advised checking sclera and gums in infants with darker skin tones.6

The Nigerian researchers noted earlier have published an updated TcB nomogram for their patient population.7

Editor’s takeaway

Even with the small variation of 2 mg/dL or less between transcutaneous and serum bilirubin, and the SOR of C due to lab values being labeled disease-oriented evidence, TcB proves to be useful. In practice, concerning TcB values should lead to serum bilirubin confirmation. This evidence indicates we might be ordering TSB measurements more or less often depending on skin tone, reinforcing the need for review and adjustment of TcB cut-off levels based on the local population.

References

1. Olusanya BO, Imosemi DO, Emokpae AA. Differences between transcutaneous and serum bilirubin measurements in Black African neonates. Pediatrics. 2016;138:e20160907. doi: 10.1542/ peds.2016-0907

2. Maya-Enero S, Candel-Pau J, Garcia-Garcia J, et al. Reliability of transcutaneous bilirubin determination based on skin color determined by a neonatal skin color scale of our own. Eur J Pediatr. 2021;180:607-616. doi: 10.1007/s00431-020-03885-0

3. Samiee-Zafarghandy S, Feberova J, Williams K, et al. Influence of skin colour on diagnostic accuracy of the jaundice meter JM 103 in newborns. Arch Dis Child Fetal Neonatal Ed. 2014;99: F480-F484. doi: 10.1136/archdischild-2013-305699

4. Wainer S, Rabi Y, Parmar SM, et al. Impact of skin tone on the performance of a transcutaneous jaundice meter. Acta Paediatr. 2009;98:1909-1915. doi: 10.1111/j.1651-2227.2009.01497.x

5. Maisels MJ, Bhutani VK, Bogen D, et al. Hyperbilirubinemia in the newborn infant > or = 35 weeks’ gestation: an update with clarifications. Pediatrics. 2009;124:1193-1198. doi: 10.1542/peds. 2009-0329

6. Amos RC, Jacob H, Leith W. Jaundice in newborn babies under 28 days: NICE guideline 2016 (CG98). Arch Dis Child Educ Pract Ed. 2017;102:207-209. doi: 10.1136/archdischild-2016-311556

7. Olusanya BO, Mabogunje CA, Imosemi DO, et al. Transcutaneous bilirubin nomograms in African neonates. PloS ONE. 2017; 12:e0172058. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0172058

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Jon O. Neher, MD

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Sarah Safranek, MLIS
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DEPUTY EDITOR
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Advocate Health Care Illinois Masonic Medical Center Program, Chicago

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DEPUTY EDITOR
Rick Guthmann, MD, MPH

Advocate Health Care Illinois Masonic Medical Center Program, Chicago

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Brittany Buescher, MD
Amanda Kim, MD
Jon O. Neher, MD

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DEPUTY EDITOR
Rick Guthmann, MD, MPH

Advocate Health Care Illinois Masonic Medical Center Program, Chicago

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EVIDENCE SUMMARY

Some evidence suggests overestimation in all skin tones

In a prospective diagnostic cohort study of 1553 infants in Nigeria, the accuracy of TcB measurement with 2 transcutaneous bilirubinometers (Konica Minolta/Air Shields JM- 103 and Respironics BiliChek) was analyzed. 1 The study population was derived from neonates delivered in a single maternity hospital in Lagos who were ≥ 35 weeks gestational age or ≥ 2.2 kg.

Using a color scale generated for this population, researchers stratified neonates into 1 of 3 skin tone groups: light brown, medium brown, or dark brown. TcB and TSB paired samples were collected in the first 120 hours of life in all patients. JM-103 recordings comprised 71.9% of TcB readings.

Overall, TcB testing overestimated the TSB by ≥ 2 mg/dL in 64.5% of infants, ≥ 3 mg/dL in 42.7%, and > 4 mg/dL in 25.7%. TcB testing underestimated the TSB by ≥ 2 mg/dL in 1.1% of infants, ≥ 3 mg/dL in 0.5%, and > 4 mg/dL in 0.3%.1

Local variation in skin tone was not associated with changes in overestimation, although the researchers noted that a key limitation of the study was a lack of lighttoned infants for comparison.1

A prospective diagnostic cohort study of 1359 infants in Spain compared TcB measurements to TSB levels using the Dräger Jaundice Meter JM-105.2 Patients included all neonates (gestational age, 36.6 to 41.1 weeks) born at a single hospital in Barcelona.

Using a validated skin tone scale, researchers stratified neonates at 24 hours of life to 1 of 4 skin tones: light (n = 337), medium light (n = 750), medium dark (n = 249), and dark (n = 23). They then obtained TSB samples at 48 to 72 hours of life, along with other routine screening labs and midsternal TcB measurements.

TcB testing tended to overestimate TSB (when < 15 mg/dL) for all skin tones, although to a larger degree for neonates with dark skin tones (mean overestimation, 0.7 mg/dL for light; 1.08 mg/dL for medium light; 1.89 mg/dL for medium dark; and 1.86 mg/dL for dark; P < .001 for light vs medium dark or dark).2

Continue to: Stated limitations...

 

 

Stated limitations of the study included relatively low numbers of neonates with dark skin tone, no test of interobserver reliability in skin tone assignment, and enrollment of exclusively healthy neonates with low bilirubin levels.2

Other studies report overestimation in infants with darker skin tone

Two Canadian diagnostic cohort studies also found evidence that TcB testing overestimated TSB in infants with darker skin tones, although TcB test characteristics proved stable over a wide range of bilirubin levels.

The first study enrolled 451 neonates ≥ 35 weeks gestational age at a hospital in Ottawa and assessed TcB using the JM-103 meter.3 The neonates were stratified into light (n = 51), medium (n = 326), and dark (n = 74) skin tones using cosmetic reference color swatches. All had a TcB and TSB obtained within 30 minutes of each other.

The research reinforces the need for review and adjustment of transcutaneous bilirubin cut-off levels based on the local population.

TcB testing underestimated TSB in infants with light and medium skin tones and overestimated TSB in infants with darker skin tone (mean difference, –0.88 mg/dL for light; –1.1 mg/dL for medium; and 0.68 mg/dL for dark; P not given). The mean area under the curve (AUC) was ≥ 0.94 for all receiver–operator characteristic (ROC) curves across all skin tones and bilirubin thresholds (AUC range, 0-1, with > 0.8 indicating strong modeling).3

Limitations of the study included failure to check interrater reliability for skin tone assessment, low numbers of infants with elevated bilirubin (≥ 13.5 mg/dL), and very few infants in either the dark or light skin tone groups.3

Continue to: The second Canadian study...

 

 

The second Canadian study enrolled 774 infants born at ≥ 37 weeks gestational age in Calgary and assessed TcB with the JM-103.4 Infants were categorized as having light (n = 347), medium (n = 412), and dark (n = 15) skin tones by study nurses, based on reference cosmetic colors. All infants had paired TcB and TSB measurements within 60 minutes of each other and before 120 hours of life.

Multivariate linear regression analysis using medium skin tone as the reference group found a tendency toward low TcB levels in infants with light skin tone and a tendency toward high TcB levels in infants with dark skin tone (adjusted R2 = 0.86). The AUC was ≥ 0.95 for all ROC curves for lightand medium-toned infants at key TSB cutoff points; the study included too few infants with dark skin tone to generate ROC curves for that group.4

Recommendations from others

In 2009, the American Academy of Pediatrics (AAP) recommended universal predischarge screening for hyperbilirubinemia in newborns using either TcB testing or TSB. The AAP statement did not address the effect of skin tone on TcB levels, but did advise regular calibration of TcB and TSB results at the hospital level.5

In 2016, the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) updated their guideline on jaundice in newborns younger than 28 days old. NICE recommended visual inspection of all babies for jaundice by examining them in bright natural light and looking for jaundice on blanched skin; it specifically advised checking sclera and gums in infants with darker skin tones.6

The Nigerian researchers noted earlier have published an updated TcB nomogram for their patient population.7

Editor’s takeaway

Even with the small variation of 2 mg/dL or less between transcutaneous and serum bilirubin, and the SOR of C due to lab values being labeled disease-oriented evidence, TcB proves to be useful. In practice, concerning TcB values should lead to serum bilirubin confirmation. This evidence indicates we might be ordering TSB measurements more or less often depending on skin tone, reinforcing the need for review and adjustment of TcB cut-off levels based on the local population.

EVIDENCE SUMMARY

Some evidence suggests overestimation in all skin tones

In a prospective diagnostic cohort study of 1553 infants in Nigeria, the accuracy of TcB measurement with 2 transcutaneous bilirubinometers (Konica Minolta/Air Shields JM- 103 and Respironics BiliChek) was analyzed. 1 The study population was derived from neonates delivered in a single maternity hospital in Lagos who were ≥ 35 weeks gestational age or ≥ 2.2 kg.

Using a color scale generated for this population, researchers stratified neonates into 1 of 3 skin tone groups: light brown, medium brown, or dark brown. TcB and TSB paired samples were collected in the first 120 hours of life in all patients. JM-103 recordings comprised 71.9% of TcB readings.

Overall, TcB testing overestimated the TSB by ≥ 2 mg/dL in 64.5% of infants, ≥ 3 mg/dL in 42.7%, and > 4 mg/dL in 25.7%. TcB testing underestimated the TSB by ≥ 2 mg/dL in 1.1% of infants, ≥ 3 mg/dL in 0.5%, and > 4 mg/dL in 0.3%.1

Local variation in skin tone was not associated with changes in overestimation, although the researchers noted that a key limitation of the study was a lack of lighttoned infants for comparison.1

A prospective diagnostic cohort study of 1359 infants in Spain compared TcB measurements to TSB levels using the Dräger Jaundice Meter JM-105.2 Patients included all neonates (gestational age, 36.6 to 41.1 weeks) born at a single hospital in Barcelona.

Using a validated skin tone scale, researchers stratified neonates at 24 hours of life to 1 of 4 skin tones: light (n = 337), medium light (n = 750), medium dark (n = 249), and dark (n = 23). They then obtained TSB samples at 48 to 72 hours of life, along with other routine screening labs and midsternal TcB measurements.

TcB testing tended to overestimate TSB (when < 15 mg/dL) for all skin tones, although to a larger degree for neonates with dark skin tones (mean overestimation, 0.7 mg/dL for light; 1.08 mg/dL for medium light; 1.89 mg/dL for medium dark; and 1.86 mg/dL for dark; P < .001 for light vs medium dark or dark).2

Continue to: Stated limitations...

 

 

Stated limitations of the study included relatively low numbers of neonates with dark skin tone, no test of interobserver reliability in skin tone assignment, and enrollment of exclusively healthy neonates with low bilirubin levels.2

Other studies report overestimation in infants with darker skin tone

Two Canadian diagnostic cohort studies also found evidence that TcB testing overestimated TSB in infants with darker skin tones, although TcB test characteristics proved stable over a wide range of bilirubin levels.

The first study enrolled 451 neonates ≥ 35 weeks gestational age at a hospital in Ottawa and assessed TcB using the JM-103 meter.3 The neonates were stratified into light (n = 51), medium (n = 326), and dark (n = 74) skin tones using cosmetic reference color swatches. All had a TcB and TSB obtained within 30 minutes of each other.

The research reinforces the need for review and adjustment of transcutaneous bilirubin cut-off levels based on the local population.

TcB testing underestimated TSB in infants with light and medium skin tones and overestimated TSB in infants with darker skin tone (mean difference, –0.88 mg/dL for light; –1.1 mg/dL for medium; and 0.68 mg/dL for dark; P not given). The mean area under the curve (AUC) was ≥ 0.94 for all receiver–operator characteristic (ROC) curves across all skin tones and bilirubin thresholds (AUC range, 0-1, with > 0.8 indicating strong modeling).3

Limitations of the study included failure to check interrater reliability for skin tone assessment, low numbers of infants with elevated bilirubin (≥ 13.5 mg/dL), and very few infants in either the dark or light skin tone groups.3

Continue to: The second Canadian study...

 

 

The second Canadian study enrolled 774 infants born at ≥ 37 weeks gestational age in Calgary and assessed TcB with the JM-103.4 Infants were categorized as having light (n = 347), medium (n = 412), and dark (n = 15) skin tones by study nurses, based on reference cosmetic colors. All infants had paired TcB and TSB measurements within 60 minutes of each other and before 120 hours of life.

Multivariate linear regression analysis using medium skin tone as the reference group found a tendency toward low TcB levels in infants with light skin tone and a tendency toward high TcB levels in infants with dark skin tone (adjusted R2 = 0.86). The AUC was ≥ 0.95 for all ROC curves for lightand medium-toned infants at key TSB cutoff points; the study included too few infants with dark skin tone to generate ROC curves for that group.4

Recommendations from others

In 2009, the American Academy of Pediatrics (AAP) recommended universal predischarge screening for hyperbilirubinemia in newborns using either TcB testing or TSB. The AAP statement did not address the effect of skin tone on TcB levels, but did advise regular calibration of TcB and TSB results at the hospital level.5

In 2016, the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) updated their guideline on jaundice in newborns younger than 28 days old. NICE recommended visual inspection of all babies for jaundice by examining them in bright natural light and looking for jaundice on blanched skin; it specifically advised checking sclera and gums in infants with darker skin tones.6

The Nigerian researchers noted earlier have published an updated TcB nomogram for their patient population.7

Editor’s takeaway

Even with the small variation of 2 mg/dL or less between transcutaneous and serum bilirubin, and the SOR of C due to lab values being labeled disease-oriented evidence, TcB proves to be useful. In practice, concerning TcB values should lead to serum bilirubin confirmation. This evidence indicates we might be ordering TSB measurements more or less often depending on skin tone, reinforcing the need for review and adjustment of TcB cut-off levels based on the local population.

References

1. Olusanya BO, Imosemi DO, Emokpae AA. Differences between transcutaneous and serum bilirubin measurements in Black African neonates. Pediatrics. 2016;138:e20160907. doi: 10.1542/ peds.2016-0907

2. Maya-Enero S, Candel-Pau J, Garcia-Garcia J, et al. Reliability of transcutaneous bilirubin determination based on skin color determined by a neonatal skin color scale of our own. Eur J Pediatr. 2021;180:607-616. doi: 10.1007/s00431-020-03885-0

3. Samiee-Zafarghandy S, Feberova J, Williams K, et al. Influence of skin colour on diagnostic accuracy of the jaundice meter JM 103 in newborns. Arch Dis Child Fetal Neonatal Ed. 2014;99: F480-F484. doi: 10.1136/archdischild-2013-305699

4. Wainer S, Rabi Y, Parmar SM, et al. Impact of skin tone on the performance of a transcutaneous jaundice meter. Acta Paediatr. 2009;98:1909-1915. doi: 10.1111/j.1651-2227.2009.01497.x

5. Maisels MJ, Bhutani VK, Bogen D, et al. Hyperbilirubinemia in the newborn infant > or = 35 weeks’ gestation: an update with clarifications. Pediatrics. 2009;124:1193-1198. doi: 10.1542/peds. 2009-0329

6. Amos RC, Jacob H, Leith W. Jaundice in newborn babies under 28 days: NICE guideline 2016 (CG98). Arch Dis Child Educ Pract Ed. 2017;102:207-209. doi: 10.1136/archdischild-2016-311556

7. Olusanya BO, Mabogunje CA, Imosemi DO, et al. Transcutaneous bilirubin nomograms in African neonates. PloS ONE. 2017; 12:e0172058. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0172058

References

1. Olusanya BO, Imosemi DO, Emokpae AA. Differences between transcutaneous and serum bilirubin measurements in Black African neonates. Pediatrics. 2016;138:e20160907. doi: 10.1542/ peds.2016-0907

2. Maya-Enero S, Candel-Pau J, Garcia-Garcia J, et al. Reliability of transcutaneous bilirubin determination based on skin color determined by a neonatal skin color scale of our own. Eur J Pediatr. 2021;180:607-616. doi: 10.1007/s00431-020-03885-0

3. Samiee-Zafarghandy S, Feberova J, Williams K, et al. Influence of skin colour on diagnostic accuracy of the jaundice meter JM 103 in newborns. Arch Dis Child Fetal Neonatal Ed. 2014;99: F480-F484. doi: 10.1136/archdischild-2013-305699

4. Wainer S, Rabi Y, Parmar SM, et al. Impact of skin tone on the performance of a transcutaneous jaundice meter. Acta Paediatr. 2009;98:1909-1915. doi: 10.1111/j.1651-2227.2009.01497.x

5. Maisels MJ, Bhutani VK, Bogen D, et al. Hyperbilirubinemia in the newborn infant > or = 35 weeks’ gestation: an update with clarifications. Pediatrics. 2009;124:1193-1198. doi: 10.1542/peds. 2009-0329

6. Amos RC, Jacob H, Leith W. Jaundice in newborn babies under 28 days: NICE guideline 2016 (CG98). Arch Dis Child Educ Pract Ed. 2017;102:207-209. doi: 10.1136/archdischild-2016-311556

7. Olusanya BO, Mabogunje CA, Imosemi DO, et al. Transcutaneous bilirubin nomograms in African neonates. PloS ONE. 2017; 12:e0172058. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0172058

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EVIDENCE-BASED ANSWER:

Fairly accurate. Photometric transcutaneous bilirubin (TcB) testing may overestimate total serum bilirubin (TSB) in neonates with darker skin tones by a mean of 0.68 to > 2 mg/dL (strength of recommendation [SOR]: C, diagnostic cohort studies with differing reference standards).

Overall, TcB meters retain acceptable accuracy in infants of all skin tones across a range of bilirubin levels, despite being more likely to underestimate lighter skin tones and overestimate darker ones (SOR: C, diagnostic cohort studies with differing reference standards). It is unclear if the higher readings prompt an increase in blood draws or otherwise alter care.

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Midodrine may be comparable to albumin for PICD prevention in ACLF

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For patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) undergoing modest-volume paracentesis for ascites, oral midodrine may be an alternative to intravenous albumin for preventing paracentesis-induced circulatory dysfunction (PICD), according to the results of a randomized controlled trial.

Albumin protected 80% of patients from PICD 6 days after paracentesis, whereas midodrine protected 84%, a difference that was not statistically significant. However, albumin was associated with a slightly higher incidence of adverse events and higher costs, said Mithun Sharma, MD, during his presentation at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.

Midodrine may be a safer and cost-effective option for these patients, said Dr. Sharma, of the department of hepatology and liver transplantation, AIG Hospitals, Hyderabad, India.

But he cautioned that given the small size of the open-label study, with only 25 patients in each arm, the results should be considered as proof of concept and need to be validated in larger studies.
 

PICD common in ACLF

PICD is caused by fluid shift during paracentesis, leading to a decrease in effective circulating blood volume.

The incidence of PICD after large-volume paracentesis in patients receiving albumin ranges from 12% to 20%, Dr. Sharma noted.

Albumin has been shown in several trials to be effective at reducing the incidence of PICD in patients undergoing paracentesis, but this agent requires IV infusion and is comparatively costly, he said.

In contrast, midodrine, a selective alpha-adrenergic agonist usually prescribed for orthostatic hypotension, may help to prevent PICD through its mechanism of action, maintaining mean arterial pressure (MAP).

In two small studies comparing albumin infusion in patients undergoing paracentesis with 8 liters of fluid removal, midodrine was either inferior to albumin or had no beneficial effect, Dr. Sharma said.

Patients with ACLF, however, have paracentesis with much lower fluid volumes, typically with less than 5 liters removed, and may be good candidates for midodrine.
 

Study details

Dr. Sharma and colleagues tested their hypothesis that in patients with ACLF undergoing modest-volume paracentesis, with fluid removal below 5 liters, midodrine could prevent PICD by increasing MAP, with an efficacy similar to that of intravenous 20% human albumin infusions.

They enrolled 50 patients with ACLF defined by Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver criteria who were undergoing paracentesis with 3- to 4-liter fluid volumes.

They defined PICD as at least a 50% increase in plasma renin activity (PRA) over baseline on the 6th day following paracentesis.

The patients were randomly assigned to receive either intravenous 20% human albumin infusions toward the end of paracentesis or midodrine-hydrochloride 7.5 mg three times daily starting 2 hours before paracentesis. Because of the difference in drug delivery methods, the study could not be blinded to treatment type.

Patients’ mean arterial pressures were recorded daily, renal parameters and serum electrolytes were monitored on days 3 and 6, and blood samples were tested for PRA on day 1 and day 6.

The most common acute and chronic hepatic insults and baseline characteristics of the patients were similar between the groups, with alcohol-related liver disease the most common underlying etiology of cirrhosis.

The incidence of PICD at day 6, the primary endpoint, did not differ significantly between the groups, although mean PRA levels on day 6 were numerically higher in the midodrine group. There was a significant rise in the absolute PRA volume from baseline (P = .006), but this rise did not meet the PICD definition.

Researchers found no significant differences between the two groups in absolute change in PRA, and no significant changes in either group in MAP, creatinine, or sodium levels.
 

 

 

Complications and costs

PICD developed in four patients assigned to the albumin group and five patients assigned to the midodrine group; however, this difference was not significant. Fluid overload occurred in only one patient, in the albumin group.

No cases of hypertension or urinary retention arose in either group.

Grade I/II hepatic encephalopathy occurred 2-3 days after paracentesis in three patients on albumin and in two patients on midodrine.

Acute kidney injury was seen in three patients on albumin and in one patient on midodrine.

At 28 days after paracentesis, three patients in the albumin group had died, all from sepsis and multiorgan failure, while four patients in the midodrine group had died, three from sepsis and multiorgan failure and one from an upper gastrointestinal bleed.

Two patients in the albumin group and one patient in the midodrine group underwent liver transplant 1 month after paracentesis.

A cost-effectiveness analysis showed that the mean cost of albumin infusions was about sixfold higher than that of oral midodrine.
 

More data needed

Session moderator Shiv K. Sarin, MD, from the Institute of Liver and Biliary Sciences in New Delhi, India, who was not involved in the study, commented that while midodrine is a good drug and generally safe, he would wait to use it in patients who needed modest-volume paracentesis until more data are published.

Dr. Sarin also emphasized that albumin is “mandatory” for protecting patients who require large-volume paracentesis, and that it would be “unethical” not to use it in that clinical situation.

The study was internally supported. Dr. Sharma and Dr. Sarin have disclosed no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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For patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) undergoing modest-volume paracentesis for ascites, oral midodrine may be an alternative to intravenous albumin for preventing paracentesis-induced circulatory dysfunction (PICD), according to the results of a randomized controlled trial.

Albumin protected 80% of patients from PICD 6 days after paracentesis, whereas midodrine protected 84%, a difference that was not statistically significant. However, albumin was associated with a slightly higher incidence of adverse events and higher costs, said Mithun Sharma, MD, during his presentation at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.

Midodrine may be a safer and cost-effective option for these patients, said Dr. Sharma, of the department of hepatology and liver transplantation, AIG Hospitals, Hyderabad, India.

But he cautioned that given the small size of the open-label study, with only 25 patients in each arm, the results should be considered as proof of concept and need to be validated in larger studies.
 

PICD common in ACLF

PICD is caused by fluid shift during paracentesis, leading to a decrease in effective circulating blood volume.

The incidence of PICD after large-volume paracentesis in patients receiving albumin ranges from 12% to 20%, Dr. Sharma noted.

Albumin has been shown in several trials to be effective at reducing the incidence of PICD in patients undergoing paracentesis, but this agent requires IV infusion and is comparatively costly, he said.

In contrast, midodrine, a selective alpha-adrenergic agonist usually prescribed for orthostatic hypotension, may help to prevent PICD through its mechanism of action, maintaining mean arterial pressure (MAP).

In two small studies comparing albumin infusion in patients undergoing paracentesis with 8 liters of fluid removal, midodrine was either inferior to albumin or had no beneficial effect, Dr. Sharma said.

Patients with ACLF, however, have paracentesis with much lower fluid volumes, typically with less than 5 liters removed, and may be good candidates for midodrine.
 

Study details

Dr. Sharma and colleagues tested their hypothesis that in patients with ACLF undergoing modest-volume paracentesis, with fluid removal below 5 liters, midodrine could prevent PICD by increasing MAP, with an efficacy similar to that of intravenous 20% human albumin infusions.

They enrolled 50 patients with ACLF defined by Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver criteria who were undergoing paracentesis with 3- to 4-liter fluid volumes.

They defined PICD as at least a 50% increase in plasma renin activity (PRA) over baseline on the 6th day following paracentesis.

The patients were randomly assigned to receive either intravenous 20% human albumin infusions toward the end of paracentesis or midodrine-hydrochloride 7.5 mg three times daily starting 2 hours before paracentesis. Because of the difference in drug delivery methods, the study could not be blinded to treatment type.

Patients’ mean arterial pressures were recorded daily, renal parameters and serum electrolytes were monitored on days 3 and 6, and blood samples were tested for PRA on day 1 and day 6.

The most common acute and chronic hepatic insults and baseline characteristics of the patients were similar between the groups, with alcohol-related liver disease the most common underlying etiology of cirrhosis.

The incidence of PICD at day 6, the primary endpoint, did not differ significantly between the groups, although mean PRA levels on day 6 were numerically higher in the midodrine group. There was a significant rise in the absolute PRA volume from baseline (P = .006), but this rise did not meet the PICD definition.

Researchers found no significant differences between the two groups in absolute change in PRA, and no significant changes in either group in MAP, creatinine, or sodium levels.
 

 

 

Complications and costs

PICD developed in four patients assigned to the albumin group and five patients assigned to the midodrine group; however, this difference was not significant. Fluid overload occurred in only one patient, in the albumin group.

No cases of hypertension or urinary retention arose in either group.

Grade I/II hepatic encephalopathy occurred 2-3 days after paracentesis in three patients on albumin and in two patients on midodrine.

Acute kidney injury was seen in three patients on albumin and in one patient on midodrine.

At 28 days after paracentesis, three patients in the albumin group had died, all from sepsis and multiorgan failure, while four patients in the midodrine group had died, three from sepsis and multiorgan failure and one from an upper gastrointestinal bleed.

Two patients in the albumin group and one patient in the midodrine group underwent liver transplant 1 month after paracentesis.

A cost-effectiveness analysis showed that the mean cost of albumin infusions was about sixfold higher than that of oral midodrine.
 

More data needed

Session moderator Shiv K. Sarin, MD, from the Institute of Liver and Biliary Sciences in New Delhi, India, who was not involved in the study, commented that while midodrine is a good drug and generally safe, he would wait to use it in patients who needed modest-volume paracentesis until more data are published.

Dr. Sarin also emphasized that albumin is “mandatory” for protecting patients who require large-volume paracentesis, and that it would be “unethical” not to use it in that clinical situation.

The study was internally supported. Dr. Sharma and Dr. Sarin have disclosed no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

For patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) undergoing modest-volume paracentesis for ascites, oral midodrine may be an alternative to intravenous albumin for preventing paracentesis-induced circulatory dysfunction (PICD), according to the results of a randomized controlled trial.

Albumin protected 80% of patients from PICD 6 days after paracentesis, whereas midodrine protected 84%, a difference that was not statistically significant. However, albumin was associated with a slightly higher incidence of adverse events and higher costs, said Mithun Sharma, MD, during his presentation at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.

Midodrine may be a safer and cost-effective option for these patients, said Dr. Sharma, of the department of hepatology and liver transplantation, AIG Hospitals, Hyderabad, India.

But he cautioned that given the small size of the open-label study, with only 25 patients in each arm, the results should be considered as proof of concept and need to be validated in larger studies.
 

PICD common in ACLF

PICD is caused by fluid shift during paracentesis, leading to a decrease in effective circulating blood volume.

The incidence of PICD after large-volume paracentesis in patients receiving albumin ranges from 12% to 20%, Dr. Sharma noted.

Albumin has been shown in several trials to be effective at reducing the incidence of PICD in patients undergoing paracentesis, but this agent requires IV infusion and is comparatively costly, he said.

In contrast, midodrine, a selective alpha-adrenergic agonist usually prescribed for orthostatic hypotension, may help to prevent PICD through its mechanism of action, maintaining mean arterial pressure (MAP).

In two small studies comparing albumin infusion in patients undergoing paracentesis with 8 liters of fluid removal, midodrine was either inferior to albumin or had no beneficial effect, Dr. Sharma said.

Patients with ACLF, however, have paracentesis with much lower fluid volumes, typically with less than 5 liters removed, and may be good candidates for midodrine.
 

Study details

Dr. Sharma and colleagues tested their hypothesis that in patients with ACLF undergoing modest-volume paracentesis, with fluid removal below 5 liters, midodrine could prevent PICD by increasing MAP, with an efficacy similar to that of intravenous 20% human albumin infusions.

They enrolled 50 patients with ACLF defined by Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver criteria who were undergoing paracentesis with 3- to 4-liter fluid volumes.

They defined PICD as at least a 50% increase in plasma renin activity (PRA) over baseline on the 6th day following paracentesis.

The patients were randomly assigned to receive either intravenous 20% human albumin infusions toward the end of paracentesis or midodrine-hydrochloride 7.5 mg three times daily starting 2 hours before paracentesis. Because of the difference in drug delivery methods, the study could not be blinded to treatment type.

Patients’ mean arterial pressures were recorded daily, renal parameters and serum electrolytes were monitored on days 3 and 6, and blood samples were tested for PRA on day 1 and day 6.

The most common acute and chronic hepatic insults and baseline characteristics of the patients were similar between the groups, with alcohol-related liver disease the most common underlying etiology of cirrhosis.

The incidence of PICD at day 6, the primary endpoint, did not differ significantly between the groups, although mean PRA levels on day 6 were numerically higher in the midodrine group. There was a significant rise in the absolute PRA volume from baseline (P = .006), but this rise did not meet the PICD definition.

Researchers found no significant differences between the two groups in absolute change in PRA, and no significant changes in either group in MAP, creatinine, or sodium levels.
 

 

 

Complications and costs

PICD developed in four patients assigned to the albumin group and five patients assigned to the midodrine group; however, this difference was not significant. Fluid overload occurred in only one patient, in the albumin group.

No cases of hypertension or urinary retention arose in either group.

Grade I/II hepatic encephalopathy occurred 2-3 days after paracentesis in three patients on albumin and in two patients on midodrine.

Acute kidney injury was seen in three patients on albumin and in one patient on midodrine.

At 28 days after paracentesis, three patients in the albumin group had died, all from sepsis and multiorgan failure, while four patients in the midodrine group had died, three from sepsis and multiorgan failure and one from an upper gastrointestinal bleed.

Two patients in the albumin group and one patient in the midodrine group underwent liver transplant 1 month after paracentesis.

A cost-effectiveness analysis showed that the mean cost of albumin infusions was about sixfold higher than that of oral midodrine.
 

More data needed

Session moderator Shiv K. Sarin, MD, from the Institute of Liver and Biliary Sciences in New Delhi, India, who was not involved in the study, commented that while midodrine is a good drug and generally safe, he would wait to use it in patients who needed modest-volume paracentesis until more data are published.

Dr. Sarin also emphasized that albumin is “mandatory” for protecting patients who require large-volume paracentesis, and that it would be “unethical” not to use it in that clinical situation.

The study was internally supported. Dr. Sharma and Dr. Sarin have disclosed no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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Bepirovirsen: Is a ‘functional cure’ for HBV on the horizon?

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Treatment with bepirovirsen led to sustained clearance of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) and hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA for 24 weeks after the end of treatment for adults with chronic HBV in the phase 2b B-Clear study.

The study results were presented at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases and were simultaneously published in The New England Journal of Medicine.

Currently, nucleoside/nucleotide analogue (NA) therapy is the recommended first-line therapy for patients with chronic HBV because it can inhibit viral replication.

However, fewer than 5% of patients have HBsAg loss after 12 months of NA therapy, which underscores the need for therapies that can achieve a “functional” cure, largely defined as sustained, undetectable levels of HBV DNA and HBsAg in the blood, with or without generation of protective antibodies against HBsAg, the researchers noted.

Bepirovirsen is a potential first-in-class antisense oligonucleotide that targets all HBV messenger RNA and acts to decrease levels of viral proteins.

The phase 2b B-Clear study enrolled 457 patients with chronic HBV; 227 were receiving NA therapy, and 230 were not.

Participants were randomly assigned to receive weekly subcutaneous injections of bepirovirsen 300 mg for 24 weeks; bepirovirsen 300 mg for 12 weeks, then 150 mg for 12 weeks; bepirovirsen 300 mg for 12 weeks, then placebo for 12 weeks; or placebo for 12 weeks, then bepirovirsen 300 mg for 12 weeks (groups 1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively).

The composite primary outcome was HBsAg level below the limit of detection and HBV DNA level below the limit of quantification maintained for 24 weeks after the end of bepirovirsen treatment, without newly initiated antiviral medication.

Bepirovirsen 300 mg weekly for 24 weeks (group 1) led to HBsAg and HBV DNA loss in 9% of patients receiving NA therapy and 10% of patients not receiving NA treatment, which was sustained for 24 weeks after the last dose.

For groups 2, 3, and 4, HBsAg and HBV DNA loss occurred in 9%, 3%, and 0%, respectively, of patients receiving NA therapy and 6%, 1%, and 0%, respectively, of patients not receiving NA treatment.

Patients with low baseline HBsAg levels (< 1,000 IU/mL) responded best to treatment with bepirovirsen. Among patients who received bepirovirsen 300 mg weekly for 24 weeks, the primary outcome was achieved by 16% of patients taking NA therapy and by 25% of patients not taking NA therapy.

Although a “relatively low percentage” of patients overall achieved the primary outcome, the study “indicates the possibility of enhanced efficacy with the selection of patients according to baseline characteristics (low HBsAg level at baseline), with combination therapies, or both,” the researchers wrote.

Adverse events with bepirovirsen included injection-site reactions, pyrexia, fatigue, and increased alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels. Increases in ALT levels, which were more common in those not receiving NA therapy than in those receiving NA therapy (41% vs. 17%), led to two serious adverse events.

On the basis of phase 2b data, GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) plans to advance bepirovirsen into phase 3 development, according to a news release.

Further pursuit of bepirovirsen therapy is “certainly warranted, with the use of a dose of 300 mg per week for at least 24 weeks; indeed, the duration of therapy might be dictated best by HBsAg levels at baseline,” Jay H. Hoofnagle, MD, director of the liver disease research branch at the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, wrote in an editorial in the New England Journal of Medicine.

Several critical questions remain, including whether HBsAg negativity will persist beyond 24 weeks, wrote Dr. Hoofnagle, who was not involved in the study.

It’s a question GSK is addressing in the B-Sure trial, which will follow participants for an additional 33 months, the study noted.

Other questions include when NA therapy can be safely stopped, what other factors predict response, and whether RNA therapy–induced loss of HBsAg materially improves long-term outcomes, Dr. Hoofnagle wrote.

“Bepirovirsen is just one RNA-based HBV therapy now being pursued. Several other antisense RNAs as well as the more malleable small interfering RNA molecules (‘-sirans’) are currently in early-phase clinical trials. A new era in the control of hepatitis B may be at hand with these most modern of therapies for this most ancient disease,” Dr. Hoofnagle noted.

The B-Clear study was supported by GSK. Several authors have disclosed relationships with the company. A complete list of author disclosures is available with the original article. Dr. Hoofnagle has disclosed no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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Treatment with bepirovirsen led to sustained clearance of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) and hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA for 24 weeks after the end of treatment for adults with chronic HBV in the phase 2b B-Clear study.

The study results were presented at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases and were simultaneously published in The New England Journal of Medicine.

Currently, nucleoside/nucleotide analogue (NA) therapy is the recommended first-line therapy for patients with chronic HBV because it can inhibit viral replication.

However, fewer than 5% of patients have HBsAg loss after 12 months of NA therapy, which underscores the need for therapies that can achieve a “functional” cure, largely defined as sustained, undetectable levels of HBV DNA and HBsAg in the blood, with or without generation of protective antibodies against HBsAg, the researchers noted.

Bepirovirsen is a potential first-in-class antisense oligonucleotide that targets all HBV messenger RNA and acts to decrease levels of viral proteins.

The phase 2b B-Clear study enrolled 457 patients with chronic HBV; 227 were receiving NA therapy, and 230 were not.

Participants were randomly assigned to receive weekly subcutaneous injections of bepirovirsen 300 mg for 24 weeks; bepirovirsen 300 mg for 12 weeks, then 150 mg for 12 weeks; bepirovirsen 300 mg for 12 weeks, then placebo for 12 weeks; or placebo for 12 weeks, then bepirovirsen 300 mg for 12 weeks (groups 1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively).

The composite primary outcome was HBsAg level below the limit of detection and HBV DNA level below the limit of quantification maintained for 24 weeks after the end of bepirovirsen treatment, without newly initiated antiviral medication.

Bepirovirsen 300 mg weekly for 24 weeks (group 1) led to HBsAg and HBV DNA loss in 9% of patients receiving NA therapy and 10% of patients not receiving NA treatment, which was sustained for 24 weeks after the last dose.

For groups 2, 3, and 4, HBsAg and HBV DNA loss occurred in 9%, 3%, and 0%, respectively, of patients receiving NA therapy and 6%, 1%, and 0%, respectively, of patients not receiving NA treatment.

Patients with low baseline HBsAg levels (< 1,000 IU/mL) responded best to treatment with bepirovirsen. Among patients who received bepirovirsen 300 mg weekly for 24 weeks, the primary outcome was achieved by 16% of patients taking NA therapy and by 25% of patients not taking NA therapy.

Although a “relatively low percentage” of patients overall achieved the primary outcome, the study “indicates the possibility of enhanced efficacy with the selection of patients according to baseline characteristics (low HBsAg level at baseline), with combination therapies, or both,” the researchers wrote.

Adverse events with bepirovirsen included injection-site reactions, pyrexia, fatigue, and increased alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels. Increases in ALT levels, which were more common in those not receiving NA therapy than in those receiving NA therapy (41% vs. 17%), led to two serious adverse events.

On the basis of phase 2b data, GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) plans to advance bepirovirsen into phase 3 development, according to a news release.

Further pursuit of bepirovirsen therapy is “certainly warranted, with the use of a dose of 300 mg per week for at least 24 weeks; indeed, the duration of therapy might be dictated best by HBsAg levels at baseline,” Jay H. Hoofnagle, MD, director of the liver disease research branch at the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, wrote in an editorial in the New England Journal of Medicine.

Several critical questions remain, including whether HBsAg negativity will persist beyond 24 weeks, wrote Dr. Hoofnagle, who was not involved in the study.

It’s a question GSK is addressing in the B-Sure trial, which will follow participants for an additional 33 months, the study noted.

Other questions include when NA therapy can be safely stopped, what other factors predict response, and whether RNA therapy–induced loss of HBsAg materially improves long-term outcomes, Dr. Hoofnagle wrote.

“Bepirovirsen is just one RNA-based HBV therapy now being pursued. Several other antisense RNAs as well as the more malleable small interfering RNA molecules (‘-sirans’) are currently in early-phase clinical trials. A new era in the control of hepatitis B may be at hand with these most modern of therapies for this most ancient disease,” Dr. Hoofnagle noted.

The B-Clear study was supported by GSK. Several authors have disclosed relationships with the company. A complete list of author disclosures is available with the original article. Dr. Hoofnagle has disclosed no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Treatment with bepirovirsen led to sustained clearance of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) and hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA for 24 weeks after the end of treatment for adults with chronic HBV in the phase 2b B-Clear study.

The study results were presented at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases and were simultaneously published in The New England Journal of Medicine.

Currently, nucleoside/nucleotide analogue (NA) therapy is the recommended first-line therapy for patients with chronic HBV because it can inhibit viral replication.

However, fewer than 5% of patients have HBsAg loss after 12 months of NA therapy, which underscores the need for therapies that can achieve a “functional” cure, largely defined as sustained, undetectable levels of HBV DNA and HBsAg in the blood, with or without generation of protective antibodies against HBsAg, the researchers noted.

Bepirovirsen is a potential first-in-class antisense oligonucleotide that targets all HBV messenger RNA and acts to decrease levels of viral proteins.

The phase 2b B-Clear study enrolled 457 patients with chronic HBV; 227 were receiving NA therapy, and 230 were not.

Participants were randomly assigned to receive weekly subcutaneous injections of bepirovirsen 300 mg for 24 weeks; bepirovirsen 300 mg for 12 weeks, then 150 mg for 12 weeks; bepirovirsen 300 mg for 12 weeks, then placebo for 12 weeks; or placebo for 12 weeks, then bepirovirsen 300 mg for 12 weeks (groups 1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively).

The composite primary outcome was HBsAg level below the limit of detection and HBV DNA level below the limit of quantification maintained for 24 weeks after the end of bepirovirsen treatment, without newly initiated antiviral medication.

Bepirovirsen 300 mg weekly for 24 weeks (group 1) led to HBsAg and HBV DNA loss in 9% of patients receiving NA therapy and 10% of patients not receiving NA treatment, which was sustained for 24 weeks after the last dose.

For groups 2, 3, and 4, HBsAg and HBV DNA loss occurred in 9%, 3%, and 0%, respectively, of patients receiving NA therapy and 6%, 1%, and 0%, respectively, of patients not receiving NA treatment.

Patients with low baseline HBsAg levels (< 1,000 IU/mL) responded best to treatment with bepirovirsen. Among patients who received bepirovirsen 300 mg weekly for 24 weeks, the primary outcome was achieved by 16% of patients taking NA therapy and by 25% of patients not taking NA therapy.

Although a “relatively low percentage” of patients overall achieved the primary outcome, the study “indicates the possibility of enhanced efficacy with the selection of patients according to baseline characteristics (low HBsAg level at baseline), with combination therapies, or both,” the researchers wrote.

Adverse events with bepirovirsen included injection-site reactions, pyrexia, fatigue, and increased alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels. Increases in ALT levels, which were more common in those not receiving NA therapy than in those receiving NA therapy (41% vs. 17%), led to two serious adverse events.

On the basis of phase 2b data, GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) plans to advance bepirovirsen into phase 3 development, according to a news release.

Further pursuit of bepirovirsen therapy is “certainly warranted, with the use of a dose of 300 mg per week for at least 24 weeks; indeed, the duration of therapy might be dictated best by HBsAg levels at baseline,” Jay H. Hoofnagle, MD, director of the liver disease research branch at the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, wrote in an editorial in the New England Journal of Medicine.

Several critical questions remain, including whether HBsAg negativity will persist beyond 24 weeks, wrote Dr. Hoofnagle, who was not involved in the study.

It’s a question GSK is addressing in the B-Sure trial, which will follow participants for an additional 33 months, the study noted.

Other questions include when NA therapy can be safely stopped, what other factors predict response, and whether RNA therapy–induced loss of HBsAg materially improves long-term outcomes, Dr. Hoofnagle wrote.

“Bepirovirsen is just one RNA-based HBV therapy now being pursued. Several other antisense RNAs as well as the more malleable small interfering RNA molecules (‘-sirans’) are currently in early-phase clinical trials. A new era in the control of hepatitis B may be at hand with these most modern of therapies for this most ancient disease,” Dr. Hoofnagle noted.

The B-Clear study was supported by GSK. Several authors have disclosed relationships with the company. A complete list of author disclosures is available with the original article. Dr. Hoofnagle has disclosed no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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Steroids and G-CSF improve 90-day survival in severe alcoholic hepatitis

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Adding granulocyte-colony stimulating factor (G-CSF) to steroid therapy can improve 90-day survival for patients with severe alcoholic hepatitis (SAH), researchers from India reported.

Among patients with SAH, the combination of G-CSF and prednisolone was associated with a 90-day survival rate of 88.1%, compared with 78.6% for patients assigned to G-CSF alone, and 64.3% for patients assigned to prednisolone alone (P = .03).

The G-CSF/prednisolone combination was also associated with significantly better steroid responsiveness, as determined by the Lille Model for Alcoholic Hepatitis, reported Shiv K. Sarin, MD, from the Institute of Liver and Biliary Sciences, New Delhi.

The drug combo in steroid-eligible patients also “reduces morbidity related to infections, rehospitalizations, and hepatic encephalopathy [and] reduces infection rates,” Dr. Sarin said at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases. He did caution that the treatment requires close monitoring.
 

Prednisolone-only drawbacks

For patients with SAH, 30-day mortality ranges from 20%-50%. While some patients respond to treatment with corticosteroids, the response is often modest and limited in duration, Dr. Sarin said.

The STOPAH trial found that 15% of patients with SAH treated with prednisolone developed serious infections, compared with 8% of patients on placebo (P = .002), he noted.

Dr. Sarin also pointed to a recent worldwide study attempting to identify the optimal therapeutic window for steroid use in patients with alcoholic hepatitis. The investigators found that corticosteroids reduced 30-day mortality by 41% but only among patients with SAH, especially those with Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores between 25 and 39.

In previous studies, G-CSF has been shown to improve survival in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure, including patients with SAH; in patients with SAH alone; and in steroid nonresponders, Dr. Sarin said.
 

Regenerative properties

In an interview with this news organizationDr. Sarin said that although the use of G-CSF for patients with severe SAH is still under investigation at his center, “we are using G-CSF routinely for decompensated cirrhosis, where it is like an in vivo extension of regenerative stem cells. G-CSF recruits from bone marrow a lot of hematopoietic stem cells and mesenchymal stem cells.”

Dr. Sarin and colleagues hypothesized that G-CSF, with its immunomodulatory and regenerative properties, would be effective either alone or in combination with steroids in steroid-eligible patients with SAH.

To test this idea, they enrolled 126 patients ages 18-65 with SAH, defined as a Maddrey’s Discriminant Function (mDF) score greater than 32. They excluded patients with active infections, acute gastrointestinal bleeding, hepatorenal syndrome, an mDF score greater than 90, autoimmune hepatitis, hepatitis B or C, HIV, pregnancy, hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis, and those with hemoglobin below 8 and baseline white blood cell count over 25,000.

The patients were randomly assigned, 42 in each group, to receive one of the following:

  • Prednisolone monotherapy 40 mg/day for 7 days, with the drug stopped at 7 days for patients with Lille scores above 0.45 or continued for up to 21 days for those with Lille scores below 0.45;
  • Prednisolone plus G-CSF 300 mcg/day for 7 days, with those who achieve a Lille score above 0.45 stopping the steroid but continuing G-CSF, while those with Lille scores below 0.45 continuing on prednisolone for 21 days, plus G-CSF once every 3 days for 5 additional doses; or
  • G-CSF monotherapy at a dose of 150-300 mcg/day for 7 days, then every 3 days for 28 days up to a total of 12 doses.
 

 



Improved response

In addition to its superior results on the primary endpoint of 90-day survival, combination therapy was associated with significantly better response to therapy. The mean Lille score at day 7 was 0.14 for the combination, compared with 0.21 for prednisolone alone and 0.28 for G-CSF alone (= .002).

There were also significantly fewer nonresponders in the combination arm than either of the monotherapy groups (P = .03).

At 90 days, the rate of new infections was significantly higher among patients treated with prednisolone alone, at 35.7%, compared with 19% in the combination arm and 7.1% in the G-CSF alone group (P = .02). There were also significantly fewer skin and mucosal bleeding episodes with the combination (19% vs, 25% and 35.7% with prednisolone and G-CSF monotherapies, respectively, = .03), as well as lower rates of hepatic encephalopathy (9.5% vs. 47.5% and 25%, respectively, P < .01).

No differences in alcohol relapse rates were found among the three groups.
 

Patient selection important

“I know a lot of the G-CSF studies that have been conducted in the U.S. and Europe have all been negative,” said David Goldberg, MD, from the University of Miami, during the session. “Do you think there’s something unique in your patients, the microbiome or maybe genetics, that leads to such different results?” he asked Dr. Sarin.

European studies included patients with infections, acute kidney injury (AKI), or other comorbidities that were exclusion criteria in his study, Dr. Sarin noted.

“If you already have an infection, you already have an AKI, then it’s not a good patient for treatment, so I think the choice of patient is important,” he said.

The study was internally supported. Dr. Sarin and Dr. Goldberg report no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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Adding granulocyte-colony stimulating factor (G-CSF) to steroid therapy can improve 90-day survival for patients with severe alcoholic hepatitis (SAH), researchers from India reported.

Among patients with SAH, the combination of G-CSF and prednisolone was associated with a 90-day survival rate of 88.1%, compared with 78.6% for patients assigned to G-CSF alone, and 64.3% for patients assigned to prednisolone alone (P = .03).

The G-CSF/prednisolone combination was also associated with significantly better steroid responsiveness, as determined by the Lille Model for Alcoholic Hepatitis, reported Shiv K. Sarin, MD, from the Institute of Liver and Biliary Sciences, New Delhi.

The drug combo in steroid-eligible patients also “reduces morbidity related to infections, rehospitalizations, and hepatic encephalopathy [and] reduces infection rates,” Dr. Sarin said at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases. He did caution that the treatment requires close monitoring.
 

Prednisolone-only drawbacks

For patients with SAH, 30-day mortality ranges from 20%-50%. While some patients respond to treatment with corticosteroids, the response is often modest and limited in duration, Dr. Sarin said.

The STOPAH trial found that 15% of patients with SAH treated with prednisolone developed serious infections, compared with 8% of patients on placebo (P = .002), he noted.

Dr. Sarin also pointed to a recent worldwide study attempting to identify the optimal therapeutic window for steroid use in patients with alcoholic hepatitis. The investigators found that corticosteroids reduced 30-day mortality by 41% but only among patients with SAH, especially those with Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores between 25 and 39.

In previous studies, G-CSF has been shown to improve survival in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure, including patients with SAH; in patients with SAH alone; and in steroid nonresponders, Dr. Sarin said.
 

Regenerative properties

In an interview with this news organizationDr. Sarin said that although the use of G-CSF for patients with severe SAH is still under investigation at his center, “we are using G-CSF routinely for decompensated cirrhosis, where it is like an in vivo extension of regenerative stem cells. G-CSF recruits from bone marrow a lot of hematopoietic stem cells and mesenchymal stem cells.”

Dr. Sarin and colleagues hypothesized that G-CSF, with its immunomodulatory and regenerative properties, would be effective either alone or in combination with steroids in steroid-eligible patients with SAH.

To test this idea, they enrolled 126 patients ages 18-65 with SAH, defined as a Maddrey’s Discriminant Function (mDF) score greater than 32. They excluded patients with active infections, acute gastrointestinal bleeding, hepatorenal syndrome, an mDF score greater than 90, autoimmune hepatitis, hepatitis B or C, HIV, pregnancy, hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis, and those with hemoglobin below 8 and baseline white blood cell count over 25,000.

The patients were randomly assigned, 42 in each group, to receive one of the following:

  • Prednisolone monotherapy 40 mg/day for 7 days, with the drug stopped at 7 days for patients with Lille scores above 0.45 or continued for up to 21 days for those with Lille scores below 0.45;
  • Prednisolone plus G-CSF 300 mcg/day for 7 days, with those who achieve a Lille score above 0.45 stopping the steroid but continuing G-CSF, while those with Lille scores below 0.45 continuing on prednisolone for 21 days, plus G-CSF once every 3 days for 5 additional doses; or
  • G-CSF monotherapy at a dose of 150-300 mcg/day for 7 days, then every 3 days for 28 days up to a total of 12 doses.
 

 



Improved response

In addition to its superior results on the primary endpoint of 90-day survival, combination therapy was associated with significantly better response to therapy. The mean Lille score at day 7 was 0.14 for the combination, compared with 0.21 for prednisolone alone and 0.28 for G-CSF alone (= .002).

There were also significantly fewer nonresponders in the combination arm than either of the monotherapy groups (P = .03).

At 90 days, the rate of new infections was significantly higher among patients treated with prednisolone alone, at 35.7%, compared with 19% in the combination arm and 7.1% in the G-CSF alone group (P = .02). There were also significantly fewer skin and mucosal bleeding episodes with the combination (19% vs, 25% and 35.7% with prednisolone and G-CSF monotherapies, respectively, = .03), as well as lower rates of hepatic encephalopathy (9.5% vs. 47.5% and 25%, respectively, P < .01).

No differences in alcohol relapse rates were found among the three groups.
 

Patient selection important

“I know a lot of the G-CSF studies that have been conducted in the U.S. and Europe have all been negative,” said David Goldberg, MD, from the University of Miami, during the session. “Do you think there’s something unique in your patients, the microbiome or maybe genetics, that leads to such different results?” he asked Dr. Sarin.

European studies included patients with infections, acute kidney injury (AKI), or other comorbidities that were exclusion criteria in his study, Dr. Sarin noted.

“If you already have an infection, you already have an AKI, then it’s not a good patient for treatment, so I think the choice of patient is important,” he said.

The study was internally supported. Dr. Sarin and Dr. Goldberg report no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Adding granulocyte-colony stimulating factor (G-CSF) to steroid therapy can improve 90-day survival for patients with severe alcoholic hepatitis (SAH), researchers from India reported.

Among patients with SAH, the combination of G-CSF and prednisolone was associated with a 90-day survival rate of 88.1%, compared with 78.6% for patients assigned to G-CSF alone, and 64.3% for patients assigned to prednisolone alone (P = .03).

The G-CSF/prednisolone combination was also associated with significantly better steroid responsiveness, as determined by the Lille Model for Alcoholic Hepatitis, reported Shiv K. Sarin, MD, from the Institute of Liver and Biliary Sciences, New Delhi.

The drug combo in steroid-eligible patients also “reduces morbidity related to infections, rehospitalizations, and hepatic encephalopathy [and] reduces infection rates,” Dr. Sarin said at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases. He did caution that the treatment requires close monitoring.
 

Prednisolone-only drawbacks

For patients with SAH, 30-day mortality ranges from 20%-50%. While some patients respond to treatment with corticosteroids, the response is often modest and limited in duration, Dr. Sarin said.

The STOPAH trial found that 15% of patients with SAH treated with prednisolone developed serious infections, compared with 8% of patients on placebo (P = .002), he noted.

Dr. Sarin also pointed to a recent worldwide study attempting to identify the optimal therapeutic window for steroid use in patients with alcoholic hepatitis. The investigators found that corticosteroids reduced 30-day mortality by 41% but only among patients with SAH, especially those with Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores between 25 and 39.

In previous studies, G-CSF has been shown to improve survival in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure, including patients with SAH; in patients with SAH alone; and in steroid nonresponders, Dr. Sarin said.
 

Regenerative properties

In an interview with this news organizationDr. Sarin said that although the use of G-CSF for patients with severe SAH is still under investigation at his center, “we are using G-CSF routinely for decompensated cirrhosis, where it is like an in vivo extension of regenerative stem cells. G-CSF recruits from bone marrow a lot of hematopoietic stem cells and mesenchymal stem cells.”

Dr. Sarin and colleagues hypothesized that G-CSF, with its immunomodulatory and regenerative properties, would be effective either alone or in combination with steroids in steroid-eligible patients with SAH.

To test this idea, they enrolled 126 patients ages 18-65 with SAH, defined as a Maddrey’s Discriminant Function (mDF) score greater than 32. They excluded patients with active infections, acute gastrointestinal bleeding, hepatorenal syndrome, an mDF score greater than 90, autoimmune hepatitis, hepatitis B or C, HIV, pregnancy, hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis, and those with hemoglobin below 8 and baseline white blood cell count over 25,000.

The patients were randomly assigned, 42 in each group, to receive one of the following:

  • Prednisolone monotherapy 40 mg/day for 7 days, with the drug stopped at 7 days for patients with Lille scores above 0.45 or continued for up to 21 days for those with Lille scores below 0.45;
  • Prednisolone plus G-CSF 300 mcg/day for 7 days, with those who achieve a Lille score above 0.45 stopping the steroid but continuing G-CSF, while those with Lille scores below 0.45 continuing on prednisolone for 21 days, plus G-CSF once every 3 days for 5 additional doses; or
  • G-CSF monotherapy at a dose of 150-300 mcg/day for 7 days, then every 3 days for 28 days up to a total of 12 doses.
 

 



Improved response

In addition to its superior results on the primary endpoint of 90-day survival, combination therapy was associated with significantly better response to therapy. The mean Lille score at day 7 was 0.14 for the combination, compared with 0.21 for prednisolone alone and 0.28 for G-CSF alone (= .002).

There were also significantly fewer nonresponders in the combination arm than either of the monotherapy groups (P = .03).

At 90 days, the rate of new infections was significantly higher among patients treated with prednisolone alone, at 35.7%, compared with 19% in the combination arm and 7.1% in the G-CSF alone group (P = .02). There were also significantly fewer skin and mucosal bleeding episodes with the combination (19% vs, 25% and 35.7% with prednisolone and G-CSF monotherapies, respectively, = .03), as well as lower rates of hepatic encephalopathy (9.5% vs. 47.5% and 25%, respectively, P < .01).

No differences in alcohol relapse rates were found among the three groups.
 

Patient selection important

“I know a lot of the G-CSF studies that have been conducted in the U.S. and Europe have all been negative,” said David Goldberg, MD, from the University of Miami, during the session. “Do you think there’s something unique in your patients, the microbiome or maybe genetics, that leads to such different results?” he asked Dr. Sarin.

European studies included patients with infections, acute kidney injury (AKI), or other comorbidities that were exclusion criteria in his study, Dr. Sarin noted.

“If you already have an infection, you already have an AKI, then it’s not a good patient for treatment, so I think the choice of patient is important,” he said.

The study was internally supported. Dr. Sarin and Dr. Goldberg report no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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Liver disease-related deaths rise during pandemic

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U.S. mortality for alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) increased at “alarming” rates during the COVID-19 pandemic, according to new findings presented at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.

Dr. Yee Hui Yeo

Between 2019 and 2021, ALD-related deaths increased by 17.6% and NAFLD-related deaths increased by 14.5%, Yee Hui Yeo, MD, a resident physician and hepatology-focused investigator at Cedars-Sinai Medical Center in Los Angeles, said at a preconference press briefing.

“Even before the pandemic, the mortality rates for these two diseases have been increasing, with NAFLD having an even steeper increasing trend,” he said. “During the pandemic, these two diseases had a significant surge.”
 

Recent U.S. liver disease death rates

Dr. Yeo and colleagues analyzed data from the Center for Disease Control and Prevention’s National Vital Statistic System to estimate the age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) of liver disease between 2010 and 2021, including ALD, NAFLD, hepatitis B, and hepatitis C. Using prediction modeling analyses based on trends from 2010 to 2019, they predicted mortality rates for 2020-2021 and compared them with the observed rates to quantify the differences related to the pandemic.

Between 2010 and 2021, there were about 626,000 chronic liver disease–related deaths, including about 343,000 ALD-related deaths, 204,000 hepatitis C–related deaths, 58,000 NAFLD-related deaths, and 21,000 hepatitis B–related deaths.

For ALD-related deaths, the annual percentage change was 3.5% for 2010-2019 and 17.6% for 2019-2021. The observed ASMR in 2020 was significantly higher than predicted, at 15.7 deaths per 100,000 people versus 13.0 predicted from the 2010-2019 rate. The trend continued in 2021, with 17.4 deaths per 100,000 people versus 13.4 in the previous decade.

The highest numbers of ALD-related deaths during the COVID-19 pandemic occurred in Alaska, Montana, Wyoming, Colorado, New Mexico, and South Dakota.

For NAFLD-related deaths, the annual percentage change was 7.6% for 2010-2014, 11.8% for 2014-2019, and 14.5% for 2019-2021. The observed ASMR was also higher than predicted, at 3.1 deaths per 100,000 people versus 2.6 in 2020, as well as 3.4 versus 2.8 in 2021.

The highest numbers of NAFLD-related deaths during the COVID-19 pandemic occurred in Oklahoma, Indiana, Kentucky, Tennessee, and West Virginia.
 

Hepatitis B and C gains lost in pandemic

In contrast, the annual percentage change in was –1.9% for hepatitis B and –2.8% for hepatitis C. After new treatment for hepatitis C emerged in 2013-2014, mortality rates were –7.8% for 2014-2019, Dr. Yeo noted.

“However, during the pandemic, we saw that this decrease has become a nonsignificant change,” he said. “That means our progress of the past 5 or 6 years has already stopped during the pandemic.”

By race and ethnicity, the increase in ALD-related mortality was most pronounced in non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, and Alaska Native/American Indian populations, Dr. Yeo said. Alaska Natives and American Indians had the highest annual percentage change, at 18%, followed by non-Hispanic Whites at 11.7% and non-Hispanic Blacks at 10.8%. There were no significant differences in race and ethnicity for NAFLD-related deaths, although all groups had major increases in recent years.
 

 

 

Biggest rise in young adults

By age, the increase in ALD-related mortality was particularly severe for ages 25-44, with an annual percentage change of 34.6% in 2019-2021, as compared with 13.7% for ages 45-64 and 12.6% for ages 65 and older.

For NAFLD-related deaths, another major increase was observed among ages 25-44, with an annual percentage change of 28.1% for 2019-2021, as compared with 12% for ages 65 and older and 7.4% for ages 45-64.

By sex, the ASMR increase in NAFLD-related mortality was steady throughout 2010-2021 for both men and women. In contrast, ALD-related death increased sharply between 2019 and 2021, with an annual percentage change of 19.1% for women and 16.7% for men.

“The increasing trend in mortality rates for ALD and NAFLD has been quite alarming, with disparities in age, race, and ethnicity,” Dr. Yeo said.

The study received no funding support. Some authors disclosed research funding, advisory board roles, and consulting fees with various pharmaceutical companies.

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U.S. mortality for alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) increased at “alarming” rates during the COVID-19 pandemic, according to new findings presented at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.

Dr. Yee Hui Yeo

Between 2019 and 2021, ALD-related deaths increased by 17.6% and NAFLD-related deaths increased by 14.5%, Yee Hui Yeo, MD, a resident physician and hepatology-focused investigator at Cedars-Sinai Medical Center in Los Angeles, said at a preconference press briefing.

“Even before the pandemic, the mortality rates for these two diseases have been increasing, with NAFLD having an even steeper increasing trend,” he said. “During the pandemic, these two diseases had a significant surge.”
 

Recent U.S. liver disease death rates

Dr. Yeo and colleagues analyzed data from the Center for Disease Control and Prevention’s National Vital Statistic System to estimate the age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) of liver disease between 2010 and 2021, including ALD, NAFLD, hepatitis B, and hepatitis C. Using prediction modeling analyses based on trends from 2010 to 2019, they predicted mortality rates for 2020-2021 and compared them with the observed rates to quantify the differences related to the pandemic.

Between 2010 and 2021, there were about 626,000 chronic liver disease–related deaths, including about 343,000 ALD-related deaths, 204,000 hepatitis C–related deaths, 58,000 NAFLD-related deaths, and 21,000 hepatitis B–related deaths.

For ALD-related deaths, the annual percentage change was 3.5% for 2010-2019 and 17.6% for 2019-2021. The observed ASMR in 2020 was significantly higher than predicted, at 15.7 deaths per 100,000 people versus 13.0 predicted from the 2010-2019 rate. The trend continued in 2021, with 17.4 deaths per 100,000 people versus 13.4 in the previous decade.

The highest numbers of ALD-related deaths during the COVID-19 pandemic occurred in Alaska, Montana, Wyoming, Colorado, New Mexico, and South Dakota.

For NAFLD-related deaths, the annual percentage change was 7.6% for 2010-2014, 11.8% for 2014-2019, and 14.5% for 2019-2021. The observed ASMR was also higher than predicted, at 3.1 deaths per 100,000 people versus 2.6 in 2020, as well as 3.4 versus 2.8 in 2021.

The highest numbers of NAFLD-related deaths during the COVID-19 pandemic occurred in Oklahoma, Indiana, Kentucky, Tennessee, and West Virginia.
 

Hepatitis B and C gains lost in pandemic

In contrast, the annual percentage change in was –1.9% for hepatitis B and –2.8% for hepatitis C. After new treatment for hepatitis C emerged in 2013-2014, mortality rates were –7.8% for 2014-2019, Dr. Yeo noted.

“However, during the pandemic, we saw that this decrease has become a nonsignificant change,” he said. “That means our progress of the past 5 or 6 years has already stopped during the pandemic.”

By race and ethnicity, the increase in ALD-related mortality was most pronounced in non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, and Alaska Native/American Indian populations, Dr. Yeo said. Alaska Natives and American Indians had the highest annual percentage change, at 18%, followed by non-Hispanic Whites at 11.7% and non-Hispanic Blacks at 10.8%. There were no significant differences in race and ethnicity for NAFLD-related deaths, although all groups had major increases in recent years.
 

 

 

Biggest rise in young adults

By age, the increase in ALD-related mortality was particularly severe for ages 25-44, with an annual percentage change of 34.6% in 2019-2021, as compared with 13.7% for ages 45-64 and 12.6% for ages 65 and older.

For NAFLD-related deaths, another major increase was observed among ages 25-44, with an annual percentage change of 28.1% for 2019-2021, as compared with 12% for ages 65 and older and 7.4% for ages 45-64.

By sex, the ASMR increase in NAFLD-related mortality was steady throughout 2010-2021 for both men and women. In contrast, ALD-related death increased sharply between 2019 and 2021, with an annual percentage change of 19.1% for women and 16.7% for men.

“The increasing trend in mortality rates for ALD and NAFLD has been quite alarming, with disparities in age, race, and ethnicity,” Dr. Yeo said.

The study received no funding support. Some authors disclosed research funding, advisory board roles, and consulting fees with various pharmaceutical companies.

 

U.S. mortality for alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) increased at “alarming” rates during the COVID-19 pandemic, according to new findings presented at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.

Dr. Yee Hui Yeo

Between 2019 and 2021, ALD-related deaths increased by 17.6% and NAFLD-related deaths increased by 14.5%, Yee Hui Yeo, MD, a resident physician and hepatology-focused investigator at Cedars-Sinai Medical Center in Los Angeles, said at a preconference press briefing.

“Even before the pandemic, the mortality rates for these two diseases have been increasing, with NAFLD having an even steeper increasing trend,” he said. “During the pandemic, these two diseases had a significant surge.”
 

Recent U.S. liver disease death rates

Dr. Yeo and colleagues analyzed data from the Center for Disease Control and Prevention’s National Vital Statistic System to estimate the age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) of liver disease between 2010 and 2021, including ALD, NAFLD, hepatitis B, and hepatitis C. Using prediction modeling analyses based on trends from 2010 to 2019, they predicted mortality rates for 2020-2021 and compared them with the observed rates to quantify the differences related to the pandemic.

Between 2010 and 2021, there were about 626,000 chronic liver disease–related deaths, including about 343,000 ALD-related deaths, 204,000 hepatitis C–related deaths, 58,000 NAFLD-related deaths, and 21,000 hepatitis B–related deaths.

For ALD-related deaths, the annual percentage change was 3.5% for 2010-2019 and 17.6% for 2019-2021. The observed ASMR in 2020 was significantly higher than predicted, at 15.7 deaths per 100,000 people versus 13.0 predicted from the 2010-2019 rate. The trend continued in 2021, with 17.4 deaths per 100,000 people versus 13.4 in the previous decade.

The highest numbers of ALD-related deaths during the COVID-19 pandemic occurred in Alaska, Montana, Wyoming, Colorado, New Mexico, and South Dakota.

For NAFLD-related deaths, the annual percentage change was 7.6% for 2010-2014, 11.8% for 2014-2019, and 14.5% for 2019-2021. The observed ASMR was also higher than predicted, at 3.1 deaths per 100,000 people versus 2.6 in 2020, as well as 3.4 versus 2.8 in 2021.

The highest numbers of NAFLD-related deaths during the COVID-19 pandemic occurred in Oklahoma, Indiana, Kentucky, Tennessee, and West Virginia.
 

Hepatitis B and C gains lost in pandemic

In contrast, the annual percentage change in was –1.9% for hepatitis B and –2.8% for hepatitis C. After new treatment for hepatitis C emerged in 2013-2014, mortality rates were –7.8% for 2014-2019, Dr. Yeo noted.

“However, during the pandemic, we saw that this decrease has become a nonsignificant change,” he said. “That means our progress of the past 5 or 6 years has already stopped during the pandemic.”

By race and ethnicity, the increase in ALD-related mortality was most pronounced in non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, and Alaska Native/American Indian populations, Dr. Yeo said. Alaska Natives and American Indians had the highest annual percentage change, at 18%, followed by non-Hispanic Whites at 11.7% and non-Hispanic Blacks at 10.8%. There were no significant differences in race and ethnicity for NAFLD-related deaths, although all groups had major increases in recent years.
 

 

 

Biggest rise in young adults

By age, the increase in ALD-related mortality was particularly severe for ages 25-44, with an annual percentage change of 34.6% in 2019-2021, as compared with 13.7% for ages 45-64 and 12.6% for ages 65 and older.

For NAFLD-related deaths, another major increase was observed among ages 25-44, with an annual percentage change of 28.1% for 2019-2021, as compared with 12% for ages 65 and older and 7.4% for ages 45-64.

By sex, the ASMR increase in NAFLD-related mortality was steady throughout 2010-2021 for both men and women. In contrast, ALD-related death increased sharply between 2019 and 2021, with an annual percentage change of 19.1% for women and 16.7% for men.

“The increasing trend in mortality rates for ALD and NAFLD has been quite alarming, with disparities in age, race, and ethnicity,” Dr. Yeo said.

The study received no funding support. Some authors disclosed research funding, advisory board roles, and consulting fees with various pharmaceutical companies.

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World falls short on HBV, HCV elimination targets

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Vaccination campaigns in more than 80 nations have successfully reduced the prevalence of hepatitis B virus (HBV) surface antigen. That’s the good news.
 

Less good is the news that no countries are on track to meet the goals for HBV eradication by 2030 or 2050, and only 11 countries are on track to achieve all absolute or relative targets for hepatitis C virus (HCV) elimination, reported Sarah Blach, MHS, associate director of the Center for Disease Analysis Foundation, based in Lafayette, Colo.

“As countries progress toward eliminating hepatitis B and C, we really need to do more to expand political will and financing of national elimination programs. It’s great to see that it’s happening in some of these countries, but we really need that to expand,” she said at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.

Ms. Blach presented data from the foundation’s Polaris Observatory, an initiative that provides epidemiological data, modeling tools, training, and decision analytics to support eliminating HBV and HCV globally by 2030.

The investigators used mathematical disease burden models for HBV and HCV to assess worldwide trends toward viral elimination. They also evaluated HBV and HCV elimination policies as reported by authorities in various countries.

They forecast the year in which each country or territory would meet each of the World Health Organization’s four elimination targets from 110 HCV models and 166 HBV models. The targets are 90% diagnosed, 80% of the eligible population treated, 65% reduction in mortality, and 80% incidence reduction for HCV and either 95% incidence reduction or prevalence of 0.1% or less in children aged 5 years and younger for HBV.

Investigators summarized the results across countries by disease area and time period of elimination; that is, elimination before 2030, between 2031 and 2050, or after 2050.
 

Results for HCV and HBV targets

The 11 nations on track to achieve all absolute or relative (programmatic) targets for HCV by 2030 are Australia, Canada, Denmark, Egypt, Finland, France, Georgia, Japan, Norway, Spain, and the United Kingdom.

An additional 24 countries are on track to meet their goals for HCV between 2031 and 2050.

But the rest, including the United States, much of sub-Saharan Africa, China, and South Asia, are not on track to meet their goals for HCV by 2050.

No countries are on track to achieve the absolute or relative (programmatic) targets for elimination of HBV, Ms. Blach said.

However, 83 countries or territories, including the United States, are on track for achieving the HBV surface antigen prevalence target of less than 0.1% in children aged 5 years and younger by 2030.

Ms. Blach and colleagues also looked at results of quantitative policy surveys submitted by 61 countries. The respondents were asked to report on linkage to care, awareness and screening, monitoring and evaluation, ability to expand capacity, harm-reduction programs, financing of national programs, and political will to achieve targets.

The investigators scored countries on a scale of 1-10, with 10 being the highest score, in each category. For HCV, 25 countries (42%) had high scores, defined as 9 or 10, for political will, and 33 countries (54%) had high scores for national funding. For HBV, 17 countries (30%) received the high scores for political will, and 30 (51%) received the high scores for financing the national program.
 

The big picture

Most countries have not expanded HBV or HCV treatment beyond specialists, and HBV policies appear to lag behind policies directed toward HCV elimination, Ms. Blach noted.

“We do need to expand screening and treatment for hepatitis B moving forward,” she said.

The United States and the rest of the world need to do better, especially regarding HBV elimination, but the United States does appear to be making progress, said Richard Sterling, MD, MSc, from Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, who comoderated the session where Ms. Blach reported the data.

“My impression is that we’re doing a pretty good job with [HBV] vaccinations in the United States,” Dr. Sterling, who was not involved in the study, said in an interview.

One way to make progress, he said, may be to expand eligibility for HBV vaccines beyond the current upper age limit of 59 years.

Implementing simpler dosing regimens – the currently available vaccine is split into three doses – could improve vaccine compliance and lower costs, Dr. Sterling added.

During the session, Brian Conway, MD, medical director of the Vancouver Infectious Disease Centre, said it seems hard to use a composite set of data to determine a yes/no answer about whether a country is on track to reach targets.

“When you take my country of Canada, we have absolutely no national program, no hope of a national program, very little funding, and yet we make the cut. So how do you balance all these different variables to arrive at a yes/no answer and is there a way of putting a bit more subtlety into it?” Dr. Conway asked Ms. Blach.

Ms. Blach replied that the data are fluid, and countries can move closer or farther from reaching targets over time as conditions change.

Some countries seem to be improving efforts and “just need a bit more” work, Ms. Blach said.

“But we also saw some countries who we thought were going to be a shoo-in, and as time progressed the number of treatments just dropped in shocking ways. The reality is that a lot of countries are struggling to treat patients,” she said.

Canada “has a really great health system. It’s not a fragmented health system, and so even if you don’t have some of that push for elimination from the government level, having access to treatment, having access to those services, means that at least patients can come in and get what they need,” Ms. Blach said.

The study data are available for free on the Center for Disease Analysis Foundation’s Polaris website.

The study was funded by grants from the John C. Martin Foundation, ZeShan Foundation, EndHep2030, Gilead Sciences, and AbbVie. Ms. Blach is employed by the Center for Disease Analysis Foundation, which receives research grants from Gilead and AbbVie. Dr. Sterling and Dr. Conway reported no relevant disclosures.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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Vaccination campaigns in more than 80 nations have successfully reduced the prevalence of hepatitis B virus (HBV) surface antigen. That’s the good news.
 

Less good is the news that no countries are on track to meet the goals for HBV eradication by 2030 or 2050, and only 11 countries are on track to achieve all absolute or relative targets for hepatitis C virus (HCV) elimination, reported Sarah Blach, MHS, associate director of the Center for Disease Analysis Foundation, based in Lafayette, Colo.

“As countries progress toward eliminating hepatitis B and C, we really need to do more to expand political will and financing of national elimination programs. It’s great to see that it’s happening in some of these countries, but we really need that to expand,” she said at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.

Ms. Blach presented data from the foundation’s Polaris Observatory, an initiative that provides epidemiological data, modeling tools, training, and decision analytics to support eliminating HBV and HCV globally by 2030.

The investigators used mathematical disease burden models for HBV and HCV to assess worldwide trends toward viral elimination. They also evaluated HBV and HCV elimination policies as reported by authorities in various countries.

They forecast the year in which each country or territory would meet each of the World Health Organization’s four elimination targets from 110 HCV models and 166 HBV models. The targets are 90% diagnosed, 80% of the eligible population treated, 65% reduction in mortality, and 80% incidence reduction for HCV and either 95% incidence reduction or prevalence of 0.1% or less in children aged 5 years and younger for HBV.

Investigators summarized the results across countries by disease area and time period of elimination; that is, elimination before 2030, between 2031 and 2050, or after 2050.
 

Results for HCV and HBV targets

The 11 nations on track to achieve all absolute or relative (programmatic) targets for HCV by 2030 are Australia, Canada, Denmark, Egypt, Finland, France, Georgia, Japan, Norway, Spain, and the United Kingdom.

An additional 24 countries are on track to meet their goals for HCV between 2031 and 2050.

But the rest, including the United States, much of sub-Saharan Africa, China, and South Asia, are not on track to meet their goals for HCV by 2050.

No countries are on track to achieve the absolute or relative (programmatic) targets for elimination of HBV, Ms. Blach said.

However, 83 countries or territories, including the United States, are on track for achieving the HBV surface antigen prevalence target of less than 0.1% in children aged 5 years and younger by 2030.

Ms. Blach and colleagues also looked at results of quantitative policy surveys submitted by 61 countries. The respondents were asked to report on linkage to care, awareness and screening, monitoring and evaluation, ability to expand capacity, harm-reduction programs, financing of national programs, and political will to achieve targets.

The investigators scored countries on a scale of 1-10, with 10 being the highest score, in each category. For HCV, 25 countries (42%) had high scores, defined as 9 or 10, for political will, and 33 countries (54%) had high scores for national funding. For HBV, 17 countries (30%) received the high scores for political will, and 30 (51%) received the high scores for financing the national program.
 

The big picture

Most countries have not expanded HBV or HCV treatment beyond specialists, and HBV policies appear to lag behind policies directed toward HCV elimination, Ms. Blach noted.

“We do need to expand screening and treatment for hepatitis B moving forward,” she said.

The United States and the rest of the world need to do better, especially regarding HBV elimination, but the United States does appear to be making progress, said Richard Sterling, MD, MSc, from Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, who comoderated the session where Ms. Blach reported the data.

“My impression is that we’re doing a pretty good job with [HBV] vaccinations in the United States,” Dr. Sterling, who was not involved in the study, said in an interview.

One way to make progress, he said, may be to expand eligibility for HBV vaccines beyond the current upper age limit of 59 years.

Implementing simpler dosing regimens – the currently available vaccine is split into three doses – could improve vaccine compliance and lower costs, Dr. Sterling added.

During the session, Brian Conway, MD, medical director of the Vancouver Infectious Disease Centre, said it seems hard to use a composite set of data to determine a yes/no answer about whether a country is on track to reach targets.

“When you take my country of Canada, we have absolutely no national program, no hope of a national program, very little funding, and yet we make the cut. So how do you balance all these different variables to arrive at a yes/no answer and is there a way of putting a bit more subtlety into it?” Dr. Conway asked Ms. Blach.

Ms. Blach replied that the data are fluid, and countries can move closer or farther from reaching targets over time as conditions change.

Some countries seem to be improving efforts and “just need a bit more” work, Ms. Blach said.

“But we also saw some countries who we thought were going to be a shoo-in, and as time progressed the number of treatments just dropped in shocking ways. The reality is that a lot of countries are struggling to treat patients,” she said.

Canada “has a really great health system. It’s not a fragmented health system, and so even if you don’t have some of that push for elimination from the government level, having access to treatment, having access to those services, means that at least patients can come in and get what they need,” Ms. Blach said.

The study data are available for free on the Center for Disease Analysis Foundation’s Polaris website.

The study was funded by grants from the John C. Martin Foundation, ZeShan Foundation, EndHep2030, Gilead Sciences, and AbbVie. Ms. Blach is employed by the Center for Disease Analysis Foundation, which receives research grants from Gilead and AbbVie. Dr. Sterling and Dr. Conway reported no relevant disclosures.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Vaccination campaigns in more than 80 nations have successfully reduced the prevalence of hepatitis B virus (HBV) surface antigen. That’s the good news.
 

Less good is the news that no countries are on track to meet the goals for HBV eradication by 2030 or 2050, and only 11 countries are on track to achieve all absolute or relative targets for hepatitis C virus (HCV) elimination, reported Sarah Blach, MHS, associate director of the Center for Disease Analysis Foundation, based in Lafayette, Colo.

“As countries progress toward eliminating hepatitis B and C, we really need to do more to expand political will and financing of national elimination programs. It’s great to see that it’s happening in some of these countries, but we really need that to expand,” she said at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.

Ms. Blach presented data from the foundation’s Polaris Observatory, an initiative that provides epidemiological data, modeling tools, training, and decision analytics to support eliminating HBV and HCV globally by 2030.

The investigators used mathematical disease burden models for HBV and HCV to assess worldwide trends toward viral elimination. They also evaluated HBV and HCV elimination policies as reported by authorities in various countries.

They forecast the year in which each country or territory would meet each of the World Health Organization’s four elimination targets from 110 HCV models and 166 HBV models. The targets are 90% diagnosed, 80% of the eligible population treated, 65% reduction in mortality, and 80% incidence reduction for HCV and either 95% incidence reduction or prevalence of 0.1% or less in children aged 5 years and younger for HBV.

Investigators summarized the results across countries by disease area and time period of elimination; that is, elimination before 2030, between 2031 and 2050, or after 2050.
 

Results for HCV and HBV targets

The 11 nations on track to achieve all absolute or relative (programmatic) targets for HCV by 2030 are Australia, Canada, Denmark, Egypt, Finland, France, Georgia, Japan, Norway, Spain, and the United Kingdom.

An additional 24 countries are on track to meet their goals for HCV between 2031 and 2050.

But the rest, including the United States, much of sub-Saharan Africa, China, and South Asia, are not on track to meet their goals for HCV by 2050.

No countries are on track to achieve the absolute or relative (programmatic) targets for elimination of HBV, Ms. Blach said.

However, 83 countries or territories, including the United States, are on track for achieving the HBV surface antigen prevalence target of less than 0.1% in children aged 5 years and younger by 2030.

Ms. Blach and colleagues also looked at results of quantitative policy surveys submitted by 61 countries. The respondents were asked to report on linkage to care, awareness and screening, monitoring and evaluation, ability to expand capacity, harm-reduction programs, financing of national programs, and political will to achieve targets.

The investigators scored countries on a scale of 1-10, with 10 being the highest score, in each category. For HCV, 25 countries (42%) had high scores, defined as 9 or 10, for political will, and 33 countries (54%) had high scores for national funding. For HBV, 17 countries (30%) received the high scores for political will, and 30 (51%) received the high scores for financing the national program.
 

The big picture

Most countries have not expanded HBV or HCV treatment beyond specialists, and HBV policies appear to lag behind policies directed toward HCV elimination, Ms. Blach noted.

“We do need to expand screening and treatment for hepatitis B moving forward,” she said.

The United States and the rest of the world need to do better, especially regarding HBV elimination, but the United States does appear to be making progress, said Richard Sterling, MD, MSc, from Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, who comoderated the session where Ms. Blach reported the data.

“My impression is that we’re doing a pretty good job with [HBV] vaccinations in the United States,” Dr. Sterling, who was not involved in the study, said in an interview.

One way to make progress, he said, may be to expand eligibility for HBV vaccines beyond the current upper age limit of 59 years.

Implementing simpler dosing regimens – the currently available vaccine is split into three doses – could improve vaccine compliance and lower costs, Dr. Sterling added.

During the session, Brian Conway, MD, medical director of the Vancouver Infectious Disease Centre, said it seems hard to use a composite set of data to determine a yes/no answer about whether a country is on track to reach targets.

“When you take my country of Canada, we have absolutely no national program, no hope of a national program, very little funding, and yet we make the cut. So how do you balance all these different variables to arrive at a yes/no answer and is there a way of putting a bit more subtlety into it?” Dr. Conway asked Ms. Blach.

Ms. Blach replied that the data are fluid, and countries can move closer or farther from reaching targets over time as conditions change.

Some countries seem to be improving efforts and “just need a bit more” work, Ms. Blach said.

“But we also saw some countries who we thought were going to be a shoo-in, and as time progressed the number of treatments just dropped in shocking ways. The reality is that a lot of countries are struggling to treat patients,” she said.

Canada “has a really great health system. It’s not a fragmented health system, and so even if you don’t have some of that push for elimination from the government level, having access to treatment, having access to those services, means that at least patients can come in and get what they need,” Ms. Blach said.

The study data are available for free on the Center for Disease Analysis Foundation’s Polaris website.

The study was funded by grants from the John C. Martin Foundation, ZeShan Foundation, EndHep2030, Gilead Sciences, and AbbVie. Ms. Blach is employed by the Center for Disease Analysis Foundation, which receives research grants from Gilead and AbbVie. Dr. Sterling and Dr. Conway reported no relevant disclosures.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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NAFLD patients with diabetes have higher fibrosis progression rate

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Among people with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), the fibrosis progression rate was higher among those who also had diabetes, according to new findings presented at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.

NAFLD patients with type 2 diabetes progressed by one stage about every 6 years, compared with one stage about every 8 years among patients without diabetes, said Daniel Huang, MBBS, a visiting scholar at the University of California San Diego (UCSD) NAFLD Research Center and a transplant hepatologist at National University Hospital in Singapore.

Dr. Daniel Huang

“We now know that fibrosis stage is a major determinant of liver-related outcomes in NAFLD, as well as overall mortality,” he said. “Liver fibrosis progresses by approximately one stage every 7 years for individuals with NASH (nonalcoholic steatohepatitis).”

Recent UCSD data have indicated that about 14% of patients over age 50 with type 2 diabetes have NAFLD with advanced fibrosis, he noted. Previous studies have shown that diabetes is associated with higher rates of advanced fibrosis, cirrhosis, and hepatocellular carcinoma, but limited data exist around whether the fibrosis progression rate is higher among diabetics.
 

National study cohort

Dr. Huang and colleagues conducted a multicenter, multiethnic prospective cohort study within the NASH Clinical Research Network consortium to examine the fibrosis progression rate and the fibrosis regression rate among patients with or without diabetes. The study included adult participants at eight sites across the United States who had biopsy-confirmed NAFLD and available paired liver biopsies that were at least 1 year apart.

Clinical and laboratory data were obtained at enrollment and prospectively at 48-week intervals and recorded at the time of any liver biopsies. A central pathology committee conducted the liver histology assessment, and the entire pathology committee was blinded to clinical data and the sequence of liver biopsy. The fibrosis progression and regression rates were defined as the change in fibrosis stage over time between biopsies, measured in years.

The study comprised 447 adult participants with NAFLD: 208 patients with type 2 diabetes and 239 patients without diabetes, Dr. Huang said. The mean age was 51, and the mean body mass index was 34.7. The patients with diabetes were more likely to be older, to be women, and to have metabolic syndrome, NASH, and a higher fibrosis stage.

Notably, the median HbA1c among patients with diabetes was 6.8%, indicating a cohort with fairly well-controlled blood sugar. The median time between biopsies was 3.3 years.
 

Difference in progression, not regression

Overall, 151 participants (34%) experienced fibrosis progression, the primary study outcome. In a secondary outcome, 102 participants (23%) had fibrosis regression. The remaining 194 participants (43%) had no change in fibrosis stage. About 26% of patients with types 2 diabetes progressed to advanced fibrosis, as compared with 14.1% of patients without diabetes.

Among all those with fibrosis progression, the rate was 0.15 stages per year, with an average progression rate of one stage over 6.7 years. For patients with diabetes, the progression rate was significantly higher at 0.17 stages per year, compared with 0.13 stages per year among patients without diabetes, Dr. Huang said. That translated to an average progression of one stage over 5.9 years for patients with diabetes and 7.7 years for patients without diabetes.

In contrast, the regression rate was similar between those with or without diabetes at baseline, at –0.13 stages per year for those with diabetes versus –0.14 stages per year for those without diabetes. The similar outcome translated to an average regression of one stage over 7.7 years among those with diabetes and 7.1 years among those without diabetes.

Type 2 diabetes was an independent predictor of fibrosis progression in NAFLD, in both unadjusted and multivariable adjusted models, including baseline fibrosis stage, Dr. Huang said. In addition, patients with diabetes had a significantly higher cumulative incidence of fibrosis progression at 4 years (23% versus 19%), 8 years (59% versus 49%), and 12 years (93% versus 76%).

The research team didn’t find a significant difference in HbA1c as a predictor of fibrosis progression when using a cutoff of 7%.

“It is possible that poor glycemic control may accelerate fibrosis further, but we need studies to validate this,” Dr. Huang said. “These data have important implications for clinical practice and clinical trial design. Patients with NAFLD and diabetes may require more frequent monitoring for disease progression.”

The NASH Clinical Research Network consortium is sponsored by the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases. Dr. Huang has served on an advisory board for Eisai. The other authors declared various research support and advisory roles with numerous pharmaceutical companies.

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Among people with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), the fibrosis progression rate was higher among those who also had diabetes, according to new findings presented at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.

NAFLD patients with type 2 diabetes progressed by one stage about every 6 years, compared with one stage about every 8 years among patients without diabetes, said Daniel Huang, MBBS, a visiting scholar at the University of California San Diego (UCSD) NAFLD Research Center and a transplant hepatologist at National University Hospital in Singapore.

Dr. Daniel Huang

“We now know that fibrosis stage is a major determinant of liver-related outcomes in NAFLD, as well as overall mortality,” he said. “Liver fibrosis progresses by approximately one stage every 7 years for individuals with NASH (nonalcoholic steatohepatitis).”

Recent UCSD data have indicated that about 14% of patients over age 50 with type 2 diabetes have NAFLD with advanced fibrosis, he noted. Previous studies have shown that diabetes is associated with higher rates of advanced fibrosis, cirrhosis, and hepatocellular carcinoma, but limited data exist around whether the fibrosis progression rate is higher among diabetics.
 

National study cohort

Dr. Huang and colleagues conducted a multicenter, multiethnic prospective cohort study within the NASH Clinical Research Network consortium to examine the fibrosis progression rate and the fibrosis regression rate among patients with or without diabetes. The study included adult participants at eight sites across the United States who had biopsy-confirmed NAFLD and available paired liver biopsies that were at least 1 year apart.

Clinical and laboratory data were obtained at enrollment and prospectively at 48-week intervals and recorded at the time of any liver biopsies. A central pathology committee conducted the liver histology assessment, and the entire pathology committee was blinded to clinical data and the sequence of liver biopsy. The fibrosis progression and regression rates were defined as the change in fibrosis stage over time between biopsies, measured in years.

The study comprised 447 adult participants with NAFLD: 208 patients with type 2 diabetes and 239 patients without diabetes, Dr. Huang said. The mean age was 51, and the mean body mass index was 34.7. The patients with diabetes were more likely to be older, to be women, and to have metabolic syndrome, NASH, and a higher fibrosis stage.

Notably, the median HbA1c among patients with diabetes was 6.8%, indicating a cohort with fairly well-controlled blood sugar. The median time between biopsies was 3.3 years.
 

Difference in progression, not regression

Overall, 151 participants (34%) experienced fibrosis progression, the primary study outcome. In a secondary outcome, 102 participants (23%) had fibrosis regression. The remaining 194 participants (43%) had no change in fibrosis stage. About 26% of patients with types 2 diabetes progressed to advanced fibrosis, as compared with 14.1% of patients without diabetes.

Among all those with fibrosis progression, the rate was 0.15 stages per year, with an average progression rate of one stage over 6.7 years. For patients with diabetes, the progression rate was significantly higher at 0.17 stages per year, compared with 0.13 stages per year among patients without diabetes, Dr. Huang said. That translated to an average progression of one stage over 5.9 years for patients with diabetes and 7.7 years for patients without diabetes.

In contrast, the regression rate was similar between those with or without diabetes at baseline, at –0.13 stages per year for those with diabetes versus –0.14 stages per year for those without diabetes. The similar outcome translated to an average regression of one stage over 7.7 years among those with diabetes and 7.1 years among those without diabetes.

Type 2 diabetes was an independent predictor of fibrosis progression in NAFLD, in both unadjusted and multivariable adjusted models, including baseline fibrosis stage, Dr. Huang said. In addition, patients with diabetes had a significantly higher cumulative incidence of fibrosis progression at 4 years (23% versus 19%), 8 years (59% versus 49%), and 12 years (93% versus 76%).

The research team didn’t find a significant difference in HbA1c as a predictor of fibrosis progression when using a cutoff of 7%.

“It is possible that poor glycemic control may accelerate fibrosis further, but we need studies to validate this,” Dr. Huang said. “These data have important implications for clinical practice and clinical trial design. Patients with NAFLD and diabetes may require more frequent monitoring for disease progression.”

The NASH Clinical Research Network consortium is sponsored by the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases. Dr. Huang has served on an advisory board for Eisai. The other authors declared various research support and advisory roles with numerous pharmaceutical companies.

 

Among people with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), the fibrosis progression rate was higher among those who also had diabetes, according to new findings presented at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.

NAFLD patients with type 2 diabetes progressed by one stage about every 6 years, compared with one stage about every 8 years among patients without diabetes, said Daniel Huang, MBBS, a visiting scholar at the University of California San Diego (UCSD) NAFLD Research Center and a transplant hepatologist at National University Hospital in Singapore.

Dr. Daniel Huang

“We now know that fibrosis stage is a major determinant of liver-related outcomes in NAFLD, as well as overall mortality,” he said. “Liver fibrosis progresses by approximately one stage every 7 years for individuals with NASH (nonalcoholic steatohepatitis).”

Recent UCSD data have indicated that about 14% of patients over age 50 with type 2 diabetes have NAFLD with advanced fibrosis, he noted. Previous studies have shown that diabetes is associated with higher rates of advanced fibrosis, cirrhosis, and hepatocellular carcinoma, but limited data exist around whether the fibrosis progression rate is higher among diabetics.
 

National study cohort

Dr. Huang and colleagues conducted a multicenter, multiethnic prospective cohort study within the NASH Clinical Research Network consortium to examine the fibrosis progression rate and the fibrosis regression rate among patients with or without diabetes. The study included adult participants at eight sites across the United States who had biopsy-confirmed NAFLD and available paired liver biopsies that were at least 1 year apart.

Clinical and laboratory data were obtained at enrollment and prospectively at 48-week intervals and recorded at the time of any liver biopsies. A central pathology committee conducted the liver histology assessment, and the entire pathology committee was blinded to clinical data and the sequence of liver biopsy. The fibrosis progression and regression rates were defined as the change in fibrosis stage over time between biopsies, measured in years.

The study comprised 447 adult participants with NAFLD: 208 patients with type 2 diabetes and 239 patients without diabetes, Dr. Huang said. The mean age was 51, and the mean body mass index was 34.7. The patients with diabetes were more likely to be older, to be women, and to have metabolic syndrome, NASH, and a higher fibrosis stage.

Notably, the median HbA1c among patients with diabetes was 6.8%, indicating a cohort with fairly well-controlled blood sugar. The median time between biopsies was 3.3 years.
 

Difference in progression, not regression

Overall, 151 participants (34%) experienced fibrosis progression, the primary study outcome. In a secondary outcome, 102 participants (23%) had fibrosis regression. The remaining 194 participants (43%) had no change in fibrosis stage. About 26% of patients with types 2 diabetes progressed to advanced fibrosis, as compared with 14.1% of patients without diabetes.

Among all those with fibrosis progression, the rate was 0.15 stages per year, with an average progression rate of one stage over 6.7 years. For patients with diabetes, the progression rate was significantly higher at 0.17 stages per year, compared with 0.13 stages per year among patients without diabetes, Dr. Huang said. That translated to an average progression of one stage over 5.9 years for patients with diabetes and 7.7 years for patients without diabetes.

In contrast, the regression rate was similar between those with or without diabetes at baseline, at –0.13 stages per year for those with diabetes versus –0.14 stages per year for those without diabetes. The similar outcome translated to an average regression of one stage over 7.7 years among those with diabetes and 7.1 years among those without diabetes.

Type 2 diabetes was an independent predictor of fibrosis progression in NAFLD, in both unadjusted and multivariable adjusted models, including baseline fibrosis stage, Dr. Huang said. In addition, patients with diabetes had a significantly higher cumulative incidence of fibrosis progression at 4 years (23% versus 19%), 8 years (59% versus 49%), and 12 years (93% versus 76%).

The research team didn’t find a significant difference in HbA1c as a predictor of fibrosis progression when using a cutoff of 7%.

“It is possible that poor glycemic control may accelerate fibrosis further, but we need studies to validate this,” Dr. Huang said. “These data have important implications for clinical practice and clinical trial design. Patients with NAFLD and diabetes may require more frequent monitoring for disease progression.”

The NASH Clinical Research Network consortium is sponsored by the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases. Dr. Huang has served on an advisory board for Eisai. The other authors declared various research support and advisory roles with numerous pharmaceutical companies.

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Resmetirom reduces liver, CV risk factors in NASH with cirrhosis

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Tue, 11/08/2022 - 11:26

– In patients with cirrhosis associated with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis, 1 year of treatment with the investigational oral thyromimetic agent resmetirom (MGL-3196) was safe and effective at lowering markers of both cardiovascular risk and NASH fibrosis, new research has found.

Two cohorts comprising a total of 180 patients with well-compensated NASH cirrhosis enrolled in an open-label arm of the phase 3 MAESTRO-NAFLD-1 trial. Researchers found that 52 weeks of treatment with resmetirom was associated with reductions in MRI proton density fat fraction (MRI-PDFF), FibroScan controlled attenuation parameter, FibroScan vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE), magnetic resonance elastography, liver and spleen volumes, liver enzyme levels, and lipids.

“Importantly, there was a statistically significant reduction in liver volume by an average of 20%, and also the potential to monitor spleen volume as a surrogate for portal hypertension, with the caveat that further research needs to be done in this area to understand that better,” said Stephen Harrison, MD, medical director for Pinnacle Clinical Research in San Antonio, Tex.

Dr. Harrison presented the findings at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.
 

Building on early findings

The thyroid hormone receptor–beta pathway helps to maintain liver health through control of de novo lipogenesis, fatty acid oxidation, mitophagy and mitochondrial biogenesis, cholesterol metabolism, and anti-inflammatory and antifibrotic effects, Dr. Harrison said.

Resmetirom (Madrigal Pharmaceuticals) is a selective thyroid hormone receptor-beta agonist that is reputed to offer optimal beneficial effects on the liver, while minimizing adverse cardiovascular and bone metabolic events that are mediated through a different pathway by the thyroid hormone receptor–alpha.

In 2019, Dr. Harrison and colleagues reported results of a phase 2, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of resmetirom in adults with biopsy-confirmed NASH (fibrosis stages 1-3) and hepatic fat content greater than 10% as assessed by MRI-PDFF.

In that study, patients who received resmetirom had significantly greater reductions in relative hepatic fat content compared with patients who received placebo at both 12 weeks and 36 weeks of follow-up. Overall, 60% of patients who took resmetirom had at least a 30% fat reduction compared with 18% of those who took placebo.

In addition, the investigators presented data on a cohort of 105 patients with well-compensated NASH cirrhosis who were treated in an open-label study. Those data were presented at the International Liver Conference in London in June.

At the AASLD meeting, Dr. Harrison presented data on the same cohort combined with data on an additional cohort of 75 patients with well-compensated NASH cirrhosis and no prior history of decompensation.
 

‘Real-world’ conditions

In an attempt to mimic real-world conditions, patients in the trial did not receive a baseline biopsy but were determined to have NASH or presumed NASH with either results of a previous liver biopsy or noninvasive techniques, including FibroScan and MRI-PDFF.

Patients were started on oral resmetirom 80 mg daily, which could be titrated upward to 100 mg daily based on pharmacokinetic data from a 2-week sample.

The investigators first compared reductions in liver enzymes in both cohorts, with median reductions in ALT, AST, and gamma-glutamyl transferase of –20%, –18%, and –32%, respectively, in the original cohort, and –30%, –23%, and –37% in the more recent cohort.

Reductions in other parameters, including MRI-PDFF, liver volume, and lipids were also similar between the cohorts.

Given the similarities, researchers opted to treat the second cohort as a validation set, and combined data from the two cohorts to look at additional differences between baseline and 1-year follow-up.

Looking at imaging biomarkers in the combined cohorts of patients with responses, they saw that of patients with at least a 25% change over baseline in FibroScan VCTE, 48% of patients with baseline PDFF of 5% or less, and 42% of those with baseline PDFF greater than 5% had significant improvement at 1 year.

Among patients with changes in MR elastography of at least 15%, a fifth (22%) of those with baseline PDFF of 5% or less and about a quarter (26%) with baseline PDFF greater than 5% had improvement.

Independent of baseline cirrhosis severity, 73% of patients had a 15% or greater reduction in liver volume after 52 weeks of resmetirom. The investigators did not find a correlation of liver reduction with MRI-PDFF reduction among patients with PDFF of 5% or less at baseline.

The study found similar reductions in harmful lipids across all patient subgroups in both cohorts. Decreases in both systolic and diastolic blood pressure consistent with those seen in noncirrhotic NASH patients were also seen, independent of cirrhosis severity.

Among patients with at least a 10% change in spleen volume, 31% of those with low baseline PDFF readings and 45% of those with high readings had a decrease in volume.

The investigators found no differences in adverse events between cirrhosis severity groups or compared with noncirrhotic NASH patients.

The most common adverse events were intermittent loose stools or nausea at start of resmetirom therapy, and most were mild.

There were no changes in the central thyroid axis, apart from about a 10% decrease in prohormone FT4, which had been reported in other studies of resmetirom. No changes in active hormone FT3 or thyroid-stimulating hormone were found.

Although the study did not have a placebo control, it supports the rationale for the ongoing MAESTRO-NASH Outcomes trial, an event-driven trial comparing outcomes with resmetirom versus placebo in patients with well-compensated Child-Pugh A NASH cirrhosis, Dr. Harrison concluded.
 

Encouraging data

The data on resmetirom look promising as an approach to the treatment of NASH and related diseases, Cyrielle Caussy, MD, PhD, from the University Hospital of Lyon (France), said in an interview. Dr. Caussy, who was not involved in the study, was a moderator of the session where Dr. Harrison presented the data.

It does seem to be beneficial in NASH, she said. But we also have seen improvements in lipid metabolism with this drug; as shown in Dr. Harrison’s presentation, there is a difference in cardiovascular risk factors, Dr. Caussy added.

“I do think it could be one of the drugs that really improves outcomes for patients with NASH,” Dr. Caussy said.

The study was supported by Madrigal Pharmaceuticals. Dr. Harrison reported conflict of interest with numerous pharmaceutical companies.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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– In patients with cirrhosis associated with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis, 1 year of treatment with the investigational oral thyromimetic agent resmetirom (MGL-3196) was safe and effective at lowering markers of both cardiovascular risk and NASH fibrosis, new research has found.

Two cohorts comprising a total of 180 patients with well-compensated NASH cirrhosis enrolled in an open-label arm of the phase 3 MAESTRO-NAFLD-1 trial. Researchers found that 52 weeks of treatment with resmetirom was associated with reductions in MRI proton density fat fraction (MRI-PDFF), FibroScan controlled attenuation parameter, FibroScan vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE), magnetic resonance elastography, liver and spleen volumes, liver enzyme levels, and lipids.

“Importantly, there was a statistically significant reduction in liver volume by an average of 20%, and also the potential to monitor spleen volume as a surrogate for portal hypertension, with the caveat that further research needs to be done in this area to understand that better,” said Stephen Harrison, MD, medical director for Pinnacle Clinical Research in San Antonio, Tex.

Dr. Harrison presented the findings at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.
 

Building on early findings

The thyroid hormone receptor–beta pathway helps to maintain liver health through control of de novo lipogenesis, fatty acid oxidation, mitophagy and mitochondrial biogenesis, cholesterol metabolism, and anti-inflammatory and antifibrotic effects, Dr. Harrison said.

Resmetirom (Madrigal Pharmaceuticals) is a selective thyroid hormone receptor-beta agonist that is reputed to offer optimal beneficial effects on the liver, while minimizing adverse cardiovascular and bone metabolic events that are mediated through a different pathway by the thyroid hormone receptor–alpha.

In 2019, Dr. Harrison and colleagues reported results of a phase 2, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of resmetirom in adults with biopsy-confirmed NASH (fibrosis stages 1-3) and hepatic fat content greater than 10% as assessed by MRI-PDFF.

In that study, patients who received resmetirom had significantly greater reductions in relative hepatic fat content compared with patients who received placebo at both 12 weeks and 36 weeks of follow-up. Overall, 60% of patients who took resmetirom had at least a 30% fat reduction compared with 18% of those who took placebo.

In addition, the investigators presented data on a cohort of 105 patients with well-compensated NASH cirrhosis who were treated in an open-label study. Those data were presented at the International Liver Conference in London in June.

At the AASLD meeting, Dr. Harrison presented data on the same cohort combined with data on an additional cohort of 75 patients with well-compensated NASH cirrhosis and no prior history of decompensation.
 

‘Real-world’ conditions

In an attempt to mimic real-world conditions, patients in the trial did not receive a baseline biopsy but were determined to have NASH or presumed NASH with either results of a previous liver biopsy or noninvasive techniques, including FibroScan and MRI-PDFF.

Patients were started on oral resmetirom 80 mg daily, which could be titrated upward to 100 mg daily based on pharmacokinetic data from a 2-week sample.

The investigators first compared reductions in liver enzymes in both cohorts, with median reductions in ALT, AST, and gamma-glutamyl transferase of –20%, –18%, and –32%, respectively, in the original cohort, and –30%, –23%, and –37% in the more recent cohort.

Reductions in other parameters, including MRI-PDFF, liver volume, and lipids were also similar between the cohorts.

Given the similarities, researchers opted to treat the second cohort as a validation set, and combined data from the two cohorts to look at additional differences between baseline and 1-year follow-up.

Looking at imaging biomarkers in the combined cohorts of patients with responses, they saw that of patients with at least a 25% change over baseline in FibroScan VCTE, 48% of patients with baseline PDFF of 5% or less, and 42% of those with baseline PDFF greater than 5% had significant improvement at 1 year.

Among patients with changes in MR elastography of at least 15%, a fifth (22%) of those with baseline PDFF of 5% or less and about a quarter (26%) with baseline PDFF greater than 5% had improvement.

Independent of baseline cirrhosis severity, 73% of patients had a 15% or greater reduction in liver volume after 52 weeks of resmetirom. The investigators did not find a correlation of liver reduction with MRI-PDFF reduction among patients with PDFF of 5% or less at baseline.

The study found similar reductions in harmful lipids across all patient subgroups in both cohorts. Decreases in both systolic and diastolic blood pressure consistent with those seen in noncirrhotic NASH patients were also seen, independent of cirrhosis severity.

Among patients with at least a 10% change in spleen volume, 31% of those with low baseline PDFF readings and 45% of those with high readings had a decrease in volume.

The investigators found no differences in adverse events between cirrhosis severity groups or compared with noncirrhotic NASH patients.

The most common adverse events were intermittent loose stools or nausea at start of resmetirom therapy, and most were mild.

There were no changes in the central thyroid axis, apart from about a 10% decrease in prohormone FT4, which had been reported in other studies of resmetirom. No changes in active hormone FT3 or thyroid-stimulating hormone were found.

Although the study did not have a placebo control, it supports the rationale for the ongoing MAESTRO-NASH Outcomes trial, an event-driven trial comparing outcomes with resmetirom versus placebo in patients with well-compensated Child-Pugh A NASH cirrhosis, Dr. Harrison concluded.
 

Encouraging data

The data on resmetirom look promising as an approach to the treatment of NASH and related diseases, Cyrielle Caussy, MD, PhD, from the University Hospital of Lyon (France), said in an interview. Dr. Caussy, who was not involved in the study, was a moderator of the session where Dr. Harrison presented the data.

It does seem to be beneficial in NASH, she said. But we also have seen improvements in lipid metabolism with this drug; as shown in Dr. Harrison’s presentation, there is a difference in cardiovascular risk factors, Dr. Caussy added.

“I do think it could be one of the drugs that really improves outcomes for patients with NASH,” Dr. Caussy said.

The study was supported by Madrigal Pharmaceuticals. Dr. Harrison reported conflict of interest with numerous pharmaceutical companies.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

– In patients with cirrhosis associated with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis, 1 year of treatment with the investigational oral thyromimetic agent resmetirom (MGL-3196) was safe and effective at lowering markers of both cardiovascular risk and NASH fibrosis, new research has found.

Two cohorts comprising a total of 180 patients with well-compensated NASH cirrhosis enrolled in an open-label arm of the phase 3 MAESTRO-NAFLD-1 trial. Researchers found that 52 weeks of treatment with resmetirom was associated with reductions in MRI proton density fat fraction (MRI-PDFF), FibroScan controlled attenuation parameter, FibroScan vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE), magnetic resonance elastography, liver and spleen volumes, liver enzyme levels, and lipids.

“Importantly, there was a statistically significant reduction in liver volume by an average of 20%, and also the potential to monitor spleen volume as a surrogate for portal hypertension, with the caveat that further research needs to be done in this area to understand that better,” said Stephen Harrison, MD, medical director for Pinnacle Clinical Research in San Antonio, Tex.

Dr. Harrison presented the findings at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.
 

Building on early findings

The thyroid hormone receptor–beta pathway helps to maintain liver health through control of de novo lipogenesis, fatty acid oxidation, mitophagy and mitochondrial biogenesis, cholesterol metabolism, and anti-inflammatory and antifibrotic effects, Dr. Harrison said.

Resmetirom (Madrigal Pharmaceuticals) is a selective thyroid hormone receptor-beta agonist that is reputed to offer optimal beneficial effects on the liver, while minimizing adverse cardiovascular and bone metabolic events that are mediated through a different pathway by the thyroid hormone receptor–alpha.

In 2019, Dr. Harrison and colleagues reported results of a phase 2, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of resmetirom in adults with biopsy-confirmed NASH (fibrosis stages 1-3) and hepatic fat content greater than 10% as assessed by MRI-PDFF.

In that study, patients who received resmetirom had significantly greater reductions in relative hepatic fat content compared with patients who received placebo at both 12 weeks and 36 weeks of follow-up. Overall, 60% of patients who took resmetirom had at least a 30% fat reduction compared with 18% of those who took placebo.

In addition, the investigators presented data on a cohort of 105 patients with well-compensated NASH cirrhosis who were treated in an open-label study. Those data were presented at the International Liver Conference in London in June.

At the AASLD meeting, Dr. Harrison presented data on the same cohort combined with data on an additional cohort of 75 patients with well-compensated NASH cirrhosis and no prior history of decompensation.
 

‘Real-world’ conditions

In an attempt to mimic real-world conditions, patients in the trial did not receive a baseline biopsy but were determined to have NASH or presumed NASH with either results of a previous liver biopsy or noninvasive techniques, including FibroScan and MRI-PDFF.

Patients were started on oral resmetirom 80 mg daily, which could be titrated upward to 100 mg daily based on pharmacokinetic data from a 2-week sample.

The investigators first compared reductions in liver enzymes in both cohorts, with median reductions in ALT, AST, and gamma-glutamyl transferase of –20%, –18%, and –32%, respectively, in the original cohort, and –30%, –23%, and –37% in the more recent cohort.

Reductions in other parameters, including MRI-PDFF, liver volume, and lipids were also similar between the cohorts.

Given the similarities, researchers opted to treat the second cohort as a validation set, and combined data from the two cohorts to look at additional differences between baseline and 1-year follow-up.

Looking at imaging biomarkers in the combined cohorts of patients with responses, they saw that of patients with at least a 25% change over baseline in FibroScan VCTE, 48% of patients with baseline PDFF of 5% or less, and 42% of those with baseline PDFF greater than 5% had significant improvement at 1 year.

Among patients with changes in MR elastography of at least 15%, a fifth (22%) of those with baseline PDFF of 5% or less and about a quarter (26%) with baseline PDFF greater than 5% had improvement.

Independent of baseline cirrhosis severity, 73% of patients had a 15% or greater reduction in liver volume after 52 weeks of resmetirom. The investigators did not find a correlation of liver reduction with MRI-PDFF reduction among patients with PDFF of 5% or less at baseline.

The study found similar reductions in harmful lipids across all patient subgroups in both cohorts. Decreases in both systolic and diastolic blood pressure consistent with those seen in noncirrhotic NASH patients were also seen, independent of cirrhosis severity.

Among patients with at least a 10% change in spleen volume, 31% of those with low baseline PDFF readings and 45% of those with high readings had a decrease in volume.

The investigators found no differences in adverse events between cirrhosis severity groups or compared with noncirrhotic NASH patients.

The most common adverse events were intermittent loose stools or nausea at start of resmetirom therapy, and most were mild.

There were no changes in the central thyroid axis, apart from about a 10% decrease in prohormone FT4, which had been reported in other studies of resmetirom. No changes in active hormone FT3 or thyroid-stimulating hormone were found.

Although the study did not have a placebo control, it supports the rationale for the ongoing MAESTRO-NASH Outcomes trial, an event-driven trial comparing outcomes with resmetirom versus placebo in patients with well-compensated Child-Pugh A NASH cirrhosis, Dr. Harrison concluded.
 

Encouraging data

The data on resmetirom look promising as an approach to the treatment of NASH and related diseases, Cyrielle Caussy, MD, PhD, from the University Hospital of Lyon (France), said in an interview. Dr. Caussy, who was not involved in the study, was a moderator of the session where Dr. Harrison presented the data.

It does seem to be beneficial in NASH, she said. But we also have seen improvements in lipid metabolism with this drug; as shown in Dr. Harrison’s presentation, there is a difference in cardiovascular risk factors, Dr. Caussy added.

“I do think it could be one of the drugs that really improves outcomes for patients with NASH,” Dr. Caussy said.

The study was supported by Madrigal Pharmaceuticals. Dr. Harrison reported conflict of interest with numerous pharmaceutical companies.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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Noninvasive tests may provide prognostic value in NAFLD

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Tue, 11/08/2022 - 11:28

Noninvasive ultrasound- and serum-based fibrosis biomarkers have similar prognostic performance to histology for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), according to new findings presented at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.

Fibrosis stages and liver stiffness measured by vibration-controlled transient elastography (LSM-VCTE) through FibroScan were significant predictors of event-free survival, said Ferenc Mozes, DPhil, a postdoctoral research assistant at the University of Oxford, England, who has worked on biomarker evaluation of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) as a member of the Liver Investigation: Testing Marker Utility in Steatohepatitis (LITMUS) consortium.

“Liver histology is highly prognostic of liver-related outcomes in patients with NAFLD and NASH,” he said. “Not just that, but liver histology is also accepted, and furthermore mandated by the FDA, as a surrogate endpoint in pharmaceutical trials for NASH.”

Dr. Ferenc Mozes

However, liver histology is disadvantaged by sampling- and observer-dependent errors, he noted, as well as nonzero risk for patients. In recent years, researchers have hypothesized that noninvasive surrogate endpoints could be used as a way to speed up the development of new pharmaceutical treatments.

Dr. Mozes and colleagues evaluated the prognostic performance of histologically assessed liver fibrosis and three noninvasive tests (NITs): LSM-VCTE, Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4), and NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS). They conducted an individual participant data meta-analysis, which first established the diagnostic performance of NITs in identifying patients with NAFLD who had advanced fibrosis (stages F3 and F4). The research team then expanded the search by reaching out to authors to ask for outcomes data and including studies with baseline LSM-VCTE and liver histology performed within 6 months, as well as at least 1 year of follow-up data.

The composite endpoint included all-cause mortality or liver-related outcomes such as decompensation of cirrhosis, hepatocellular cancer, liver transplantation, a model of end-stage liver disease (MELD) score higher than 14, or histological progression to cirrhosis. Participants were censored at the last follow-up time or at the occurrence of the first liver-related event.

Based on Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, participants were stratified into groups based on thresholds derived from the literature: fibrosis stage 0-2 (F0-2), F3, F4; LSM less than 10 kPa, LSM equal to or more than 10 kPa and less than 20 kPa, and LSM equal to or more than 20 kPa; FIB4 less than 1.3, FIB equal to or more than 1.3 and less than 2.67, and FIB4 equal to or more than 2.67; and NFS less than –1.455, NFS equal to or more than –1.455 and less than 0.676, and NFS equal to or more than 0.676.

The research team included 13 studies from Europe and Asia with data on 1,796 patients. The median follow-up time was 64 months, both from biopsy and LSM-VCTE. The fibrosis stages were typical of what would be seen in tertiary care.

Overall, 125 patients (7%) reached the composite endpoint. They tended to be older and more likely to have type 2 diabetes, higher fibrosis stages, and cirrhosis. Among those, 80 participants died, including 25 from liver-related mortality. In addition, 23 had ascites, 28 had hepatocellular cancer, and 31 progressed to cirrhosis or a MELD score greater than 14.

On the Kaplan-Meier curves, both the histology and noninvasive tests showed significant differences among the three strata for event-free survival probability.

Based on univariable Cox proportional hazard modeling, fibrosis stages F3 and F4 and continuous LSM-VCTE were significantly predictive of event-free survival probability. In multivariable models, fibrosis stage 4 and the two higher strata of LSM-VCTE were significantly predictive.

The study had several limitations, Dr. Mozes noted, by using cohort studies that weren’t initially designed to evaluate prognostic performance. They also couldn’t account for treatment effects and had no central histology reading. In addition, there may have been geographical variation in practice, as well as changes in practice over time as FibroScan technology improved in recent years.

“It turns out that stratifying patients by NIT score ranges can predict event-free survival probability,” he said. “This could pave the way into considering noninvasive tests as surrogate endpoints in clinical trials.”

In the ongoing study, Dr. Mozes and colleagues plan to look at additional aspects, such as MELD differentiation, histologic progression, and whether the NIT cutoffs differ from the current factors used to define advanced fibrosis. Future research should include longitudinal data and prospective studies, he added.

The study was sponsored by the LITMUS consortium, which has received funding from the Innovative Medicines Initiative 2 Joint Undertaking and the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program. Dr. Mozes disclosed no relevant financial relationships.

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Noninvasive ultrasound- and serum-based fibrosis biomarkers have similar prognostic performance to histology for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), according to new findings presented at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.

Fibrosis stages and liver stiffness measured by vibration-controlled transient elastography (LSM-VCTE) through FibroScan were significant predictors of event-free survival, said Ferenc Mozes, DPhil, a postdoctoral research assistant at the University of Oxford, England, who has worked on biomarker evaluation of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) as a member of the Liver Investigation: Testing Marker Utility in Steatohepatitis (LITMUS) consortium.

“Liver histology is highly prognostic of liver-related outcomes in patients with NAFLD and NASH,” he said. “Not just that, but liver histology is also accepted, and furthermore mandated by the FDA, as a surrogate endpoint in pharmaceutical trials for NASH.”

Dr. Ferenc Mozes

However, liver histology is disadvantaged by sampling- and observer-dependent errors, he noted, as well as nonzero risk for patients. In recent years, researchers have hypothesized that noninvasive surrogate endpoints could be used as a way to speed up the development of new pharmaceutical treatments.

Dr. Mozes and colleagues evaluated the prognostic performance of histologically assessed liver fibrosis and three noninvasive tests (NITs): LSM-VCTE, Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4), and NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS). They conducted an individual participant data meta-analysis, which first established the diagnostic performance of NITs in identifying patients with NAFLD who had advanced fibrosis (stages F3 and F4). The research team then expanded the search by reaching out to authors to ask for outcomes data and including studies with baseline LSM-VCTE and liver histology performed within 6 months, as well as at least 1 year of follow-up data.

The composite endpoint included all-cause mortality or liver-related outcomes such as decompensation of cirrhosis, hepatocellular cancer, liver transplantation, a model of end-stage liver disease (MELD) score higher than 14, or histological progression to cirrhosis. Participants were censored at the last follow-up time or at the occurrence of the first liver-related event.

Based on Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, participants were stratified into groups based on thresholds derived from the literature: fibrosis stage 0-2 (F0-2), F3, F4; LSM less than 10 kPa, LSM equal to or more than 10 kPa and less than 20 kPa, and LSM equal to or more than 20 kPa; FIB4 less than 1.3, FIB equal to or more than 1.3 and less than 2.67, and FIB4 equal to or more than 2.67; and NFS less than –1.455, NFS equal to or more than –1.455 and less than 0.676, and NFS equal to or more than 0.676.

The research team included 13 studies from Europe and Asia with data on 1,796 patients. The median follow-up time was 64 months, both from biopsy and LSM-VCTE. The fibrosis stages were typical of what would be seen in tertiary care.

Overall, 125 patients (7%) reached the composite endpoint. They tended to be older and more likely to have type 2 diabetes, higher fibrosis stages, and cirrhosis. Among those, 80 participants died, including 25 from liver-related mortality. In addition, 23 had ascites, 28 had hepatocellular cancer, and 31 progressed to cirrhosis or a MELD score greater than 14.

On the Kaplan-Meier curves, both the histology and noninvasive tests showed significant differences among the three strata for event-free survival probability.

Based on univariable Cox proportional hazard modeling, fibrosis stages F3 and F4 and continuous LSM-VCTE were significantly predictive of event-free survival probability. In multivariable models, fibrosis stage 4 and the two higher strata of LSM-VCTE were significantly predictive.

The study had several limitations, Dr. Mozes noted, by using cohort studies that weren’t initially designed to evaluate prognostic performance. They also couldn’t account for treatment effects and had no central histology reading. In addition, there may have been geographical variation in practice, as well as changes in practice over time as FibroScan technology improved in recent years.

“It turns out that stratifying patients by NIT score ranges can predict event-free survival probability,” he said. “This could pave the way into considering noninvasive tests as surrogate endpoints in clinical trials.”

In the ongoing study, Dr. Mozes and colleagues plan to look at additional aspects, such as MELD differentiation, histologic progression, and whether the NIT cutoffs differ from the current factors used to define advanced fibrosis. Future research should include longitudinal data and prospective studies, he added.

The study was sponsored by the LITMUS consortium, which has received funding from the Innovative Medicines Initiative 2 Joint Undertaking and the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program. Dr. Mozes disclosed no relevant financial relationships.

Noninvasive ultrasound- and serum-based fibrosis biomarkers have similar prognostic performance to histology for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), according to new findings presented at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.

Fibrosis stages and liver stiffness measured by vibration-controlled transient elastography (LSM-VCTE) through FibroScan were significant predictors of event-free survival, said Ferenc Mozes, DPhil, a postdoctoral research assistant at the University of Oxford, England, who has worked on biomarker evaluation of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) as a member of the Liver Investigation: Testing Marker Utility in Steatohepatitis (LITMUS) consortium.

“Liver histology is highly prognostic of liver-related outcomes in patients with NAFLD and NASH,” he said. “Not just that, but liver histology is also accepted, and furthermore mandated by the FDA, as a surrogate endpoint in pharmaceutical trials for NASH.”

Dr. Ferenc Mozes

However, liver histology is disadvantaged by sampling- and observer-dependent errors, he noted, as well as nonzero risk for patients. In recent years, researchers have hypothesized that noninvasive surrogate endpoints could be used as a way to speed up the development of new pharmaceutical treatments.

Dr. Mozes and colleagues evaluated the prognostic performance of histologically assessed liver fibrosis and three noninvasive tests (NITs): LSM-VCTE, Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4), and NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS). They conducted an individual participant data meta-analysis, which first established the diagnostic performance of NITs in identifying patients with NAFLD who had advanced fibrosis (stages F3 and F4). The research team then expanded the search by reaching out to authors to ask for outcomes data and including studies with baseline LSM-VCTE and liver histology performed within 6 months, as well as at least 1 year of follow-up data.

The composite endpoint included all-cause mortality or liver-related outcomes such as decompensation of cirrhosis, hepatocellular cancer, liver transplantation, a model of end-stage liver disease (MELD) score higher than 14, or histological progression to cirrhosis. Participants were censored at the last follow-up time or at the occurrence of the first liver-related event.

Based on Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, participants were stratified into groups based on thresholds derived from the literature: fibrosis stage 0-2 (F0-2), F3, F4; LSM less than 10 kPa, LSM equal to or more than 10 kPa and less than 20 kPa, and LSM equal to or more than 20 kPa; FIB4 less than 1.3, FIB equal to or more than 1.3 and less than 2.67, and FIB4 equal to or more than 2.67; and NFS less than –1.455, NFS equal to or more than –1.455 and less than 0.676, and NFS equal to or more than 0.676.

The research team included 13 studies from Europe and Asia with data on 1,796 patients. The median follow-up time was 64 months, both from biopsy and LSM-VCTE. The fibrosis stages were typical of what would be seen in tertiary care.

Overall, 125 patients (7%) reached the composite endpoint. They tended to be older and more likely to have type 2 diabetes, higher fibrosis stages, and cirrhosis. Among those, 80 participants died, including 25 from liver-related mortality. In addition, 23 had ascites, 28 had hepatocellular cancer, and 31 progressed to cirrhosis or a MELD score greater than 14.

On the Kaplan-Meier curves, both the histology and noninvasive tests showed significant differences among the three strata for event-free survival probability.

Based on univariable Cox proportional hazard modeling, fibrosis stages F3 and F4 and continuous LSM-VCTE were significantly predictive of event-free survival probability. In multivariable models, fibrosis stage 4 and the two higher strata of LSM-VCTE were significantly predictive.

The study had several limitations, Dr. Mozes noted, by using cohort studies that weren’t initially designed to evaluate prognostic performance. They also couldn’t account for treatment effects and had no central histology reading. In addition, there may have been geographical variation in practice, as well as changes in practice over time as FibroScan technology improved in recent years.

“It turns out that stratifying patients by NIT score ranges can predict event-free survival probability,” he said. “This could pave the way into considering noninvasive tests as surrogate endpoints in clinical trials.”

In the ongoing study, Dr. Mozes and colleagues plan to look at additional aspects, such as MELD differentiation, histologic progression, and whether the NIT cutoffs differ from the current factors used to define advanced fibrosis. Future research should include longitudinal data and prospective studies, he added.

The study was sponsored by the LITMUS consortium, which has received funding from the Innovative Medicines Initiative 2 Joint Undertaking and the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program. Dr. Mozes disclosed no relevant financial relationships.

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