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A simple prediction model developed with US and European cohorts shows accuracy in identifying patients with relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma (RRMM) who are or are not at high risk for relapsing after treatment with anti–B-cell maturation antigen (BCMA) chimeric antigen receptor T (CAR-T) therapy.

“To our knowledge, this large multicenter study is the first report to identify patients with RRMM at high risk of early relapse after CAR-T,” the authors report in the study, published February 15 in the Journal of Clinical Oncology.

“We saw that early relapse within 5 months from infusion was significantly associated with very poor outcomes, and disease-, treatment-, and inflammation-specific variables were independent predictors of early relapse,” first author Nico Gagelmann, MD, of the University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, in Hamburg, Germany, explained in presenting the findings at the 6th European CAR T-cell Meeting jointly sponsored by the European Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation and the European Hematology Association. CAR-T therapy has revolutionized the treatment of RRMM, with the idecabtagene vicleucel (ide-cel) and ciltacabtagene autoleucel (cilta-cel) CAR-T therapies approved for the condition. However, the treatment is far from a cure, with nearly 50% of patients relapsing and having progression of disease within the first year after infusion, prompting a need to better understand the risk factors for who may or may not progress.

With a lack of a universal model to help with those predictions across products and populations, Dr. Gagelmann and colleagues conducted a retrospective observational study utilizing data from 136 patients at seven CAR-T centers in Europe and 133 patients at three centers in the US who had received either commercial or academically produced anti-BCMA CAR-T.

Of the patients, 171 were infused with ide-cel, 38 with cilta-cel, and 60 with an academic CAR-T therapy. The patients had a median age of 63, and extramedullary disease was more common in the US cohort (48%) versus European (35%; P = .04).

Notably, the response rates between the European and US cohorts were similar, despite various differences between the cohorts, including differences in ethnicities and a lower body mass index (BMI) in the European cohort versus US (BMI 25 vs 28, respectively; P < .001). There were also no significant differences in responses between the CAR-T treatments.

The overall response rate was 87% and was comparable between the European and US groups, with complete responses occurring among 48% of patients in Europe and 49% in the US group.

Their measurable residual disease (MRD) negativity rate at any time was 29% and 37%, respectively, and rates of complete response at day 30 were 29% and 26%, respectively. The rate of progression-free survival at 12 months was 40% for the entire cohort, with a rate of 45% in the European group and 34% in the US group (P = .09). Overall survival rates at 12 months were 79% and 65%, respectively (P = .11).

The patients had a median time to relapse of 5 months, and the 5-month incidence of relapse was identical, at 24% in each cohort.

Of those patients, overall survival at 12 months was low, at 30% in the European cohort and 14% in the US group.

“Early relapse within the first 5 months clearly identified patients with poor survival across the cohort,” Dr. Gagelmann said.

 

 

Key Risk Factors Identified

Key factors found after multivariate adjustment to be independently predictive of early relapse or progression included extramedullary disease or plasma cell leukemia, being refractory to lenalidomide, having high-risk cytogenetics, and having increased age- and sex-adjusted ferritin at the time of lymphodepletion.

With each of the risk factors valued at 1 point, the MyCARe model ranked scores of 0-1 points as low-risk, 2-3 as intermediate risk, and a score above 4 was considered high-risk.

Based on the model, the risk of early relapse within 5 months among those scored as low risk was 7%, for intermediate risk, 27% (hazard ratio [HR], 3.27 vs low-risk; P < .001), and for high risk, 53% (HR, 7.89 vs low-risk; P < .001), with outcomes overall comparable between the two geographic groups. Importantly, the model maintained utility for patients who did and did not receive salvage therapies; however, “more studies are needed to identify the optimal post–CAR-T approach,” the authors write.

Dr. Gagelmann added that older age was significantly associated with improved progression-free survival in the US cohort, with a 12-month progression-free survival of 27% among patients under 65 versus 43% for those over 65 (P = .03). However, age was not found to be associated with similar outcomes in the European cohort.

The authors note that the MyCARe model outperformed the CAR-HEMATOTOX and more recent disease-specific R2-ISS risk-stratification tools regarding prediction of relapse/progression and progression-free survival.

However, with CAR-HEMATOTOX developed to predict side effects and non-relapse mortality, “our results demonstrate that both scores independently predict different outcomes after anti–BCMA CAR-T in RRMM,” the authors report. Therefore, “they can be used complimentarily to predict complications (CAR-HEMATOTOX) and relapse/progression-free survival (MyCARe model).”

Importantly, the authors add that the tool may help in patient selection for earlier treatment.

“As ide-cel and cilta-cel have shown astonishing efficacy for earlier treatment lines, our model might also be validated for such patients,” the authors note in the study. They conclude that the study provides “the first Euro-American cartography of the efficacy and safety profile of current CAR-T, showing comparable results.”

“We also built the MyCARe model, which can predict early relapse, response, and survival and may facilitate patient selection in this very challenging setting,” the authors report.
 

Hope for Interventions Based on Patients’ Risk

Commenting on the study, Rahul Banerjee, MD, an assistant professor with the Division of Hematology and Oncology, University of Washington, Seattle, underscored that “we need more cross-border research like this in the myeloma field.”

“Clinically, my hope that this will help us tailor post–CAR-T interventions according to each patient’s risk profile,” he said.

Risk factors such as the presence of extramedullary disease, plasma cell leukemia, or high-risk cytogenetics are expected; however, Dr. Banerjee said the inclusion of increased ferritin before CAR-T was “an interesting new risk factor that we’ve also heard about from our colleagues in the lymphoma space.”

Ferritin perturbations can indicate many things, but high ferritin can be a sign of elevated inflammation at baseline,” he explained. “These patients may have a hyperinflammatory phenotype of their myeloma which can predispose T-cells to exhaustion,” Dr. Banerjee said.

“Exhausted T-cells at collection mean exhausted CAR T-cells at infusion, and so the negative prognostic significance of elevated ferritin — which we don’t always check before CAR-T — makes sense.”

While the authors suggest a potential benefit of the MyCAR3 model in identifying patients who could benefit from other novel therapies at relapse, Dr. Banerjee suggests another possibility. “I’d take this a step further and suggest future studies of this MyCARe model to identify patients who might benefit from post–CAR-T maintenance,” he said.

“The ‘one-and-done’ nature of CAR-T in terms of not requiring further myeloma therapy after infusion is a powerful benefit for patients, but there are some patients who may benefit from low-dose pomalidomide or iberdomide/mezigdomide maintenance to help keep the myeloma at bay and to promote T-cell fitness,” Dr. Banerjee explained. “This risk model may identify patients to prioritize for such types of clinical trials in the future.”

Caveats include that factors beyond the baseline features (used for the risk model) can further influence outcomes,” Dr. Banerjee noted.

“Risk stratification is inherently a dynamic process over time,” he said, questioning, for instance, “what about patients who achieve measurable residual disease negativity [MRD] at day +28 after CAR-T cell? Does the achievement of MRD negativity ‘erase’ a high-risk MyCARe score? We’ll need future studies to tell.”

An overriding take-home message for clinicians should be to simply refer eligible patients to a CAR-T capable center as soon as possible for evaluation.

“In the lymphoma world, they have a nice adage for this: ‘If they recur, you should refer,’ ” he said. “I’d suggest the same here. By no means will we move to CAR-T therapy for every patient at first relapse. However, based on their MyCARe score and other risk factors, there may be patients we prioritize for CAR-T first versus CAR-T with maintenance versus clinical trials.”

Dr. Gagelmann reported relationships with BMS, Pfizer, Stemline, MorphoSys, and Kite. Dr. Banerjee disclosed ties with BMS, Caribou Biosciences, Genentech, Janssen, Karyopharm, Pfizer, Sanofi, SparkCures, Novartis, and Pack Health.

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A simple prediction model developed with US and European cohorts shows accuracy in identifying patients with relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma (RRMM) who are or are not at high risk for relapsing after treatment with anti–B-cell maturation antigen (BCMA) chimeric antigen receptor T (CAR-T) therapy.

“To our knowledge, this large multicenter study is the first report to identify patients with RRMM at high risk of early relapse after CAR-T,” the authors report in the study, published February 15 in the Journal of Clinical Oncology.

“We saw that early relapse within 5 months from infusion was significantly associated with very poor outcomes, and disease-, treatment-, and inflammation-specific variables were independent predictors of early relapse,” first author Nico Gagelmann, MD, of the University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, in Hamburg, Germany, explained in presenting the findings at the 6th European CAR T-cell Meeting jointly sponsored by the European Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation and the European Hematology Association. CAR-T therapy has revolutionized the treatment of RRMM, with the idecabtagene vicleucel (ide-cel) and ciltacabtagene autoleucel (cilta-cel) CAR-T therapies approved for the condition. However, the treatment is far from a cure, with nearly 50% of patients relapsing and having progression of disease within the first year after infusion, prompting a need to better understand the risk factors for who may or may not progress.

With a lack of a universal model to help with those predictions across products and populations, Dr. Gagelmann and colleagues conducted a retrospective observational study utilizing data from 136 patients at seven CAR-T centers in Europe and 133 patients at three centers in the US who had received either commercial or academically produced anti-BCMA CAR-T.

Of the patients, 171 were infused with ide-cel, 38 with cilta-cel, and 60 with an academic CAR-T therapy. The patients had a median age of 63, and extramedullary disease was more common in the US cohort (48%) versus European (35%; P = .04).

Notably, the response rates between the European and US cohorts were similar, despite various differences between the cohorts, including differences in ethnicities and a lower body mass index (BMI) in the European cohort versus US (BMI 25 vs 28, respectively; P < .001). There were also no significant differences in responses between the CAR-T treatments.

The overall response rate was 87% and was comparable between the European and US groups, with complete responses occurring among 48% of patients in Europe and 49% in the US group.

Their measurable residual disease (MRD) negativity rate at any time was 29% and 37%, respectively, and rates of complete response at day 30 were 29% and 26%, respectively. The rate of progression-free survival at 12 months was 40% for the entire cohort, with a rate of 45% in the European group and 34% in the US group (P = .09). Overall survival rates at 12 months were 79% and 65%, respectively (P = .11).

The patients had a median time to relapse of 5 months, and the 5-month incidence of relapse was identical, at 24% in each cohort.

Of those patients, overall survival at 12 months was low, at 30% in the European cohort and 14% in the US group.

“Early relapse within the first 5 months clearly identified patients with poor survival across the cohort,” Dr. Gagelmann said.

 

 

Key Risk Factors Identified

Key factors found after multivariate adjustment to be independently predictive of early relapse or progression included extramedullary disease or plasma cell leukemia, being refractory to lenalidomide, having high-risk cytogenetics, and having increased age- and sex-adjusted ferritin at the time of lymphodepletion.

With each of the risk factors valued at 1 point, the MyCARe model ranked scores of 0-1 points as low-risk, 2-3 as intermediate risk, and a score above 4 was considered high-risk.

Based on the model, the risk of early relapse within 5 months among those scored as low risk was 7%, for intermediate risk, 27% (hazard ratio [HR], 3.27 vs low-risk; P < .001), and for high risk, 53% (HR, 7.89 vs low-risk; P < .001), with outcomes overall comparable between the two geographic groups. Importantly, the model maintained utility for patients who did and did not receive salvage therapies; however, “more studies are needed to identify the optimal post–CAR-T approach,” the authors write.

Dr. Gagelmann added that older age was significantly associated with improved progression-free survival in the US cohort, with a 12-month progression-free survival of 27% among patients under 65 versus 43% for those over 65 (P = .03). However, age was not found to be associated with similar outcomes in the European cohort.

The authors note that the MyCARe model outperformed the CAR-HEMATOTOX and more recent disease-specific R2-ISS risk-stratification tools regarding prediction of relapse/progression and progression-free survival.

However, with CAR-HEMATOTOX developed to predict side effects and non-relapse mortality, “our results demonstrate that both scores independently predict different outcomes after anti–BCMA CAR-T in RRMM,” the authors report. Therefore, “they can be used complimentarily to predict complications (CAR-HEMATOTOX) and relapse/progression-free survival (MyCARe model).”

Importantly, the authors add that the tool may help in patient selection for earlier treatment.

“As ide-cel and cilta-cel have shown astonishing efficacy for earlier treatment lines, our model might also be validated for such patients,” the authors note in the study. They conclude that the study provides “the first Euro-American cartography of the efficacy and safety profile of current CAR-T, showing comparable results.”

“We also built the MyCARe model, which can predict early relapse, response, and survival and may facilitate patient selection in this very challenging setting,” the authors report.
 

Hope for Interventions Based on Patients’ Risk

Commenting on the study, Rahul Banerjee, MD, an assistant professor with the Division of Hematology and Oncology, University of Washington, Seattle, underscored that “we need more cross-border research like this in the myeloma field.”

“Clinically, my hope that this will help us tailor post–CAR-T interventions according to each patient’s risk profile,” he said.

Risk factors such as the presence of extramedullary disease, plasma cell leukemia, or high-risk cytogenetics are expected; however, Dr. Banerjee said the inclusion of increased ferritin before CAR-T was “an interesting new risk factor that we’ve also heard about from our colleagues in the lymphoma space.”

Ferritin perturbations can indicate many things, but high ferritin can be a sign of elevated inflammation at baseline,” he explained. “These patients may have a hyperinflammatory phenotype of their myeloma which can predispose T-cells to exhaustion,” Dr. Banerjee said.

“Exhausted T-cells at collection mean exhausted CAR T-cells at infusion, and so the negative prognostic significance of elevated ferritin — which we don’t always check before CAR-T — makes sense.”

While the authors suggest a potential benefit of the MyCAR3 model in identifying patients who could benefit from other novel therapies at relapse, Dr. Banerjee suggests another possibility. “I’d take this a step further and suggest future studies of this MyCARe model to identify patients who might benefit from post–CAR-T maintenance,” he said.

“The ‘one-and-done’ nature of CAR-T in terms of not requiring further myeloma therapy after infusion is a powerful benefit for patients, but there are some patients who may benefit from low-dose pomalidomide or iberdomide/mezigdomide maintenance to help keep the myeloma at bay and to promote T-cell fitness,” Dr. Banerjee explained. “This risk model may identify patients to prioritize for such types of clinical trials in the future.”

Caveats include that factors beyond the baseline features (used for the risk model) can further influence outcomes,” Dr. Banerjee noted.

“Risk stratification is inherently a dynamic process over time,” he said, questioning, for instance, “what about patients who achieve measurable residual disease negativity [MRD] at day +28 after CAR-T cell? Does the achievement of MRD negativity ‘erase’ a high-risk MyCARe score? We’ll need future studies to tell.”

An overriding take-home message for clinicians should be to simply refer eligible patients to a CAR-T capable center as soon as possible for evaluation.

“In the lymphoma world, they have a nice adage for this: ‘If they recur, you should refer,’ ” he said. “I’d suggest the same here. By no means will we move to CAR-T therapy for every patient at first relapse. However, based on their MyCARe score and other risk factors, there may be patients we prioritize for CAR-T first versus CAR-T with maintenance versus clinical trials.”

Dr. Gagelmann reported relationships with BMS, Pfizer, Stemline, MorphoSys, and Kite. Dr. Banerjee disclosed ties with BMS, Caribou Biosciences, Genentech, Janssen, Karyopharm, Pfizer, Sanofi, SparkCures, Novartis, and Pack Health.

A simple prediction model developed with US and European cohorts shows accuracy in identifying patients with relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma (RRMM) who are or are not at high risk for relapsing after treatment with anti–B-cell maturation antigen (BCMA) chimeric antigen receptor T (CAR-T) therapy.

“To our knowledge, this large multicenter study is the first report to identify patients with RRMM at high risk of early relapse after CAR-T,” the authors report in the study, published February 15 in the Journal of Clinical Oncology.

“We saw that early relapse within 5 months from infusion was significantly associated with very poor outcomes, and disease-, treatment-, and inflammation-specific variables were independent predictors of early relapse,” first author Nico Gagelmann, MD, of the University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, in Hamburg, Germany, explained in presenting the findings at the 6th European CAR T-cell Meeting jointly sponsored by the European Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation and the European Hematology Association. CAR-T therapy has revolutionized the treatment of RRMM, with the idecabtagene vicleucel (ide-cel) and ciltacabtagene autoleucel (cilta-cel) CAR-T therapies approved for the condition. However, the treatment is far from a cure, with nearly 50% of patients relapsing and having progression of disease within the first year after infusion, prompting a need to better understand the risk factors for who may or may not progress.

With a lack of a universal model to help with those predictions across products and populations, Dr. Gagelmann and colleagues conducted a retrospective observational study utilizing data from 136 patients at seven CAR-T centers in Europe and 133 patients at three centers in the US who had received either commercial or academically produced anti-BCMA CAR-T.

Of the patients, 171 were infused with ide-cel, 38 with cilta-cel, and 60 with an academic CAR-T therapy. The patients had a median age of 63, and extramedullary disease was more common in the US cohort (48%) versus European (35%; P = .04).

Notably, the response rates between the European and US cohorts were similar, despite various differences between the cohorts, including differences in ethnicities and a lower body mass index (BMI) in the European cohort versus US (BMI 25 vs 28, respectively; P < .001). There were also no significant differences in responses between the CAR-T treatments.

The overall response rate was 87% and was comparable between the European and US groups, with complete responses occurring among 48% of patients in Europe and 49% in the US group.

Their measurable residual disease (MRD) negativity rate at any time was 29% and 37%, respectively, and rates of complete response at day 30 were 29% and 26%, respectively. The rate of progression-free survival at 12 months was 40% for the entire cohort, with a rate of 45% in the European group and 34% in the US group (P = .09). Overall survival rates at 12 months were 79% and 65%, respectively (P = .11).

The patients had a median time to relapse of 5 months, and the 5-month incidence of relapse was identical, at 24% in each cohort.

Of those patients, overall survival at 12 months was low, at 30% in the European cohort and 14% in the US group.

“Early relapse within the first 5 months clearly identified patients with poor survival across the cohort,” Dr. Gagelmann said.

 

 

Key Risk Factors Identified

Key factors found after multivariate adjustment to be independently predictive of early relapse or progression included extramedullary disease or plasma cell leukemia, being refractory to lenalidomide, having high-risk cytogenetics, and having increased age- and sex-adjusted ferritin at the time of lymphodepletion.

With each of the risk factors valued at 1 point, the MyCARe model ranked scores of 0-1 points as low-risk, 2-3 as intermediate risk, and a score above 4 was considered high-risk.

Based on the model, the risk of early relapse within 5 months among those scored as low risk was 7%, for intermediate risk, 27% (hazard ratio [HR], 3.27 vs low-risk; P < .001), and for high risk, 53% (HR, 7.89 vs low-risk; P < .001), with outcomes overall comparable between the two geographic groups. Importantly, the model maintained utility for patients who did and did not receive salvage therapies; however, “more studies are needed to identify the optimal post–CAR-T approach,” the authors write.

Dr. Gagelmann added that older age was significantly associated with improved progression-free survival in the US cohort, with a 12-month progression-free survival of 27% among patients under 65 versus 43% for those over 65 (P = .03). However, age was not found to be associated with similar outcomes in the European cohort.

The authors note that the MyCARe model outperformed the CAR-HEMATOTOX and more recent disease-specific R2-ISS risk-stratification tools regarding prediction of relapse/progression and progression-free survival.

However, with CAR-HEMATOTOX developed to predict side effects and non-relapse mortality, “our results demonstrate that both scores independently predict different outcomes after anti–BCMA CAR-T in RRMM,” the authors report. Therefore, “they can be used complimentarily to predict complications (CAR-HEMATOTOX) and relapse/progression-free survival (MyCARe model).”

Importantly, the authors add that the tool may help in patient selection for earlier treatment.

“As ide-cel and cilta-cel have shown astonishing efficacy for earlier treatment lines, our model might also be validated for such patients,” the authors note in the study. They conclude that the study provides “the first Euro-American cartography of the efficacy and safety profile of current CAR-T, showing comparable results.”

“We also built the MyCARe model, which can predict early relapse, response, and survival and may facilitate patient selection in this very challenging setting,” the authors report.
 

Hope for Interventions Based on Patients’ Risk

Commenting on the study, Rahul Banerjee, MD, an assistant professor with the Division of Hematology and Oncology, University of Washington, Seattle, underscored that “we need more cross-border research like this in the myeloma field.”

“Clinically, my hope that this will help us tailor post–CAR-T interventions according to each patient’s risk profile,” he said.

Risk factors such as the presence of extramedullary disease, plasma cell leukemia, or high-risk cytogenetics are expected; however, Dr. Banerjee said the inclusion of increased ferritin before CAR-T was “an interesting new risk factor that we’ve also heard about from our colleagues in the lymphoma space.”

Ferritin perturbations can indicate many things, but high ferritin can be a sign of elevated inflammation at baseline,” he explained. “These patients may have a hyperinflammatory phenotype of their myeloma which can predispose T-cells to exhaustion,” Dr. Banerjee said.

“Exhausted T-cells at collection mean exhausted CAR T-cells at infusion, and so the negative prognostic significance of elevated ferritin — which we don’t always check before CAR-T — makes sense.”

While the authors suggest a potential benefit of the MyCAR3 model in identifying patients who could benefit from other novel therapies at relapse, Dr. Banerjee suggests another possibility. “I’d take this a step further and suggest future studies of this MyCARe model to identify patients who might benefit from post–CAR-T maintenance,” he said.

“The ‘one-and-done’ nature of CAR-T in terms of not requiring further myeloma therapy after infusion is a powerful benefit for patients, but there are some patients who may benefit from low-dose pomalidomide or iberdomide/mezigdomide maintenance to help keep the myeloma at bay and to promote T-cell fitness,” Dr. Banerjee explained. “This risk model may identify patients to prioritize for such types of clinical trials in the future.”

Caveats include that factors beyond the baseline features (used for the risk model) can further influence outcomes,” Dr. Banerjee noted.

“Risk stratification is inherently a dynamic process over time,” he said, questioning, for instance, “what about patients who achieve measurable residual disease negativity [MRD] at day +28 after CAR-T cell? Does the achievement of MRD negativity ‘erase’ a high-risk MyCARe score? We’ll need future studies to tell.”

An overriding take-home message for clinicians should be to simply refer eligible patients to a CAR-T capable center as soon as possible for evaluation.

“In the lymphoma world, they have a nice adage for this: ‘If they recur, you should refer,’ ” he said. “I’d suggest the same here. By no means will we move to CAR-T therapy for every patient at first relapse. However, based on their MyCARe score and other risk factors, there may be patients we prioritize for CAR-T first versus CAR-T with maintenance versus clinical trials.”

Dr. Gagelmann reported relationships with BMS, Pfizer, Stemline, MorphoSys, and Kite. Dr. Banerjee disclosed ties with BMS, Caribou Biosciences, Genentech, Janssen, Karyopharm, Pfizer, Sanofi, SparkCures, Novartis, and Pack Health.

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FROM THE 6TH EUROPEAN CAR T-CELL MEETING

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